Crypto World
Polymarket’s Iran surge helps trigger Washington’s crackdown bill
After billions in bets on a U.S.–Iran strike and an insider scandal on platforms like Polymarket, Democrats push the DEATH BETS Act, targeting prediction markets that trade on war, terror and death.
Summary
- Polymarket and Kalshi volumes smashed records as traders priced odds of a U.S. strike on Iran and leadership change in Tehran.
- Six Polymarket accounts allegedly used insider information to profit from Iran strike timing, crystallizing fears of geopolitical front‑running.
- Senator Adam Schiff’s DEATH BETS Act would bar CFTC‑regulated venues from listing contracts tied to war, terrorism, assassinations or individual deaths.
Prediction markets just ran into Washington’s moral panic. After a record surge in trading linked to the U.S.–Iran conflict, a senior Democrat is now moving to shut down the sector’s most controversial edge: markets that price war, terrorism and death.
For the week ending March 9, on-chain and regulated prediction venues blew through previous activity highs. Data compiled by Cointelegraph shows nominal volume on Polymarket hit 2.49 billion dollars over the period, while CFTC‑regulated Kalshi posted 2.85 billion dollars, pushing the total nominal volume across all prediction platforms to 14.5 billion dollars and lifting unique users to 2.8 million. The trigger was obvious: escalating U.S.–Iran tensions, with traders aggressively pricing the odds of an American strike.
Polymarket death markets gain scrutiny from lawmakers
That set up the political backlash. U.S. Democratic senator Adam Schiff has introduced the so‑called “DEATH BETS Act,” a bill that would amend the Commodity Exchange Act to explicitly bar federally regulated prediction markets from listing contracts tied to war, terrorism, assassinations, or individual deaths. Regulators have long had discretion over “event contracts,” but this proposal would hard‑code a bright red line around anything that looks like trading on human catastrophe.
Schiff’s move also follows a very specific scandal. Six Polymarket users are accused of using insider information to place roughly 1 million dollars’ worth of winning bets on the timing of a U.S. strike on Iran, crystallizing the sector’s worst optics: privileged actors monetizing sensitive, potentially classified information while the rest of the market thinks it is trading “pure information.” For critics, that episode proves prediction markets are not just forecasting tools, but a new venue for front‑running geopolitics.
For crypto‑native prediction platforms, the message is brutal. Volumes are finally at institutional scale, but the order flow driving that growth is clustering in precisely the categories now being lined up for prohibition. If the DEATH BETS framework becomes a template for other regulators, the sector will be pushed toward more anodyne contracts—macro data, elections, sports—while the most informationally rich, liquidity‑dense markets migrate fully offshore or into gray‑zone DeFi. In market terms, Washington is saying the quiet part out loud: some kinds of “truth markets” will not be allowed to clear.
Crypto investment products recorded $1.06 billion in inflows last week, even as geopolitical stress tied to tensions in the Middle East continued to weigh on broader financial markets.
Summary
- Crypto investment products recorded $1.06 billion in inflows last week, extending a three-week run of positive flows despite geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
- Bitcoin led with $793 million in inflows, while Ethereum attracted $315 million.
- U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have posted their first five-day inflow streak of 2026.
Per a CoinShares report published Monday, crypto investor reaction to tensions in the Middle East appears relatively measured, as digital asset investment products have now recorded a three-week run of positive flows.
In total, the past three weeks have brought in $2.7 billion in inflows, driving net inflows to around $1.2 billion year to date. Meanwhile, total assets under management in digital asset ETPs have also risen 9.4% to nearly $140 billion, according to CoinShares head of research James Butterfill.
With the latest inflows, Bitcoin ETPs have pushed year-to-date gains to $933 million, while Ethereum funds are still in the red with around $23 million in outflows year to date, despite $315 million in inflows last week.
Butterfill noted that the latest data highlights Bitcoin’s “resilience during geopolitical stress” and reinforces its role “as a relative safe haven.”
XRP suffered the most outflows among major assets, totaling $76 million, while Solana recorded $9.1 million in inflows.
Short Bitcoin products also recorded inflows of $8.1 million, suggesting investor positioning remains “somewhat polarized.”
