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PiggyBank Takes a 15% NAV Hit After Unwinding a Failed LAB Hedge Trade

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR:

  • PiggyBank closed its LAB hedge after negative funding rates made the strategy too costly to maintain.
  • The protocol expects NAV declines of 15% for USDC, 12% for SPYx, and 9% for JitoSOL.
  • Locked LAB tokens valued at $1.35 million will remain excluded from NAV until the August unlock.
  • ZachXBT criticized the trade and renewed concerns over LAB token supply concentration claims.

PiggyBank reported expected net asset value (NAV) drawdowns of up to 15% after unwinding a hedged position tied to the LAB token.

The protocol said it closed the hedge after extreme volatility, declining liquidity, and deeply negative funding rates made the strategy unsustainable.

According to a statement released by the team, the position originated from a basis trade executed last month. PiggyBank purchased locked LAB tokens through an over-the-counter transaction for approximately $100,000 while simultaneously shorting LAB perpetual futures contracts.

The protocol said the trade initially represented about 2% of portfolio assets and was designed to reduce directional market exposure.

However, changing market conditions increased the cost of maintaining the hedge and ultimately forced its closure.

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PiggyBank said it will exclude its locked LAB holdings from NAV calculations until the first token unlock on August 14.

The team cited insufficient liquidity and said the approach represents the fairest method for managing user liquidity during the period.

Current NAV estimates indicate an approximate 15% decline for the USDC vault, a 12% decline for SPYx, and a 9% decline for JitoSOL. PiggyBank said it plans to publish a detailed report and follow-up handling plan next week.

Market Conditions Forced Closure of Hedged Position

PiggyBank said the strategy combined discounted purchases of locked LAB tokens with perpetual futures shorts. The structure aimed to capture value from the discount while limiting price risk.

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The protocol said LAB later experienced severe market manipulation and worsening liquidity conditions. Trading conditions became increasingly difficult as liquidity in the token market deteriorated.

PiggyBank also reported deeply negative funding rates on LAB perpetual contracts. Those funding payments increased hedge maintenance costs and reduced the strategy’s effectiveness.

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According to the team, maintaining the hedge became economically impractical under those conditions. The protocol ultimately chose to close the short position to limit additional downside exposure.

PiggyBank said the locked LAB position currently carries an estimated value of $1.35 million. Despite that valuation, the holdings will remain excluded from NAV calculations until the scheduled unlock.

The team said conditions surrounding the position remain subject to change. It added that excluding the holdings provides a transparent framework for current portfolio reporting.

NAV Declines Draw Scrutiny From Market Observers

The reported NAV reductions affected multiple PiggyBank products. The largest projected decline was recorded in the protocol’s USDC vault.

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The losses also extended to SPYx and JitoSOL products. PiggyBank attributed those declines to the effects of unwinding the LAB-related hedge.

The protocol acknowledged what it described as a serious error in the basis trade. The statement outlined the circumstances that contributed to the outcome.

Meanwhile, on-chain investigator ZachXBT publicly criticized PiggyBank’s involvement with LAB. His comments focused on the protocol’s exposure to the token.

ZachXBT previously alleged that insiders controlled more than 95% of LAB’s supply. PiggyBank has not announced any changes to the August unlock schedule and said further details will be provided in its upcoming report.

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New York Court Halts Bitcoin Wallet Lawsuit, Schedules July 14 Hearing on Amicus Brief

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TLDR:

  • A NY judge stayed the Noah Doe lawsuit on June 5, halting any default judgment on 39,069 dormant wallets. 
  • An amicus brief argues NY’s lost-and-found statute cannot legally apply to dormant bitcoin wallet addresses.
  • The targeted wallets hold an estimated 3.8 million BTC worth around $234 billion, per Galaxy Research analysts.
  • Several dormant defendant wallets moved BTC after the lawsuit was filed, including a $3M transfer flagged in June. 

A New York Supreme Court judge has stayed a lawsuit targeting nearly 40,000 dormant bitcoin wallets, blocking any default judgment.

Justice Kathy J. King signed the order on June 4, filed publicly on June 5. The case involves plaintiffs seeking ownership of 39,069 wallets under New York’s lost-and-found statute.

A July 14 oral argument will determine whether a critical amicus brief is admitted. The brief argues the statute was never designed to apply to blockchain assets.

The Lawsuit and Its Legal Theory

The case, captioned ABC Company, XYZ Company, and Noah Doe v. John Does 1–39,069, draws on New York Personal Property Law Article 7-B.

The anonymous plaintiffs argue that dormant wallets qualify as “lost” property under state law. Under this theory, ownership can transfer to a finder if the original owner fails to claim assets within a statutory period.

