Crypto World
Markets Signal Stress as El Salvador Sticks to Its Bitcoin Playbook
Bitcoin’s (BTC) bear market has weighed heavily on investors across the spectrum. Corporate treasuries, major whales, and even nation-state holders have all felt the pressure.
The cryptocurrency’s slide has slashed the value of El Salvador’s holdings as credit default swaps rise to a five-month high, raising concerns over the country’s IMF program and debt outlook.
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El Salvador’s Bitcoin Bet Under Pressure as Portfolio Drops
According to the latest data from El Salvador’s Bitcoin Office, the country’s Bitcoin reserves stand at 7,560 BTC, worth approximately $503.8 million. Bloomberg reported that the portfolio’s value has fallen from around $800 million at Bitcoin’s October 2025 peak, marking a drop of nearly $300 million in just four months.
Bukele, an ardent Bitcoin advocate, has continued purchasing one Bitcoin per day. However, this strategy increases the country’s exposure to market volatility.
In contrast, Bhutan recently sold $22.4 million worth of Bitcoin. The divergent strategies of El Salvador and Bhutan reflect fundamentally different risk philosophies.
Bhutan’s Bitcoin mining operations generated more than $765 million in profit since 2019. However, the 2024 Bitcoin halving significantly increased mining costs, compressing margins and reducing returns. Bhutan now appears to be liquidating part of its holdings, while El Salvador continues to prioritize long-term accumulation.
Nonetheless, the country has also diversified its portfolio. Last month, it spent $50 million to acquire gold as demand for the safe-haven metal rose amid macroeconomic tensions.
IMF Loan Talks Face Strain Over El Salvador’s Bitcoin Policy
El Salvador’s deepening commitment to cryptocurrency has impacted relations with the International Monetary Fund. The government’s continued Bitcoin purchases, combined with delays in implementing pension reforms, have complicated the country’s IMF agreement.
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The Fund has expressed concern about Bitcoin’s potential impact on fiscal stability. A disruption to the IMF program would weaken one of the key supports behind El Salvador’s sovereign debt recovery. Over the past three years, the country’s bonds have returned more than 130%, making them one of the standout turnaround stories in emerging markets.
“The IMF may take issue with disbursements potentially being used to add Bitcoin. Bitcoin being down also doesn’t help to ease investors’ concerns,” Christopher Mejia, an EM sovereign analyst at T Rowe Price, told Bloomberg.
The IMF approved a 40-month Extended Fund Facility on February 26, 2025, unlocking about $1.4 billion in total, according to official IMF documentation. The first review ended in June 2025, with $231 million disbursed.
However, the second review has remained on hold since September, following the government’s delay in publishing a pension system analysis. During that period, El Salvador continued to add to its Bitcoin reserves despite repeated warnings from the IMF.
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A third review is scheduled for March, with each review tied to additional loan disbursements.
“The continued purchase of Bitcoin, in our view, does create some potential challenges for the IMF reviews. The market would react quite poorly if the anchor provided by the IMF were no longer present.” Jared Lou, who helps manage the William Blair Emerging Markets Debt Fund, said.
Meanwhile, bond markets are signaling rising concern over El Salvador’s fiscal outlook. Credit default swaps have climbed to a five-month high, reflecting increasing investor anxiety about the country’s repayment capacity.
According to data compiled by Bloomberg, El Salvador faces $450 million in bond payments this year, with obligations increasing to nearly $700 million next year.
El Salvador’s Bitcoin policy now sits alongside key fiscal and IMF negotiations. The outcome of upcoming IMF reviews and the country’s bond repayment schedule will play a significant role in shaping investor confidence and the sustainability of its debt trajectory.
Crypto World
CFTC Forms Innovation Advisory Committee With 35 Crypto and Finance Industry Leaders
TLDR:
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- CFTC appoints 35 industry leaders to Innovation Advisory Committee for derivatives oversight
- Committee includes executives from Coinbase, Kraken, Gemini, CME Group, and Nasdaq platforms
- Chairman Selig aims to future-proof markets through collaboration with diverse stakeholders
- Academic experts and venture capital firms join traditional finance leaders on advisory panel
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission announced the members of its Innovation Advisory Committee on February 12, 2026.
Chairman Michael S. Selig nominated 35 industry leaders representing cryptocurrency platforms, traditional exchanges, and clearing organizations.
The committee will advise the agency on emerging technologies, including artificial intelligence and blockchain. Michael Passalacqua was named as the designated federal officer for the panel.
