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OpenAI Pits AI Agents Against Each Other to Red-Team Smart Contracts

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Crypto Breaking News

OpenAI has unveiled a benchmarking framework aimed at measuring how effectively AI agents can detect, mitigate, and even exploit security vulnerabilities in crypto smart contracts. The project, titled “EVMbench: Evaluating AI Agents on Smart Contract Security,” was released in collaboration with Paradigm and OtterSec, two organizations with deep exposure to blockchain security and investment. The study assesses AI agents against a curated set of 120 potential weaknesses drawn from 40 smart contract audits, seeking to quantify not just detection and patching capabilities but also the theoretical exploit potential of these agents in a controlled environment.

Key takeaways

  • EVMbench tests AI agents against 120 vulnerabilities culled from 40 smart contract audits, emphasizing vulnerabilities sourced from open-source audit competitions.
  • Among the models tested, Anthropic’s Claude Opus 4.6 led with an average detect award of $37,824, followed by OpenAI’s OC-GPT-5.2 at $31,623 and Google’s Gemini 3 Pro at $25,112.
  • OpenAI frames the benchmark as a step toward measuring AI performance in “economically meaningful environments,” not just toy tasks, highlighting the real-world implications for attackers and defenders in the crypto security landscape.
  • The researchers note that smart contracts secure billions of dollars in assets, underscoring the strategic value of AI-enabled tooling for both offensive and defensive activities.
  • Industry observers have tied these developments to broader discussions about AI-driven payments and the role of stablecoins in everyday transactions, with major executives predicting growing agentic usage in the coming years.
  • The context for such work is underscored by 2025’s crypto-security incident data, which shows a continued flow of funds through vulnerabilities and attacks, reinforcing the demand for robust AI-enabled auditing and defense mechanisms.

Detect awards for AI agents are detailed in the OpenAI PDF accompanying the study, which also describes the evaluation methodology and the scenarios used to simulate real-world smart-contract risk. The authors emphasize that while AI agents have evolved to automate a wide range of routine tasks, assessing their performance in “economically meaningful environments” is essential to understanding how they’ll perform under pressure in production systems.

“Smart contracts secure billions of dollars in assets, and AI agents are likely to be transformative for both attackers and defenders.”

OpenAI notes that it expects agentic technologies to broaden the scope of payments and settlement, including stablecoins used in automated workflows. The discussion around AI-enabled payments extends beyond security testing to the broader question of how autonomous systems will participate in daily financial activity. The company’s own projections suggest that agentic payments could become more commonplace, grounding AI capabilities in practical use cases that touch everyday consumer transactions.

In tandem with the benchmark results, Circle CEO Jeremy Allaire has publicly forecast that billions of AI agents could be transacting with stablecoins for everyday payments within the next five years. That view intersects with a recurring theme in crypto circles: the potential for crypto to become the native currency of AI agents, a narrative that has gained notable attention from industry leaders and investors alike. While such predictions remain speculative, the underlying trend is clear—AI automation is moving from the lab to the transaction layer, where it could reshape how value moves across networks.

The study arrives at a moment when crypto security continues to be a significant risk factor for investors. The data point about 2025’s assault on crypto funds—where attackers pulled roughly $3.4 billion—highlights the urgency of improved tooling and faster, more reliable patching mechanisms. The EVMbench framework is positioned, in part, as a way to measure whether AI agents can meaningfully contribute to defensive capabilities at scale, reducing exploitation opportunities and accelerating threat mitigation.

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To build the benchmark, researchers drew on 120 curated vulnerabilities spanning 40 smart contract audits, with many weaknesses traced back to open-source audit challenges. OpenAI argues the benchmark will help track AI progress in recognizing and mitigating contract-level weaknesses at scale, offering a standardized way to compare future AI models as they evolve. The study also provides a lens into how AI might be applied to normalizing risk assessment across a wide range of smart-contract architectures, rather than focusing solely on isolated cases.

Smart contracts weren’t built for humans: Dragonfly

In a contemporaneous thread on X, Haseeb Qureshi, a partner at Dragonfly, argued that crypto’s promise of replacing property rights and traditional contracts never materialized not because the technology failed, but because it was never designed with human intuition in mind. He has highlighted the persistent fear associated with signing large transactions in an environment where drainer wallets and other attack vectors remain a constant threat, in stark contrast to the comparatively smoother experience of traditional bank transfers.

