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Peter Brandt says Bitcoin a ‘hop, skip and jump’ from $42k

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Peter Brandt says Bitcoin a ‘hop, skip and jump’ from $42k - 1

Veteran trader Peter Brandt said Bitcoin could be approaching a potential downside floor, arguing that past bear market patterns suggest losses may be limited from current levels.

Summary

  • Veteran trader Peter Brandt said Bitcoin may be nearing a downside floor, pointing to past bear market cycles that suggest losses could be limited near the $42,000 level.
  • Brandt referenced a long-term “banana peel” support zone on his chart, which has historically marked areas where Bitcoin’s deepest drawdowns struggled to extend further.
  • The comments come amid a broader crypto market downturn, with Bitcoin and major altcoins under sustained selling pressure.

“If Bitcoin digs into the banana peel as deeply as in past bear market cycles, then the bulls should not need to suffer too far south of $42,000,” Brandt wrote on X. “We are a hop, skip and jump from there.”

Brandt accompanied the post with a long-term Bitcoin (BTC) chart showing price action relative to what he describes as a “banana peel” support zone, a curved lower boundary that has historically contained Bitcoin’s deepest drawdowns.

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Peter Brandt says Bitcoin a ‘hop, skip and jump’ from $42k - 1
Bitcoin long-term price action and ‘banana peel’ support zone | Source: Peter Brandt

Brandt’s “banana peel” metaphor refers to the slippery downside zone, where price can slide quickly but has historically struggled to sustain deep breaks below it.

In the current cycle, that lower boundary sits near the $42,000 level, implying Bitcoin may be nearing a historically significant area of support.

Brandt flags Bitcoin ‘campaign selling’ in prior warning

Brandt’s latest post follows a separate tweet from the previous day, in which he said Bitcoin’s recent price action appeared to reflect “campaign selling” rather than retail-driven capitulation.

In that earlier post, Brandt pointed to a multi-day pattern of lower highs and lower lows, suggesting that large, coordinated sellers may be driving the decline. He added that similar patterns have appeared in past market cycles, though timing a bottom remains uncertain.

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Together, the two tweets frame a cautious outlook: further downside may be possible, but historical behavior could limit how far prices fall.

The comments come as Bitcoin continues to slide alongside a broader crypto market downturn, with prices under pressure across major digital assets. Major altcoins have followed Bitcoin lower, amplifying losses across the sector.

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Crypto World

XRP Price Stays Below $1.40 With 60% of Supply Now in the Red

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XRP Price Stays Below $1.40 With 60% of Supply Now in the Red

XRP (XRP) traded at $1.35 on Monday, a 63% drawdown from its multi-year high of $3.66 reached in July 2025. As a result, many XRP holders are sitting on significant unrealized losses, underscoring the risks facing crypto investors in bear markets.

Key takeaways:

  • XRP’s 63% drawdown from its $3.66 multi-year high has left holders with over $50 billion in unrealized losses.

  • Key XRP levels to watch in the short term include $1.40, $1.30 and $1.27.

60% of XRP circulating supply now in the red

The XRP/USD pair trades 28% below its yearly open of $1.87, extending losses after it closed 2025 down 11.6%. The prolonged weakness has pushed a significant portion of its supply into the red.

Related: XRP faces $650M sell risk as charts hint at prices below $1

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With XRP trading at $1.35 at the time of writing, roughly 36.8 billion XRP are currently held at a loss, representing $50.8 billion in unrealized losses, or more than 60% of the circulating supply, according to data from Glassnode.

XRP: Total supply in loss. Source: Glassnode

XRP’s spot price is also below its aggregate holder cost basis, currently at $1.44, suggesting that long-term holders are increasingly under strain. 

XRP/USD average holder cost basis. Source: Glassnode

Spot XRP ETF investors are also feeling the pressure. Data from SoSoValue shows that these investors are reducing exposure to these investment products, which have recorded outflows for two consecutive days totaling $22.8 million.

More than $16.2 million in net outflows were recorded on Friday, marking the largest redemption since Jan. 29, when spot XRP ETFs saw $93 million in outflows.

Spot XRP ETF flows chart. Source: SoSoValue

The risk-off sentiment is also seen in global XRP investment products, which recorded more than $30 million in net outflows during the week ending March 6.

Key XRP price levels to watch below $1.40

The XRP/USD pair continued to trade within a range, with $140 as resistance and $1.30 a key support level that the bulls must hold to prevent further downside.

The price is now retesting the bottom of the range, as shown in the chart below.

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“If buyers step in here, we could see XRP rotate right back toward the top of the range again,” analysts at CryptoPulse said, adding:

“If this level breaks, the range structure starts to shift and price could look for lower levels.”

XRP/USD 12-hour chart. Source: CryptoPulse

A key area of interest lies between $1.30 and the local low of $1.27 reached on Feb. 28. If the price loses this level, the next stop could be the Feb. 6 low of $1.13, which is also the 200-week exponential moving average (EMA).

XRP/USD daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

On the upside, bulls are now focused on flipping the 200-week simple moving average (SMA) into support at $1.40.

Glassnode’s UTXO realized price distribution (URPD), which shows the average prices at which ETH holders bought their coins, shows an important level at the 200-week SMA, where investors acquired $1.28 billion in XRP.

XRP: UTXO realized price distribution (URPD). Source: Glassnode

As Cointelegraph reported, the XRP price could rally to $1.60 and then $1.95, if the support at $1.40 is reclaimed.