Crypto World
Prediction Market Need Measured Approach to Insider Trading
Prediction market regulators should consider a measured approach to insider trading enforcement as opposed to an outright ban, according to research from an academic at the Stevens Institute of Technology.
In a paper released on June 2, assistant professor of finance Balbinder Singh Gill developed a formal economic model to answer the question of how strictly insider trading in prediction markets should be policed.
A paradox exists in that “the same insider trade that improves the accuracy of the price today can reduce the participation that makes the price informative tomorrow,” he said.
The model showed that prediction market price accuracy is “hump-shaped” in enforcement intensity, with too little enforcement letting insiders crowd out participants, while too much enforcement removes the insider’s genuine informational contribution.
“Tougher enforcement curbs the insider, raising participation, so accuracy is hump-shaped and optimal enforcement is interior, neither laissez-faire nor a ban,” he said.
Insider trading has been a persistent problem for prediction markets, with regulators pushing for crackdowns or banning platforms outright.
The CFTC’s chief enforcement director warned prediction market insider traders in April that violators would face enforcement action. In May, US House lawmakers launched a probe into Kalshi and Polymarket over insider trading.
Different levels of enforcement needed
Singh Gill argued that the level of enforcement should be determined by where the insider information comes from.
Researched information where a trader has worked hard to learn something should have the least, or no enforcement, adding that any crackdown on this level discourages valuable information production.
Related: US House lawmakers launch probe into Kalshi, Polymarket insider trading
Misappropriated information, such as leaked data or classified information, which would be considered insider information, should have a higher level of enforcement.
Meanwhile, cases where the insider can influence the outcome, such as a political candidate betting on their own campaign, should have the most enforcement.
“Trading on a genuine, independently researched edge is the activity society should be most reluctant to punish […] And trading by those who can move the outcome warrants the stiffest enforcement, because their positions invite manipulation.”
Enforcement in a prediction market should be “calibrated rather than maximal,” he concluded.

Balanced enforcement provides optimal welfare. Source: Balbinder Singh Gill
Kalshi to check user employment details
The paper came as Kalshi is introducing new measures to combat insider trading by requiring users in some sensitive markets to disclose employment information.
Users betting in sensitive markets, such as company performance or national security, will need to disclose their employer via an online form. It has also developed a “specific risk score” assigned to markets with heightened insider trading or manipulation risk.
The changes follow an audit committee report recommending better data collection and pressure from lawmakers and regulators.
Two recent high-profile insider trading cases involving competitor Polymarket were flagged and also referenced in Singh Gill’s paper.
A Google employee was charged in May with using insider information about the company’s search trends to make $1.2 million on Polymarket, and a US soldier was charged in April with trading on classified knowledge of a military operation.
Magazine: Vietnam preps crypto pilot, HK pushes tokenization: Asia Express
Crypto World
Standard Chartered backed Anchorpoint set to launch HKDAP stablecoin: report
Standard Chartered-backed Anchorpoint has prepared to launch its Hong Kong dollar stablecoin HKDAP, with a joint announcement expected before the end of July, according to local media.
Summary
- Standard Chartered and Anchorpoint are expected to announce the launch of the Hong Kong dollar stablecoin HKDAP within the next two weeks, according to local media.
- HKDAP received one of Hong Kong’s first stablecoin issuer licenses in April and will be backed one to one by Hong Kong dollar reserves.
- The stablecoin completed a successful Ethereum mainnet transfer test in May ahead of its planned public rollout.
According to local media citing market sources, Standard Chartered Bank (Hong Kong) and Anchorpoint Financial Technology are expected to announce the rollout of HKDAP, a Hong Kong dollar-pegged stablecoin, within the next two weeks.
The report said the launch will come through Anchorpoint, one of the first two companies to receive a stablecoin issuer license from the Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) in April.
If confirmed, the announcement would move the project from regulatory approval into public issuance after months of technical preparation under Hong Kong’s stablecoin framework.
HKDAP moves toward issuance
Anchorpoint is a joint venture backed by Standard Chartered Bank (Hong Kong), HKT and Animoca Brands. When the HKMA granted its first batch of stablecoin issuer licenses in April, Anchorpoint said it planned to begin issuing HKDAP in phases during the second quarter of 2026 under Hong Kong’s Stablecoins Ordinance.