Diverse Industry Representation Across Financial Sectors
The newly formed committee brings together executives from various segments of the financial markets. Cryptocurrency exchange leaders include Brian Armstrong from Coinbase, Arjun Sethi from Kraken, and Tyler Winklevoss from Gemini. Traditional market operators such as Terry Duffy of CME Group and Adena Friedman of Nasdaq also joined the panel.
The CFTC shared the announcement through its official social media channels. The agency posted details about the committee formation and member appointments. The communication emphasized the collaborative approach between regulators and market participants.
Prediction market operators received representation through Shayne Coplan of Polymarket and Tarek Mansour of Kalshi. Sports betting platforms gained seats with Jason Robins from DraftKings and Christian Genetski from FanDuel.
Blockchain infrastructure providers include Hayden Adams of Uniswap Labs and Anatoly Yakovenko of Solana Labs.
Academic perspectives will come from Professor Harry Crane and Professor Carla Reyes. Venture capital representation includes Chris Dixon from a16z crypto and Alana Palmedo from Paradigm.
Clearing and settlement infrastructure leaders such as Frank LaSalla from DTCC round out the diverse membership roster.
Forward-Looking Regulatory Framework Development
Chairman Selig described the committee formation as marking an important moment for the agency. “Today marks an important and energizing moment at the CFTC as the Innovation Advisory Committee takes shape,” he stated.
The chairman added that the group’s work would help ensure decisions reflect market realities and future-proof markets.
The committee will focus on helping the Commission adapt to rapid technological changes. Members will provide expertise on how innovations are reshaping derivatives and commodity markets.
Chairman Selig emphasized the goal of developing clear rules for what he called the Golden Age of American Financial Markets.
Maintaining America’s position in global financial markets represents a key priority for the Commission. “America is home to the most transparent and well-regulated financial markets in the world, but we cannot assume that this will always be the case,” Chairman Selig cautioned. He stressed the importance of continuous modernization efforts to preserve this status.
The chairman highlighted the value of diverse market perspectives in regulatory development. “By bringing together participants from every corner of the marketplace, the IAC will be a major asset for the Commission,” Selig explained.
The agency aims to modernize rules and regulations for current and future innovations through this collaborative approach.
Crypto World
Xiaomi Overtakes Tesla in China’s Electric Vehicle Market
TLDR
- Xiaomi’s YU7 SUV outsold Tesla’s Model Y in January with 37,869 units sold.
- The YU7’s competitive pricing and extended driving range give it an edge over Tesla.
- Tesla’s Model Y saw a significant drop in January, falling to 20th place in sales.
- Xiaomi aims to expand its electric vehicle offerings internationally, including in Europe by 2026.
- Xiaomi’s strong performance came despite a general slowdown in China’s electric car market.
Xiaomi has surpassed Tesla in electric vehicle sales in China in January. The Xiaomi YU7 SUV achieved strong sales, making it the top-selling electric car model in the country and placing Tesla behind in the rankings.
Xiaomi launched the YU7 as its second electric car model in the summer of 2025. It has quickly gained traction in the competitive electric vehicle market. The company strategically priced the YU7 at 10,000 yuan below Tesla’s Model Y, claiming its car outperforms Tesla’s in key areas, including driving range on a single charge.
Xiaomi’s YU7 SUV Leads in January
According to CNBC, the YU7 secured first place in China’s electric car sales in January. With 37,869 units sold, it nearly doubled Tesla’s sales of the Model Y, which sold 16,845 units.
This achievement marks a shift in the dynamics of China’s electric vehicle market, where Tesla had previously dominated. Xiaomi’s aggressive pricing strategy, offering the YU7 at a starting price lower than the Model Y, may have contributed to its success.
The car’s longer driving range on a single charge also gives it an edge over Tesla in this competitive segment. As a result, the YU7 has drawn attention as a strong contender in the market.
Tesla’s Model Y Drops in January Rankings
Tesla’s Model Y, which was the best-selling electric vehicle in China in December, experienced a dramatic fall in January. It dropped to 20th place in sales, behind several other models, including Xiaomi’s YU7.
The Model Y also slipped from first place in the new energy vehicle category to seventh place. This shift in rankings highlights the volatility of the electric car market, especially with new entrants like Xiaomi gaining ground
Despite its strong performance in previous months, Tesla’s position in China has weakened as local competitors expand. However, monthly sales figures are often subject to fluctuation, and Tesla remains a major player in the industry.
