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Pi Network’s PI Dominates the Altcoin Market, Yet Bears See Storm Ahead

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PI Exchange Reserves


Painful decline or a bull run to $1: what is next for PI?

Pi Network’s PI has been the best-performing top 100 cryptocurrency over the past week, with its valuation rising by almost 40%.

Although some market observers foresee additional short-term gains, one factor could dampen their enthusiasm by hinting at a renewed decline.

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The Bears Are Coming Back?

PI has finally managed to reverse its massive downtrend over the last several months, posting an upswing to as high as $0.20 just days ago. Currently, it trades at around $0.18 (per CoinGecko’s data), placing it well in green territory on a seven-day and two-week timeframe.

With its market capitalization soaring to roughly $1.7 billion, the asset now ranks as the 47th-largest cryptocurrency. The evident recovery has put PI back in focus, making it one of the most-trending tokens on CoinGecko lately.

The good days, though, may be coming to an end because the amount of coins stored on crypto exchanges has risen sharply. Almost 5 million PI have been transferred to such platforms in the last 24 hours alone, bringing the total to approximately 427.1 million. More than half of that is held on Gate.io, while Bitget ranks second with approximately 145.2 million tokens.

PI Exchange Reserves
PI Exchange Reserves, Source: piscan.io

While the shift from self-custody to centralized exchanges doesn’t guarantee a price correction, it is often viewed as a bearish signal, as it could be interpreted as a pre-sale step.

The aggressive token unlocks scheduled for the coming days should also serve as a warning to investors. Data indicates that daily figures will approach 15 million on several occasions before the end of February. After that, though, the process is set to slow down.

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PI Token UnlocksPI Token Unlocks
PI Token Unlocks, Source: piscan.io

New Push From the Bulls?

Contrary to the aforementioned factors, some community members believe PI is on the verge of a more serious surge in the short term. X user Pi Network Academy argued that the asset “is warming up for another big pump,” predicting an explosion to $1.

For their part, Pi Global claimed that “momentum is building, utility is expanding, and community is stronger than ever.” That said, they wondered if the coin’s valuation could hit $0.50 before Pi Day. The date (March 14) is symbolic to Pi Network because it resembles the mathematical constant π (3.14).

Earlier this month, X user Captain Faibik also chipped in. The renowned crypto analyst revealed they had added some PI for the midterm, expecting a 500% rally.

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Crypto World

Trump asks Congress for $1.5 trillion defense budget

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Trump asks Congress for $1.5 trillion defense budget

The Trump administration submitted a $1.5 trillion defense spending request to Congress on April 3 — the largest military budget proposal in U.S. history — pairing record military outlays with cuts to domestic programs in a fiscal combination that signals sustained inflation pressure and a narrower path to Fed rate cuts.

Summary

  • The Trump administration submitted a $1.5 trillion FY2027 defense budget proposal to Congress on April 3, roughly a 42% increase over current Pentagon spending levels.
  • The proposal pairs the record defense allocation with $73 billion in cuts to domestic programs including housing, health research, and education.
  • The fiscal combination — wartime spending surge alongside domestic contraction — carries implications for inflation, Federal Reserve policy, and risk assets including crypto.

The Trump administration submitted a $1.5 trillion defense spending request to Congress on April 3 — the largest military budget proposal in U.S. history — pairing record military outlays with cuts to domestic programs in a fiscal combination that signals sustained inflation pressure and a narrower path to Fed rate cuts. According to NPR’s reporting on the White House release, the proposal represents a roughly 42% increase over current spending and includes $1.1 trillion in base Pentagon funding alongside $350 billion to be passed through the budget reconciliation process.

A $1.5 trillion defense budget — the first base defense budget in U.S. history to cross the $1 trillion mark — funded partly through domestic spending cuts rather than new revenue, raises immediate questions about the fiscal trajectory of the U.S. government. Budget Director Russell Vought wrote that “President Trump promised to reinvest in America’s national security infrastructure, to make sure our nation is safe in a dangerous world.” For crypto markets, the more immediate concern is the inflationary signal embedded in the spending mix.

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Defense-heavy budgets during active wartime, combined with domestic spending reductions that shift costs to states, tend to sustain elevated government outlays without equivalent economic output — a dynamic that complicates the Federal Reserve’s rate path at exactly the moment investors had been positioned for monetary easing.

What investors are watching

Bitcoin was trading near $67,000 as the proposal was released, with U.S. equity markets closed for Good Friday. The budget announcement lands as an additional fiscal signal atop an already difficult macro environment for crypto — one defined by oil above $100, the ongoing Strait of Hormuz closure, and a strong March jobs print that independently reduced near-term rate cut expectations.

The budget proposal must now move through Congress, where both the size and the domestic spending cuts will face bipartisan scrutiny. A prolonged legislative fight over defense appropriations would add fiscal uncertainty to the existing geopolitical backdrop — a combination that has historically supported safe-haven assets over risk assets in the near term.

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Cambodian Lawmakers Propose Severe Prison Time for Crypto Scammers

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Law, Cambodia, Crimes, Scams

Cambodia’s parliament passed legislation targeting compounds used to defraud victims through scams, including those involving cryptocurrency.

In a Friday notice, the Senate of the Kingdom of Cambodia announced that the chamber had unanimously approved the draft law with no amendment, with 58 senators voting yes. According to reports, the draft bill, which would still need the king’s approval before becoming law, imposed prison time between two to five years and up to $125,000 in fines for certain crimes, or twice the time in prison and penalties if part of a gang or targeting multiple victims. 

“The draft law stipulates the establishment of criminal rules to fill the gaps and deficiencies in the current law, which will contribute significantly to addressing challenges that pose serious risks to social security, the economy and citizens, including affecting Cambodia’s reputation, as well as improving the effectiveness of the fight against fraud through technological systems, aiming to contribute to the preservation and protection of public security and order, and improving the effectiveness of cooperation in combating this crime,” said a translation of the Friday Senate notice on the bill.

Law, Cambodia, Crimes, Scams
Friday notice announcing the crypto bill’s passage. Source: Senate of the Kingdom of Cambodia

According to a 2025 report from the US State Department, Cambodia’s government “frequently downplayed scam operation cases as labor disputes,” never arresting or prosecuting any owner or operator of a suspected scam compound. The Cambodian operations are just some of many across parts of Southeast Asia, where compounds are alleged sources of forced labor.

Related: UK sanctions $20B scam market by cutting ‘legitimate’ crypto ties

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The passage of the bill followed UK authorities sanctioning the operators of a Cambodia-based scam center, and the country extraditing to China the leader of a criminal syndicate with alleged tied to scam compounds. Cambodia’s national assembly advanced the bill on March 30, with all 112 members voting yay. 

What happens in these scam compounds?

According to a 2024 UN News report that explored a compound in the Philippines, scam centers like the ones targeted under the Cambodian bill were massive undertakings, with facilities designed so that the residents would never need to leave. Although many of the workers were responsible for carrying out the scams, they were also “trafficked here, held against their will” and “exposed to violence” in the compounds.

“The people who work here are basically fenced off from the outside world,” said the report. “All their daily necessities are met. There are restaurants, dormitories, barbershops and even a karaoke bar. So, people don’t actually have to leave and can stay here for months.”

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Magazine: Your guide to surviving this mini-crypto winter