Qureshi contends that the next phase of crypto transactions could be enabled by AI-intermediated, self-driving wallets. Such wallets would monitor risk, manage complex operations, and autonomously respond to threats on behalf of users, potentially reducing the friction and fear that characterize large transfers today.

“A technology often snaps into place once its complement finally arrives. GPS had to wait for the smartphone, TCP/IP had to wait for the browser. For crypto, we might just have found it in AI agents.”

The broader takeaway from this thread is that AI agents may play a critical role in transforming how people interact with crypto—shifting from manual, error-prone transactions to automated, risk-aware processes that can scale with adoption. As AI agents begin to demonstrate more competence in handling security concerns, users could see improved reliability and resilience in decentralized finance workflows, even as the underlying technologies continue to mature.

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What to watch next

  • Publication and independent replication of the full EVMbench dataset across additional AI models and architectures.
  • Broader adoption of AI-assisted auditing workflows by auditors, exchanges, and DeFi projects looking to bolster security postures.
  • Explorations into agentic wallets and autonomous payment flows, including regulatory and compliance considerations for AI-managed assets.
  • Follow-up benchmarks comparing more AI systems as new versions roll out, tracking improvements in detection accuracy and patching speed.

Sources & verification

  • OpenAI: EVMbench: Evaluating AI Agents on Smart Contract Security — PDF: https://cdn.openai.com/evmbench/evmbench.pdf
  • OpenAI: Introducing EVMbench — https://openai.com/index/introducing-evmbench/
  • Crypto security losses in 2025 (reporting coverage): https://cointelegraph.com/news/crypto-3-4-billion-losses-2025-wallet-hacks
  • Dragonfly: Haseeb Qureshi on AI and crypto UX (X post): https://x.com/hosseeb/status/2024136762424185208
  • China’s AI lead and crypto implications (analysis): https://cointelegraph.com/news/china-ai-lead-future
  • AI Eye — IronClaw and AI bot developments in Polymarket coverage: https://cointelegraph.com/magazine/ironclaw-secure-private-sounds-cooler-openclaw-ai-eye/

Key figures and next steps

The EVMbench study demonstrates that large language models and related AI agents are beginning to perform meaningful security work in the smart contract space, with clearly quantifiable differences across models. Claude Opus 4.6’s lead in average detect awards signals that certain architectures may be more adept at spotting and mitigating vulnerabilities within complex contract logic, while others trail, offering a spectrum of capabilities that researchers will likely want to refine. The inclusion of multiple industry partnerships in the project underscores the growing consensus that AI-enabled security and automated risk management could become essential to scale in decentralized environments.

As the field evolves, observers will be watching for how quickly AI agents can transition from detection to remediation, and whether these agents can operate reliably in live systems without introducing new risks. The conversation about AI-driven wallets and autonomous payments touches on a broader set of questions around security governance, user consent, and regulatory alignment. If the trajectory suggested by OpenAI and its partners continues, AI-assisted tools could become a core component of future crypto infrastructure, changing both the risk calculus and the user experience in meaningful ways. The next round of benchmarks, alongside real-world deployments, will help determine how quickly this vision materializes and what safeguards must accompany it.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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The $40k BTC put option emerges as second largest bet ahead of february expiry next week

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The $40k BTC put option emerges as second largest bet ahead of february expiry next week

The $40,000 put option has emerged as one of the most significant positions in bitcoin’s market ahead of the Feb. 27 expiry, highlighting strong demand for downside protection after a bruising selloff.

Options are derivatives that give holders the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell bitcoin at a predetermined price before expiry. Put options act as insurance against price declines, paying out if BTC falls below a set strike.

The $40,000 put is the second-largest strike by open interest, with roughly $490 million in notional value tied to that level, underscoring appetite for deep tail-risk hedges. BTC has declined by up to 50% from its October highs and is now trading around $66,000, reshaping positioning across the board as traders hedge against further losses.

Data from Deribit, the Dubai-based exchange owned by Coinbase, shows that roughly $7.3 billion in bitcoin options notional value is set to expire at the end of the month.

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Meanwhile, $566 million sits at the $75,000 strike, which also represents the max pain level. Max pain refers to the price at which the greatest number of options expire worthless, minimizing payouts to buyers. With the spot price trading below $75,000, a move higher into expiry could reduce losses for call sellers.