Xiaomi’s Growth Despite Market Slowdown
Xiaomi’s strong performance in January came amid an overall slowdown in China’s electric car market. While many companies have seen their sales figures drop, Xiaomi’s YU7 has captured consumer attention.
The company’s earlier sedan model, the SU7, faced challenges but still contributed to Xiaomi’s growing market presence. Despite the market’s slow pace, Xiaomi plans to expand its electric car offerings further.
Xiaomi intends to enter international markets, including Europe, in 2026. This expansion could help Xiaomi build on its early success in China and challenge global electric vehicle giants like Tesla.
Crypto World
Bitcoin Volatility Climbs as Investors Deploy Strategic Solutions Amid Market Uncertainty
TLDR:
- Bitcoin volatility spiked significantly on October 10 and remained elevated through November and February.
- Nexo received nearly 1,500 BTC in November, triple the previous month, totaling over 43,000 BTC deposited.
- Excess leverage in derivatives markets amplifies liquidations that mechanically intensify price movements.
- Investors increasingly use collateralization platforms to generate yield while preserving capital exposure.
Bitcoin volatility continues to climb as the cryptocurrency undergoes an ongoing correction phase. Market observers note increased stress within the fragile crypto ecosystem. Investors now face a choice between enduring turbulent conditions or deploying strategic solutions.
Some platforms report growing inflows as traders seek yield-generating opportunities during uncertain times. The pattern reveals how behavior shifts when price swings intensify across digital asset markets.
Volatility Surge Marks Recent Market Conditions
Bitcoin volatility has accelerated since late summer, creating challenging conditions for market participants. The cryptocurrency experienced a notable spike on October 10 during a historic liquidation event.
This event affected the entire crypto market and led to heightened volatility. Since then, price swings remained pronounced throughout November, late January, and early February.
Macroeconomic uncertainty compounds the existing market fragility. Incomplete data following recent economic disruptions adds to investor concerns.
Heightened geopolitical tensions further contribute to an unstable trading environment. These factors combine to create additional stress on an already weakened market structure.
Derivatives markets exhibit excess leverage that amplifies price movements. Chain liquidations occur mechanically when positions reach critical thresholds.
These liquidations intensify downward price action and reinforce volatility patterns. The feedback loop between leverage and liquidations creates cascading effects across exchanges.
According to analyst @Darkfost_Coc, this environment reflects logical market behavior given prevailing conditions. The combination of factors produces expected stress responses in crypto markets.
Traders navigate these conditions with varying strategies and risk tolerances. Market dynamics continue to evolve as volatility remains elevated.
Platform Activity Reflects Strategic Positioning
Nexo, a platform offering CeFi services, demonstrates a correlation between volatility and Bitcoin inflows. November recorded approximately 1,500 BTC transferred to the platform.
This figure represents nearly triple the previous month’s deposit activity. The trend suggests investors actively seek collateralization and yield-generation solutions during volatile periods.
January saw roughly 1,100 BTC flow into Nexo as market stress continued. February has already accumulated over 630 BTC in new deposits.
The sustained pattern extends across multiple months of heightened volatility. Platform data reveals consistent investor interest in these financial strategies.
Nexo currently holds more than 43,000 BTC deposited by users. The total represents over $2.7 billion in Bitcoin value.
Cumulative deposits illustrate a strong appetite for leveraging existing holdings productively. Investors utilize these services to optimize exposure while maintaining capital preservation.
Near-term sentiment around Bitcoin remains cautious among market participants. However, the longer-term outlook maintains a constructive perspective on the asset.
Solutions offered by platforms allow investors to navigate uncertainty strategically. These approaches enable capital optimization without requiring complete position liquidation during turbulent market phases.
Crypto World
Is A Short Squeeze Near?
Bitcoin (BTC) formed a new weekly low at $65,500 on Thursday, as the price has continued to trend lower over the past four days. Derivatives data also indicate that traders are heavily positioned to the downside.
Analysts said that this setup may lead to a sharp move higher that forces sellers to close their positions, even as other indicators hint that the move may not be straightforward.
Key takeaways:
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The seven-day average funding rate for Bitcoin has turned strongly negative for the first time since March 2023 and November 2022.
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Bitcoin liquidity and stablecoin flow data show renewed capital outflows, reducing the odds of a sustained squeeze.