Most of the inflows came from the United States, where spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded their first five-day inflow streak of 2026 last week, attracting $767.3 million.
As such, it appears that institutional investors are primarily favoring Bitcoin over higher beta altcoins during periods of uncertainty.
Separate data tracking U.S. spot crypto ETFs also pointed to similar trends. Spot Bitcoin funds recorded $767 million in net inflows, while spot Ethereum ETFs drew $161 million.
In the meantime, Bitcoin price has climbed above the $73,000 threshold after recovering from local lows near $60,000 earlier this month.
This renewed support from institutional investors, along with a resurgence in risk sentiment following the initial shock of the Middle East conflict as investors rotate back into crypto markets while oil prices surge, appears to be supporting the latest rally.
Analysts suggest that the trend is being reinforced by the digital gold narrative, as traditional equity and commodity markets continue to face volatility tied to tensions in the Middle East.
Looking ahead, the market is closely monitoring the $74,000 to $74,500 range, which currently serves as a critical resistance zone. A decisive close above this level could position Bitcoin for a rally higher.
Meanwhile, on the downside, maintaining the $70,000 to $71,500 support region remains essential for preserving the current bullish structure and preventing a retracement toward earlier monthly lows.
Bitcoin achieved new six-week highs at the week’s first Wall Street open, but analysis stayed risk-off, arguing that the long-term BTC price downtrend was still in place.
Bitcoin (BTC) hit $74,600 at Monday’s Wall Street open as US stocks gained on Iran war deescalation signals.
Key points:
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Bitcoin sets another local high near $75,000 after a solid weekly close reclaimed key trend lines.
-
Oil and gold both decline as tensions over the Strait of Hormuz ease slightly.
-
Bitcoin traders are in no mood to trust the current “relief bounce.”
BTC price rises with stocks amid oil pressure
Data from TradingView showed new six-week highs for Bitcoin while stocks opened up 1.5% as oil and gold fell.
Geopolitical headlines steered market moves, with the US saying that it would allow Iranian oil tankers through the Strait of Hormuz. Previously, President Donald Trump pledged to coordinate efforts to reopen the key oil shipping route fully.
As a result, WTI crude oil fell below $100 per barrel, while gold retested the $5,000 mark as support, meeting its 50-day simple moving average (SMA) for the first time since early February.
“BTC and ETH have pushed above $74k and $2,270 respectively, while equities and gold remain under pressure,” trading company QCP Capital wrote in its latest “Market Color” analysis.
“If this pattern persists, it would be a late-quarter plot twist, given crypto’s underdog status and its familiar habit of correlating with traditional assets mostly on the way down.”
QCP mentioned the concept of Bitcoin as a competitor for gold during periods of uncertainty.
“Recent price action suggests the narrative of BTC as a ‘digital safe haven’ or ‘geopolitical hedge’ may be resurfacing, with markets stress-testing that thesis in real time,” it added.
Traders still skeptical on Bitcoin “relief bounce”
After an impressive weekly close, BTC/USD regained key trend lines as support, but traders remained concerned that the latest breakout attempt could collapse.
Related: $58K BTC price still in play? Five things to know in Bitcoin this week
“Longer relief bounce than expected, but in the grand scheme of things – it changes nothing,” trader Jelle wrote in his latest market commentary on X.
“Happily buy a higher low if I’m proven wrong, but until then; patiently waiting for lower prices.”
Jelle added that history demanded continuation of the current bear market to match standard BTC price cycle behavior.
Bull and bear markets have historically lasted similar amounts of time.
If that pattern repeats, we’re not even halfway through this bear market.
Is this time different? $BTC pic.twitter.com/sT7uV4AFE6
— Jelle (@CryptoJelleNL) March 16, 2026
Trader Daan Crypto Trades focused on the latest “gap” in CME Group’s Bitcoin futures created over the weekend near $71,500.
“Good to keep an eye on in case price starts trading into that area. This level also roughly lines up with the range high,” he told X followers about the latest trip past $74,000.
“So as always, not a given that price gets there, but if it does, it’s often good to watch as it can act as a local reversal zone.”
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision. While we strive to provide accurate and timely information, Cointelegraph does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any information in this article. This article may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties. Cointelegraph will not be liable for any loss or damage arising from your reliance on this information.
