Solana’s price has staged a sharp rebound after one of its steepest declines. After breaking down from its descending channel on February 4, SOL plunged nearly 30% to around $67. Since then, the token has recovered more than 15%, climbing back toward the $78 region.

At first glance, the bounce looks encouraging. However, on-chain data suggests that the rebound may be driven by short-term speculation rather than strong long-term demand. Historical patterns show that similar recoveries often fade quickly when speculative money comes in strongly. Current metrics indicate that Solana may still be vulnerable to another leg lower if one key level isn’t reclaimed.

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Descending Channel Breakdown Triggered the 30% Drop

Solana’s sell-off accelerated after the price decisively broke the lower trendline of its descending channel on February 4, in line with an earlier SOL price analysis.

Once the lower trendline support failed, SOL quickly moved toward its projected downside target near $67, completing a decline of nearly 30% from recent highs.

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After reaching the $67 zone, buyers stepped in and triggered a rebound toward $78. While this move represents a recovery of more than 15%, the broader technical structure has not improved.

Similar rebounds in past cycles have often occurred after major dips, but they rarely marked durable reversals unless supported by strong accumulation. So far, the current bounce lacks that confirmation as the buyer persona is now under the scanner.

Short-Term Buyers Lead the Rebound as Long-Term Holders Reduce Exposure

On-chain data shows that Solana’s rebound is being driven mainly by short-term holders rather than long-term investors. According to the HODL waves metric, which separates wallets by time held, the one-day to one-week cohort increased its share of supply from 4.49% to 6.08% between February 4 and February 6.

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This represents a sharp rise in speculative participation over a short period. Historically, this group tends to sell quickly during periods of weakness, making their buying activity unreliable as a foundation for sustained rallies.

A similar pattern appeared in late January. On January 27, short-term holders controlled around 5.26% of the supply. By January 31, their share had dropped to 4.38% as they sold into weakness. During that period, Solana’s price fell from around $127 to $105, a roughly 17% decline.

This behavior highlights how quickly short-term buyers can exit when momentum fades. With their current share rising again, the recent rebound risks unraveling if selling pressure returns.

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At the same time, long-term holders continue to reduce exposure. The Hodler net position change metric, which tracks long-term investor holdings, has declined from approximately 2.87 million SOL on February 3 to around 2.37 million SOL by February 5. A 17% dip in two days, amid the dip.

This shows that investors holding for more than 155 days are still distributing rather than accumulating.

When short-term buyers are increasing exposure while long-term holders are exiting, it usually signals weak market conditions. This imbalance suggests that conviction remains weak and that the rebound is not being supported by strong capital inflows.

Solana Price Levels Show Why the Recovery Remains Unproven

Solana’s price structure reflects the weakness seen in on-chain data.

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The first key level to watch is $93. Reclaiming this zone would require another move of nearly 19% from current levels and would signal a meaningful improvement in market structure and even Hodler confidence. Without a sustained break above this level, upside attempts are likely to face selling pressure.

Above $93, stronger resistance sits near $105 and $121, where previous breakdowns occurred. These zones would need to be reclaimed before a medium-term recovery could be confirmed.

On the downside, the $67 region remains critical support. This level marked the recent cycle low. A sustained break below $67 would expose the next downside target near $59.

If $59 fails, Solana could enter a deeper corrective phase, bringing lower support zones into play. Such a move would likely be accompanied by further selling from short-term holders and continued distribution from long-term investors.

Until Solana reclaims $93 while long-term accumulation returns and speculative activity cools, the rebound remains technically and structurally weak. Under current conditions, price bounces are still vulnerable to rapid reversals.

TLDR

• Toyota reported Q3 operating profit of $7.6 billion, beating Wall Street estimates of $6.7 billion as higher prices and a weaker yen offset U.S. tariff impacts.
• The automaker raised its full-year profit forecast by $2.6 billion to $24.2 billion, citing strong sales and cost-cutting measures.
• Toyota stock rose 2% in overseas trading following the earnings beat despite implied Q4 guidance falling below analyst projections.
• CEO Koji Sato will step down and be replaced by CFO Kenta Kon, with Sato moving to vice chairman and chief industry officer roles.
• The company trimmed annual vehicle sales forecast to 9.75 million units from 9.8 million due to production disruptions in Brazil and continued U.S. tariff pressure.

Toyota stock climbed 2% in Friday trading after the Japanese automaker reported fiscal third-quarter earnings that crushed Wall Street expectations. The strong results came despite ongoing pressure from U.S. tariffs.

The company posted operating profit of ¥1.2 trillion ($7.6 billion) for the quarter ending December 31. Analysts had projected just $6.7 billion.

Higher vehicle prices helped the automaker maintain profitability. A weaker yen also provided a boost to the bottom line.

Toyota Motor Corporation, TM

Toyota’s U.S.-listed American depositary receipts gained 1.8% in premarket trading. The stock has climbed 25% over the past 12 months.