According to Anchorpoint’s earlier announcement, every HKDAP token will be backed one-to-one by high-quality Hong Kong dollar reserves held in segregated accounts, following the reserve and disclosure requirements laid out by the HKMA for fiat-referenced stablecoins.
Earlier company statements also said HKDAP would follow a business-to-business-to-consumer (B2B2C) rollout model before expanding to wider use.
Ethereum testing completed before launch
The expected launch follows a successful Ethereum mainnet transfer test completed in May involving Anchorpoint, licensed digital asset platform OSL Group, and PantherTrade, a trading platform backed by Futu Holdings.
According to participants in the test, the transaction demonstrated that HKDAP could be issued, transferred, and settled on Ethereum’s public blockchain using production-ready infrastructure rather than a sandbox environment. A spokesperson involved in the trial said the transfer validated both the technical architecture and the compliance framework ahead of commercial issuance.
Anchorpoint has previously said deploying HKDAP on Ethereum will allow interoperability with existing wallets, exchanges, and decentralized finance applications while maintaining regulatory oversight under Hong Kong’s licensing regime.
The stablecoin project forms part of Hong Kong’s effort to establish a regulated digital payment asset tied to the Hong Kong dollar as jurisdictions across Asia continue developing licensed stablecoin frameworks. The HKMA issued its first stablecoin issuer licenses to Anchorpoint and HSBC in April under rules requiring full reserve backing, segregated customer assets and ongoing regulatory supervision.
Crypto World
SpaceX Delays Starship Flight 13 After Raptor 3 Engine Abort, SPCX Stock Slides
SpaceX has rescheduled the 13th test flight of its Starship rocket to Thursday, July 23. A Raptor 3 engine ignition failure forced an automatic abort of the earlier attempt.
The setback triggered a fresh slide in SpaceX (SPCX) stock. The rocket will carry 20 V3 Starlink satellites for the first time.
SpaceX Delays Starship Flight 13 to Thursday
SpaceX confirmed the new launch window in a post on X on Monday.
SpaceX had aimed to fly earlier in the week, but several Raptor 3 engines failed to ignite during the countdown. The company has not detailed a root cause. The flight marks the second outing for the newer Starship V3 design. It will lift off from Starbase, Texas.
Starship will also deploy 20 functional V3 Starlink satellites for the first time. SpaceX needs a clean satellite deployment before the rocket can carry heavier commercial payloads.
SPCX Stock Slides Toward Its All-Time Low
SpaceX shares changed hands near $124 on Monday. That marked a drop of more than 5% in a day. The stock now sits close to its 52-week low of $122.12. It sits roughly 23% below its $135 IPO price.
The setback compounds a rough stretch for SpaceX investors. Shares fell below IPO price earlier this month. Short interest climbed sharply during an earlier stock crash, reportedly reaching 185 million shares, or 29% of the tradable float.
Crypto traders can react to the news outside normal market hours. Platforms built on the xStocks framework offer tokenized SpaceX shares backed one to one by SPCX. Other venues list leveraged tokens that amplify each move in either direction.
What’s Next for SpaceX Investors
A clean flight Thursday could help SPCX claw back some losses. Evercore ISI still rates the stock Outperform with a $230 target. The firm argues the drop reflects profit-taking rather than weaker fundamentals.
However, another abort would deepen pressure ahead of August share unlocks. Q2 earnings, due in early August, will also trigger SpaceX’s first major share unlock since the IPO. The Nasdaq-100 inclusion drop already showed how sensitive shares are to news flow, even on a day with otherwise positive headlines.
Thursday’s launch window now carries outsized weight for SPCX holders. Meanwhile, a successful flight could steady sentiment ahead of earnings. A second abort would leave the stock searching for a floor near its all-time low.
The post SpaceX Delays Starship Flight 13 After Raptor 3 Engine Abort, SPCX Stock Slides appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
Hyperliquid plans permissionless HIP 4 prediction market deployment
Hyperliquid has announced plans to introduce permissionless deployment for HIP-4 outcome markets, with the feature set to roll out on testnet before a later mainnet release.