Crypto World
Australian Senate committee backs digital assets regulatory framework: Senate Economics Legislation Committee
Australia’s Senate Economics Legislation Committee has endorsed proposed legislation to modernize the country’s digital assets regulatory framework.
Australia’s Senate Economics Legislation Committee has backed a proposed legislative framework to modernize digital assets regulation, according to a report published Monday. The committee stated that the new framework will strengthen the regulatory environment for cryptocurrency and digital asset markets in the country.
The endorsement builds on Australia’s prior efforts to establish robust anti-money laundering and counter-terrorism financing (AML/CTF) rules for crypto-assets. The committee has previously recommended introducing new regulatory standards for custody arrangements of digital assets, reflecting ongoing efforts to enhance consumer protection and market integrity in digital asset markets.
Sources: ASIC
This article was generated automatically by The Defiant’s AI news system from publicly available sources.
Crypto World
SEC dismisses civil fraud case against BitClout founder Nader Al-Naji: U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission
The SEC has closed its civil enforcement lawsuit against DeSo creator Nader Al-Naji, ending a case that accused him of wire fraud and selling unregistered securities.
The Securities and Exchange Commission has dismissed its civil lawsuit against Nader Al-Naji, founder of BitClout and the DeSo blockchain, according to a filing on Monday. The regulator ended the enforcement action that had accused Al-Naji of wire fraud and selling unregistered cryptocurrency securities.
The SEC initiated the civil case against Al-Naji in July 2024 as part of a $257 million enforcement action. The dismissal marks a significant development in the regulator’s approach to crypto project founders and decentralized network creators, following months of litigation over allegations that BitClout was misrepresented to investors.
Sources: Court Filing
This article was generated automatically by The Defiant’s AI news system from publicly available sources.
Ironlight Group has raised $21 million in a Series A round to expand infrastructure for tokenized securities, including scaling its alternative trading system (ATS) and technology platform for issuing, distributing and trading digital securities.
The privately held company said the round included backing from institutional investors and financial services executives, led by former TD Bank President and CEO Greg Braca, along with the Sei Development Foundation.
The funds will be used to expand Ironlight’s marketplace infrastructure for tokenized assets, including the Ironlight Markets alternative trading system and its settlement platform. The company operates a broker-dealer and alternative trading system for digital and traditional securities under SEC Regulation ATS and FINRA oversight.
Austin, Texas-based Ironlight said its platform is designed to support tokenized securities across asset classes including private equity, fixed income, structured products, private credit and real estate, with blockchain-based settlement intended to streamline post-trade processes for institutional investors and wealth advisers.
The company added that the capital will support further development of its marketplace as tokenized securities gain traction across private markets and alternative assets.
Related: Metaplanet raises $255M and adds warrant structure for Bitcoin buys
Sei Foundation broadens ecosystem initiatives
The Sei Development Foundation, which participated in the funding round, launched in 2025 as a US-based nonprofit supporting adoption of the Sei blockchain network. Funded by the Sei Foundation, the New York-based organization supports developers through funding programs, education initiatives and ecosystem partnerships.
In March 2025, the Sei Foundation said it was exploring a potential acquisition of genetic testing company 23andMe following its bankruptcy filing, proposing that the company’s genetic data could be placed on blockchain infrastructure to give users greater control over their information. The proposal did not materialize into a deal.
The foundation has also pursued partnerships around blockchain infrastructure. In February, Nasdaq-listed AIxCrypto announced a strategic technology arrangement with the Sei Development Foundation to explore integrations combining artificial intelligence and blockchain systems.
In the first quarter of 2026, Bhutan’s sovereign wealth fund, Druk Holding and Investments (DHI), said it would deploy and operate a validator on the Sei network in collaboration with the Sei Development Foundation as part of the country’s digital transformation efforts.
Sei is a layer-1 blockchain launched in 2023 that focuses on infrastructure for decentralized applications and digital asset trading. The network is backed by investors including Multicoin Capital, Jump and Coinbase Ventures.
Data from CoinGecko shows the price of SEI (SEI) at about $0.069, up about 11% over the past seven days, giving the token a market capitalization of around $465 million. The token’s value peaked above $0.37 in mid-2025.
