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Mastercard’s (MA) $1.8 billion deal ‘a clear answer’ to stablecoin’s unstoppable dominance

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Stablecoin supply since 2019 (Visa/Allium)

Mastercard’s planned $1.8 billion acquisition of stablecoin infrastructure firm BVNK is reinforcing a growing view on Wall Street that stablecoins are moving from a niche crypto tool to a core layer of global payments.

Analysts say the deal signals a shift in how traditional financial networks see blockchain-based money movement. “Stablecoins are integral to the future of payments,” said Mizuho analyst Dan Dolev, framing the acquisition as validation that digital dollars are becoming embedded in mainstream financial infrastructure.

Mastercard said Tuesday that it would acquire BVNK, a London-based firm that enables businesses to send, receive, store and convert stablecoins across more than 130 countries, for $1.8 billion. The company processed over $30 billion in stablecoin payments in 2025, according to analyst estimates.

For investors, the move helps answer lingering questions about Mastercard’s crypto strategy.

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“BVNK is a clear answer,” TD Cowen analysts, who rate the company a Buy with a $671 price target, wrote, adding that the deal connects onchain payment rails with Mastercard’s existing network. The firm said the acquisition demonstrates that stablecoins can serve as a complementary infrastructure layer rather than a direct competitor to card networks.

That distinction has become central to the investment case. Earlier concerns that stablecoins could bypass traditional payment companies have given way to a different view: that they may instead improve how money moves behind the scenes.

Cantor Fitzgerald, which has an Overweight rating and a $650 price target on the stock, said the acquisition positions Mastercard for a coming “stablecoin adoption wave,” particularly as demand grows among financial institutions and fintech firms for faster and cheaper cross-border payments.

In recent months, this “wave” of demand has become clear as many traditional financial giants scramble to adopt stablecoin as their settlement rails. Even bitcoin purists, such as Jack Dorsey, who would have dreamt of a world where payments are done via Bitcoin blockchain, are reluctantly giving in to customers’ demand for stablecoin.

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Those use cases are already taking shape.

Stablecoins are increasingly used for business-to-business payments, global payroll and remittances, where traditional systems can take days to settle. By contrast, blockchain-based transfers can move funds in minutes and operate around the clock.

BVNK’s platform adds that capability directly into Mastercard’s ecosystem, enabling 24/7 settlement and reducing reliance on intermediaries in cross-border transactions.

A long-term bet

While the financial gains for Mastercard from this acquisition may be small, the credit card giant has its eye on the bigger prize.

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Financially, the acquisition is not expected to have a significant near-term impact. BVNK generated about $40 million in revenue as of late 2024, meaning the contribution to Mastercard’s earnings will likely be modest.

Instead, the deal will enable Mastercard to make a longer-term bet to become a front runner on a rapidly evolving industry poised to revolutionize how money moves.

Stablecoin transaction volumes have already reached an estimated $350 billion annually, and are expected to grow as regulatory clarity improves and more institutions enter the market.

Stablecoin supply since 2019 (Visa/Allium)
Stablecoin supply since 2019 (Visa/Allium)

For payments giants like Mastercard, the push into stablecoin infrastructure is about protecting core business lines, not just experimenting with crypto rails, according to Harvey Li, founder of Tokenization Insight.

“Card networks are the most exposed payment rail to stablecoin disruption,” he wrote in a Tuesday note.

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Meanwhile, Oppenheimer analysts, who have an Outperform rating and $683 price target, said the deal expands Mastercard’s ability to support end-to-end digital asset flows, including converting between fiat currencies and stablecoins. It also aligns with the company’s broader push toward interoperability between traditional finance and blockchain networks.

William Blair analysts led by Andrew Jeffrey said: “We see Mastercard’s BVNK acquisition as further affirmation of the stablecoin market for cross-border commerce, rather than B2C payments, which are well served by card.” The bank has an outperform rating on the stock.

More deals to come?

As stablecoins enable faster, cheaper and always-on transfers, they threaten to bypass traditional card-based settlement systems. That pressure is pushing incumbents to adapt quickly – often through acquisitions rather than in-house development.

Before Mastercard’s BVNK deal, payments giant Stripe acquired stablecoin infrastructure and issuer startup Bridge last year for $1.1 billion. Global Morgan Stanley was one of the lead investors in crypto infrastructure provider Zerohash’s $104 million fundraising round last year.

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The ultimate goal behind those deals is to embed stablecoins into existing payment flows, enable large-scale conversion between fiat and digital dollars, and extend card products into 24/7 programmable payment systems.

“It’s about rewiring how money moves across their network,” Tokenization Insight’s Li said.

BVNK sits at a key junction in that transition. It handles the movement of stablecoins across blockchains, wallets and traditional accounts, making them critical to bridging crypto and fiat systems. In fact, the deal shows that BVNK is a crucial player in the upcoming stablecoin growth, as both Mastercard and Coinbase were in talks last year to acquire the firm at a valuation of up to $2.5 billion. Coinbase dropped out of the deal talks last year, leaving Mastercard to make the move at the $1.8 billion valuation.

If the stablecoin growth momentum and this deal are anything to go by, it’s a testament to how quickly stablecoins have moved from the margins to the center of financial infrastructure and may open the gate for further deals in the sector.

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Mastercard and its peer Visa’s shares were trading roughly flat on Tuesday.

Read more: Stablecoin market hits $312 billion as banks, card networks embrace onchain dollars

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Crypto World

Ex-LA deputy sent to prison for aiding crypto “God Father” in extortion scheme

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Ex-LA deputy sent to prison for aiding crypto “God Father” in extortion scheme

An ex-Los Angeles County Sheriff’s Department deputy was sentenced to prison for his role in extorting victims alongside a jailed crypto figure.