Bitcoin funding stays red as short positions rise
Bitcoin’s daily funding rate has remained in deep red territory since the beginning of February, marking its most negative period since May 2023. The seven-day simple moving average (SMA) has flipped negative for the first time in nearly a year.

The funding rate is a periodic payment between the traders in futures markets. When it is negative, the short sellers pay long traders, signaling that the bearish positions are crowded, and vice versa.
Crypto analyst Leo Ruga said the current “red funding rate for days” signals that the bearish or short trade may be getting overcrowded. Ruga added:
“This is the kind of negative funding that typically appears during bottoming phases. Not because shorts are wrong, but because extended negative funding often marks exhaustion of selling pressure.”
Similarly, market analyst Pelin Ay highlighted that the funding rate recently dropped near -0.02 last Friday, with sharp negative spikes. Ay added that when sharp price declines coincide with negative funding, it can set the stage for a short squeeze, particularly if $58,000 holds as the local support.
Related: Bitcoin must close week at $68.3K to avoid ‘bearish acceleration:’ Analyst
The last time Bitcoin’s daily funding rate stayed deeply negative for 10 to 20 days after a bullish phase was in May 2021 and January 2022. In May 2021, BTC corrected for nearly two months before breaking out to new highs. In January 2022, the negative stretch preceded a broader bearish cycle. Thus, extended negative funding has not consistently produced an immediate reversal in the past

Onchain data supports a cautious view. Bitcoin researcher analyst Axel Adler Jr. noted that the SSR oscillator, which measures Bitcoin’s strength relative to stablecoins, has mostly stayed in negative territory since August 2025.
A brief move into positive territory in mid-January (+0.057) coincided with a rally above $95,000, but the oscillator has since dropped to -0.15 as the price pulled back toward $67,000.

Stablecoin flows tell a similar story. The 30-day change in USDt (USDT) market cap turned positive in early January (+$1.4 billion), but it has since reversed to -$2.87 billion, signaling a period of capital outflows.
Until liquidity trends and the SSR oscillator turn sustainably positive, Adler Jr. said that the BTC market remains in a “risk-off” phase.
Related: Binance completes $1B Bitcoin conversion for SAFU emergency fund
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision. While we strive to provide accurate and timely information, Cointelegraph does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any information in this article. This article may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties. Cointelegraph will not be liable for any loss or damage arising from your reliance on this information.
Crypto World
Aptos-Based Decibel to Launch USDCBL Stablecoin via Stripe-owned Bridge
The Decibel Foundation said it will introduce a protocol-native stablecoin, USDCBL, issued by Bridge, ahead of the February mainnet launch of its Aptos-based decentralized derivatives exchange.
According to an announcement shared with Cointelegraph on Thursday, the US dollar-denominated token will serve as collateral for onchain perpetual futures trading, allowing the platform to internalize reserve-related economics rather than rely on third-party stablecoin issuers.
Decibel, incubated by Aptos Labs, plans to launch later this month with a fully onchain perpetual futures venue using a single cross-margin account. The exchange said its December testnet attracted more than 650,000 unique accounts and exceeded 1 million daily trades, though those figures have not been independently verified.
At launch, users will deposit USDC (USDC) and convert it into USDCBL as part of the onboarding process. USDCBL will be issued through Bridge’s Open Issuance platform, which enables projects to create regulated, fully collateralized stablecoins with integrated on- and off-ramps. Bridge was acquired by Stripe in late 2025.
According to an X post on Thursday from Decibel, the foundation said USDCBL reserves will be backed by a mix of cash and short-term US Treasurys, with yield generated from those assets retained within the protocol.
It added that capturing reserve income could reduce reliance on trading fees or incentive programs as primary revenue sources, allowing value to be reinvested into protocol development and ecosystem initiatives.
“This is not about launching another stablecoin,” the foundation wrote, describing USDCBL as core exchange infrastructure rather than a standalone retail token.

Related: US credit union regulator proposes stablecoin licensing path
Rise of ecosystem-native stablecoins across crypto and banking
The shift toward ecosystem-aligned dollar tokens spans both crypto and traditional finance, as platform operators increasingly issue stablecoins tailored for use within their own networks rather than relying solely on external issuers.
The closest comparison to Decibel may be Hyperliquid, a decentralized perpetual futures exchange that launched its native stablecoin, USDH, in September after a fierce bidding war for issuance rights.
