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Nevada Court Imposes 14-Day Ban on Kalshi Event Contracts Amid Regulatory Dispute

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

Key Highlights

  • A temporary restraining order from Nevada’s First Judicial District Court was issued against Kalshi on Friday, lasting 14 days
  • Kalshi must cease offering sports, entertainment, and election-related contracts within Nevada
  • Nevada’s Gaming Control Board initially ordered Kalshi to discontinue sports contracts in 2025
  • A jurisdictional battle is underway between the CFTC and state authorities over prediction market oversight
  • Kalshi faces additional charges in Arizona for operating without a gambling license

A Nevada court has mandated that prediction market operator Kalshi suspend its event contract offerings within the state for a minimum of two weeks. On Friday, March 20, the First Judicial District Court of Nevada handed down this temporary restraining order.

The judicial order encompasses all sports-related, entertainment, and election wagering contracts available through the platform. A subsequent court hearing has been calendared for April 3.

This legal conflict has been ongoing. Nevada’s Gaming Control Board initially sent a cease-and-desist directive to Kalshi in 2025, demanding the platform discontinue all sports-related event contracts operating within state boundaries.

Kalshi contested this action, maintaining that its federal regulatory oversight should take precedence over state-level jurisdiction. The platform attempted to transfer the proceedings to federal court.

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This strategy was unsuccessful. The U.S. Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit rejected Kalshi’s request for a stay on Thursday and remanded the matter to Nevada’s state court system.

The Nevada judge determined that the gaming board’s regulatory functions are compromised while Kalshi continues operations without obtaining a state license. The ruling stated that an “unlicensed participant beyond the Board’s control” interferes with the board’s statutory responsibilities.

Kalshi has not issued a statement regarding the Nevada decision.

Federal Regulator Asserts Authority

On the federal front, U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission Chair Michael Selig has been actively challenging state enforcement actions. He submitted a legal brief contending that the CFTC, rather than individual states, possesses proper regulatory authority over prediction market platforms.

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Selig has reiterated this position during multiple public appearances and has committed that his agency will maintain its jurisdictional claims. The CFTC has additionally issued regulatory guidance informing exchanges that list event contracts that compliance with the Commodity Exchange Act is mandatory.

Major League Baseball has aligned with the federal regulatory framework, executing a memorandum of understanding with the CFTC regarding prediction market supervision. MLB separately announced a collaborative arrangement with Polymarket this week.

Escalating State Actions

Nevada represents just one jurisdiction taking action against Kalshi. Earlier in the week, Arizona’s attorney general filed charges against the company for conducting an unlicensed gambling operation and facilitating illegal election betting.

Tennessee has similarly initiated legal proceedings against prediction market platforms concerning sports-related contracts.

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Federal legislators have also expressed concerns. In January, Democratic Representative Ritchie Torres proposed legislation to restrict how elected officials engage with prediction markets, prompted by wagers placed on the potential capture of former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro.

Last week, Democratic lawmakers unveiled the “Death Bets Act,” proposing a prohibition on prediction market contracts related to death, armed conflict, or political assassination.

The Nevada court acknowledged that federal preemption questions in this regulatory space are “nuanced and rapidly evolving.”

The upcoming hearing in the Nevada proceedings is scheduled for April 3, 2026.

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Crypto market recap: What happened today?

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Crypto market recap: What happened today?

The crypto market saw several important developments today, including a warning from Hong Kong authorities about cryptocurrency scams, a new filing from Grayscale for a crypto-based ETF, and progress on the CLARITY Act in the U.S. Here’s a quick overview of the major events.

Summary

  • Hong Kong senior lost HK$6.6M in three crypto scams involving fake experts.
  • Grayscale files for HYPE ETF, offering exposure to Hyperliquid’s token.
  • US lawmakers near agreement to regulate stablecoin yield to protect banks.

Hong Kong police warn after senior man falls victim to scams

Hong Kong’s Police Cyber Crime Bureau issued a warning today after a 66-year-old retired man lost HK$6.6 million to three separate cryptocurrency scams. According to reports, the elderly victim was first contacted in September 2025 by a fraudster claiming to be a cryptocurrency expert. The scammer convinced the victim to invest, promising guaranteed profits. The man transferred HK$1.4 million to the fraudster, only to realize later that he had been tricked.

