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Kalshi, approved by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, was last valued at $11 billion, while Polymarket was valued at $9 billion.

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U.S. Federal Reserve researchers sing praises of prediction markets

Prediction market platforms Kalshi and Polymarket are discussing potential fundraising rounds that could value each company at about $20 billion.

If completed at that level, the deals would roughly double their valuations from late 2025. The discussions remain early and may not lead to finalized investments, according to the Wall Street Journal.

Prediction markets allow users to trade contracts tied to real-world events, with categories including sports, politics, elections, and more. Traders buy and sell those contracts based on what they think will happen. Essentially, it allows users to monetize information on world events.

Kalshi already operates in the United States under approval from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Founded in 2018 by Tarek Mansour and Luana Lopes Lara, raised $1 billion at an $11 billion valuation in December last year.

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The company recently reached an annualized revenue run rate of about $1.5 billion, according to the WSJ report citing people familiar with the business.

Polymarket, founded in 2020 by Shayne Coplan, was valued at $9 billion in October after Intercontinental Exchange agreed to invest up to $2 billion in the platform.

None of the platforms immediately responded to requests for comments from CoinDesk.

Both platforms are leading in the sector, as prediction markets have become the latest hype for traders.

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According to a Dune dashboard, open interest on Kalshi is hovering over $400 million, while on Polymarket it’s at $360 million. The third-largest market, Opinion, is at $36 million.

Similarly, the weekly notional volume (total underlying value of all prediction contracts traded) on Polymarket was $1.9 billion last week, and on Kalshi, $1.87 billion, according to Dune data. Opinion saw weekly volume of $150 million, down from over $1.2 billion ahead of its token launch.

The sector has become so popular that companies, including Coinbase and Robinhood, have entered the prediction market. In fact, Wall Street giants Nasdaq and Cboe recently said they are considering rolling out yes-or-no “binary bets” for traders on the direction of traditional markets, similar to prediction-market betting.

Read more: Prediction market firms could be making $10 billion in yearly revenue by 2030, Citizens Bank says

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Crypto World

Crypto Exchange Bithumb to Delay IPO until after 2028: Report

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Crypto Exchange Bithumb to Delay IPO until after 2028: Report

According to the company CFO, Bithumb was “strengthen[ing] accounting policies and internal controls” ahead of its IPO plans, already delayed from 2025.

South Korea-based cryptocurrency exchange Bithumb is reportedly expecting its initial public offering (IPO) sometime after 2028, in another delay after restructuring and regulatory hurdles.

According to a Tuesday report from Maeil Business News Korea, a Bithumb official said that it would “focus on preparing for the listing until 2027.” CFO Jeong Sang-gyun said at the company’s annual shareholder meeting that Bithumb was “strengthen[ing] accounting policies and internal controls” following an IPO advisory contract with Samjong KPMG.

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Shareholders reconfirmed CEO Lee Jae-won for a two-year appointment at the Tuesday meeting, but the delayed IPO timeline was the latest after Bithumb initially expected a 2025 listing. Under Lee, the exchange faced a six-month suspension and a $24 million fine from South Korean authorities for alleged anti-money-laundering violations.

A major South Korean exchange going public could impact local markets and crypto adoption in the country. Dunamu, the operator of crypto exchange Upbit, is reportedly planning an IPO following a share swap with Naver Financial, expected in September.

Related: South Korea tax agency seeks private crypto custodian after security lapses

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Bithumb made headlines in February after the exchange mistakenly credited many users with about 2,000 Bitcoin (BTC) instead of 2,000 South Korean won. The error briefly created internal balances totaling more than $40 billion, though most of the funds existed only on the exchange’s internal ledger and were later reversed.

Mixed signals in South Korea’s crypto policy shift

Lee Jae-myung took office as South Korea’s president in June 2025, and his political party quickly moved to introduce legislation on the issuance of payment stablecoins.

South Korean lawmakers initially proposed a tax hike on crypto gains expected to take effect in 2021. However, the measure has faced repeated delays and may be scrapped entirely, according to reports from March.

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As of March 2025, an estimated 16 million South Koreans held accounts on crypto exchanges.

Magazine: A newbie’s guide to surviving crypto winter