The dollar-pegged token is minted on the platform’s Ethereum-compatible execution layer, HyperEVM, and is designed to serve as collateral across the exchange while reducing reliance on external issuers.

The trend extends beyond crypto-native platforms. In November, JPMorgan Chase introduced JPM Coin for institutional settlement on its blockchain infrastructure, representing tokenized US dollar deposits held at the bank.
The deposit token was piloted on Coinbase’s Base network, giving institutional clients access to 24/7 blockchain-based transfers. Unlike publicly circulating stablecoins, JPM Coin is permissioned and available only to the bank’s institutional clients.
Fintech platforms have also participated. PayPal launched PYUSD in 2023 as a dollar-backed stablecoin embedded directly into its payments system, giving the company greater control over settlement flows within its own network.
In 2025, the company introduced a 3.7% annual rewards program for US users holding PYUSD in PayPal or Venmo wallets, further embedding the stablecoin into its consumer payments ecosystem.
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Crypto World
Crypto Use in Trafficking Surges, but May Help in Crackdowns
Crypto flows to suspected human trafficking networks increased 85% year over year in 2025, but crypto analytics firm Chainalysis said blockchain transparency could help disrupt the operations.
Chainalysis said in a report on Thursday that the total transaction volume to suspected trafficking networks, largely based in Southeast Asia, reached “hundreds of millions of dollars across identified services.”
It added that the services are “closely aligned” to scam compounds, online casinos, and Chinese-language money-laundering networks, which have recently grown in popularity.
Chainalysis said the crypto-facilitated human trafficking it tracked included Telegram-based services for international escorts, labor placement agents that kidnap and force people to work at scam compounds, prostitution networks, and child sexual abuse material vendors.
Crypto payment methods varied significantly, with international escort services and prostitution networks operating almost exclusively using stablecoins.

Blockchain could help track traffickers
Chainalysis said that the blockchain could help law enforcement detect and disrupt trafficking operations by identifying transaction patterns, monitoring compliance, and targeting strategic chokepoints at exchanges and illicit online marketplaces.
“Unlike cash transactions that leave no trace, the transparency of blockchain technology provides unprecedented visibility into these operations, creating unique opportunities for detection and disruption that would be impossible with traditional payment methods,” it said.
Related: Crypto launderers are turning away from centralized exchanges: Chainalysis
Chainalysis said compliance teams and law enforcement should monitor for large, regular payments to labor placement services, wallet clusters showing activity across multiple categories of illicit services, and regular stablecoin conversion patterns, among others.
Chainalysis said law enforcement scored several wins against traffickers last year, including German authorities taking down a child sexual exploitation platform, which it added was aided by blockchain analysis.
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Crypto World
$3 Billion Options Expiry Looms: Liquidations, Skew, and More
Nearly $3 billion in Bitcoin and Ethereum options expire today at 08:00 UTC on Deribit, placing derivatives markets under intense scrutiny.
Going into today’s options expiry, interest will be on whether the recent price stabilization marks a temporary pause or the beginning of a new directional move.
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$3 Billion Bitcoin and Ethereum Options Expiry Tests Market Nerves After Liquidation Shock
As of this writing, Bitcoin was trading at $66,372, with a max pain around $74,000 and total notional open interest exceeding $2.53 billion.
Ethereum, meanwhile, is trading near $1,950, with approximately $425 million in notional open interest and a max-pain level around $2,100.
These figures suggest that a large share of open positions would benefit if prices drifted higher toward max pain levels, but sentiment in the options market remains cautious.
Despite the recent rebound from last week’s sharp sell-off, options metrics suggest traders are still hedging against downside risk.
Analysts at Laevitas noted that Bitcoin’s risk reversals remain heavily skewed toward puts.
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“BTC 1-week and 1-month 25-delta RRs have recovered from extreme lows but remain notably negative at approximately −13 and −11 vols, respectively, indicating persistent demand for downside protection,” the derivatives analyst stated.
Risk reversals are widely used to gauge sentiment in derivatives markets. Meanwhile, sustained negative readings typically signal that traders are paying a premium for protective puts, often reflecting fears of further declines.
Liquidations, Put Skew Shock, and a Fragile Shift Toward Calls as Expiry Nears
The current cautious tone follows a dramatic market event in which Bitcoin briefly fell below $70,000, triggering widespread liquidations and extreme derivatives imbalances.
Analysts at Deribit said the move caused one of the most pronounced shifts toward put (sales) demand seen in years.
