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JPMorgan sees Strategy reserve shortfall as key risk for Bitcoin investors

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Bitcoin purity, markets or upgrades? Saylor names four camps

Michael Saylor’s Strategy has seen JPMorgan turn cautious on digital assets, with the bank warning that the company may need to rebuild its $ reserves as annual dividend obligations reach about $1.7 billion.

Summary

  • JPMorgan said Strategy may need to replenish its dollar reserves to ease concerns about future Bitcoin sales tied to dividend obligations.
  • The bank expects Strategy’s Bitcoin purchases to reach about $32 billion in 2026 despite recent scrutiny over its sale of 32 BTC.
  • JPMorgan has lowered its outlook for digital assets and now sees less than a 50% chance of the CLARITY Act becoming law this year.

According to a Friday report from JPMorgan analysts led by Managing Director Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, investor concerns increased after Strategy sold 32 Bitcoin between May 26 and May 31, even though the bank described the transaction as symbolic and voluntary.

The analysts said the sale appeared intended to demonstrate flexibility and commitment to preferred stockholders. Even so, they argued that the move raised questions about how Strategy plans to fund future dividend payments without relying on its Bitcoin holdings.

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JPMorgan estimated that Strategy’s remaining dollar reserves cover only about 6.3 months of dividend payments. Strategy had established a $1.44 billion reserve in December to support preferred stock dividends and service interest payments on outstanding debt.

In the report, the analysts said restoring confidence may require Strategy to replenish those reserves, reducing concerns that additional Bitcoin sales could be needed to meet future obligations.

Hours after those concerns surfaced, Strategy co-founder and Executive Chairman Michael Saylor hinted at another Bitcoin purchase, posting on X that it was “a good time to add more dots.”

Strategy currently holds 843,706 Bitcoin acquired at an average price of $75,699. JPMorgan estimated the position represents an unrealized loss of roughly $11.5 billion at current market prices.

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Bitcoin buying expected to continue

Despite concerns about reserves, JPMorgan said it still expects Strategy to remain an active Bitcoin buyer.

Based on the company’s acquisition pace so far this year, the analysts projected around $32 billion in Bitcoin purchases during 2026, up from approximately $22 billion in both 2024 and 2025. The estimate was revised higher from the bank’s previous forecast of $30 billion issued last month.

Recent debate over Strategy’s funding model has also drawn responses from industry figures. Earlier this month, BTCTOP CEO Jiang Zhuoer said he does not expect Strategy to become a significant net seller of Bitcoin even during a severe market decline.

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In comments posted on X, Jiang argued that Strategy’s reputation as a long-term Bitcoin holder carries substantial value and that large-scale sales would damage the company’s public image. He also said a drop in Bitcoin to $30,000 would raise Strategy’s leverage ratio from roughly 5% to around 10%, which he described as manageable.

Jiang further suggested that Strategy could sell older, lower-cost Bitcoin to realize accounting gains and help cover STRC dividend obligations while continuing to acquire Bitcoin through new capital raised from investors.

Those comments contrasted with warnings previously raised by Grayscale, which said weakness in both MSTR shares and STRC preferred stock could make fundraising more difficult and increase pressure on the company’s financing model.

JPMorgan cuts confidence in crypto outlook

Elsewhere in its latest outlook, JPMorgan lowered its expectations for crypto market developments that it previously viewed as supportive for digital assets.

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The analysts now assign less than a 50% probability that the U.S. crypto market structure legislation, known as the CLARITY Act, will pass this year. Earlier this week, JPMorgan said the bill faces a narrowing legislative window as midterm elections approach and debates over stablecoin yield provisions continue.

A positive second half for digital assets would depend partly on clarity around Strategy’s dividend funding plans and progress on market structure legislation, according to the bank.

JPMorgan’s latest stance contrasts with its February outlook, when the analysts said they were overweight and positive on digital assets for 2026 because they expected institutional investors to drive stronger inflows into the sector.

The bank also pointed to weaker capital entering crypto markets this year. JPMorgan estimates digital asset inflows at roughly $22 billion year to date, which translates to an annualized pace of about $52 billion, nearly half the level recorded in 2025. The calculation includes crypto fund flows, CME futures positioning, venture capital fundraising and corporate treasury purchases such as Strategy’s Bitcoin acquisitions.