Magazine: The debate over Bitcoin’s four-year cycle is over: Benjamin Cowen
Strategy expanded its Bitcoin reserves again after executing another large weekly purchase. The move extended the firm’s aggressive accumulation strategy and pushed total holdings above 760,000 coins. Meanwhile, the purchase came as Bitcoin traded above $74,000 during the latest market rally.
Strategy Expands Bitcoin Holdings With $1.57 Billion Purchase
Strategy increased its Bitcoin treasury through a major acquisition announced in a recent regulatory filing. The company purchased 22,337 BTC for approximately $1.57 billion during the latest buying cycle. Furthermore, the average purchase price reached about $70,194 per Bitcoin.
The acquisition marked the company’s largest Bitcoin purchase of the year. It exceeded the 22,305 BTC purchase completed earlier in January. As a result, Strategy reinforced its position as the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin.
The latest purchase also extended the firm’s consistent buying streak. Strategy completed twelve consecutive weekly Bitcoin acquisitions through its treasury strategy. Therefore, the company maintained a steady accumulation pace despite market volatility.
Total holdings now stand at approximately 761,068 BTC across all acquisitions. Strategy acquired these coins for a combined value of roughly $57.61 billion. Consequently, the firm holds Bitcoin at an average cost of about $75,696 per coin.
The company built its Bitcoin treasury over several years through continuous purchases. The strategy began under the leadership of Michael Saylor. Since then, the firm has positioned Bitcoin as its primary treasury reserve asset.
Stock Sales Fund Latest Weekly Bitcoin Acquisition
Strategy financed the latest purchase through share sales under its capital raising programs. The company issued shares of STRC preferred stock and common MSTR stock. These sales generated the funds required for the Bitcoin acquisition.
The company sold approximately 11.8 million STRC shares during the period. That transaction produced net proceeds of roughly $1.18 billion. Meanwhile, Strategy also sold about 2.8 million MSTR shares.
The MSTR share sale raised an additional $396 million in proceeds. Combined funding from both programs supported the $1.57 billion Bitcoin purchase. Therefore, equity issuance remained a key part of the firm’s treasury approach.
This transaction also marked a notable shift in Strategy’s funding structure. The company raised more capital from the STRC at the market program than from MSTR shares. Such a development occurred for the first time this year.
Market data also showed strong trading activity around the STRC instrument. The preferred stock recorded one of its most active trading weeks during the month. Consequently, the strong liquidity supported the company’s financing strategy.
MSTR Stock Rises As Bitcoin Climbs Above $74,000
Strategy’s stock price advanced following the announcement of the new Bitcoin purchase. Market data indicated that MSTR shares traded near $146 during the latest session. The stock gained more than 4% compared with last week’s closing level.
Earlier trading activity pushed the shares even higher before the market opened. The stock reached roughly $149 during premarket trading hours. This movement reflected increased market attention around the company’s Bitcoin strategy.
The rally also coincided with upward momentum in Bitcoin’s price. Bitcoin climbed above $74,000 during intraday trading on the same day. As a result, Strategy’s share performance often mirrored movements in the cryptocurrency market.
Market analysts also evaluated the impact of the latest acquisition on shareholders. Some industry observers described the purchase as the most accretive transaction since November 2024. The analysis focused on how the financing structure supported shareholder value.
Other analysts highlighted the growing use of STRC financing in recent transactions. They noted a shift toward preferred stock funding rather than common share sales. Therefore, the trend may influence how Strategy structures future Bitcoin purchases.
Stretch the Orange Dots. pic.twitter.com/WMVPUxlIcx
— Michael Saylor (@saylor) March 15, 2026
TLDR
- Russia will collect about 567 million rubles or over $7 million in crypto mining taxes for 2025.
- The Federal Tax Service said miners will pay 84 million rubles in personal income tax and 483 million rubles in corporate tax.
- Earlier projections had estimated mining tax revenue at 6 billion rubles, which is far higher than the current figure.
- Officials said rising electricity tariffs and lower Bitcoin prices reduced miners’ profitability.
- Authorities reported that more than two-thirds of active mining enterprises remain unregistered.