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Galaxy Research estimated the 39,069 addresses hold roughly 3.8 million BTC. At current prices, that figure is worth approximately $234 billion.

However, the complaint itself values each wallet at under $10, citing the difficulty of recovering assets without private keys.

The listed addresses include the “1Feex” wallet, long tied to the 2011 Mt. Gox hack. Several addresses also match what Galaxy Research describes as Satoshi-era “Patoshi” patterns, connecting them to Bitcoin’s creator. No defendant wallets have appeared in court, which had been clearing a path to default judgment.

The Amicus Brief Challenging Ownership Claims

M&A attorney Ian R. Cohen filed a May 29 motion to appear as amicus curiae. His 26-page brief argues the lost-and-found statute requires physical custody of a tangible object.

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A blockchain address cannot be placed in an evidence locker, so the statute does not apply. Cohen holds no financial interest in the outcome and represents no named party.

Cohen’s brief also turns the complaint’s own language against the plaintiffs. Paragraph 27 of the amended complaint states that wallet owners lost access to funds due to a security issue.

Cohen argues this makes the dormancy involuntary, not abandonment. His brief puts it plainly: “A wallet that has been dormant for ten years, whose private key is stored on a steel plate in a bank vault, is not abandoned property. It is securely held property.”

Cohen also argues Noah Doe’s method does not constitute finding under the law. His brief states that Doe’s algorithm amounts to “data mining,” not discovery, and that claiming 39,069 wallets in a single sweep is “industrial-scale asset identification” that no provision of the statute contemplates.

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He further warns that any ownership declaration would be functionally useless, writing that “the decentralized architecture of the Bitcoin network renders it structurally indifferent to judicial decrees.”

Cohen also noted that the Legislature amended New York’s Abandoned Property Law in 2022 to specifically address virtual currency, routing dormant crypto assets to the State Comptroller — not to private claimants.

Wallet Movements and the ‘Great Bitcoin Dusting’

Noah Doe used a proprietary algorithm to flag the wallets, then delivered USB drives to the NYPD’s 17th Precinct between December 2024 and April 2025.

A blockchain expert then sent OP_RETURN messages to each address, pointing to an abandonment notice page. Wallets that did not respond within 90 days were treated as abandoned.

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Galaxy Research documented this campaign in October as the “Great Bitcoin Dusting.” It involved roughly 41,000 OP_RETURN messages sent to wallets collectively holding about 2.3 million BTC.

Analysts Zack Pokorny and Will Owens wrote that “whoever carried out the operation clearly understands the Bitcoin network on [a] deep technical level and took elegant measures to cover his tracks.”

Since the lawsuit was filed, several named wallets have moved funds. Galaxy Research head Alex Thorn flagged a June 6 transfer of 47.26 BTC, worth nearly $3 million, from defendant wallet number 37923.

A separate wallet dormant since March 2011 moved 35.55 BTC worth approximately $2.2 million on June 2. Those movements have drawn attention across the Bitcoin community and suggest some wallet holders are aware of the proceedings.

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Bitcoin Traders Face Massive Short Squeeze Risk Amid Lopsided Leverage Positions

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TLDR:

  • Nearly $26 billion in short liquidation leverage sits above Bitcoin’s current $62,000 price level.
  • Shorts lost $218 million in 24 hours, more than double long liquidations across the crypto market.
  • A single $82 million short position on OKX was wiped out amid Bitcoin’s 24-hour liquidation wave.
  • Cycle Bands flashed an oversold signal for the first time since 2023, hinting at a possible base.

Bitcoin traders are staring down a potential short squeeze as lopsided leverage positions build across major exchanges.

Coinglass data shows nearly $26 billion in short liquidation leverage sitting above Bitcoin’s $62,000 price level. Meanwhile, long liquidation exposure below that level remains well under $2 billion.

This stark imbalance is drawing attention from analysts and active traders watching the market closely.

Lopsided Leverage Builds Across Major Exchanges

The concentration of short positions is spread primarily across three platforms. Binance, OKX, and Bybit hold the bulk of this leveraged exposure on the short side.

Over the past 24 hours, total crypto liquidations reached $332 million across the broader market. Shorts accounted for $218 million of that figure, more than double the losses on the long side.

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Bitcoin alone drove $124 million in liquidations during that same window. A single short position on OKX was wiped out for $82 million, standing out as the largest closure.

Open interest across the market climbed 3% to $103 billion despite trading volume pulling back. That combination of rising open interest and falling volume points to a buildup of speculative positioning rather than active price discovery.

Traders are now divided on what comes next for Bitcoin. One camp sees the lopsided short exposure as fuel for a sharp upside move.