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Bitcoin’s production cost also remains an important metric in the bank’s analysis. JPMorgan said its central estimate fell from $90,000 at the start of the year to $77,000 before recovering to about $87,000 as mining conditions changed. Historically, the bank noted, production cost has often acted as a support level for Bitcoin prices.

Even after adopting a more cautious outlook, JPMorgan said the current pessimism across crypto markets could become a bullish contrarian signal if market conditions improve later in the year.

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AI Memory Stocks on Rocky Ground: 3 Reasons SK Hynix Fell 13%

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AI Memory Stocks on Rocky Ground: 3 Reasons SK Hynix Fell 13%

SK Hynix fell near 13% on Tuesday, July 28, in early trading. Samsung Electronics also dropped over 12% as the sell-off swept across Asian markets.

The sell-off erased billions in market value across Korea, Japan, and Taiwan in a single session. It extended a broader pullback in AI-linked chipmakers that began after Wall Street’s own chip stocks weakened.

Wall Street Contagion and Nvidia’s OpenAI Bet Spook Investors

U.S. chip stocks weakened again overnight, adding losses at AMD, Teradyne, and Micron. That weakness followed a a Wall Street Journal story on Nvidia’s financing plans.

Nvidia is reportedly negotiating a $250 billion guarantee to help OpenAI lease a 10-gigawatt data center campus in Ohio. OpenAI lacks an investment-grade credit rating. The project could cost more than $500 billion in total.

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Nvidia is also discussing financing for OpenAI’s chip purchases, worth up to $350 billion more. Meanwhile, investors have questioned whether Nvidia’s financial backstop role signals fragility in AI-linked demand, not strength.

China’s CXMT Listing Sharpens the Competitive Threat

Chinese memory maker CXMT added to the pressure. Its shares rose as much as 500% from their IPO price during Monday’s Shanghai trading debut. That rally valued CXMT near $515 billion.

Separately, a state-backed Chinese firm has begun mass-producing homegrown deep ultraviolet lithography machines for SMIC, Hua Hong, and CXMT. The move reduces Beijing’s reliance on Dutch equipment maker ASML for advanced chipmaking tools.

Analysts at Seoul Economic Daily estimate the high-bandwidth memory gap between CXMT and Korean leaders has narrowed to three years. That gap exceeded five years in earlier estimates. Therefore, the narrowing threatens the AI chip deals SK Hynix and Samsung have signed with U.S. hyperscalers.

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Volatility continues to rock SK Hynix and Samsung, which are the biggest players in South Korea’s KOSPI. Image Source: Trading View

No One Knows How AI Spending Pays Off

Owen Lamont, senior vice president at Acadian Asset Management, said the uncertainty runs deeper than any single headline.

“Right now we’re facing an incredible uncertainty. No one has any idea how this AI process is going to affect our economy, and so I think it’s going to be rocky no matter what.”
Owen Lamont, CNBC

Lamont added that leveraged exchange-traded products may be magnifying the swings. He named Korea, Hong Kong, and the United States as key markets for this activity.

However, not every analyst is as bearish. Sundeep Gantori, chief investment officer for equities at Standard Chartered, argued the long-term opportunity remains intact for memory makers. He pointed to broker forecasts of a 2027 price peak.

Investors now turn to SK Hynix’s quarterly earnings later this week. The results could show whether AI-linked demand still justifies the volatility.

The post AI Memory Stocks on Rocky Ground: 3 Reasons SK Hynix Fell 13% appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Microsoft CEO Says Firms That Skip This Step Stop Being Firms

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AI Is Handing Hackers Tools That Once Belonged to Elite Attackers

Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella says any firm that gives up control of its AI data will not remain a firm. 

The remarks extend a July 12 blog post where Nadella described what he calls the reverse information paradox. Companies, he argued, pay for intelligence twice: first with money, then with proprietary knowledge.

Why Microsoft CEO Says AI Buyers Give Away Their Knowledge

In the interview with Fareed Zakaria, Nadella limited his warning to businesses. Consumers, he said, trade data for free services under the advertising model. 

Firms face a different decision, he said. A company that creates knowledge needs that knowledge to stay inside the firm

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He told CNN that companies now hold token capital alongside human capital. The term describes the AI capability and models a firm builds and owns. Nadella outlined the concept in June.

