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Oracle (ORCL) Shares Fall Below $150

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Oracle (ORCL) Shares Fall Below $150

The start of February has been negative for technology stocks, weighed down by a wave of pessimism driven by several factors, including:

→ “AI spending fatigue.” Results from Microsoft and Alphabet highlighted massive capital expenditure (CapEx). Tens of billions of dollars are being poured into servers and chips, and the market appears increasingly concerned that these costs may not be justified by actual AI-related revenues.

→ The launch of new “agent-based” AI tools (such as those released by Anthropic in early February), which has fuelled fears that AI could begin to replace software itself rather than enhance it. This has put pressure across the software sector, including Salesforce, Adobe and Oracle.

For Oracle, the situation is further complicated by plans to finance a large-scale programme in 2026 worth $45–50bn, which the company intends to fund by: 1) taking on debt; 2) issuing additional shares.

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As a result:
→ analysts have downgraded their target prices for ORCL;
→ the share price has fallen below $150 for the first time since May 2025.

On 18 December, we noted that technical analysis of the ORCL share chart pointed to four reasons why a rebound towards the resistance area marked in blue was possible.

As the blue arrow shows, since then ORCL shares have:
→ shown signs of recovery;
→ however, a false bullish break above the psychological $200 level led to a resumption of the downtrend within the previously identified descending red channel.

The accelerating bearish momentum over the past three days may:
→ prompt weaker holders, gripped by panic, to sell ORCL shares;
→ attract “smart money”, which may view prices below $150 as appealing.

In addition, attention should be paid to the intersections of trend-channel lines from different timeframes. These may act as a cluster of support and slow the decline, giving the market a pause ahead of the quarterly earnings release scheduled for early March.

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Crypto World

Bitcoin Halts Gains as US-Iran War, Hormuz Closure Make a Comeback

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Bitcoin Halts Gains as US-Iran War, Hormuz Closure Make a Comeback

Bitcoin foreshadows fresh market mayhem as it appears that the US-Iran war has returned, including the closure of the Strait of Hormuz oil route.

Bitcoin (BTC) sought to protect $75,000 into Sunday’s weekly close as crypto surfed fresh uncertainty over the US-Iran war.

Key points:

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  • Bitcoin price action sinks from ten-week highs amid fears that the US-Iran war has returned in full force.

  • Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz, bringing back the risk of an oil-price surge.

  • BTC price action faces ongoing resistance at a 21-week trend line into the weekly close.

Bitcoin abandons highs as US-Iran war fears return

Data from TradingView showed BTC price pressure reentering after a trip to ten-week highs of $78,400 on Friday.

BTC/USD one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Mixed signals from US and Iranian sources characterized the weekend, with an assumed ceasefire and mutual agreements between the two sides now seemingly undone.

Among the latest developments was the repeat closure of the Strait of Hormuz, putting the focus on oil futures on the day. News of a ceasefire had sent WTI crude below $80 per barrel for the first time since March 10.

“We expect an eventful Sunday ahead,” trading resource The Kobeissi Letter summarized in ongoing analysis on X.

CFDs on WTI crude oil one-day chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

As BTC/USD circled local highs, and sentiment with it, market participants stayed cautious. Trading resource Material Indicators noted that the entire market mood could flip on relatively little input, such as a social media post.

“Sentiment is overwhelmingly bullish at the moment, but that could change with one Tweet in the coming days. Know your invalidations,” it told X followers.

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Data from CoinGlass showed long positions coming under fire during the BTC price retracement, with total crypto liquidations at $260 million over the past 24 hours.

Crypto seven-day liquidation history (screenshot). Source: CoinGlass

BTC price capped by resistance trend line

Continuing, trader Daan Crypto Trades eyed a potential gap in CME Group’s Bitcoin futures market opening as a result of the weekend comedown.

Related: Bitcoin can grow ‘probably a lot bigger’ than $30T+ gold market — Analysis

As Cointelegraph reported, such gaps often act as short-term price magnets when the new week begins.

“It’s going to be interesting to see the futures open today and how $OIL will react to the recent headlines regarding the strait,” he added.

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BTC/USDT 15-minute chart. Source: Daan Crypto Trades/X

Looking at the weekly close, trader and analyst Rekt Capital placed importance on Bitcoin’s 21-week exponential moving average (EMA) near $78,900.

“Bitcoin is rejecting from the 21-week EMA (green),” he observed alongside the weekly chart. 

“It is this rejection that could force a post-breakout retest of the top of the Double Bottom (~$73k) next week, provided Bitcoin Weekly Closes just like this.”

BTC/USD one-week chart. Source: Rekt Capital/X