The other argues that a break below $60,000 support could trigger a bearish reversal instead. Both scenarios carry real risk given the current leverage environment.

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The $60,000 level has become the key line in the sand for market participants. A sustained move below it could unwind the short squeeze thesis quickly and accelerate selling pressure.

Market Data Points Toward Possible Base Formation

Technical analysts are watching Bitcoin’s behavior around the $60,200 yearly low. Crypto analyst account Alpha Extract noted on X that Bitcoin failed to close below that level on the four-hour timeframe. The account described this as a constructive development, even while maintaining a cautious near-term outlook.

Alpha Extract added that lower prices may still come before any meaningful recovery takes hold. However, the analyst noted that each move lower builds a better risk-reward setup for an asymmetric upside trade.

That framing reflects a measured view common among experienced traders navigating prolonged downtrends.

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Adding to the discussion, Alpha Extract pointed out that Cycle Bands flashed an oversold signal for the first time since 2023.

That type of reading has historically appeared near market turning points, though it does not guarantee an immediate reversal. Traders are treating it as one more data point in an evolving picture.

The broader market is watching whether Bitcoin can hold current levels and build a credible base. Until that case strengthens, short squeeze risk and downside pressure will continue to define the trading environment.

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Could Stellar (XLM) Be Preparing for a Long-Term Breakout as Institutional Adoption Grows?

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TLDR:

  • Stellar (XLM) is attracting institutional interest through fast, low-cost cross-border payment infrastructure.
  • Growing stablecoin activity and real-world asset tokenization are strengthening Stellar’s on-chain economic case.
  • Potential CBDC integrations and institutional partnerships could serve as major long-term catalysts for XLM.
  • Continuous network upgrades and scalability improvements position Stellar for sustained growth beyond short-term volatility.

Stellar (XLM) is showing signs that a long-term breakout may be forming as blockchain adoption moves toward real-world utility. The network has built a foundation around fast, low-cost cross-border payments and institutional integration.

With growing activity across stablecoins and tokenized assets, Stellar’s infrastructure is drawing closer attention from market observers and financial institutions alike.

Institutional Adoption Could Be the Catalyst Behind XLM’s Breakout

Stellar’s growing institutional presence is one of the strongest arguments for a potential long-term breakout. Financial institutions are increasingly evaluating networks that offer practical payment solutions at low cost. Stellar fits that profile more directly than most competing blockchain networks currently available.

Payment providers are also beginning to build on Stellar’s infrastructure at a measurable pace. As more real transactions flow through the network, its on-chain economic activity grows steadily.

That kind of organic growth tends to support sustained price movement over time rather than short-term speculation.

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Crypto commentator SylvianGuibal on X captured this sentiment, noting that Stellar “continues to attract growing institutional interest while expanding its footprint across payments, stablecoins, and tokenized assets.”

If that trajectory holds, institutional adoption alone could serve as a meaningful breakout trigger for XLM going forward.

Real-World Asset Tokenization and Stablecoins Could Push XLM Higher

Tokenization of real-world assets is emerging as a strong driver for Stellar’s long-term growth outlook. Institutions exploring regulated digital finance are looking for networks that can handle asset issuance reliably. Stellar’s architecture is built to support exactly that kind of activity at scale.

Stablecoin usage on the network is also growing at a notable rate. Stablecoins need fast, affordable infrastructure to move value efficiently across borders. Stellar meets those technical requirements, positioning it well within a rapidly expanding stablecoin market.

Beyond that, potential central bank digital currency integrations could further strengthen XLM’s long-term case. Several central banks are actively researching CBDC frameworks, and Stellar has been part of those early discussions. A confirmed CBDC partnership would represent a considerable step toward a sustained breakout scenario.

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Continuous Network Upgrades Keep XLM Positioned for Long-Term Growth

Stellar’s development team has maintained a steady schedule of technical upgrades aimed at improving scalability and interoperability.

These improvements ensure the network remains competitive as global financial infrastructure evolves. Consistent development is one of the clearer signs that the project is building for the long term.

The network’s ability to handle high transaction volumes without sacrificing speed or cost remains a core strength.

As adoption grows, this technical capacity reduces the risk of bottlenecks that have slowed other blockchain networks.

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That reliability makes Stellar a more credible choice for institutions considering long-term infrastructure commitments.

As @SylvianGuibal stated, “the real question is whether Stellar can continue capturing meaningful economic activity on-chain.”

If adoption across payments, tokenized assets, and stablecoins keeps accelerating, XLM may already be laying the groundwork for the breakout that many in the market are watching for.