Although calls outweigh puts overall, with 63,547 call contracts versus 45,914 puts, positioning is not purely bullish. The put-to-call ratio of 0.72 indicates that upside bets still dominate, but the concentration of sizeable put open interest at lower strikes highlights clear demand for downside insurance.

Traders retain exposure to a rebound, but are simultaneously hedging against the risk of another sharp leg lower.

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BTC holding in tight range, but COIN, CRCL, IREN and RIOT enjoying gains

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BTC holding in tight range, but COIN, CRCL, IREN and RIOT enjoying gains

Bitcoin can’t seem to pick a direction, wildly swinging in the early hours of the Wednesday U.S. session with dips quickly bought and bounces erased just as fast.

Losing its overnight push above $68,500, BTC dumped below $67,000 at the start of U.S. trading. Buyers quickly stepped in, driving a sharp rebound to $68,300, but the bounce proved fleeting with prices quickly falling back to $67,000. Ether (ETH) followed a similar path, dipping back below $2,000 and down roughly 1% over the past 24 hours.

Part of the crosscurrents came from traditional markets. On one hand, a steadier tone in risk assets came as concerns around artificial intelligence disruption in the tech sector cooled. The iShares Expanded Tech-Software ETF (IGV), a proxy for the software sector that had been under pressure over the past weeks, bounced 1.9% in morning trading, suggesting some relief.

The broader Nasdaq was higher by 1.3% and the S&P 500 by 0.85%>

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On the other hand, geopolitical jitters are back as traders increasingly brace for potential escalation between the U.S. and Iran. Traders on the prediction market Polymarket now assign more than 50% odds that the U.S. will launch strikes against Iran before March 15, up from about 30% just a day ago.

Gold climbed 2.5% to reclaim the $5,000 level, while silver surged 6%. U.S. crude oil jumped more than 3% to above $64 a barrel, underscoring heightened supply risks.

Despite the choppy crypto price action, crypto-related equities were bouncing. Exchange giant Coinbase (COIN), stablecoin issuer Circle (CRCL) and digital asset investment firm Galaxy (GLXY) were all 3%-5% higher.

Miners and AI-linked data center plays such as Riot Platforms (RIOT) and IREN (IREN) outperformed further, with each posting gains of 5.5%.

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Is Extreme Fear a Buy Signal? New Data Questions the Conventional Wisdom

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Search Interest for “Bitcoin going to zero.”

Crypto market sentiment has fallen into “Extreme Fear” territory as asset prices continue to decline amid mounting macroeconomic and geopolitical pressures.

While some investors view such periods as potential opportunities to buy the dip, one analyst suggests that extreme caution may not necessarily translate into optimal entry points.

“Bitcoin Going to Zero” Searches Reach All-Time High Amid Extreme Market Fear

According to the latest data, the Crypto Fear & Greed Index, a widely used sentiment indicator that measures market mood on a 0–100 scale, stands at 9 today. This marks a slight recovery from 8 yesterday and an extreme low of 5 last week. 

Despite the modest uptick, the latest reading suggests the market remains firmly in “Extreme Fear” territory.

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Meanwhile, investor anxiety is also reflected in search behavior. Google Trends data shows that searches for “Bitcoin going to zero” have reached their highest level on record, surpassing previous market downturns. 

The search interest score hit 100, indicating peak retail curiosity and heightened concern among participants.

Search Interest for “Bitcoin going to zero.”
Search Interest for “Bitcoin going to zero.” Source: Google Trends

However, several market analysts argue that periods of extreme pessimism often represent buying opportunities.

Previously, Santiment noted that spikes in negative sentiment often occur when prices decline fast. According to the analytics firm, widespread predictions of collapse and narratives centered around terms like “down,” “selling,” or “going to $0” are often interpreted as signs of retail capitulation, when shaken confidence pushes weaker hands out of the market.

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“And once you see the predictions of doom for cryptocurrency, it’s generally the best time to officially buy the dip,” Santiment stated.

Bitcoin’s Best Returns Came During Extreme Greed, Not Fear, Data Shows

Nonetheless, Nic Puckrin, investment analyst and co-founder of Coin Bureau, questioned the traditional narrative to buy Bitcoin during extreme fear.

“Buying BTC in ‘Extreme Fear’ is NOT the best call,” he said.

Puckrin argued that the data complicates the widely held belief that extreme fear automatically signals an attractive entry point. His analysis shows that when the Fear & Greed Index drops below 25, the average 90-day forward return has historically been just 2.4%.