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“BTC broke $70K last week, triggering cascading liquidations, and one of the most extreme put skew moves in years before bouncing back toward the 67K range,” Deribit analysts said.
Such events often leave a lasting psychological impact on markets, with traders remaining defensive even after prices stabilize.
More recently, however, derivatives positioning has begun to shift, with some traders rotating back into call (purchase) options as volatility declines from panic levels. Deribit analysts observed that the market is now at a critical inflection point.
Options expiries of this size can sometimes exert short-term gravitational effects on price, especially when large clusters of open interest are concentrated near specific strike levels.
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While short-term positioning has improved, some indicators suggest institutional traders remain skeptical about the medium-term outlook.
Analysts at Greeks.live reported that put options continue to dominate activity in Bitcoin derivatives markets.
“Put options continue to dominate the market, with over $1 billion in BTC put options traded today, accounting for 37% of the total volume. The majority of these are out-of-the-money options priced between $60,000 and $65,000,” the analysts said.
This indicates that institutions have a negative outlook for the medium- to long-term market trajectory. According to the analysts, there is a strong expectation of a bearish trend within the next one to two months
The settlement of today’s options expiry could relieve pressure and stabilize markets. However, it could also be the catalyst for another bout of volatility heading into the weekend.
Crypto World
Crypto Used by Trafficking Networks Surged in 2025, Chainalysis Finds
Chainalysis has released a detailed assessment showing a notable uptick in crypto flows tied to suspected human trafficking networks, with an 85% rise in 2025 and transaction volumes reaching hundreds of millions of dollars across identified services. The report highlights networks largely rooted in Southeast Asia and intertwined with scam compounds, online casinos, and Chinese-language money-laundering rings that have gained momentum as crypto adoption broadens. Notably, the study emphasizes that the choice of asset varies by service, with some operators leaning on stablecoins for cross-border payments. While the numbers are concerning, Chainalysis argues that the transparency of blockchains also creates actionable choke points for enforcement.
Among the opaque channels identified are Telegram-based services that facilitate international escorts, labor-placement schemes that allegedly coerce victims into work at scam compounds, prostitution networks, and vendors distributing material related to child sexual abuse. The research underscores that, in practice, payment methods diverge across illicit networks: international escort services and prostitution networks have shown a pronounced reliance on stablecoins, while other segments employ a broader mix of on- and off-ramp techniques. The report’s granular look at asset-type inflows and wallet behavior aims to give investigators and compliance teams new signals to pursue.
Chainalysis stresses that blockchain’s traceability can be a powerful tool for law enforcement. By identifying transaction patterns, monitoring compliance at exchanges, and pinpointing chokepoints in the ecosystem, authorities can disrupt bad actors in ways that cash or traditional remittance systems cannot. This is particularly relevant as illicit online marketplaces and money-laundering networks continue to adapt to shifting regulatory landscapes and evolving crypto offerings. The report also points readers to related work on the broader crypto-laundering landscape and how on-chain analytics are changing the enforcement playbook.
As a case in point, the firm notes several enforcement successes last year, including German authorities dismantling a child sexual exploitation platform, an operation that Chainalysis said was aided by blockchain analysis. The finding illustrates how coordinated usage of on-chain data can assist in tracing the flow of funds across multiple layers of a criminal network, from on-ramps to marketplaces to end-services. Chainalysis also emphasizes the need for ongoing vigilance by compliance teams and law enforcement to monitor for patterns such as high-frequency transfers to labor-placement entities, wallet clusters that operate across multiple illicit categories, and stablecoin conversion activity that appears routine rather than incidental.
Key takeaways
- 2025 crypto flows to suspected human trafficking networks surged by 85%, with total transaction volume reaching hundreds of millions of dollars across identified services.
- Southeast Asia emerges as a central hub for these networks, which are tied to scam compounds, online casinos, and Chinese-language money-laundering networks.
- Seemingly disparate services—Telegram-based international escorts, labor-placement agents, prostitution networks, and vendors supplying illicit content—rely on a mix of assets, with stablecoins favored for cross-border payments in several cases.
- Blockchain’s transparency is framed as a diagnostic and disruption tool: it can reveal transaction patterns, flag large or anomalous activity, and help block or slow illicit flows at exchanges and at online marketplaces.
- Law enforcement achievements, such as the German takedown of a child exploitation platform aided by blockchain forensics, demonstrate the practical leverage of on-chain analytics in complex investigations.