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Is the Bitcoin Bottom Near? Three On-Chain Indicators Suggest the Market Structure Is Shifting

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Is the Bitcoin Bottom Near? Three On-Chain Indicators Suggest the Market Structure Is Shifting

TLDR:

  • The LTH-SOPR to STH-SOPR ratio has dropped sharply, showing long-term holders are no longer booking large profits.
  • Bitcoin’s Supply in Profit has fallen to 47%, matching levels historically seen at the floor of past bear markets.
  • Bitcoin is approaching the 200-week moving average and Realized Price, two key support zones from prior cycles.
  • Capital rotation toward AI stocks and tech IPOs is driving Bitcoin’s demand shortage, not a structural failure.

Is the market structure starting to change for Bitcoin? That question is gaining traction among analysts and long-term investors.

Bitcoin has slid toward the $60,000 range despite ETF approvals, growing corporate adoption, and clearer regulatory frameworks.

Three on-chain indicators are now offering a data-driven answer to that question — and what they show points toward a bottoming phase rather than a structural breakdown.

What the Data Says About Bitcoin’s Current Market Position

The first indicator drawing attention is the LTH-SOPR to STH-SOPR ratio. This metric compares how long-term holders and short-term holders are realizing gains or losses.

The ratio has fallen sharply in recent weeks. Long-term holders are no longer booking the large profits seen during the previous bull run.

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That change in behavior carries weight. When long-term holders stop selling into strength, one major source of sell-side pressure begins to ease.

Historically, this pattern has appeared during the later stages of market corrections. It does not confirm a bottom, but it does reflect a meaningful shift in holder sentiment.

Supply in Profit has also dropped to roughly 47%. That means more than half of all circulating Bitcoin is now held at a loss or near break-even.

In bull markets, this figure typically exceeds 90%. The current reading aligns closely with levels seen at the floor of previous bear cycles in 2018 and 2022.

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Taken together, these two indicators suggest that speculative excess has largely been removed from the system. Investors who entered during peak euphoria have either sold or are sitting on unrealized losses. That kind of market cleanup has historically preceded recovery phases.

Why Bitcoin’s Price Decline May Not Signal a Structural Failure

Bitcoin is competing for capital against some of the most powerful investment narratives in global markets right now.

Artificial intelligence stocks and anticipated major technology IPOs are drawing liquidity away from crypto. That rotation is creating a demand shortage, not a collapse in Bitcoin’s fundamentals.

This distinction matters when reading the on-chain data. Bitcoin is approaching two historically important valuation benchmarks — the 200-week moving average and the Realized Price.

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Both have acted as strong support zones during past downturns. Buyers who monitor these levels tend to treat them as favorable long-term entry points.

The convergence of these three signals — softening long-term holder profit-taking, a majority of supply in loss, and proximity to key valuation support — paints a consistent picture.

The market structure appears to be transitioning away from distribution and toward accumulation. Sentiment has moved from euphoria to measured caution.

Still, the bottoming phase is not yet confirmed. The next sustained move upward will depend on whether fresh capital returns to Bitcoin.

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Until that rotation happens, the market remains in a critical testing zone — and on-chain data remains the clearest tool available for reading its direction.

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Ethereum TD Sequential Prints “9” Buy Signal as Exchange Reserves Hit New Lows

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR:

  • Ethereum’s 3-day chart has printed a TD Sequential “9” buy signal after a drop from $2,300 to $1,600.
  • The TD Sequential signal indicates potential seller exhaustion but does not confirm a full trend reversal.
  • CryptoQuant data shows ETH exchange reserves across all centralized platforms continue trending lower.
  • Bulls must defend the $1,600 support zone for ETH to target a recovery toward the $1,800–$1,950 range.

Ethereum’s 3-day chart has printed a TD Sequential “9” buy signal amid a sustained price decline from above $2,300 to near $1,600.

The technical pattern, which tracks nine consecutive bearish candles, points to potential seller exhaustion at current levels.

Meanwhile, on-chain data from CryptoQuant shows exchange reserves across centralized platforms trending sharply lower. Together, the two datasets present a case for a short-term price recovery in ETH.

TD Sequential Flags Possible Trend Exhaustion Near $1,600

Ethereum has been under consistent selling pressure over recent weeks, forming a clear series of lower highs and lower lows.

The decline has been steep, with prices dropping roughly 30% from the $2,300 range to the $1,600 zone. That move reflects broad bearish sentiment across the crypto market during this period.

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The TD Sequential indicator works by counting nine consecutive candles that each close lower than four candles prior. When the count reaches nine, the signal suggests the existing trend may be losing strength.

Crypto analyst Ali Charts flagged this development on X, noting a small bullish candle has appeared immediately after the signal printed.

According to Ali Charts, if bulls manage to hold the $1,600 support zone, ETH could recover toward the $1,800–$1,950 resistance range.

