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Ripple CEO Joins CFTC Panel

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XRP Realized Profit/Loss

XRP price has struggled to recover in recent days, raising concerns about a potential repeat of the 2021-2022 bear market.

While weakness persists, a recent development involving Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse could shift sentiment.

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XRP May Not Imitate The Past

Brad Garlinghouse has joined the Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s Innovation Advisory Committee. This appointment marks a significant milestone for Ripple and the broader XRP ecosystem. The same regulatory environment that challenged Ripple for nearly five years is now seeking industry input.

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For XRP supporters, this signals growing regulatory normalization. Engagement with the CFTC may enhance Ripple’s credibility in US policy discussions. Constructive dialogue could ease uncertainty and reduce the long-term legal overhang that previously weighed on the XRP price.

Recently realized profit-and-loss data show a spike in sales. Some observers compare this activity to early signals seen before the 2022 bear market. However, in 2022, sustained distribution lasted nearly four months. Current selling lacks that duration and intensity, reducing the probability of a prolonged downturn for XRP.

Want more token insights like this? Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariya’s Daily Crypto Newsletter here.

XRP Realized Profit/Loss
XRP Realized Profit/Loss. Source: Glassnode

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Selling Exists, But It’s Not a Concern

Exchange balance data suggests selling pressure remains measured. Roughly 100 million XRP moved to exchanges over the past 10 days, valued at $130 million. While notable, the scale does not indicate widespread panic.

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In November 2025, 130 million XRP was sold within 72 hours. That episode reflected sharper urgency among holders. Compared to that event, current flows appear controlled and less aggressive.

XRP Exchange Balance
XRP Exchange Balance. Source: Glassnode

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Moderate selling combined with positive regulatory developments could stabilize sentiment. If distribution does not accelerate, XRP may absorb supply without severe downside extension. Market participants are watching closely for confirmation through on-chain metrics.

XRP Has Room To Recover

The liquidation heatmap shows limited immediate obstacles to recovery. XRP faces its next major resistance between $1.78 and $1.80. This zone represents a potential profit-taking area rather than an immediate structural ceiling.

Absence of dense liquidation clusters below current levels reduces short-term risk of cascading sell-offs. If momentum improves, XRP has room to advance before encountering significant overhead supply. That technical flexibility supports a cautiously constructive outlook.

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XRP CBD Heatmap
XRP CBD Heatmap. Source: Glassnode

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XRP Price Needs To Bounce Back

XRP trades at $1.35 and is slipping below the $1.36 support level. The next key support lies near $1.27, aligning with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Despite recent weakness, broader factors suggest a balanced risk profile.

Garlinghouse’s CFTC appointment may improve investor confidence. If XRP reclaims $1.51, a recovery rally could unfold. Sustained strength above that threshold may drive price toward the supply zone above $1.76.

XRP Price Analysis
XRP Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

However, a breakdown below $1.27 would shift momentum decisively. Panic selling could intensify if support fails. A drop toward $1.11 would invalidate the bullish thesis and extend the current corrective phase.

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Crypto World

$80M Hyperliquid Whale Bet Predicts Bitcoin Crash and Oil Rally

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$80M Hyperliquid Whale Bet Predicts Bitcoin Crash and Oil Rally

Key takeaways:

  • A Hyperliquid whale placed an $80 million bet against Bitcoin and the S&P 500 while going long on Brent crude oil prices.

  • The whale’s history of massive losses and inconsistent signals suggests the trade could fall on the wrong side of the market.

Bitcoin (BTC) showed strength on Wednesday, bouncing back from Tuesday’s $66,000 low after President Donald Trump teased a potential ceasefire in the US and Israel-Iran war. Even with Bitcoin trading above $68,000, one whale used Hyperliquid DEX to place an $80 million bet on a market collapse. 

Traders are now watching closely to see if this whale’s massive position signals a looming Bitcoin price drop.

Hyperliquid whale 0x94d373…c933814 position. Source: CoinGlass

The Hyperliquid whale, linked to address 0x94d373…c933814, carefully built this nearly $80 million leveraged position between Tuesday and Wednesday. The trade includes a $40 million short (sell) on Bitcoin futures near $68,760, a $2 million short on synthetic S&P 500 Index contracts, and a $37 million long (buy) in synthetic Brent oil contracts.

Crude Brent oil (left) vs. Bitcoin/USD (right). Source: TradingView

The whale’s aggregate position leverage stood at 7 times, indicating high conviction. The Bitcoin futures liquidation price was $80,083, while the Brent oil position would be forcefully terminated above $93. The timing of the trade is curious as S&P 500 Index futures gained 4% between Tuesday and Wednesday as traders anticipate the US and Israel-Iran war dissipating over the next few weeks.

On Wednesday, President Trump said “Iran’s New Regime President” is considering a “ceasefire,” although the conditions to fully reopen the Strait of Hormuz remain unknown. Iran demands reparations and sovereignty. Thus, one could assume that the Hyperliquid whale is counter-trading the market’s optimistic take, betting that Brent crude oil prices will jump while Bitcoin loses its value.

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This Hyperliquid whale previously lost $40 million

This address belongs to a particularly unlucky whale, or at least one who has been extremely unsuccessful since late January. The Hyperliquid whale apparently uses bots for execution, given the sheer number of small trades that build into huge positions, but it still managed to lose $37 million in its first month of activity in December 2025.

The same user was flagged by X user ‘lookonchain’ on Feb. 5 after taking a massive loss on leveraged bullish bets on Ether (ETH), Bitcoin, Solana (SOL), and XRP (XRP). 

Source: X/lookonchain

According to the analysis, the whale had previously made $25 million in profits from shorts in multiple cryptocurrencies, but decided to flip the position on Feb. 4, resulting in a $40 million loss. There is no way to know exactly what triggered this entity to place those bets, but the event proves that even whales can misinterpret the market.

Related: Warren Buffett bought $17B in US T-bills: A bad omen for Bitcoin price?

The erratic signals from President Trump regarding a potential full-on invasion and the war in Iran leave room for opposing views. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi denied there were talks for a ceasefire but confirmed to Al Jazeera on Tuesday that there was an intention to end the war, according to CNBC.

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Given the history of this whale’s market positioning and its track record of losing trades, it’s possible that the current $80 million bet may fall on the wrong side of the market.