- The report calls for heightened monitoring by compliance teams—watching for regular, large-payments to labor-placement services, wallet clusters spanning illicit categories, and recurring stablecoin conversions—as part of a broader AML framework.
Market context: The findings sit against a backdrop of growing regulatory interest in on-chain analytics, the expanding use of stablecoins, and ongoing scrutiny of cross-border crypto payments. As governments and financial institutions seek robust AML controls, analytics firms and exchanges are increasingly integrating sophisticated tracing tools to deter illicit finance while balancing user privacy and legitimate use cases. The evolving regulatory environment underscores the value—and the limits—of blockchain transparency in addressing criminal finance without stifling legitimate innovation.
Why it matters
The report illustrates a fundamental tension in the crypto economy: the same technologies that enable rapid, borderless financial activity can also facilitate harm if left unchecked. For users and investors, the message is clear—transparency tools are becoming a standard part of risk assessment, and due diligence now increasingly hinges on on-chain behaviors and counterparties. For builders and product teams, the emphasis on compliance signals a growing demand for wallet- and exchange-level controls, better KYC/AML workflows, and clearer disclosures around illicit-risk indicators.
For policymakers, the analysis reinforces the need for clear guidelines on stablecoins and cross-border settlements, as these instruments appear in multiple illicit-use cases. The data also supports continued investment in cross-agency cooperation and international information sharing, given that many of these networks operate across different jurisdictions and platforms. At a technical level, the findings encourage further development of attribution methodologies that preserve user privacy while enabling lawful investigators to trace criminal flows. In short, the study adds to a growing body of evidence that on-chain data can augment traditional investigative methods, but it must be integrated within a broader, well-governed framework.
For the broader crypto ecosystem, the emphasis on chokepoints and wallet clusters highlights practical avenues for disruption: exchanges can improve real-time monitoring, on-chain analytics can be used to flag risky counterparties, and marketplaces can adopt stricter seller verification and payment-processing controls. The convergence of enforcement and technology is likely to shape how illicit activity is funded and how quickly it can be identified and neutralized, potentially reducing the latency between crime and detection in a space historically challenged by anonymity and speed.
What to watch next
- Follow-up updates from Chainalysis on 2026 data and trend analysis, including any revisions to the 2025 figures.
- Regulatory actions targeting stablecoins and cross-border crypto payments, particularly in Southeast Asia and Europe.
- Adoption of enhanced AML controls by exchanges and online marketplaces in response to on-chain‑driven findings.
- Investigations and public disclosures related to large wallet clusters that span multiple illicit services or jurisdictions.
- Further enforcement actions demonstrated or inspired by blockchain-forensic capabilities, such as high-profile takedowns and asset-tracing successes.
Sources & verification
- Chainalysis blog post: crypto-human-trafficking-2026
- Crypto-launderers turning away from centralized exchanges: Chainalysis coverage
- Blockchain forensics and asset tracking explainer
- Related investigative reporting on enforcement actions and policy context
Blockchain visibility and illicit finance: what the findings imply
Chainalysis’s report underscores how on-chain visibility can illuminate the pathways by which crypto assets are moved to support trafficking and exploitation. By charting flows into labor-placement operations, escort services, and adult services that rely on cross-border payments, investigators can identify recurring patterns that mark a network’s lifecycle—from onboarding to monetization. The emphasis on stablecoins in particular reflects how certain assets are chosen to minimize friction across borders, optimize settlement times, and obscure the origin and destination of funds in less-regulated corridors.
Yet the study also warns against overreliance on any single signal. Illicit actors adapt, and the same tools that reveal patterns can be misapplied if not paired with traditional investigative methods and robust governance. The combination of blockchain analytics with proactive compliance, inter-agency collaboration, and targeted enforcement represents a pragmatic approach to mitigating on-chain risks without dampening legitimate innovation in the crypto economy.
Crypto World
XRP price prediction ahead of January US CPI report today
XRP price is hovering near $1.35 as markets closely watch the January U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) report due later today.
Summary
- Markets expect January U.S. CPI to show sticky inflation, with core prices remaining elevated, a result that could delay Federal Reserve rate cuts and pressure crypto assets.
- XRP is trading near $1.35, below its 50-day SMA around $1.84, with the broader trend still bearish on the daily chart.
- Key support sits at $1.30 and $1.20, while resistance stands at $1.40 and the $1.80–$1.85 region; CPI data could determine the next breakout or breakdown.