That area represents the next logical ceiling based on prior price action. A failure to hold support, however, would likely resume the broader downtrend.

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The TD Sequential does not guarantee a reversal. Instead, it marks a point where trend momentum may be weakening.

Traders typically wait for confirmation from subsequent candles before entering positions based on the signal alone.

Exchange Reserve Decline Points to Reduced Selling Supply

On-chain researcher Rei Researcher highlighted a separate but complementary dataset. Based on CryptoQuant’s “Ethereum Exchange Reserve — All Exchanges” metric, ETH reserves across centralized exchanges continue declining after a brief upward recovery. That brief uptick saw some retail investors move coins onto exchanges to restructure their portfolios.

The renewed decline in exchange reserves indicates that available sell-side liquidity is shrinking on order books. When holders withdraw ETH to personal wallets rather than exchange accounts, it reduces the immediate supply available for sale. That dynamic tends to ease downward pressure on price over time.

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The dominant outflow pattern seen in the data neutralizes a portion of potential sell pressure sitting on exchange order books.

Rei Researcher noted this as clear evidence that most current holders prefer storage over selling at present price levels. That shift in holder behavior matters because it changes the supply dynamics around the $1,600 support level.

Taken together, the TD Sequential signal and the exchange reserve trend suggest the $1,600 zone carries meaningful technical and on-chain support.

Whether ETH can sustain a recovery remains contingent on broader market conditions and buyer follow-through at current levels.

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SpaceX IPO to Mint Millionaire Welders as Experts Warn of Post-Listing Slumps

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SpaceX’s Biggest Customer Is Also Its Biggest IPO Rival Paying $15 Billion a Year

A welder who immigrated from Mexico holds stock worth roughly $880,000 ahead of next week’s SpaceX IPO. Juan Hernandez built the stake from a $10,000 equity grant he received in 2015.

SpaceX will sell 555.6 million shares at $135 each on Nasdaq under the ticker SPCX. The offer targets a $75 billion raise and values the rocket maker near $1.77 trillion, the largest IPO on record.

SpaceX IPO Turns Welders and Technicians Into Millionaires

Hernandez joined SpaceX as a contractor in 2015, earning $28 an hour, the Wall Street Journal reported. He later moved to a full-time role, received stock that vested over five years, and bought more shares through payroll deductions.

He sold part of the stake in 2020 to buy Texas property. Meanwhile, his remaining shares grew with the company. Hernandez now works at rival Blue Origin.

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“It’s put me in a comfortable position for life,” Hernandez said in the WSJ profile.

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Justin Lopas, co-founder and COO of Base Power and a former SpaceX employee, said on X that most of the company’s welders and technicians will make six or seven figures.

Insiders still face lock-up periods, however, alongside Musk’s full share lock-up. Outside buyers face their own hurdles under Fidelity’s retail access rules.

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Experts Warn IPO Hype Cuts Both Ways

Joshua Roberts, capital-markets correspondent at The Economist, cautioned in an interview that new listings often disappoint.

“IPOs tend to be a bad investment for ordinary investors. There’s a lot of hype around them…In general, IPOs tend to underperform the rest of the market over time…The best moment for the seller is not necessarily the best moment for the buyer,” said Roberts.

Research by University of Florida professor Jay Ritter indicates IPO firms tend to trail the broader market over the three years after listing.

Index providers also plan to fast-track the stock into benchmarks, in some cases within five days.

Therefore, index funds could buy shares while they remain volatile, even though S&P 500 exclusion rules keep SpaceX out of that index for now.

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The $1.77 trillion valuation equals roughly 90 times annual sales, Roberts noted, and some analysts question the valuation.

Crypto markets, meanwhile, are already pricing SpaceX before listing.

For workers like Hernandez, the windfall is largely secure.

For new buyers, the coming weeks will show whether the largest IPO on record can defy the asset class’s weak track record.

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NY Judge Halts Lawsuit Claiming 39,069 Dormant Bitcoin Wallets Until July Hearing

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NY Judge Halts Lawsuit Claiming 39,069 Dormant Bitcoin Wallets Until July Hearing

A New York judge has paused a lawsuit that claims ownership of 39,069 dormant Bitcoin (BTC) wallets. The order blocks any quick victory for the anonymous plaintiffs before a court hearing on July 14.

Justice Kathy J. King signed the order on June 4. The wallets hold about 3.8 million BTC, worth roughly $235 billion at today’s prices.

What the Dormant Bitcoin Wallets Lawsuit Wants

An anonymous plaintiff called Noah Doe and two companies filed the case in March. They expanded it on May 1 to cover 39,069 wallets.