Bitcoin 90-Day Forward Returns Show Dramatically Higher Performance During Extreme Greed Periods
Bitcoin 90-Day Forward Returns Show Dramatically Higher Performance During Extreme Greed Periods. Source: X/Nicrypto

By comparison, buying in periods categorized as “Extreme Greed” has delivered substantially stronger performance, with average 90-day returns reaching as high as 95%. The findings suggest that momentum and sustained bullish conditions, rather than peak pessimism, have historically aligned with stronger forward returns.

“The F&G index is nothing but a backward-looking momentum indicator. It’s less relevant for predicting returns,” he added.

However, several analysts quickly questioned his choice of timeframe. Critics argue that a 90-day window is too narrow. One market watcher noted that while returns may appear modest three months after an extreme fear reading, the longer-term picture tells a different story.

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“You can see that 12 months after extreme fear- Bitcoin has averaged over 300% gains historically. The F&G index isn’t a 90-day signal. It’s a 12-month accumulation alert. You’re not supposed to feel rich immediately after buying extreme fear,” a user replied.

Ultimately, whether this moment represents opportunity or risk may depend less on sentiment itself and more on an investor’s time horizon and strategy.

The post Is Extreme Fear a Buy Signal? New Data Questions the Conventional Wisdom appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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BTC on track for fifth weekly decline, first since 2022, geopolitical risks mount

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(Glassnode)

Bitcoin is on course to print its fifth consecutive weekly loss, which would mark the first such streak since March to May 2022, when bitcoin went down for nine consecutive weeks.

(Glassnode)

As of Thursday Asia time, the largest cryptocurrency by market cap is already down roughly 3% on the week, below $67,000, according to CoinDesk market data, and leaving it vulnerable to another weekly red close.

Macro pressures are adding to the technical weakness. According to the Wall Street Journal, the U.S. has amassed its largest concentration of air power in the Middle East since the 2003 Iraq invasion. While Washington is reportedly prepared to launch strikes on Iran, President Donald Trump has not made a final decision, with Polymarket bettors giving a 27% chance of strikes occurring by the end of the month.

The geopolitical uncertainty has lifted the dollar index to 97.7, its highest level since Feb. 6, while WTI crude oil has climbed to $65 from Wednesday’s $62 low. A stronger dollar and rising oil prices typically weigh on risk assets, creating additional headwinds for bitcoin, reinforcing a negative weekly close.

Bitcoin has declined by more than 50% from its October all-time high near $126,500 to levels as low as $60,000.

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On a monthly basis, bitcoin has recorded five straight declines since October, the second-longest losing streak on record, surpassed only by the six-month slide from 2018 to 2019.

Against gold, bitcoin is down seven consecutive months relative to the precious metal, its longest stretch of underperformance in that pairing.

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World Liberty Financial to launch institutional RWA product

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World Liberty Financial to launch institutional RWA product

World Liberty Financial has unveiled plans to roll out an institutional-grade real-world asset product, starting with a tokenized investment linked to Trump International Hotel & Resort, Maldives.

Summary

  • WLFI is partnering with Securitize and DarGlobal to tokenize loan revenue from a major Maldives resort.
  • The offering targets accredited investors and will operate under strict regulatory and transfer rules.
  • The project reflects WLFI’s ongoing strategy to link DeFi, traditional assets, and institutional finance.

The goal of the project, which is being developed in partnership with Securitize and DarGlobal PLC, is to tokenize loan revenue interests tied to the upscale resort. 

According to WLFI’s Feb. 18 statement, the offering is designed for accredited and eligible investors, providing access to fixed yield and revenue streams within a regulated framework.

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How the tokenized product is structured

The initial offering will provide investors with fixed returns and access to loan-related income generated by the resort. Revenue from interest payments will be distributed through the token structure, allowing holders to gain exposure to the asset’s performance without direct property ownership.

The company noted that the product will operate within a regulated securities framework under Regulation D and Regulation S. Tokens will not be registered for public sale in the United States and may only be offered through approved exemptions.

Eric Trump, co-founder of WLFI, said the initiative aims to bring tokenized real estate to decentralized finance in a compliant way. He described the Maldives project as a flagship example of how high-end property can move on-chain.

“We built World Liberty Financial to open up decentralized finance to the world. With today’s announcement, we are now extending that access to tokenized real estate.”

— Eric Trump, co-founder of World Liberty Financial.