The July 12 post spells out the mechanism behind the warning. Providers, Nadella wrote, learn from customer prompts, corrections, and agent activity. That learning flows in one direction.

“AI creates the reverse problem. In the AI age, the buyer risks giving away knowledge, just in order to use what they bought,” the executive noted.

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The Fix Nadella Prescribes for AI-Reliant Companies

Nadella told Zakaria that firms should retain the metadata from every model interaction. That data could later train a company’s own weights or model, he said.

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He also called for legal change. Patents, copyrights, and trademarks all protect sellers, he noted. AI, in his view, marks the first time buyers need protective rights of their own.

Short of a new law, he offered a technical route. Companies should keep the harness, context, and memory separate from any single model. That structure lets firms use several models and stay in control if one disappears.

For companies lacking that control, Nadella framed the stakes as existential.

“(A) firm that doesn’t have this control, I will claim, will not remain a firm because you’ve essentially outsourced your thinking,” he said.

Zakaria noted the argument benefits Microsoft, whose business model relies on commoditizing the model space. Nadella responded that the issue is not firm-specific, since any company lacking that control faces the same outcome.

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Zimbabwe approves 7 fintech projects for sandbox

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Zimbabwe approves 7 fintech projects for sandbox

Zimbabwe’s securities regulator listed seven fintech projects as approved regulatory sandbox participants on July 24, with tokenization accounting for four of the projects.

Summary

  • Seven fintech projects received SECZ approval for supervised testing, with four focused directly on tokenization.
  • Sandbox admission allows live trials but does not guarantee commercial registration after testing concludes successfully.
  • Approved projects span blockchain fundraising, crowdfunding, synthetic trading, asset tokenization, securities, and infrastructure markets locally.

The Securities and Exchange Commission of Zimbabwe named Zimbabwe Entrepreneurship Exchange, Ndarama Standard, Questview Brokers, Crowdaxe Capital, Procode Platforms, Financial Securities Exchange and Colmin Resources Zimbabwe.

The projects will test products under SECZ supervision rather than immediately begin unrestricted commercial operations. The regulator’s framework defines a sandbox as a controlled environment for testing eligible financial technology with live users and set operating limits.

Zimbabwe’s sandbox places tokenization at the centre

Zimbabwe Entrepreneurship Exchange will test a blockchain-based capital-raising platform. Ndarama Standard focuses on asset tokenization, while Questview Brokers will test synthetic trading. Crowdaxe Capital operates a web-based crowdfunding platform intended to connect businesses seeking capital with investors.

The remaining projects deepen the tokenization focus. Procode Platforms is testing securities tokenization, FINSEC is working on an asset-tokenization market, and Colmin Resources Zimbabwe is developing an infrastructure-tokenization project. Industry disclosures show that FINSEC and Zimbabwe Entrepreneurship Exchange had received project-specific regulatory approvals before SECZ published the consolidated participant notice.

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Sandbox approval is not a commercial licence

SECZ’s Regulatory Sandbox Guidelines allow licensed securities intermediaries, prospective licensees and partnerships between the two to apply. Eligible categories include crowdfunding, alternative investment platforms, automated advice, artificial intelligence and other products accepted by the commission.

Participants must operate within an approved testing plan covering customer limits, transaction exposure, risk controls, disclosures and procedures for handling losses or complaints. SECZ can relax selected requirements during a test, but it can also revoke admission following a failed test, unresolved regulatory gaps, liquidation or breaches of sandbox conditions.

The rules state that testing must last at least 12 months. SECZ may approve an extension, although the additional period cannot exceed another 12 months. Successful testing does not automatically authorise a nationwide launch.

Tokenized projects still face separate regulatory duties

At the end of testing, SECZ may issue an existing licence, provide a conditional no-objection letter, create new product-specific requirements or deny permission to operate. Participants must also prepare an exit plan protecting customers if a trial ends without approval.

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Tokenization approval under the securities sandbox should not be treated as general cryptocurrency or virtual asset service provider registration. Zimbabwe introduced separate anti-money laundering requirements for businesses that exchange, transfer, store or control virtual assets. As previously reported, crypto firms must register under Zimbabwe’s new VASP framework, which places covered activities under Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe oversight.