They lean on New York’s lost-and-found law. A finder can keep lost property if the owner never claims it. Courts have never applied it to crypto.

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Their unnamed expert valued each wallet at under $10. Galaxy Research counters that the average listed wallet holds 97.25 BTC, about $6 million today.

The first defendant wallet holds about 79,957 BTC from the 2011 Mt. Gox hack. The Mt. Gox repayment process is still running in Japan, so the claims could collide.

Galaxy also ties about 21,900 listed addresses, with roughly 1.1 million BTC, to Satoshi Nakamoto’s wallet activity. Many sit in quantum-vulnerable Bitcoin addresses.

Why the Judge Hit Pause

The stay followed a motion by Ian R. Cohen, a New York lawyer who owns bitcoin. He asked to file a friend-of-the-court brief against the case.

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Cohen argues the law covers physical objects someone can pick up and hold. Bitcoin sits on a public blockchain everyone can see, so it was never lost.

“A wallet that has been dormant for ten years, whose private key is stored on a steel plate in a bank vault, is not abandoned property. It is securely held property,” Cohen wrote in his proposed brief.

He also points to a 2022 law that sends unclaimed crypto to the state, not to private finders.

On-chain data supports him. After blockchain notices went out in 2025, 339 listed wallets moved coins, echoing other Satoshi-era wallet moves.

The plaintiffs have until July 7 to respond. The July 14 hearing will decide whether the case gets its first real opposing voice.

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XRP Faces Key Test Near $0.90 as Long-Term Support Converges

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TLDR:

  • XRP’s long-term rising trendline converges with the closely watched $0.90 support zone.
  • Analysts view the current decline as a controlled pullback rather than a broader trend breakdown.
  • Market participants remain divided as XRP trades above $1 despite changing investor sentiment.
  • Commentary on the Clarity Act has renewed discussion around XRP and crypto regulation.

XRP recent market analysis identified $0.90 as a key area within XRP’s monthly structure. The assessment pointed to a rising trendline that has remained intact since the 2020–2021 base formation. According to the analysis, each major correction has produced a higher low, preserving the broader upward trend.

The analysis noted that XRP’s rally toward approximately $3.32 ended with a rejection that formed a macro lower high.

Since that move, price has entered what was described as a controlled pullback rather than a sharp breakdown. The projected scenario suggests a gradual decline toward the ascending support zone. Analysts said the importance of $0.90 comes from several converging factors.

Technical Structure Draws Attention to $0.90 Support Zone

The analysis described $0.90 as a confluence area where technical and psychological factors intersect. The level sits near multi-year ascending support and below the current consolidation range around $1.14. Analysts said such conditions can attract increased market attention.

According to the assessment, late buyers may face losses while longer-term participants evaluate opportunities. It also noted that sentiment often shifts negatively near major support tests.

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The report emphasized that confirmation would remain essential. Analysts said declining volume and slowing momentum near support could strengthen a bullish continuation case.

However, a decisive breakdown below $0.90 would invalidate the current structure and shift attention to lower support levels.

Market Participants Debate XRP’s Long-Term Outlook

Crypto commentator Crypto Patel compared current XRP sentiment with investor attitudes during 2017. Patel noted that many holders once viewed $1 as a major long-term target. According to the post, XRP trading above that level today has produced very different reactions.

Patel argued that investor emotions have changed despite similar price levels. The post stated that traders celebrated when XRP first crossed $1 in 2017.

It contrasted that period with current frustration among some market participants despite XRP remaining above the same threshold.

Patel identified a personal accumulation range between $1 and $0.60. The commentator described the current period as one requiring patience and perspective. Patel also stated that investors should conduct their own research before making investment decisions.

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Meanwhile, Ripple Bull Winkle drew attention to developments surrounding the Clarity Act. In a social media post, the commentator claimed the legislation had been halted in Congress.

The post suggested the development could affect discussions involving XRP and broader cryptocurrency regulation. Ripple Bull Winkle said additional details were provided in a video discussing the issue.

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Ripple Prime Joins DTCC Tokenization Push With BlackRock and JPMorgan in 2026

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TLDR:

  • Ripple Prime joins 50+ firms in DTCC’s tokenization working group, including BlackRock and JPMorgan.
  • DTCC plans limited live production trades in July 2026, with a full service rollout set for October 2026.
  • The SEC issued a No-Action Letter in December 2025, authorizing DTC’s tokenization service for three years.
  • Ripple Prime gains access to DTCC clearing rails, helping link tokenized securities with XRP Ledger liquidity.

Ripple Prime has joined the Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation’s (DTCC) tokenization initiative alongside BlackRock, JPMorgan, and more than 50 other institutions.