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Securitize chief executive officer Carlos Domingo said scalable and compliant real estate tokens could see strong global demand, while DarGlobal CEO Ziad El Chaar called the partnership a step toward improving liquidity in private real estate markets.

The announcement clarified that The Trump Organization is not directly involved in issuing or promoting the tokens, and that branding is used under a licensing agreement.

World Liberty Financial (WLFI) also noted that the tokens may later be supported on multiple public blockchains and could be used as collateral through its WLFI Markets platform, where permitted by law.

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Broader expansion strategy

The real estate launch follows a series of recent efforts by WLFI to position itself in institutional digital finance. On the same day as the announcement, the company hosted the World Liberty Forum at Mar-a-Lago, bringing together executives from firms including Goldman Sachs, Nasdaq, and Franklin Templeton.

The private event focused on digital assets, stablecoins, artificial intelligence, and monetary policy, according to people familiar with the gathering.

WLFI also announced a separate partnership with Apex Group to pilot its USD1 stablecoin for settlements in tokenized fund operations. The agreement will help integrate blockchain-based payments into traditional fund administration.

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Activist shareholder demands Riot Platforms pivot from Bitcoin to AI powerhouse

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Activist shareholder demands Riot Platforms pivot from Bitcoin to AI powerhouse

In a letter sent on February 18 activist investor Starboard Value LP called on Riot Platforms to urgently execute its transition from bitcoin mining to a premier artificial intelligence and high-performance computing (AI/HPC) data center provider.

Summary

  • Starboard Value released a high-stakes letter urging Riot Platforms to capitalize on a massive $21 billion opportunity in artificial intelligence.
  • The recent AMD deal is seen only as a “proof of concept”; the activist demands larger, investment-grade tenants to bridge the valuation gap with peers.
  • The shareholder warned that if Riot cannot execute quickly, its rare power assets make it a prime acquisition target for tech giants.

Starboard: Riot Platforms sitting on a multi-billion dollar AI payday

“We believe Riot is on its way to a transformation from a bitcoin miner to a best-in-class AI/HPC
data center company,” Starboard said in the letter.

While praising recent governance improvements, Starboard warned that “time is of the essence” as the company continues to underperform its peers.

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Starboard highlighted Riot Platform’s “massive” opportunity, centered on its 1.7GW of available power across two flagship sites in Corsicana and Rockdale, Texas. As the AI industry faces severe power constraints and multi-year grid interconnection delays, Starboard contends that Riot’s already-powered sites are among the most attractive in the nation.

The investor pointed to Riot’s January 2026 deal with Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) as a “positive signal” and proof of concept. Under the agreement, AMD committed to 25MW which is expected to generate $311 million in revenue over a 10-year term with an 80% EBITDA margin.

Starboard’s analysis suggests Riot is also significantly undervalued. If Riot successfully monetizes its remaining 1.4GW of capacity in line with recent industry transactions, it could generate over $1.6 billion in annual EBITDA. Using valuation multiples of 12.5x to 20x, Starboard estimates the AI/HPC business alone could contribute between $9 billion and $21 billion in equity value, implying a share price of $23 to $53.

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Despite these prospects, Starboard Managing Member Peter Feld noted that Riot’s stock has materially lagged behind peers who signed larger AI deals earlier. The letter urged Riot to focus on “highest-quality” investment-grade tenants and warned that if management cannot execute quickly, the company should consider itself a candidate for consolidation due to the scarcity of its power assets.

“Riot is now positioned to focus on executing its AI/HPC strategy,” Feld wrote, “but it must execute with excellence and urgency”.

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Ether.fi Migrates Cash Product to OP Mainnet in Long-Term Optimism Enterprise Partnership

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Nexo Partners with Bakkt for US Crypto Exchange and Yield Programs

TLDR:

  • Ether.fi Cash processes 28,000 daily spend transactions averaging $2 million in volume, doubling every two months. 
  • The migration covers 70,000 active cards, 300,000 accounts, and millions in user TVL moving to OP Mainnet. 
  • OP Stack processed 3.6 billion transactions in H2 2025, accounting for 13% of all global crypto transactions. 
  • ether.fi users will access OP token rewards, 3%+ cashback, travel perks, and free metal cards post-migration.

 

Ether.fi is migrating its flagship Cash product to Optimism’s OP Mainnet. The move covers roughly 70,000 active cards and 300,000 accounts.

Millions in user TVL will also transfer to the new network. The migration is part of a long-term OP Enterprise partnership.