The distinction will matter when projects choose their underlying technology and operating model. A platform could fall under both securities supervision and virtual-asset rules if it tokenizes investments while also providing custody, exchange or transfer services.

SECZ will determine which projects can launch

SECZ says the sandbox is intended to generate evidence for future policy while supporting investor protection, financial stability and market integrity. The commission can monitor participants, impose further operational requirements and use testing results when updating securities rules.

No full commercial launch date or verified market reaction accompanied the July notice. The next formal steps will be the start of controlled trials, regulatory reporting and SECZ’s assessment of whether each project meets licensing requirements.

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In related coverage, Zimbabwe sought public input on a broader crypto framework in 2024. The country has also experimented with state-backed digital finance, including its gold-backed digital token and ZiG currency. The latest sandbox programme is narrower because it concentrates on capital-market products rather than monetary policy.

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Kalshi and Polymarket win Minnesota injunction

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Kalshi valuation hits $22bn after $1bn Series F

A U.S. federal judge on July 27 granted Kalshi, Polymarket US and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission preliminary relief from Minnesota’s prediction market ban.

Summary

  • Judge Katherine Menendez blocked Minnesota’s prediction market law before its August 1 effective date statewide.
  • The injunction protects CFTC-registered contract markets while three lawsuits continue toward final decisions on merits.
  • Minnesota may seek narrower enforcement because the judge questioned whether every event contract qualifies legally.

Judge Katherine Menendez barred officials from enforcing Minnesota Statute 609.7615 against entities registered with the CFTC as designated contract markets. The July 27 order arrived five days before the law’s August 1 start date and remains effective until the court reaches a final decision.

Minnesota’s measure would make creating, operating or facilitating a covered prediction market a felony. It would also criminalize certain support, data and payment services, as well as advertising products that promote prohibited transactions. The state statute covers markets tied to sports, elections, government action, legal cases, popular culture and several other events. It was the first state measure designed to prohibit prediction markets directly, rather than applying an existing gaming law to selected contracts.

Kalshi and Polymarket won on federal preemption

Menendez found that the plaintiffs were likely to succeed, at least partly, on their express-preemption claims. The Commodity Exchange Act gives the CFTC “exclusive jurisdiction” over swaps traded on federally registered contract markets. The judge concluded that Minnesota’s across-the-board prohibition would probably reach many transactions reserved for federal oversight.

The court also found that the plaintiffs faced irreparable harm and that the balance of harms supported temporary relief. However, the ruling is not a final judgment that Minnesota’s law is invalid. Menendez described it as a preliminary assessment intended to preserve the existing position while the cases proceed. She did not decide the companies’ implied-preemption or First Amendment claims.

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The temporary injunction could become narrower

The injunction protects CFTC-registered designated contract markets rather than every prediction market or event contract provider. Kalshi and QCX LLC, which operates as Polymarket US, are parties in separate cases considered alongside the federal government’s challenge during the preliminary-injunction process.

Menendez also rejected the idea that registration alone resolves every contract’s legal status. She said the plaintiffs had not shown that every event contract on the two platforms meets the federal definition of a swap. A weather or crop contract may have an economic consequence, while some sports propositions may not. Permanent relief could therefore cover fewer products than the current injunction.

Minnesota will continue defending its ban

Minnesota Attorney General Keith Ellison said he disagreed with the decision and would continue defending the law. He described prediction markets as gambling and argued that Minnesota may protect residents from unlicensed activity. Kalshi said the ruling confirmed that states cannot ban products outside their jurisdiction, while Polymarket also welcomed the order.

The Minnesota result does not settle the wider state-federal dispute. Massachusetts, Michigan, Nevada and Washington have obtained orders restricting parts of Kalshi’s activity. In related coverage, Kalshi and Polymarket lost bids to halt proceedings in Nevada and Washington, while a separate Michigan order temporarily restricted Kalshi’s sports contracts.

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CFTC rules could shape what happens next

The three Minnesota lawsuits now move toward final decisions on the merits. The injunction keeps the challenged criminal provisions from applying to CFTC-registered contract markets during that process. The court may later examine specific contract categories and decide whether federal preemption protects all, some or none of them.