Tariff Impact Less Severe Than Expected

U.S. import duties on Japanese vehicles remain at 15% after President Donald Trump reduced them from an initial 25% following a trade deal with Tokyo. Many analysts feared these tariffs would severely damage Toyota’s profit margins.

The third-quarter results showed those fears were overblown. Toyota managed to offset the tariff costs through pricing power and currency benefits.

Revenue grew nearly 8% year-over-year to ¥13.5 trillion. Net income fell 40% to ¥1.3 trillion, reflecting increased costs and investment spending.

The automaker increased its full-year profit forecast by ¥400 billion ($2.6 billion) to ¥3.8 trillion ($24.2 billion). The raised guidance reflects better-than-expected performance in the first three quarters.

Mixed Outlook for Fourth Quarter

Toyota’s implied fourth-quarter operating profit guidance sits at approximately $3.8 billion. Wall Street analysts currently project $5.6 billion for the period.

Last year, Toyota reported $7.7 billion in operating profit during the fiscal fourth quarter. The company’s fiscal year runs through March 31.

Toyota trimmed its annual vehicle sales forecast to 9.75 million units from 9.8 million. Production disruptions in Brazil contributed to the reduced outlook.

Chinese sales continue to face pressure as diplomatic tensions between Tokyo and Beijing persist. U.S. tariffs remain a headwind despite the recent reduction.

Leadership Transition Announced

Toyota announced a major leadership change alongside its earnings report. CEO Koji Sato will step down from his position.

CFO Kenta Kon will take over as chief executive. Sato will remain with Toyota as vice chairman and chief industry officer.

The leadership transition comes as Toyota navigates a challenging global trade environment. The company continues implementing cost-cutting measures to maintain profitability.

Foreign exchange movements provided tailwinds during the quarter. The yen’s weakness against the dollar helped offset some cost pressures.

Car stocks have performed well recently despite tariff concerns. Ford Motor stock is up 48% over the past year, while General Motors has gained 74%.

Toyota’s strong quarterly results and raised full-year guidance were enough to satisfy investors on Friday. The company’s ability to beat estimates while managing tariff headwinds demonstrates pricing power in a difficult environment.

South Korea’s cryptocurrency exchange Bithumb faced a major operational mishap on February 6, 2026, which quickly sent the BTC/KRW trading pair down by double digits.

It brings to mind past controversies about the exchange, including incidents of partial liability in data leaks.

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Bithumb’s Accidental 2,000 BTC Airdrop Sparks 10% Bitcoin Crash on Exchange

Reportedly, a staff member accidentally sent 2,000 Bitcoin (BTC) to hundreds of users instead of the intended 2,000 Korean Won (KRW) reward.

The error triggered an immediate wave of sell-offs, sending Bitcoin’s price on the exchange more than 10% below global market rates.

Dumpster DAO core member Definalist first reported the incident, citing a routine airdrop meant as a small incentive for platform users.

Amidst the chaos, some users reportedly benefited significantly from the mistake, selling their unexpected Bitcoin windfall at market prices.

The accidental BTC distribution has raised questions about internal controls and risk management at crypto exchanges, particularly those handling high-value digital assets.

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“Crazy to think that exchanges can still do paper trading like this, even in 2026 lmao,” remarked Definalist.

Notably, however, the Bitcoin price crash was largely confined to Bithumb due to the exchange’s isolated order book. Users sold massive amounts of BTC directly on Bithumb, overwhelming its liquidity and causing a 10% local drop.

Other exchanges remained unaffected because the selling pressure didn’t enter their markets, and global arbitrage mechanisms hadn’t yet adjusted the discrepancy, keeping the impact largely contained.

Notwithstanding, the incident highlights the operational risks that can persist even in major exchanges, despite years of industry maturation. It also shows how a simple input error can cascade into substantial market disruption.

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Bithumb did not immediately respond to BeInCrypto’s request for comment and has not yet released an official public statement on corrective measures.

Still, the event could influence market confidence in the short term, particularly on exchanges where operational errors have immediate price consequences.

Bithumb’s Operational History and Corporate Changes Highlight Ongoing Risks

Bithumb itself has a checkered history with security and operational issues. In 2017, a data breach exposed customer information, and in a 2020 ruling, local media reported that the exchange was found partially liable in one case in which a user lost $27,200.

The court ruled that, although Bithumb’s database had been accessed, the claimants should have recognized the scam attempts and awarded only $5,000 in damages.

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Other claims were dismissed because the court found the private information could have been obtained elsewhere.

Bithumb has also undergone significant corporate changes in recent years. In 2018, the exchange sold a 50% stake to BK Global Consortium, a group led by startup investor Kim Byung-gun, who was already the company’s fifth-largest shareholder.