Russia will collect about 567 million rubles in taxes from cryptocurrency miners for 2025. The amount equals slightly over $7 million at the current exchange rate. Officials confirmed the figure and outlined lower-than-expected revenue from the regulated mining sector.
Russia Mining Tax Revenue Falls Short of Early Projections
Denis Kuzmichev, head of taxpayer registration at the Federal Tax Service, presented the updated figures during a public briefing. He stated that miners will transfer 84 million rubles in personal income tax and 483 million rubles in corporate income tax. He also said the second quarter of last year generated the highest assessed payments, totaling about 180 million rubles.
Earlier projections had estimated tax revenue of 6 billion rubles, or nearly $74 million. Sergey Bezdelov, Director of the Industrial Mining Association, recalled those expectations during the meeting. He said rising electricity tariffs, a high global Bitcoin hash rate, and lower BTC prices reduced miners’ profitability.
Officials also cited the weaker U.S. dollar against the ruble as a factor affecting returns. Kuzmichev stated that limited legalization has constrained full tax collection. Authorities reported that more than two-thirds of active mining enterprises remain unregistered.
Russia adopted legislation in 2024 to regulate cryptocurrency mining activities. The law permits legal entities, entrepreneurs, and citizens to participate in mining operations. However, companies and entrepreneurs must register with the Federal Tax Service.
Citizens may mine without registration if they consume less than 6,000 kWh per month. All miners must report the type and value of digital assets produced. They must also disclose the hardware used in mining operations.
Russia Expands Mining Capacity While Enforcing Restrictions
The Ministry of Energy reported that the mining industry consumes 16 billion kWh annually. Bezdelov said this accounts for about 2% of Russia’s total electricity demand. Authorities also confirmed that mining farms and data centers reached 4 GW of connected capacity in 2025.
The 4 GW capacity marks a 33% increase compared to the previous year. However, the government imposed a full mining ban in 10 regions. The restrictions target areas in the Far East, Siberia, the Caucasus republics, and occupied territories in Eastern Ukraine.
Officials introduced seasonal bans in the Republic of Buryatia and Zabaykalsky Krai. Those restrictions expired on March 15. However, the federal government is considering year-round limits in both regions.
Lawmakers are preparing new financial penalties for violations of mining rules. The legislative committee at the State Duma approved a bill introducing fines. The draft sets fines between 100,000 and 150,000 rubles for individuals.
Companies could face fines ranging from 1 million to 2 million rubles. Authorities may also suspend operations for up to 90 days. In both cases, officials may confiscate mining equipment.
The bill also targets unregistered mining where registration is required. Fines for such violations range from 100,000 to 500,000 rubles. The State Duma committee recommended the bill for adoption on Monday.
Cryptocurrencies seem to have lost their allure at the South by Southwest (SXSW) festival, giving way this year to panels and events focused on the rise of artificial intelligence.
As the annual Austin, Texas event kicked off last week for a run through Wednesday, only a few official sessions focused on crypto, while a side event, the “Bitcoin Takeover” in downtown Austin, featured Bitcoin (BTC) maximalists and other industry representatives.
“Almost exactly the pattern that’s playing out with AI is what’s playing out with crypto,” Ali Tager, the National Cryptocurrency Association’s vice president of communications, told Cointelegraph, referring to many of the uncertainties from the general public in the early days of the industry.
She added: “I do believe that crypto is just a few years behind on that journey.”
Related: High-yield bond surge signals rising risk, demand in BTC mining, AI infrastructure
In contrast to previous SXSW festivals in Austin, which doted heavily on nonfungible tokens (NFTs) in 2022, focused on Web3 in 2023, and featured Coinbase executives in 2025, the industry representation this year was scant. While there were several panels this year focused on AI through art, music, storytelling, and risk warnings, only a handful featured crypto, and were hosted by the NCA, Solana Foundation, or Foundation Capital.
“The energy is different every single year,” said Tager, referring to SXSW.
Some mining companies also pivoting into AI infrastructure
Amid increasing BTC difficulty and related costs, some of the largest crypto miners in the US have announced plans to shift their business strategies from digital assets to AI and high-performance computing. For companies like Riot Platforms, CleanSpark, MARA Holdings, Core Scientific, Hut 8, and TeraWulf, that includes plans to repurpose some of their infrastructure in data centers toward AI.