A parallel CFTC rulemaking may also define the boundary. The regulator’s June proposal would create a contract-by-contract process for reviewing event contracts involving gaming, war, terrorism, assassination or unlawful conduct. Its public-comment period closed on July 27. As previously reported, the proposed framework could directly affect Kalshi and Polymarket by establishing formal public-interest tests for listed contracts.

Earlier on July 27, the CFTC had asked the court to rule before the August 1 deadline and indicated that it could seek emergency appellate relief if no decision arrived. Kalshi and Polymarket joined that request. The injunction removed that immediate deadline, but Minnesota’s attorney general has made clear that the underlying jurisdiction dispute will continue.

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US judge temporarily blocks Minnesota prediction market ban

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US judge temporarily blocks Minnesota prediction market ban

US judge temporarily blocks Minnesota prediction market ban

The preliminary injunction allows Kalshi and Polymarket US to continue operating in Minnesota while the court considers their challenge to the state law.

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KOSPI halts trading after 8% plunge

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KOSPI halts trading after 8% plunge

South Korea’s Korea Exchange halted trading in KOSPI-listed shares for 20 minutes on July 28 after the benchmark fell 8.02% to 6,213.51.

Summary

  • 8.02% KOSPI drop triggered a 20-minute marketwide circuit breaker at 10:13 a.m. Tuesday in Seoul.
  • SK Hynix ADRs closed at $143.02, below their $149 offering price for first time Monday.
  • July 29 brings SK Hynix earnings and additional KOSPI shares from its U.S. ADR offering.

The Level 1 circuit breaker took effect at 10:13 a.m. local time after the decline remained above 8% for one minute. It was the eighth KOSPI circuit-breaker activation of 2026 and the 14th on record.

Selling continued after trading resumed. Yonhap placed the index 8.59% lower at 6,175.71 at 11:20 a.m., while Reuters reported a decline of about 9.4% by 12:41 p.m. Korea time. The figures were intraday and may differ from the eventual closing level.

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The KOSPI circuit breaker stopped the full market

The Level 1 mechanism suspended trading and order-taking in shares on the main KOSPI market for 20 minutes. The exchange then reopened trading through a 10-minute single-price call auction. The measure followed sell-side “sidecar” curbs earlier in the session, which temporarily stopped program trading as futures and cash shares fell.

The two controls serve different purposes. A sidecar pauses program orders, while a circuit breaker stops most trading across the market. The July 28 halt followed earlier 2026 activations on March 4 and 9, June 8, 23 and 26, and July 7 and 13, according to Korean market reports citing the exchange.

The latest decline extends a period of unusually sharp moves in South Korean equities. As previously reported, KOSPI volatility in June was intensified by margin calls, high retail leverage and the heavy index weight of Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix.

SK Hynix ADR fell below its $149 offer price

SK Hynix’s Nasdaq-listed American depositary receipts closed the previous U.S. session at $143.02, down 7.5%, according to Reuters. That was their first close below the $149 offering price since regular trading began in July. Market data showed an intraday low near $139.10, explaining reports that the ADR had briefly fallen below $140.

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The verified closing figure differs from the $139.45 quote circulated in some early reports. That lower number appears to reflect an intraday or extended-hours quote rather than the official regular-session close. The ADR opened at $159.61, reached $164.30 and fell as low as $139.10 before closing at $143.02.

SK Hynix priced 177.9 million ADRs at $149 and raised about $26.5 billion in the U.S. offering. Each ADR represents one-tenth of a Korean common share. The company said the listing was intended to broaden its U.S. investor base and strengthen its position in AI memory markets.

Chip concerns drove the KOSPI selloff

SK Hynix shares in Seoul fell as much as 14%, while Samsung Electronics dropped as much as 13.4%, Reuters reported. The two chipmakers together account for nearly half of the KOSPI, so their declines exerted heavy pressure on the benchmark.

The selloff followed another decline in U.S. semiconductor shares. Investors were reassessing the scale and financing of AI infrastructure spending, including questions around whether chip suppliers and technology companies are supporting customer demand through large financial commitments. Those concerns remain market interpretations rather than evidence that orders have been cancelled.

