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Is Dogecoin Ready to Rally?

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DOGE Exchange Netflow


DOGE might explode to $0.50 if it breaks above a certain level, one analyst claimed.

The biggest meme coin has caught the recent green wave sweeping through the cryptocurrency market, with its price rising to a 10-day high.

Whales are waking up, too, hinting that the real rally might only be starting.

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Further Gains Ahead?

The cryptocurrency sector, especially the meme coin niche, has registered a substantial uptick over the past 24 hours. The undisturbed leader, Dogecoin (DOGE), soared by 6% daily, while its market capitalization once again surpassed $15 billion.

Given the whales’ recent accumulation, the OG meme coin could be poised for an additional increase. The renowned analyst Ali Martinez revealed that this cohort of investors has acquired 470 million DOGE in the past 72 hours. The stash is worth roughly $47 million (calculated at current rates).

Following the latest buying spree, the whales boosted their total possessions to almost 36 billion coins, representing 23.5% of Dogecoin’s circulating supply.

Such accumulation is typically considered bullish for the price as it reduces the amount of tokens available on the open market and signals growing confidence among major holders. Whales are known as experienced investors who rarely jump on the bandwagon without proper knowledge or research, leaving unanswered questions about whether they know something we don’t. In the aftermath, smaller players might be encouraged to join the ecosystem as well, thereby injecting fresh capital.

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Some industry participants support the bullish outlook. X user Trader Tardigrade claimed that DOGE “is breaking out” from a certain setup that has historically preceded “a massive pump.” For their part, CoinQTS described $0.125 as a “key level to watch,” predicting a rally to as high as $0.50 should the price break above $0.13.

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The recent DOGE exchange netflow may also sit well with bulls. Data show that outflows have consistently outweighed inflows over the past weeks, indicating that investors have shifted from centralized platforms to self-custody methods, thereby reducing immediate selling pressure.

DOGE Exchange Netflow
DOGE Exchange Netflow, Source: CoinGlass

On the contrary, Dogecoin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) should serve as a warning that a short-term correction may also be on the horizon. The technical analysis tool measures the speed and magnitude of price changes to assess potential reversal points. It runs from 0 to 100, with ratios above 70 considered bearish territory, while anything below 30 is considered a buying opportunity. Currently, the RSI stands at around 76.

DOGE RSIDOGE RSI
DOGE RSI, Source: RSI Hunter

The Potential Elon Musk Effect

It is no secret that the world’s wealthiest person is keen on Dogecoin and has, over the years, endorsed it publicly, which has led to substantial price gains. Not long ago, Musk confirmed that X Money, the platform’s upcoming payments feature, will go live next month. It is expected to allow users to send and receive funds directly through X, with a strong emphasis on integrating digital assets into the effort.

X user Fuel wondered what would happen if Musk made DOGE the default currency for the new feature, suggesting such a move could push the price to $0.50 or even $1.

Many commentators on the post believe that Dogecoin will not play such a central role in X Money, with some describing the token as a “joke just like all meme coins.”

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Crypto World

Bitcoin Surges Toward $75K As Huge Capital Inflows Return

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Bitcoin Surges Toward $75K As Huge Capital Inflows Return

Bitcoin chases $75,000 as the return of aggressive spot BTC ETF inflows, billion dollar buys from Strategy and an improvement in investors’ risk appetite propel the crypto market.

Bitcoin’s (BTC) price recovery extended into a third week as the price rallied to $74,509, a level not seen since Feb. 4. While markets remain reluctant to confirm whether or not Bitcoin bottomed, the cryptocurrency is up 22.5% from its Feb. 6 low at $60,000 and data point to a renewed institutional investor appetite as a potential key player in the current bullish breakout. 

Over the last week, Michael Saylor’s Strategy, the largest public holder of Bitcoin, purchased 22,237 BTC for $1.57 billion. 

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According to reporting from Bloomberg, 

“Inflows to exchange-traded funds suggest a return of institutional confidence. Net flows for the 12 US-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs topped $763 million last week, a third consecutive week of inflows”

On Monday, Metaplanet, a Tokyo-based public company that established Japan’s first corporate Bitcoin treasury, announced that it has raised $255 million in a “private placement” for a new instrument that aims to purchase more Bitcoin. Metaplanet CEO Simon Gerovich said the raise would provide the “additional firepower on our march towards 210,000 BTC.” 

Metaplanet raises $255 million to buy Bitcoin. Source: X / Simon Gerovich

Related: Metaplanet raises $255M and adds warrant structure for Bitcoin buys

Adding to the institutional Bitcoin demand narrative, Bitfinex analysts said that “Bitcoin is approaching this week’s FOMC meeting on March 18 with renewed momentum, and has decisively reclaimed the $70,000 level.” The report noted Bitcoin’s market structure had “improved meaningfully” even though BTC has “yet to secure a breakout above local range highs.” 

Bitcoin monthly trading range: Source: Bitfinex

According to Bitfinex analysts, the absorption-to-emissions ratio (AER) highlighted institutional investors “absorbing nearly five times the daily miner supply,” and this, combined with rising BTC futures open interest, indicated that the market was beginning to mirror “healthier” structures seen earlier in the year. 

When asked whether Bitcoin had bottomed and if institutional capital flows were responsible for the price upswing, Hyblock analysts explained that “following the sharp drop, the market entered a consolidation phase where open interest declined, shorts used more margin, and both spot and perpetual CVDs pointed to selling pressure.” 

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BTC/USDT 1-hour chart. Source: Hyblock

The analysts added that:

“Over the past month, that regime (sellers) has shifted. Traders have started increasing leverage on the long side, open interest is rising, and the perps CVD has turned positive while spot flows remain weak. This suggests the push toward the top of the range is largely being driven by derivatives positioning rather than spot demand.”