Summary
- Hyperliquid plans to introduce permissionless deployment for HIP 4 outcome markets, starting on testnet before a mainnet rollout.
- Market deployers will need to stake 500,000 HYPE and can face slashing for incorrect or delayed market settlements.
- The proposal follows HIP 4’s launch in May, with prediction markets generating about $100 million in trading volume during the first month.
Hyperliquid said in a Sunday Telegram announcement that the upgrade is intended to support the expansion of outcome markets, where the number of possible tradeable events is too large for validators alone to manage.
Under the proposed system, validators will vote on standardized outcome templates that define how markets should be structured. Those templates will be stored and enforced onchain, allowing anyone to deploy new markets using approved formats instead of requiring validator approval for every listing.
Once a template is approved, deployers will create individual markets and will be responsible for defining and settling them according to the template’s rules. Hyperliquid said validator-created “canonical markets” will continue to exist but are expected to remain rare, with fewer than 10 such outcomes or questions deployed each year through validator votes.
Deployers face staking and settlement requirements
To participate, HIP-4 deployers will need to stake 500,000 HYPE. Hyperliquid said validators can partially or fully slash that stake if markets are poorly defined, are settled incorrectly, or remain unresolved for more than one week.
Similar to the network’s HIP-3 framework, the stake will remain locked for six months, and deployers must settle every outstanding market before they can withdraw it.
Each deployer will initially receive capacity for 100 outcomes, equivalent to 200 outcome tokens. Multi-outcome markets will use more of that allocation, while settled markets will release capacity for future deployments. Hyperliquid also said it plans to introduce an auction system that will allow deployers to increase their allocation.
Market creators will be allowed to charge fees of up to 50% on their own markets. Hyperliquid noted that the proposal remains preliminary and could change after community feedback.
The latest proposal builds on Hyperliquid’s rollout of HIP-4 in May, when the network introduced prediction markets to its high-performance blockchain. According to Hyperliquid, the feature generated roughly $100 million in trading volume during its first month.
The update comes as Hyperliquid continues to gain attention across both decentralized and traditional finance. Earlier this month, Bitwise added HYPE to its Bitwise 10 Crypto Index ETF (BITW) with an allocation of about 0.95%, placing the token alongside the largest crypto assets in a diversified index fund.
The inclusion followed Hyperliquid’s reported $1.34 trillion in trading volume and $320 million in revenue during the first half of 2026, according to Bitwise’s latest index update and previous reporting.
Crypto World
Japanese logistics firm AZ COM Maruwa adopts JPYC for contractor payments
Japanese logistics firm AZ-COM Maruwa Holdings has announced plans to adopt the JPYC stablecoin for payments to about 2,300 business partners, in what is expected to become Japan’s first large-scale corporate use of a yen-denominated stablecoin.
Summary
- AZ COM Maruwa plans to use JPYC to pay about 2,300 business partners, including truck drivers.
- Faster and more frequent payments are expected as JPYC transactions do not carry transfer fees.
- The move comes as Japan advances crypto reforms and stablecoin adoption for regulated financial services.
Japanese business daily Nikkei reported that the logistics company will use JPYC to pay transportation-related fees and compensation to individual contractors, including truck drivers. Because the stablecoin does not charge transfer fees, the company expects to process payments more quickly and more frequently than through conventional bank transfers.
Alongside the payment rollout, AZ-COM Maruwa is considering a partnership with JPYC Inc. and an investment of more than 1 billion Japanese yen, or about $6.2 million, according to the report. The companies have not disclosed a timeline for either proposal.
AZ-COM Maruwa, a mid-sized logistics provider whose major customers include Amazon Japan, would become one of the first large corporations in the country to integrate a yen-backed stablecoin into routine business payments if the plan moves forward.
The proposed deployment comes as Japan continues reshaping its digital asset framework to accommodate institutional blockchain applications.
Earlier this month, Japan enacted amendments to the Financial Instruments and Exchange Act that classify cryptocurrencies as financial products instead of payment instruments. As previously reported by crypto.news, the legislation also lays the legal groundwork for domestic crypto exchange-traded funds, introduces insider trading rules for digital assets and sets the stage for a separate crypto tax regime expected to take effect in 2028.