Together, the teams aim to accelerate on-chain global payments. This positions OP Mainnet as a leading destination for payment activity in the broader crypto ecosystem.

Ether.fi Cash Brings Scale and Speed to OP Mainnet

Ether.fi Cash is a non-custodial digital banking product combining a credit card with a savings account. It runs DeFi protocols under the hood to generate yield for users.

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The product allows movement between fiat and crypto while offering cashback and global spending. Users manage their assets without giving up custody.

Since launching last year, the product has grown quickly. Each day, the app processes 2,000 internal swaps and 28,000 spend transactions.

Daily spend volume averages around $2 million. These numbers have roughly doubled every two months since launch.

The migration to OP Mainnet will expand liquidity access for users making swaps. They will also gain access to more assets for deposits and withdrawals.

Gas fees and network costs for card transactions will be covered by ether.fi. More cashback rewards are also planned as part of the move.

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For end users, the transition is designed to be seamless. Optimism has managed major ecosystem migrations before and has a structured process in place. Users should not experience disruption during the switch to the new network.

What the OP Enterprise Partnership Means for Ether.fi

As an OP Enterprise customer, Ether.fi gains access to several infrastructure benefits. These include established liquidity, a dedicated account manager, and priority access to new features. The same codebase works across all OP Stack chains, which reduces development overhead.

The OP Stack processed 3.6 billion transactions in the second half of 2025. That represented 13 percent of all crypto transactions during that period. OP Mainnet serves as a hub for DeFi activity and a launchpad for consumer apps.

As part of the integration, ether.fi users will receive access to OP token rewards. Ongoing reward programs include 3% or more cashback, in-app campaigns, travel discounts, and free metal cards. Membership tiers and lounge access are also part of the package.

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ether.fi sees blockchain infrastructure as a way to expand globally at a lower cost than traditional fintech. Operating non-custodially allows the platform to scale without the overhead traditional banks carry.

The partnership with Optimism supports that model with enterprise-grade tools and network depth.

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Fed Policymakers Raise Prospect of Interest Rate Hikes

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Fed Policymakers Raise Prospect of Interest Rate Hikes

United States Federal Reserve policymakers discussed the possibility of interest rate increases last month, according to newly released comments from a January meeting.

The minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee meeting from late January were released on Wednesday, revealing that some policymakers were mulling a rate hike due to stubbornly high inflation. 

Several participants indicated that they would support “the possibility that upward adjustments to the target range for the federal funds rate could be appropriate if inflation remains at above-target levels,” the minutes stated. 

Central bank policymakers voted to keep interest rates unchanged at 3.5% to 3.75% at their January meeting after cutting rates three times at the end of 2025, from 4.5% to current levels.

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If enacted, it would be the first rate hike since July 2023. However, CME futures markets indicate a 94% probability that rates will remain unchanged at the Fed’s next meeting on March 18. 

The Federal Reserve has two primary mandates for its policy on rates: inflation and the labor market. 

The Fed has been cutting rates since September 2024. Source: Trading Economics 

High inflation concerns persist 

The minutes also revealed that there is a significant “hawkish” contingent that is not yet ready to commit to further cuts. 

Some participants commented that it would likely be appropriate to “hold the policy rate steady for some time” to give them more time to assess economic data. 

However, a number of these participants judged that “additional policy easing may not be warranted until there was a clear indication that the progress of disinflation was firmly back on track.”

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Related: Why Bitcoin has recently reacted more to liquidity conditions than to rate cuts

Most participants cautioned that progress toward the 2% inflation objective “might be slower and more uneven than generally expected,” judging that there was a meaningful risk of it remaining above the target. 

If inflation were to decline in line with expectations, rate reductions “would likely be appropriate,” the minutes stated.  

US inflation as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI) is currently 2.4%, having increased 0.2% in January, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics.  

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Current inflation remains above the Fed’s target. Source: BLS

Rate hikes are typically bad for crypto prices

Higher rates are generally bearish for high-risk assets such as crypto, as safer assets like Treasury bonds or cash offer better returns with no risk. 

Higher rates also make borrowing more expensive, which reduces speculative activity, leverage, and venture capital investments. 

Crypto market sentiment, which is already at rock bottom, could also be further hit by a hawkish Federal Reserve. 

Magazine: Chinese New Year boosts interest, TradFi buying crypto exchanges: Asia Express