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China-related developments added pressure. Reuters cited analysts who pointed to the stock-market debut of Chinese memory producer ChangXin Memory Technologies and reports of progress in domestic deep-ultraviolet lithography equipment. Details about the equipment’s performance and commercial timeline had not been disclosed, so the competitive threat remains uncertain.

In related coverage, concerns around AI valuations had already pushed SK Hynix and Samsung lower during earlier July sessions. Another report examined how Bitcoin traded alongside technology shares during a prior KOSPI-led risk-off move.

Earnings and tighter ETF rules come next

SK Hynix is scheduled to publish its second-quarter results at 9:00 a.m. Korea time on July 29. The release will give investors updated figures for high-bandwidth memory sales, margins, capital spending and demand from major AI customers.

In April, the company reported first-quarter revenue of 52.58 trillion won and operating profit of 37.61 trillion won. SK Hynix attributed the results to strong demand for AI memory, high-capacity server DRAM and enterprise solid-state drives.

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July 29 is also the scheduled KOSPI listing date for the newly issued common shares underlying the U.S. ADR sale. The additional shares may affect short-term supply and index positioning, although the company has not forecast a specific price effect.

South Korea’s Financial Services Commission is also accelerating restrictions on single-stock leveraged exchange-traded products. From July 31, retail investors must hold at least 30 million won in cash to make new or additional purchases. The previous 10 million won requirement allowed some securities to count towards the minimum.

The FSC has already suspended new listings and advertising for single-stock leveraged products. Further changes covering premium controls and watchlist rules are scheduled for August 19. The regulator said it would continue monitoring demand and consider more measures if volatility remains elevated.

For markets, the next confirmed events are SK Hynix’s earnings, the additional share listing and the July 31 leverage restrictions. Investors will also watch whether the KOSPI recovers after the halt and whether SK Hynix’s ADR can reclaim its $149 offering price.

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Price drops 2% after U.S. close while Korea’s Kospi plunges 10%

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Stocks start catching up with bitcoin’s earlier meltdown to $60,000 as bond yields rise

Bitcoin has come under pressure since the U.S. stock market closed Monday, with South Korea’s Kospi leading Asian equities lower and providing risk-off cues to the cryptocurrency market.

BTC has fallen to $63,200 from nearly $65,000, a 2.7% decline that has spilled over into the broader crypto market and dragged down the likes of ether (ETH), XRP (XRP), solana (SOL), and others. The drop ends the brief resilience the market showed earlier Monday as shares in NVDA tanked on Wall Street.

The Senate has shelved the CLARITY Act to prioritize a Russia sanctions bill, making a vote on the much-awaited legislation, touted to deliver regulatory clarity and unlock massive institutional buying for digital assets, unlikely before next week. This leaves only the final days before the Aug. 8 recess.

Asian stocks cracked sharply, with South Korea’s Kospi index falling 10% to its lowest level since mid-April. The index has now dropped 25% from its mid-June peak. The latest decline featured steep losses in heavyweights such as Samsung and SK Hynix. “The market is falling out of love with chipmakers at the moment and that’s been a big driver of the bull market in South Korea,” InvestingLive wrote.

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$700 Million in Liquidations as BTC, ETH, XRP Plunge Ahead of FOMC

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Bitcoin’s Monday rally that drove it to $65,600 on a couple of occasions has come to a screeching halt, as the asset has not only erased all gains but plummeted even more to a ten-day low.

Most altcoins have followed suit, which has skyrocketed the daily liquidations to approximately $700 million.

BTCUSD July 28. Source: TradingView
BTCUSD July 28. Source: TradingView

The chart above paints a clear and painful picture. BTC had maintained $64,000 over the weekend before it jumped to a multi-day peak of $65,600 on Monday. It tried to take down that resistance twice, but it was stopped each time.

The second rejection was quite violent as it drove the asset south by nearly $3,000 in hours. Thus, BTC plummeted to $63,000 for the first time since July 17.

Popular analyst CRYPTOWZRD weighed in on the latest move south, indicating that the largest digital asset had closed bearish. They believe it’s essential for BTC to remain above the currently tested support at $63,000; otherwise, it could slump to new local lows.

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ETH was yesterday’s top gainer, surging to a two-month peak of $1,980. However, it has lost $100 since then and now sits well below $1,900. XRP has dumped by 4.5% to $1.06, thus slipping below the coveted $1.10 support. SOL is down by a similar percentage, while HYPE has plummeted by 6%.