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Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.
TraderMap helps crypto traders to track whale activity as institutional capital continues shaping market price movements.
Summary
- TraderMap launches as a unified dashboard for tracking whales, liquidations, and market news.
- TraderMap streams real-time data from exchanges including Binance, Bybit, and OKX.
- The platform aggregates whale trades, liquidations, and headlines into a single zero-latency crypto trading interface.
In the cryptocurrency market, price action is rarely random. It is driven by “Whales”— institutional entities and high-net-worth individuals who possess the capital necessary to shift market structures.
For the retail trader, success often depends on the ability to identify these “Smart Money” footprints before they result in massive price swings.
Whale tracking is the real-time monitoring of large-scale transactions, exchange inflows/outflows, and massive derivative positions.
The importance of the “smart money” flow
- Anticipating Volatility: Large players often position themselves in real-time before major volatility manifests on standard candlestick charts.
- Identifying Accumulation: Monitoring whale trades exactly as they open provides a clear map of institutional movement.
- Avoiding “Retail Traps”: Price spikes are often driven by retail FOMO; whale data helps you distinguish between retail hype and genuine institutional accumulation.
To capture these movements effectively, traders need zero-latency data. Professional tools utilize direct websocket feeds from major exchanges to ensure moves are seen the millisecond they occur, eliminating the “fog” of lagging indicators.
For active traders, the choice of platform is the difference between leading the market and following the noise. While standard blockchain explorers are useful for historical audits, they are far too slow for real-time execution in a market that moves in milliseconds.
TraderMap: The professional standard
For those who prioritize speed, accuracy, and efficiency, TraderMap serves as the definitive centralized command center. It is specifically engineered to eliminate “tab-switching” fatigue — the seconds lost jumping between different sites for prices, news, and alerts — by centralizing everything into a single, zero-latency view.
TraderMap changes the tracking experience by consolidating high-criticality data streams:
- Live Whale & Hyperliquid Trades: Monitor massive institutional positions and high-conviction moves exactly as they open.
- Real-Time Liquidations: Identify exactly where market leverage is being “flushed out” to find superior entry points during periods of maximum retail pain.
- Integrated News Feed: Headlines appear directly alongside price action, ensuring you understand the “why” behind every sudden volatility spike without leaving the interface.
- Zero-Latency Infrastructure: Powered by direct websocket feeds from major exchanges like Binance, Bybit, OKX, and Hyperliquid, the platform delivers data at the speed used by institutional desks.
Tracking whales effectively requires filtering out the “noise” of small retail trades. Here is how to use the TraderMap toolkit to isolate high-conviction moves:
Step 1: Set filters
Navigate to the Position Filters section. To find the “real” money, set the Min Position Size to a significant threshold, such as $1.0m. This ensures feed is only populated by institutional-grade entries.
Step 2: Monitor Hyperliquid positions
Advanced traders use the Hyperliquid Trades section to track large-scale decentralized derivative positions.
- Address Search: If a consistently profitable whale is identified, use the Search User Address feature to track their specific entries and leverage in real-time.
- Long/Short Distribution: Monitor the visual distribution bar (e.g., 62% Long vs. 38% Short) to gauge the immediate directional bias of the market’s biggest players.
Step 3: Correlate with visual momentum
Use the RSI Heatmap and Crypto Bubbles to see which assets are overextended. If a whale makes a massive entry on an asset that the dashboard shows is overbought or oversold, that’s a high-probability trade signal.
Adopting a whale-centric strategy provides several unique advantages that standard technical analysis cannot offer:
- Liquidation Hunting: By tracking real-time Liquidations, users can see exactly where leverage is being “flushed out”. Smart Money often enters at these points of maximum pain for retail traders.
- Contextual Execution: TraderMap integrates a live news feed alongside trade data. This allows users to understand the “why” behind a whale movement, such as an SEC decision, ensuring they aren’t trading in a vacuum.
- Big vs. Small Analysis: Use the Big vs. Small distribution tool to distinguish between genuine institutional accumulation and speculative retail bubbles.