Summary

  • Former LA County deputy Michael Coberg was sentenced to 63 months in prison and ordered to pay $127,000 for assisting crypto founder Adam Iza in multiple extortion schemes.
  • Prosecutors said Coberg received at least $20,000 a month and used his position to help detain victims, force crypto transfers, and orchestrate a drug-related arrest setup.

Michael Coberg, who served as a deputy with the department, was handed a 63-month prison sentence for helping jailed crypto founder Adam Iza extort victims.

He has also been ordered to pay $127,000 in restitution.

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According to prosecutors, Coberg received at least $20,000 a month for his services from Iza, who founded the crypto trading platform Zort and was known as “The Godfather.”

The incident dates back to October 2021, when Coberg was part of a team that picked up a man identified only as “L.A.” amid a financial dispute tied to Iza.

Coberg then brought L.A. to Iza’s house, where Iza recorded a video and forced him to transfer $127,000 to his bank account while Coberg stood watch.

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Subsequently, Coberg was also accused of taking the victim to a firing range, where Iza held him at gunpoint and demanded the transfer of funds.

Prosecutors further noted that Coberg conspired to set up another victim, identified only as “R.C.,” in a drug-related arrest scheme.

Prosecutors also noted that R.C. had been targeted in coordination with Christopher Cadman, another former deputy who has also pleaded guilty in the case.

Coberg pleaded guilty in September to conspiracy to commit extortion and conspiracy against rights. Meanwhile, Iza is currently awaiting sentencing after pleading guilty last year to extorting multiple victims.

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Cases involving crypto-related extortion, often referred to as wrench attacks, have been on the rise in recent years. As previously reported by crypto.news, a couple in western Paris was held hostage and forced to transfer roughly $980,000 in Bitcoin, underscoring how physical coercion is increasingly being used to bypass digital security measures.

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Bitcoin Price Rally To $79K Would Make Spot ETF Holders Whole Again

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Coinbase, Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Adoption, Markets, United States, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Binance, Price Analysis, Market Analysis, Bitcoin ETF, ETF

Bitcoin (BTC) is closing in on its average entry price for US spot BTC exchange-traded fund (ETF) investors at $79,900. The narrowing gap between Bitcoin’s market price and the ETF holders’ cost basis coincides with onchain data that shows early signs of accelerated buying from investors.

Bitcoin ETF breakeven level nears key trend test

Bitcoin’s sustained price rally above $70,000 puts a key investor cohort back in focus. The ETF cost basis level acted as support in mid-2024, and a break above this level brings many ETF holders closer to breakeven.

Coinbase, Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Adoption, Markets, United States, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Binance, Price Analysis, Market Analysis, Bitcoin ETF, ETF
Spot Bitcoin ETF realized price. Source: CryptoQuant

The flow data adds further context to this shift. According to Bitcoin researcher Axel Adler Jr., the ETF flows flipped positive after persistent outflows through mid-February.

The seven-day average has since moved to steady inflows, with daily flows peaking above 3,300 BTC on March 2. The ETF holdings have expanded to 1,291,618 BTC from 1,264,982 BTC, a 26,636 BTC increase over the past month.

Investors’ ETF cost basis also aligns with a key daily trend. A decisive move through this range marks a reclaim of the 100-day exponential moving average (EMA) on the daily chart for the first time since October 2025.

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Coinbase, Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Adoption, Markets, United States, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Binance, Price Analysis, Market Analysis, Bitcoin ETF, ETF
BTC/USDT one-day chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

A move above the 100-day EMA signals a shift into a long-term uptrend, which also reinforces the bullish momentum. It also serves as a key trend filter where sustained price action above it often leads to continued upside gains.

Related: ‘Bitcoin Standard’ author explores reality where decentralized gold stopped WWI

Bitcoin buyers begin to outpace sellers

The order flow across major exchanges shows a gradual shift in market behavior. Crypto analyst Darkfost noted that the 30-day volume delta on Binance and Coinbase has turned positive after sustained selling pressure in February. Both the retail and institutional flows are now collectively skewing toward accumulation. 

Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Adoption, Markets, United States, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Price Analysis, Market Analysis, Bitcoin ETF, ETF
Bitcoin spot net volume delta on Coinbase, Binance. Source: CryptoQuant

Bitcoin’s futures data reinforces this trend. Amr Taha noted that Binance’s cumulative volume delta (CVD) has rebounded by nearly $6 billion from its lows, tracking a rise in aggressive market buying since BTC traded near $63,000.

The metric remains below zero, though a significant portion of earlier sell pressure has now been absorbed during the recovery.

Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Adoption, Markets, United States, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Price Analysis, Market Analysis, Bitcoin ETF, ETF
Bitcoin: Binance cumulative net taker volume. Source: CryptoQuant

CryptoQuant data shows that short-term holder activity also aligns with this shift. The spent-output profit ratio (SOPR) metric, which shows whether coins are sold at a profit or loss, has moved back above 1, signaling that the selling pressure has eased and coins are now trading around or above their cost. Analyst miracleyoon said

“While this capitulation was not as severe as the August 5, 2024, event (which saw SOPR approach ~0.9), the series of recent capitulation signals appears sufficient to have flushed out weak hands.”

Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Adoption, Markets, United States, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Price Analysis, Market Analysis, Bitcoin ETF, ETF
Bitcoin short-term holder SOPR. Source: CryptoQuant

The data suggests that Bitcoin remains on track to test the $80,000 level, but a move above the key breakeven zone may determine the strength and direction of the trend in the coming weeks.

Related: Bitcoin analysis sees $68K support as gold slips at key $5K level

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