Economists expect headline inflation to tick slightly higher on a month-over-month basis. Annual inflation is projected to land in the 2.5% range. Core CPI, which strips out food and energy, is also expected to show sticky price pressures.
Goldman sees January CPI +0.24%, bringing the YoY rate to 2.44% — Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT 🍖 (@MikeZaccardi) February 8, 2026
+0.33% core, +2.52% pic.twitter.com/IOycjqoVBm
If CPI comes in hotter than expected, it could reduce the chances of near-term Federal Reserve rate cuts. That would likely strengthen the U.S. dollar and weigh on risk assets, including cryptocurrencies like the Ripple token (XRP).
A softer-than-expected print, however, could boost expectations of monetary easing and trigger a relief rally across crypto markets.
XRP price prediction and key levels
XRP is currently trading around $1.35, down roughly 0.6% on the day, according to the daily price chart.

The chart shows a clear downtrend since early January. XRP failed to hold above the $2.20–$2.30 region and has printed a series of lower highs and lower lows. The price is trading well below the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), which sits near $1.84, signaling continued bearish momentum.
The recent sharp sell-off toward the $1.20 zone was followed by a brief rebound, but upside momentum has faded. Candles are now compressing near the $1.35 level, suggesting indecision ahead of the CPI release.
The Chaikin Money Flow indicator is currently around -0.12, remaining in negative territory. This indicates capital outflows and weak buying pressure, reinforcing the bearish bias.
For the XRP price, immediate support lies near $1.30, followed by the recent swing low around $1.20. A break below $1.20 could open the door toward the psychological $1.00 level.
On the upside, initial resistance sits near $1.40, with stronger resistance at the 50-day SMA around $1.84.
A hotter CPI reading could push XRP below $1.30 and retest $1.20. A softer inflation print may spark a rebound toward $1.40 and potentially $1.60 in the short term.
Crypto World
ETHZilla Shifts Strategy With Tokenized Jet Engine Offering
Crypto treasury company ETHZilla has launched a token offering access to equity in jet engines that the company acquired last month as part of its pivot into tokenized assets.
ETHZilla said on Thursday that the token, called Eurus Aero Token I, was being launched through its new subsidiary, ETHZilla Aerospace, and is backed by two commercial jet engines that are leased to “a leading US air carrier.”
The company has priced each token at $100, with a minimum purchase of 10 tokens. ETHZilla said it’s targeting an 11% return rate based on holding it for the full term of the engine leases that extend into 2028.
ETHZilla was formerly a clinical-stage biotech company called 180 Life Sciences Corp that pivoted to buying and holding Ether (ETH) in July amid a frenzy of new crypto treasury companies at the time.
ETHZilla chairman and CEO McAndrew Rudisill said the project “expands investment access and modernizes fractional asset ownership in markets that have historically been available only to institutional credit and private equity.”
“Offering a token backed by engines leased to one of the largest and most profitable US airlines serves as a strong use case in applying blockchain infrastructure to aviation assets with contracted cash flows and global investment demand,” he added.

ETHZilla shifting away from crypto treasury
Rudisill said in December ETHZilla is moving away from just buying and holding ETH and aims to build a business that brings assets on-chain through tokenization.
Crypto treasury companies experienced significant growth and hype last year, but enthusiasm has since started to cool across the market.
ETHZilla purchased the two jet engines for a combined $12.2 million in January, after selling off some of its ETH stash last year.
As part of its ongoing tokenization push, ETHZilla is also planning to launch tokens for additional asset classes, including home and car loans, according to the company’s announcement.
Some crypto execs have predicted tokenized RWAs will grow significantly in 2026, fueled by adoption in emerging economies facing issues with capital formation and attracting foreign investment.
Over $24 billion in RWA is estimated to be on-chain as of Friday, across more than 846,808 holders, according to RWA.xyz.
Ether stash down from previous high
In a Securities and Exchange Commission filing in September, ETHZilla disclosed it held 102,246 Ether at an average acquisition price of roughly $3,948, which was valued at $443 million at the time.
Related: ‘Horse has left the barn:’ ETHZilla bets big on Ethereum’s stablecoin play
Ether has fallen in step with the rest of the crypto market and has been drifting between $1,872 and $2,130 in the last seven days, according to CoinGecko.
Strategic Ether reserves lists ETHZilla as holding more than 93,000 in Ether, worth over $188 million. However, CoinGecko estimates the company’s stash is closer to 69,802, and is worth about $136 million.
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