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Is the Ethereum price crash over as network metrics surge?

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Ethereum transactions have soared

Ethereum’s price crash continued its strong downward trend this week, reaching its lowest level since June 23 as the crypto market dive accelerated.

Summary

  • Ethereum price continued its strong downward trend this week.
  • The network’s transactions and active users have soared in the last 30 days.
  • Technical analysis suggests that ETH price has more downside to go in the near term.

Ethereum (ETH) token dropped to a low of $2,180, down by over 54% from its highest level since August last year. This retreat has brought its market value to over $274 billion.

Ethereum has crashed despite the ongoing network and ecosystem boom as companies like Fidelity, JPMorgan, and Janus Henderson embrace its network for their tokenized assets.

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Data compiled by Nansen shows that Ethereum’s network is firing on all cylinders. For example, the number of active addresses jumped by 45% in the last 30 days to over 15 million.

Another metric shows that the number of transactions jumped by 40% in the last 30 days to over 68 million, the highest level in years.

Ethereum transactions have soared
Ethereum transactions have soared | Source: Nansen

This growth has pushed its chain fees to over $15 million, up by 40% in the last 30 days. This growth occurred even as Ethereum transaction fees have continued to fall over the past few months.

More data show that Ethereum’s decentralized exchange network continued to rise in January, a trend that will likely continue in the coming weeks. Its DEX networks rose to over $52.8 billion in January from $49 billion in December last year. The most notable DEX networks are Uniswap, Curve Finance, Fluid, and Balancer.

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Most importantly, Ethereum has become a major player in the real-world asset tokenization industry, with its distributed asset value rising by 15% over the last 30 days to over $14.4 billion. Its stablecoin market capitalization rose to over $165 billion.

Ethereum price technical analysis 

Ethereum price
ETH price chart | Source: crypto.news 

The daily timeframe chart shows that the ETH price has been in a strong downward trend in the past few weeks. It crashed recently after forming a bearish flag pattern, which consists of a vertical line and an ascending channel. 

Ethereum price has dropped below the 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement level at $2,753. It moved below the 50-day moving average and Supertrend indicator.

ETH is forming a bearish pennant pattern, a common continuation pattern in technical analysis. It has also moved below the Supertrend indicator.

Therefore, the most likely Ethereum price prediction is bearish, with the next key support level being at $2,000. 

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Crypto World

Ethereum Dust Attacks Have Increased Post-Fusaka

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Ethereum Dust Attacks Have Increased Post-Fusaka

Stablecoin-fueled dusting attacks are now estimated to make up 11% of all Ethereum transactions and 26% of active addresses on an average day, after the Fusaka upgrade made transactions cheaper, according to Coin Metrics. 

Ethereum is now seeing more than 2 million average daily transactions, spiking to almost 2.9 million in mid-January, along with 1.4 million daily active addresses — a 60% increase over prior averages.

The Fusaka upgrade in December made using the network cheaper and easier by improving onchain data handling, reducing the cost of posting information from layer-2 networks back to Ethereum.

Digging through the dust on Ethereum

Coin Metrics said it analyzed over 227 million balance updates for USDC (USDC) and USDt (USDT) on Ethereum from November 2025 through January 2026.

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It found that 43% were involved in transfers of less than $1 and 38% were under a single penny — “amounts with insignificant economic purpose other than wallet seeding.”

“The number of addresses holding small ‘dust’ balances, greater than zero but less than 1 native unit, has grown sharply, consistent with millions of wallets receiving tiny poisoning deposits.”

Pre-Fusaka, stablecoin dust accounted for roughly 3 to 5% of Ethereum transactions and 15 to 20% of active addresses, it said. 

“Post-Fusaka, these figures jumped to 10-15% of transactions and 25-35% of active addresses on a typical day, a 2-3x increase.”

However, the remaining 57% of balance updates involved transfers above $1, “suggesting the majority of stablecoin activity remains organic,” Coin Metrics stated.

Median Ethereum transaction size fell sharply after Fusaka. Source: Coin Metrics

Users need to be wary of address poisoning

In January, security researcher Andrey Sergeenkov pointed to a 170% increase in new wallet addresses in the week starting Jan. 12, and also suggested it was linked to a wave of address poisoning attacks taking advantage of low gas fees

These “dusting” attacks typically involve malicious actors sending fractions of a cent worth of a stablecoin from wallet addresses that resemble legitimate ones, duping users into copying the wrong address when making a transaction.

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Related: Ethereum activity surge could be linked to dusting attacks: Researcher

Sergeenkov said $740,000 had already been lost to address poisoning attacks. The top attacker sent nearly 3 million dust transfers for just $5,175 in stablecoin costs, according to Coin Metrics.

Dust does not represent genuine economic usage

Coin Metrics reported that approximately 250,000 to 350,000 daily Ethereum addresses are involved in stablecoin dust activity, but the majority of network growth has been genuine.  

“The majority of post-Fusaka growth reflects genuine usage, though dust activity is a factor worth noting when interpreting headline metrics.”

Magazine: DAT panic dumps 73,000 ETH, India’s crypto tax stays: Asia Express

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