Corporate interest in regulated blockchain payments has also been increasing. Japan’s SBI Holdings and the Solana Foundation recently partnered to establish SBI Solana Global, a venture focused on building onchain financial infrastructure in Japan. Their plans include supporting yen-denominated stablecoins, tokenized securities and institutional settlement services.
Within that regulatory environment, businesses have started exploring stablecoins as a payment tool rather than limiting their use to crypto trading.
“We will continue to advance the integration of logistics and commercial payment flows with JPYC,” Noritaka Okabe, founder and chief executive officer of JPYC Inc., said in a statement.
Crypto World
Allbridge Pauses Protocol After $1.65M Exploit Drains Stablecoin Liquidity Pools
Cross-chain stablecoin bridge, Allbridge Core, suffered a security exploit that resulted in losses of approximately $1.65 million, according to blockchain security firm PeckShield.
The firm said the attacker has already bridged the stolen funds from Solana to Ethereum.
Allbridge Responds
Allbridge confirmed experiencing a security incident and that the protocol has been paused as a precaution while the team investigates. The project also urged users with liquidity in affected pools to withdraw their funds immediately.
According to Allbridge, the exploit created a temporary positive arbitrage opportunity due to an imbalance in the affected liquidity pools. The team asked anyone who profited from the arbitrage to voluntarily return the funds, while adding that they would be used to compensate affected liquidity providers.
Meanwhile, blockchain security firm Onchain Labs explained that the exploit began with a $1.12 million USDC flash loan obtained from Kamino on Solana. The attacker allegedly used rapid USDC and USDT swaps to manipulate Allbridge Core’s stablecoin pool ratios before withdrawing liquidity at distorted rates, repaying the flash loan within the same transaction, and extracting the funds. Onchain Labs added that the stolen assets were later moved through privacy protocols for mixing.
Allbridge has faced a similar attack before. In April 2023, the protocol lost around $573,000 in a flash loan exploit on BNB Chain. The attacker took advantage of a bug in the smart contract to manipulate token swap prices, which allowed them to steal about $289,900 in BUSD and $290,900 in USDT.
A String of Bridge Exploits
Cross-chain bridges remain a favorite target for hackers. In April, Syndicate Labs lost about $330,000 worth of SYND tokens after a leaked private key let an attacker take control of its Commons bridge contracts.
A month later, the Verus-Ethereum bridge was exploited for more than $11 million because one of its contracts failed to validate transactions properly, although most of the funds were later returned.
In June, the Ethereum Layer 2 network Taiko told users to pull their assets from its bridges after attackers stole $1.7 million from one of its bridge protocols.
The post Allbridge Pauses Protocol After $1.65M Exploit Drains Stablecoin Liquidity Pools appeared first on CryptoPotato.
Crypto World
South Korea flags 40 cases of crypto market manipulation since 2024
South Korean financial authorities investigated more than 40 cases of unfair crypto trading during the first two years of the Virtual Asset User Protection Act, according to Financial Services Commission Chair Lee Eog-won.
Summary
- Korean regulators investigated over 40 unfair crypto trading cases during the law’s first two years.
- Authorities referred more than 30 cases for investigation and identified 25 suspects linked to misconduct.
- Regulators plan stronger AI-based surveillance as South Korea expands oversight of high-risk crypto market activity.
The cases covered suspected market manipulation and other fraudulent trading activity.
Authorities reported or referred more than 30 cases to investigative agencies and identified 25 suspects. Lee said average unlawful gains reached about 1.4 billion Korean won, or roughly $940,000, per case. He published the figures as the law marked two years since taking effect in July 2024.
“Today marks the second anniversary of the enactment of the Virtual Asset User Protection Act,” Lee wrote.
He said the law brought the crypto market into a formal legal framework and created a system aimed at protecting users.
Regulators plan wider market surveillance
The Virtual Asset User Protection Act sets rules for how virtual asset service providers handle customer funds and assets. It requires providers to separate customer holdings from company assets and keep user deposits with banks. The law also gives regulators powers to inspect service providers and act against practices such as insider trading, wash trading and market manipulation.
South Korea has used those powers in several recent cases. As crypto.news reported earlier this month, the FSC referred two suspected market manipulation cases to prosecutors. One case involved a trader accused of buying close to half of a token’s circulating supply before selling into rising demand. The regulator warned users about sharp price and volume moves linked to low-liquidity tokens.