The service targets tokenized equities, ETFs, and U.S. Treasuries, with limited production trades set for July 2026 and a full rollout planned for October 2026.

The move places Ripple Prime at the center of one of the most closely watched developments in institutional finance this year.

Ripple Prime Steps Into a Historic Institutional Push

More than 50 organizations are collaborating within DTCC’s Industry Working Group to help shape the service, representing a broad cross-section of the financial sector.

Major participants include JPMorgan, Bank of America, Citadel Securities, Invesco, HSBC, Charles Schwab, BlackRock, Nasdaq, NYSE, Robinhood, and Wells Fargo.

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Ripple Prime is the prime brokerage born from the $1.25 billion Hidden Road acquisition. Its presence in the working group puts it directly alongside institutions that collectively manage trillions in assets. That positioning carries weight well beyond the digital asset sector.

From the digital assets sector, Ripple Prime joins USDC issuer Circle, digital asset infrastructure firm Fireblocks, tokenization leader Ondo Finance, and exchanges Kraken and Backpack.

Together, these firms represent the crypto-native layer of what is otherwise a largely traditional financial initiative.

Social media reactions followed quickly after the announcement. Account @InvestWithD noted that Ripple Prime is helping test, validate, and shape institutional infrastructure alongside Wall Street’s biggest players.

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The post also clarified that Stellar is separately positioned as the public blockchain for DTCC’s multi-chain strategy — a point that had caused confusion among many observers.

What the DTCC Initiative Means for Ripple Prime

DTCC is working to connect traditional clearing and settlement rails with blockchain-based representations of real-world assets.

Rather than building separate systems, the goal is to embed tokenization directly within existing post-trade infrastructure.

The target assets are those already held inside its subsidiary, The Depository Trust Company — Russell 1000 equities, major ETFs, and U.S. Treasuries.

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The SEC issued a No-Action Letter in December 2025 authorizing DTC to operate a defined tokenization service for three years.

That ruling provided the regulatory foundation institutions needed to participate openly. It also signaled broader federal comfort with tokenized securities operating within established financial systems.

Ripple Prime’s participation grants it access to DTCC clearing rails as a prime broker, a direct view into how tokenized securities will be issued and settled, and the ability to design products linking DTCC-based assets with XRP Ledger-based collateral and liquidity. Those capabilities stand to strengthen Ripple Prime’s offering across institutional markets.

For Ripple Prime, securing a seat alongside JPMorgan, BlackRock, Bank of America, and Goldman Sachs elevates its credibility massively across institutional markets.

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Whether XRP plays a direct settlement role remains an open question, but Ripple’s formal place in this process is now confirmed.

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Saylor Signals BTC Buy Ahead of Preferred Dividend Date Vote

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Strategy, the billion-dollar holder of Bitcoin in the corporate treasury space, is once again sparking investor intrigue as a pivotal proxy vote on its STRC dividend schedule nears. Executive chairman Michael Saylor used social media to hint at forthcoming news regarding the company’s BTC holdings, posting a chart that tracks Strategy’s Bitcoin purchases over nearly six years. The message, paired with a broader push from the firm’s leadership, arrives just days before shareholders vote on whether STRC dividends should switch from a monthly cadence to a semi-monthly one.

Market context matters here. Strategy is reported to own 843,706 BTC, with an average cost basis of about $75,701 per coin. Bitcoin itself traded around $62,150 during the reporting window, having declined roughly 16.6% over the past week. The numbers underscore a contrast between a large, patient holder and the near-term price volatility that can accompany major treasury moves.

Last week, Strategy paused new Bitcoin accumulation after repurchasing some corporate debt, a move that briefly unsettled traders who feared potential liquidity needs could force BTC sales. The interplay between debt management, treasury buybacks, and the proposed dividend change forms the core of the current investor dialogue.

Key takeaways

  • Michael Saylor signaled potential news on Strategy’s Bitcoin holdings through a social post and a tracking chart, suggesting upcoming disclosure or activity ahead of the STRC dividend vote.
  • Strategy reportedly holds 843,706 BTC with an average purchase price near $75,701 per Bitcoin, while BTC traded near $62,150 amid a weekly price drop of about 16.6% (CoinMarketCap data).
  • The STRC dividend proposal would shift from monthly to semi-monthly payments, aiming to reduce reinvestment lag, improve liquidity, and enhance market efficiency, pending approval by 50% of outstanding shares as of a set date.
  • A recent debt repurchase pause raised concerns about funding flexibility and potential BTC selling, highlighting the delicate balance Strategy must maintain between liquidity needs and its Bitcoin accumulation strategy.
  • Retail proxy-voting participation remains modest relative to institutions, a dynamic that could influence the outcome of the STRC vote regardless of the underlying fundamentals.

