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Michael Saylor’s Strategy to convert bond debt to equity over the next 3-6 years

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Michael Saylor’s Strategy to convert bond debt to equity over the next 3-6 years

Strategy plans to reduce the debt on its balance sheet by converting its $6 billion in convertible bonds into equity over the coming years, according to founder Michael Saylor.

In a Sunday X post, Saylor confirmed the plan in response to a statement from the company’s account, reiterating that the firm can “withstand a drawdown in BTC price to $8,000” before facing any shortfall in covering its debt.

What this essentially means is the world’s largest corporate Bitcoin holder plans to systematically turn the company’s lenders into shareholders by converting outstanding convertible bonds into common equity. This is expected to transpire over the next “3-6 years,” Saylor said.

Currently, the company has a convertible debt load of roughly $6 billion and Bitcoin holdings that amount to approximately $49 billion based on current prices, with more than 714,000 BTC on its balance sheet.

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Although the move may be able to shield its aggressive Bitcoin accumulation strategy from refinancing pressure, the conversion could also dilute existing shareholders once the debt is exchanged for newly issued stock.

On Feb. 12, Strategy CEO Phong Le said the company will increasingly rely on perpetual preferred shares such as Stretch (STRC) to fund future Bitcoin purchases while reducing reliance on common stock sales.

Strategy shares have struggled over the past few months due to Bitcoin’s latest downturn, but rallied over 8% to close at $133.88 on Friday, rallying another 0.24% in after-hours trading, as Bitcoin briefly reclaimed the $70k mark. 

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The rally was short-lived, and Bitcoin has receded back towards $68,700 at press time, down roughly 2% in the past 24 hours.

According to data from Bitcoin Treasuries, Strategy is now down over 9.7% on its investment, with an average buying price of $76,052. Meanwhile, the company’s shares are down 70% from their all-time high reached last year.

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Crypto World

Polymarket Pulls Missing US Pilot Market, Faces Questions Over Rules

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Polymarket Pulls Missing US Pilot Market, Faces Questions Over Rules

Polymarket removed a market tied to the fate of a missing US service member after mounting backlash, saying the listing violated its “integrity standards.”

The controversy erupted after a prediction market appeared asking whether US authorities would confirm the rescue of a pilot reportedly shot down over Iran, with most users (over 60%) betting that they wouldn’t be rescued until Saturday.

US Representative Seth Moulton condemned the market, calling it “disgusting” and expressing concerns over people speculating on the fate of a potentially injured service member. “They could be your neighbor, a friend, a family member. And people are betting on whether or not they’ll be saved,” Moulton wrote.

Representative criticizes Polymarket market. Source: Seth Moulton

In response, Polymarket said it had taken the market down immediately, adding that it should not have been listed and that the company is reviewing how it passed internal safeguards. The platform did not provide further detail on what specific rule had been breached.

Related: Polymarket expands into equities and commodities with Pyth price feeds

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Polymarket under scrutiny over rules

While Polymarket said it took the market down because it did not meet its integrity standards, the platform did not specify which rule had been violated, prompting further scrutiny from users.

“I’m looking at the “Market Integrity” page, and I checked the TOS, and I don’t see which prohibition is relevant here,” Jack Newsham, a correspondent on Business Insider’s national desk, wrote on X.

As Cointelegraph reported, Polymarket has seen a sharp rise in fees and revenue after expanding its fee model on March 30, with daily fees jumping from about $363,000 to over $1 million and revenue nearing $1 million at its peak. The increase follows broader taker fees across categories like finance, politics and tech, as the platform ramps up monetization.

Related: Crypto VC Paradigm is developing a prediction market terminal: Fortune

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Insider trading concerns rise on prediction markets

There have also been growing concerns about insider trading on prediction markets. Last month, it was reported that a group of traders made about $1 million by correctly betting on the timing of US strikes on Iran, with some placing trades just hours before the attacks. The activity, which involved newly created wallets focused almost entirely on strike-related bets, raised insider trading suspicions.

To address these concerns, at least 42 Democratic lawmakers have urged the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission and the Office of Government Ethics to warn federal employees against using non-public information to trade on prediction markets.

Big Questions: Is China hoarding gold so yuan becomes global reserve instead of USD?