The latest two-year figures show that enforcement has moved beyond individual cases. The FSC said authorities have targeted short-term price manipulation and other trading patterns that can distort markets. Lee added that regulators plan to improve surveillance, investigation and monitoring systems with artificial intelligence and focus more closely on high-risk areas.
“We will continue to enhance market surveillance, investigation and monitoring systems based on AI,” Lee said. The regulator has not disclosed a full public list of the 40-plus cases or detailed the status of every referral.
Meanwhile, South Korea continues to expand its digital asset rules.The government is moving to bring cryptocurrencies and other digital assets under a new state asset management framework. The proposal would extend state asset rules beyond traditional holdings such as real estate.
Authorities have also increased scrutiny of unregistered crypto operators. Crypto.news reported in June that the Financial Intelligence Unit had referred about 40 unregistered operators to law enforcement and warned users about risks tied to platforms operating outside the country’s registration system.
The Virtual Asset User Protection Act took effect on July 19, 2024, as South Korea’s first dedicated law focused on crypto user protection and unfair trading. Two years later, regulators are using the framework to pursue alleged market abuse while preparing wider digital asset rules and new monitoring tools.
Crypto World
Bitcoin flat near $64,000 as oil hits a one-month high and Kimi AI selloff lingers
Equities and technology bets are still recovering from Friday. Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3, a Chinese open-weight model that took the top spot in a widely watched coding benchmark, triggered a semiconductor selloff that dragged crypto down with it to close last week.
The aftershock ran through Asia on Monday, with South Korea’s Kospi falling 3.5% as traders returned from their own holiday. U.S. futures steadied, with the Nasdaq 100 up 0.5%, but the question the release raised has not gone away.
For crypto the two forces roughly cancel. War-driven oil is inflationary, which is bad for risk assets and for the case that the Federal Reserve holds rates steady. Meanwhile, a Chinese model undercutting the AI trade pressures the chip stocks that bitcoin has tended to track all month.
The week’s test is corporate, not macro. There are no major U.S. economic releases, so the read on the AI trade comes from earnings, with Alphabet reporting Tuesday, Tesla Wednesday and Intel Thursday.
After last week’s wobble in AI and semiconductor shares, those results will set whether the capital spending underwriting the sector, and the miner-to-AI pivot riding on it, still has a floor.
Crypto World
BTC ETFs attract $273 million in two weeks. That’s peanuts compared to recent exodus
That interpretation is intuitive given that ETFs, which let investors gain exposure to the cryptocurrency without owning it directly, are widely seen as a cleaner crypto market gateway for institutions. As a result, positive ETF inflows are taken to mean BTC is receiving institutional support, while outflows suggest the opposite.
Bitcoin’s price too has stabilized between $64,000 and $65,000 lately, offering hope that a bottom may be in. Prices peaked above $126,000 in October last year.
On the surface, it looks like the tide has turned. However, there is a massive caveat that makes these ETF inflows look like statistical noise rather than a structural shift.
The peanuts reality check
The hype surrounding this $273 million inflow quickly evaporates when compared to the carnage of the preceding eight weeks. During that two-month outflow streak, the market watched billions of dollars walk out the door.
To put the current “recovery” in perspective: the total amount of money that has entered the market over the last 14 days ($273 million) is barely more than the smallest single-week outflow recorded during that eight-week slump, which was $226.84 million in the week ended June 18.
In other words, it took two full weeks of “renewed optimism” just to offset the quietest week of the recent sell-off.
Crypto World
Cardano activates van Rossem hard fork as Leios upgrade draws closer
Cardano has activated the van Rossem hard fork, moving its mainnet to Protocol Version 11 after the upgrade took effect at the epoch boundary on July 18.
Summary
- Cardano activated Protocol Version 11 after governance approval moved the van Rossem hard fork forward.
- The upgrade improves Plutus costs while preparing Cardano for Ouroboros Leios and higher future throughput.
- Van Rossem is Cardano’s first hard fork ratified through onchain governance, marking a governance milestone.
Intersect confirmed that the hard fork had been successfully enacted after weeks of testing, infrastructure updates, and governance voting.