In an industry where information is the ultimate currency, the ability to follow the “Smart Money” is the only way to operate with the clarity of a market veteran. TraderMap provides the institutional-grade tools necessary to turn raw blockchain data into actionable trading intelligence.
Stop guessing and start following the data. Explore the future of real-time crypto intelligence at tradermap.io.
Disclosure: This content is provided by a third party. Neither crypto.news nor the author of this article endorses any product mentioned on this page. Users should conduct their own research before taking any action related to the company.
Bitcoin price rallied to a 5-week high of $74,157 on Monday morning amid institutional and whale accumulation. Can the bellwether climb past the $75,000 psychological support level ahead of the Federal Reserve interest rate decision set to be revealed later this week?
Summary
- Bitcoin price rose to a five-week high of $74,157 as institutional inflows and whale accumulation pushed the asset higher.
- U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have attracted $2.1 billion in inflows over the past three weeks, while large wallets increased their share of the total supply.
- Markets are now watching the $75,000 resistance level ahead of the Federal Reserve interest rate decision expected later this week.
According to data from crypto.news, Bitcoin (BTC) price briefly rose nearly 4% to $74,157 on March 16, pushing its market cap back above $1.48 trillion. Trading at $73,626 when writing, the bellwether now lies 17% above its lowest point this year.
Bitcoin’s price rebound today came as institutions and whales kept buying the dip to bet on the safe-haven asset amid ongoing geopolitical tensions.
Notably, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have experienced back-to-back net inflows over the past three weeks, bringing the total figure to $2.1 billion. The persistent inflow trend has boosted retail sentiment for the token, supporting its gains.
At the same time, Bitcoin’s gains seem to have been supported by whale accumulation. According to on-chain data from Santiment, wallets holding between 10 and 10,000 BTC have entered an accumulation phase, increasing their share of the total supply to 68.17%.
This was noted as a “bullish signal” by Santiment, as it suggests that Bitcoin was moving into the wallets of long-term holders.
Meanwhile, the aggressive buying from Bitcoin treasury companies such as Michael Saylor’s MicroStrategy and Metaplanet has also provided a significant price floor.
In their most recent filings, Strategy has continued its multi-billion-dollar acquisition strategy, while Metaplanet has mirrored this “debt-for-Bitcoin” model to expand its holdings in the Japanese market.
Retail investors have also been rotating capital away from traditional safe-haven assets such as gold and silver into Bitcoin as they prepare for further volatility amid escalating conflict between the U.S. and Iran.
The military escalation and attacks on Iranian infrastructure (such as Kharg Island) have led crude prices to spike to multi-year highs as Iran threatened a total blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, a key global oil artery.
For now, a major catalyst for Bitcoin price would be the Federal Reserve rate cut decision scheduled to be announced on Wednesday, March 18, at 2:00 PM ET.
Economists broadly expect the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates steady in the 3.50% to 3.75% range, likely maintaining a cautious stance as inflation continues to remain elevated due to the shock in oil prices.
While steady rate expectations have historically tempered the rally of risk assets, Bitcoin’s current momentum and its emergence as “digital gold” suggest that a break above the $75,000 psychological resistance could trigger a massive short squeeze toward the $80,000 mark.
Bitcoin price analysis
At press time, technical indicators on the Bitcoin/USDT 1-day chart also seem to present a bullish setup that suggests a significant trend reversal is underway.
Bitcoin price has moved above the 50-day simple moving average at $71,164, which is a key psychological and technical level. Last time when it crossed above this trendline back in early February, BTC rallied nearly 33% within a month.
The 20-day SMA is also on the cusp of completing a bullish crossover with the 50-day SMA, a classic signal often referred to as a golden cross that typically precedes sustained upward momentum.
At the same time, the Aroon lines also added to the bullish outlook with the Aroon Up at 100% in comparison to the Aroon Down at 0%. This is a powerful configuration that hints at a strong emerging uptrend and suggests that buyers are in complete control of the current price action.
For now, the $75,000 zone, which has historically acted as a psychological barrier for traders, will serve as key resistance that would decide the short-term trajectory of the asset. A break above it could embolden bulls to target the next resistance pivot at $80,665.
On the contrary, a drop below the $70,000 support level could invalidate the current breakout and lead to a period of consolidation.
Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.
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