Expectedly, this big market move has harmed over-leveraged traders, as more than 165,000 such participants have been wrecked in the past 24 hours. The total value of liquidated positions has risen to almost $700 million on a daily scale. Naturally, BTC and ETH lead the pack.

Liquidation Data on CoinGlass
Liquidation Data on CoinGlass

This morning’s market crash comes just a day before the US Federal Reserve is scheduled to announce its interest rate decision, and the uncertainty around a potential hike has harmed risk-on assets like crypto.

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Charles Hoskinson Warns Quantum Threat Could Dethrone Bitcoin

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Crypto Breaking News

Cardano co-founder Charles Hoskinson has warned Bitcoin could lose its dominance if its governance system and community fail to coordinate a response to the quantum computing threat.

Bitcoin developers are already working on post-quantum solutions, including BIP 361, which proposes moving away from ECDSA and Schnorr signatures after a post-quantum system is selected.

Quantum Threat Could End Bitcoin Dominance

Hoskinson’s warning came during an interview with The Starting Block. The Cardano co-founder described Bitcoin as being “stuck in time” because any changes to the network require consensus across stakeholders including users, miners, node operators, and developers. According to Hoskinson, frustration with Bitcoin’s rigidity and inflexibility was one of the reasons behind the creation of Ethereum. Hoskinson was one of the original co-founders of Ethereum along with Vitalik Buterin. He stated during the interview, “The issue with Bitcoin is it’s frozen in time. It’s very difficult to change anything.”

Bitcoin uses elliptic-curve cryptography to prove the ownership of funds. Quantum computers, in theory, could decipher private keys from the public keys and authorize transactions without the owner’s knowledge or approval. Hoskinson believes the quantum threat could pose a major risk to the flagship cryptocurrency and its $1.3 trillion market capitalization, eventually stripping it of its dominance unless its governance mechanism adapts without impacting the qualities that give it value. “What made Bitcoin so strong is it survived external threats … including the loss of its founder. Quantum computers are yet another threat … if Bitcoin’s governance is such that it’s impossible actually to make meaningful progress, or they compromise the core reason to use Bitcoin, I don’t think Bitcoin’s going to stay the number one cryptocurrency.”

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Cardano Better Equipped for Technical Threats

Hoskinson argued that Cardano’s formal on-chain governance and ability to approve upgrades make it better at responding to threats like the one confronting Bitcoin.

“Cardano is, in many ways, a spiritual successor [to Bitcoin]. It reflects correcting a lot of things that I think that Satoshi couldn’t get around to because of expertise or time but was directionally moving there.”

Cardano moved to full community governance after the Plomin hard fork in January 2025. ADA token holders can vote or delegate their vote to representatives called DReps. A constitutional committee and stake pool operators also participate in key decisions. This system helps Cardano approve hard forks and treasury decisions on-chain. Hoskinson argued that Cardano could use the system to vote on migrating away from quantum-vulnerable infrastructure.

Hoskinson added that Cardano is preparing for its largest upgrade, which would make the network “60-times faster.”

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Not a Perfect System

However, Cardano has yet to undertake or complete such a migration because its governance system must evaluate technical designs, approve funding, and organize users, developers, and service providers. Cardano’s governance system has also witnessed several disputes. Cardano delegates recently rejected and challenged several proposals linked to Hoskinson and Input Output, including a proposal to research Leios scaling and quantum-resistant cryptography.

Bitcoin Developers Exploring Post-Quantum Options

Bitcoin’s governance allows developers to propose code. However, users and node operators decide on its implementation. Miners, exchanges, and wallet providers also influence decision-making. While this helps avoid frequent changes, it makes urgent coordination difficult. The community is tracking BIP-361, a proposal that phases out legacy ECDSA and Schnorr signatures to protect the network against the quantum threat. Several other proposals are also under consideration, including ones advocating new address formats, hybrid signatures, and recovery paths.

However, any measure will require wallets, exchanges, custodians, and dormant holders to migrate their funds without splitting the network or creating conflicting ownership rules.

Disclaimer: This article is provided for informational purposes only. It is not offered or intended to be used as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.