Hints of renewed BTC activity as the vote approaches

In a highly anticipated sequence of moves, Saylor’s X post—“A good time to add more dots”—was accompanied by a link to a chart tracking Strategy’s Bitcoin purchases since the firm began accumulating BTC. The chart, maintained by StrategyTracker.com (an Iceland-registered tracker used by the investor community), has become a recurring preface to any news about new BTC activity from Strategy. The cadence and visibility of these posts have underlined Saylor’s appetite for transparency around Strategy’s Bitcoin treasury, even as the voting process unfolds.

Phonemically echoing the same theme, Strategy’s CEO Phong Le amplified the message, stating that the company’s corporate strategy is to increase net Bitcoin and Bitcoin per share over time. “Rumors otherwise are just rumors,” he said in a follow-up post, reinforcing the leadership’s stance that the treasury strategy remains intentional and forward-looking.

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For investors, the implications hinge on whether Strategy uses any new purchases to support an expanding BTC stack or to reinforce the existing position’s cost basis amid a volatile price backdrop. The average cost of 75,701 per BTC provides a rough guide for evaluating near-term purchases against current price levels, though market dynamics and funding considerations will ultimately shape execution if and when purchases are announced.

BTC’s price context matters too. The firm’s holdings sit against a broader market where Bitcoin traded around $62,000, after a pronounced weekly drop. Such price action can influence decisions on timing and size of any new acquisitions, particularly for a publicly traded vehicle with a stated objective of growing BTC exposure per share.

Readers may recall that last week’s debt repurchase move temporarily paused additional Bitcoin accumulation. In the immediate aftermath, traders weighed the possibility that the company could be compelled to liquidate some BTC to finance buybacks. While there is no public indication that such a sale is imminent, the episode underscores the tension between liquidity management and ongoing accumulation goals.

STRC dividend cadence: what the proxy asks for and why it matters

The current ballot asks Strategy’s shareholders to approve a change in the way STRC dividends are paid—from a traditional monthly cadence to semi-monthly installments. Management argues that semi-monthly payments could reduce reinvestment lag, improve market liquidity, increase price stability, and narrow spreads by offering more frequent entry and exit points for investors. In a keynote tied to the Synergy26 conference for registered investment advisers, Saylor described the potential impact as a reduction in volatility and an improvement to the Sharpe ratio, noting that while thousands of companies pay quarterly dividends and a subset pays monthly, Strategy would be among the few to pay twice monthly if approved.

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The mechanics of passage are clear: the amendment requires the support of 50% of all STRC shares outstanding as of April 17, 2026, which totals 85 million shares. The final decision is expected to land at Monday’s shareholder meeting, pending any last-minute developments. In practice, the voting dynamic could hinge on how many retail holders participate. A Harvard Law School Forum on Corporate Governance acknowledgment of voting patterns shows retail investors historically casting around 29% of their shares, compared with 77% by institutional holders, a gap that could influence outcomes that depend as much on participation as on price signals.

In parallel coverage, market observers have also noted Strategy’s leverage-facing dynamics in its broader Bitcoin model, with discussions of stress tests and the resilience of a treasury-driven approach in the face of volatility. While such analyses provide important context, the STRC vote remains the decisive lever for governance-related changes to the company’s dividend policy and liquidity management framework.

For reference, the STRC-vote story sits within a larger ecosystem of corporate treasury strategies and how, in practice, large BTC holders navigate liquidity, leverage, and governance risk. Related coverage on Strategy’s leveraged Bitcoin approach has highlighted the stress-testing dimensions that accompany a treasury-led model, underscoring that even well-capitalized programs must adapt to market conditions and shareholder expectations.

What comes next and what to watch

The next days will clarify whether Strategy moves forward with new BTC activity and how the STRC dividend change is received by the market. Investors should watch for any formal disclosures of additional Bitcoin purchases, as indicated by Saylor’s public signals and the StrategyTracker channel, alongside updates from Strategy’s proxy solicitations and voting results as the Monday meeting concludes.

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In the broader context, the vote reinforces ongoing debates about how corporate treasuries should balance growth objectives with liquidity and governance norms. As Strategy contends with market volatility and a changing dividend landscape, readers should monitor how the outcome could affect correlations between Bitcoin holdings and shareholder value, especially for investors tracking how treasury policy translates into market behavior and risk-adjusted returns.

Next steps will hinge on the voting outcome, potential new BTC activity, and how the market perceives the balance between Strategy’s treasury strategy and the evolving needs of its investors. If the semi-monthly dividend shift passes, expect increased attention on how the company times reinvestments and how liquidity management shapes future BTC accumulation decisions.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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