The upgrade follows its ratification on July 13 by Cardano’s delegated representatives, stake pool operators, and Constitutional Committee. The Cardanoscan governance record shows that the proposal called for Protocol Version 11. Intersect reported 77.63% DRep support and 52.7% SPO support when the required thresholds were met.
Van Rossem is an intra-era hard fork, so Cardano remains within the Conway era while updating parts of its protocol. The upgrade introduces new Plutus capabilities and cost model changes designed to make some smart contract operations cheaper. It also includes technical updates aimed at improving Plutus performance and other parts of the network.
The mainnet activation followed earlier testing on the Preview and Preprod networks. Preview moved to Protocol Version 11 in May, while the Preprod upgrade followed in June after developers addressed tooling compatibility issues. As previously reported by crypto.news, the mainnet proposal arrived in June after those testing and preparation stages.
Dijkstra and Ouroboros Leios come next
The van Rossem hard fork also prepares Cardano for its next planned protocol upgrade. Input Output said, “As well as Plutus improvements and Plutus Cost Model enhancements, this upgrade lays the foundation for the next upgrade, the Dijkstra era hard fork, which will introduce Ouroboros Leios to Cardano.”
Leios is a proposed upgrade to Cardano’s Ouroboros proof-of-stake system that aims to raise transaction throughput while keeping its existing security model. Development remains underway. According to the latest Cardano weekly report, the consensus team has continued stabilizing the Leios testnet, released two new prototype builds, and worked on changes intended to improve block certification rates. Crypto.news previously reported that Leios forms part of Cardano’s wider protocol development roadmap.
Onchain governance takes control of the upgrade process
Van Rossem also marks the first Cardano hard fork to move through the network’s Voltaire onchain governance system rather than relying on the earlier coordination model led by founding development groups. Cardano said the final decision to ratify and execute the upgrade rested with DReps, SPOs, and the Constitutional Committee after technical teams completed the required preparation.
The process follows Cardano’s broader move toward community-led decisions. The same system has also produced different outcomes for funding proposals. As crypto.news reported earlier, the community rejected a 7.8 million ADA request for the 2026 Cardano Summit, leading to its cancellation. Meanwhile, other treasury funding has supported protocol work that includes Leios, Hydra, and Mithril.
With van Rossem now active, Cardano is operating on Protocol Version 11 while development continues on Dijkstra and Ouroboros Leios. The network has not announced a final mainnet launch date for Leios, although recent ecosystem coverage has placed the planned scaling upgrade later in 2026.
Crypto World
South Korea Cracks Down on 40 Crypto Manipulation Cases Since the 2024 Law
South Korea’s financial authorities have investigated 40 crypto market manipulation cases since the country’s user-protection law took effect in 2024, referring more than 30 to investigative agencies.
The Financial Services Commission’s Chairman shared the figures to mark the law’s second anniversary. The cases exposed 25 suspects across two years of enforcement.
Korea’s Virtual Asset User Protection Act Marks 2 Years of Enforcement
South Korea passed the Virtual Asset User Protection Act on July 19, 2024. The measure gave regulators dedicated tools to punish abuse in the crypto market.
The Financial Services Commission then built a specialized investigation unit. It later added digital forensics and refined the operation of the penalty surcharge system.
That buildout produced roughly 40 completed investigations. Regulators also referred more than 30 confirmed cases to investigative agencies for prosecution.
“Financial authorities plan to keep strengthening efforts to stamp out unfair trading in the virtual asset market, including using AI to improve the efficiency of market surveillance and investigations,” the notice read.
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Average illicit gains reached about 1.4 billion won per case. Meanwhile, eight cases ranged from 500 million to 5 billion won, and one exceeded 5 billion won.
Regulators also imposed penalties of 125% to 165% of illicit gains in two cases. The authorities framed the results as a base for rebuilding market trust.
However, regulators signaled the work is far from finished. They plan to introduce account and bank-account payment suspension powers to block hidden proceeds.
A reporting and reward system for unfair trading is also under review for the second-phase legislation. Authorities intend to expand AI-based market surveillance alongside these measures.
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The post South Korea Cracks Down on 40 Crypto Manipulation Cases Since the 2024 Law appeared first on BeInCrypto.
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