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Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Coinbase bets on agentic finance as Base payments cross 100M

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Coinbase bets on agentic finance as Base payments cross 100M

Coinbase chief executive Brian Armstrong has argued that artificial intelligence will increase demand for crypto rather than replace it.

Summary

  • Armstrong says AI agents will increase crypto demand by using programmable money for autonomous transactions.
  • Chainalysis counted over 100 million x402 payments on Base, though meme-coin farming drove early growth.
  • Coinbase combines Base, USDC, x402 and agent wallets to build its agentic finance payment stack.

In a July 27 post on X, he described Base, USDC and the x402 payment standard as the core of Coinbase’s “Agentic Finance,” or AiFi, strategy.

Armstrong wrote that “AI being a megatrend takes nothing away from crypto” and said AI agents would eventually complete more daily transactions than all people combined. The forecast has no set timeline. Current data shows growing x402 activity, but it does not prove that autonomous agents already exceed human payment use.

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Armstrong links AI growth to programmable money

Armstrong rejected calls for crypto companies to pivot away from blockchain and focus only on AI. He said AI agents need programmable money because traditional bank accounts, cards and checkout pages depend on human identity checks and manual approval.

Under Coinbase’s model, software can hold a wallet, pay for an API request and receive a digital service without opening an account with each provider. Agents could buy data, computing power, research, media generation or storage through small payments that settle onchain.

The structure may raise transaction counts because one agent can make many low-value payments during a single task. However, transaction frequency does not show the total economic value of the activity. Armstrong’s claim therefore remains a company thesis rather than a measured outcome.

Base and x402 form Coinbase’s AiFi payment stack

Coinbase introduced Base in February 2023 as a low-cost Ethereum layer-2 network for onchain applications. The company did not build Base only for AI, but its lower fees and faster settlement later made it a main network for x402 payments.

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Coinbase launched x402 in May 2025. The open protocol uses the HTTP 402 “Payment Required” status code to let websites and APIs request stablecoin payments. A client receives payment instructions, signs a blockchain transaction and gains access after the payment is checked.

USDC serves as a common settlement asset because its price tracks the U.S. dollar. Coinbase also offers Agentic Wallets, which let developers set spending and trading rules for AI systems. The wallets can pay for data and computing through x402 while operating without manual approval for each transaction.

As crypto.news previously reported, Coinbase also launched Coinbase for Agents, giving software access to trading, portfolio management and x402 payments under user-defined limits. The company later added x402 support for businesses that want to receive USDC directly from software agents.

Chainalysis counts more than 100 million Base payments

Chainalysis reported on June 3 that x402-linked payments on Base crossed 100 million transactions after about nine months of activity. The analytics company identified flows connected to the protocol and studied the wallets involved.

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The report found that payments worth at least $1 made up 95% of the value transferred. It also said agentic payment wallets tended to be newer, held smaller balances and owned 550% more asset types than typical Base users.

Still, Chainalysis said meme-coin farming drove much of the early transaction growth. That detail limits claims that all 100 million payments came from independent AI agents buying useful services. Automated scripts, incentive campaigns and other software activity can also create x402 transfers.

As crypto.news reported in June, x402 had already passed 100 million Base transactions while Armstrong and other industry leaders promoted crypto as a payment layer for AI. Earlier crypto.news coverage also found that x402 activity reached 75.41 million transactions over one 30-day period, with Base and USDC leading usage.

Coinbase expands agent tools before quarterly results

Coinbase has continued adding products around the same strategy. Agentic.market allows software agents to find and purchase services using USDC. Developers can also use Coinbase tools to build wallets, set transaction policies and charge for API calls through x402.

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Outside Coinbase, companies have begun testing the protocol for travel, cloud services and online content. Travala launched an AI hotel-booking system that lets agents search more than 2.2 million properties and pay with USDC on Base.

The market remains early. Coinbase’s products show that machines can initiate blockchain payments, but adoption figures depend on how analysts classify agent activity. Security, spending controls, identity rules and service quality will also shape wider use at present.

Coinbase will publish its second-quarter 2026 results on July 30 after U.S. markets close. The report may give investors more detail on stablecoin revenue, Base activity and developer products, although the company has not said it will disclose AiFi revenue separately.

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