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Undeterred, the victim sought help from another fraudster posing as an expert to recover his losses. However, after paying a deposit of 600,000 yuan, the second fraudster also disappeared. In January of this year, the victim was once again approached by a scammer claiming to recover the previous losses. This time, the fraudster instructed the victim to purchase cryptocurrency worth 4.6 million yuan, which the victim did. Once again, the scammer vanished, leaving the man without his entire life savings.

Grayscale files for HYPE ETF linked to Hyperliquid token

In other news, Grayscale filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission to launch an exchange-traded fund (ETF) tied to Hyperliquid’s native token, HYPE. The proposed Grayscale HYPE ETF, if approved, would allow investors to gain exposure to the token’s price movement without holding the token directly.

Hyperliquid is a blockchain platform focused on decentralized perpetual futures trading. The proposed ETF would initially track the price of HYPE, with the potential for staking to be added later. Grayscale’s move adds to a growing list of firms exploring investment products tied to newer digital assets like HYPE, as interest in crypto ETFs continues to expand beyond Bitcoin and Ethereum.

U.S. lawmakers work on stablecoin yield agreement

Meanwhile, in the United States, progress on the CLARITY Act is moving forward. Reports suggest that lawmakers are close to a tentative agreement on stablecoin yield, a key issue that has slowed the progress of the cryptocurrency market structure bill earlier this year.

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The proposed agreement would address concerns over stablecoin yield and its potential impact on bank deposits. If passed, the legislation could regulate how stablecoin issuers offer yield to their holders. The deal aims to protect innovation while limiting the risk of deposit flight from the banking system. It could be a significant step forward in regulating digital assets and stabilizing the U.S. crypto market.

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Bitcoin Mining Difficulty Drops 7.7% in Biggest Cut Since February

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Bitcoin Mining Difficulty Drops 7.7% in Biggest Cut Since February

Bitcoin’s mining difficulty fell by around 7.7% at the latest adjustment on March 20 to 133.79 trillion at block 941,472, the sharpest drop since February, according to CoinWarz data.

The latest move takes difficulty down from around 145 trillion in mid-March and roughly 148 trillion at the start of the year. A lower difficulty means it takes less computational work to earn the same block reward, slightly improving revenue per unit of hashrate for firms that stay online.

The adjustment followed slower-than-target block production over the prior 2,016 blocks. CloverPool data showed average block times at about 12 minutes 36 seconds, well above Bitcoin’s 10-minute target, forcing the network to recalibrate lower.

In February, difficulty dropped sharply after weather-related disruptions in the United States temporarily knocked large American mining facilities offline, and it later rebounded by about 15% as hashrate returned to the network once power conditions normalized. 

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Bitcoin (BTC) difficulty measures how hard it is for miners to find a valid hash for the next block and is automatically adjusted to keep issuance steady at one block every 10 minutes.

When more computing power, or hashrate, joins the network, difficulty rises to prevent blocks from being mined too quickly, while a decline in hashrate triggers a lower difficulty, making it easier for remaining miners to earn rewards. 

Bitcoin difficulty drops 7.7%. Source: CoinWarz

Related: Cango reports $285M Q4 loss as Bitcoin mining costs surge in 2025

The next difficulty adjustment is currently estimated for April 3, though that projection changes with each new block.

Miners pivot to AI as power costs bite

The difficulty reset also comes as several listed miners push further into AI and high-performance computing infrastructure in search of steadier returns on power and data-center capacity.

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Last week, crypto trader Ran Neuner argued AI had become Bitcoin mining’s biggest competitor as both industries compete for electricity, even going as far as to say that “AI has killed Bitcoin forever.” 

Bitcoin miners such as Core Scientific, MARA Holdings, Hut 8 and Cipher Mining have begun reallocating capacity or pivoting toward AI workloads, while some operators have reduced hashrate or shut down less efficient rigs as profitability tightens.

On Feb 21, Bitdeer liquidated 943 BTC from reserves and sold newly mined coins, cutting corporate holdings to zero. In its latest weekly update on March 21, it confirmed that its BTC holdings remained at zero.

Big questions: Would Bitcoin survive a 10-year power outage?

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