This acquisition came amid a broader contraction in the crypto sector investment. According to FinTech Global research, global crypto investments peaked at $7.62 billion in 2018 before falling to $3.11 billion in 2019. In the first half of 2020 alone, the sector raised just $578.2 million.

This latest mishap adds to Bithumb’s long history of operational challenges, reinforcing the view that while crypto adoption is growing, the sector remains vulnerable to human and technical errors, even in leading exchanges.

Wall Street bank Citigroup is dialing back expectations for Coinbase (COIN) amid a risk-off mood gripping markets.

In a Friday note to clients, the bank’s analysts lowered their price target on the crypto exchange to $400 from $505, citing weaker trading volumes, softer institutional activity and ongoing uncertainty around the timing of U.S. crypto legislation.

The new $400 price target still represents more than a doubling in price from COIN’s close last night of $146. The same analyst team lifted its price target on COIN to $505 in July 2025 as the stock was hitting a record high near $450.

Shares are up 6% in pre-market action on Friday as crypto markets recover a bit from Thursday’s crash that saw bitcoin plunge all the way to $60,000.

Despite the near-term reset, the firm reiterated its buy/high risk rating, calling Coinbase the category leader and a prime beneficiary of eventual crypto reform. Progress on CLARITY, Citi said, remains the key catalyst for reviving the stock’s momentum.

The bank now expects Senate negotiations over the market structure bill to stretch beyond 2026, even as groundwork continues.

Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong said his firm had pulled support for a sweeping digital assets bill after finding provisions that could have harmed consumers and stifled competition.

The bill has repeatedly lost steam as crypto and banking lobbyists clash over stablecoin yield, while lawmakers from both parties remain deadlocked on several other provisions.

Marking current crypto prices to market, analysts led by Peter Christiansen cut their near-term forecasts, trimming Coinbase fourth-quarter 2025 net revenue by roughly 10% to $1.69 billion, about 4% below consensus.

After factoring in a $2.3 billion mark-to-market decline on crypto holdings and Coinbase’s equity stake in Circle (CRCL), the analysts now forecast a fourth-quarter GAAP EPS loss of $2.64.

Coinbase will release fourth quarter and full year 2025 financial results after the close on February 12.

Read more: Citi says CLARITY Act momentum builds, but DeFi fight could stall crypto bill

ARK Invest, the asset manager led by Cathie Wood, has shifted its trading stance on crypto equities, moving away from Coinbase stock as the shares extended declines and turning toward Bullish, the NYSE-listed digital asset platform. In a Thursday filing observed by researchers, ARK sold 119,236 shares of Coinbase stock (EXCHANGE: COIN) for roughly $17.4 million, a move that comes on the heels of a smaller purchase the prior day. The stock has struggled this year, trading down about a third and stepping near multi-month lows as macro and crypto headwinds weigh on the sector. Despite the sale, ARK still holds a sizable stake in COIN across its flagship funds, underscoring the fund’s longer-term, high-conviction strategy in crypto-exposed equities.

Key takeaways

• ARK sold 119,236 Coinbase shares (EXCHANGE: COIN) for around $17.4 million, marking its first Coinbase exit in 2026 and its first sale since August 2025.
• The trade follows a modest, earlier purchase of 3,510 COIN shares for about $630,000, signaling a timing shift rather than a simple divestment.
• Coinbase stock has fallen roughly 37% year-to-date, illustrating broader weakness in crypto equities amid a retracement in digital-asset prices and regulatory uncertainty.
• ARK rotated the capital into Bullish (EXCHANGE: BLSH), taking 716,030 shares for about $17.8 million, a bet on an institution-focused platform listed on the NYSE in August 2025.
• Bullish has experienced a substantial drawdown since its listing, with shares trading around the $25 level after a more-than-60% drop from IPO highs; the move positions ARK as a notable, if opportunistic, early-stage investor in the platform.
• Despite the shift, ARK’s exposure to Coinbase remains substantial, with COIN representing a notable portion of its holdings across ARK’s flagship ETFs.

Tickers mentioned: $COIN, $BLSH, $ARKK, $ARKW, $ARKF, $BTC

Sentiment: Neutral

Price impact: Negative. The Coinbase sale and general crypto equities weakness contributed to a lower price environment for COIN and related holdings.

Trading idea (Not Financial Advice): Hold. ARK’s strategic reallocation hints at concentration risk management and sector rotation rather than a simple asset dump or outright pivot away from crypto exposure.

Market context: The latest moves come as crypto markets trade in a risk-off regime, with institution-focused platforms drawing attention as potential hedges or air-cover for traditional equities amid ongoing macro and regulatory considerations.

Why it matters

The decision by ARK Invest to trim Coinbase shares (EXCHANGE: COIN) while allocating capital to Bullish (EXCHANGE: BLSH) highlights a broader pattern among active managers navigating crypto equities in 2026. Coinbase, once a central pillar of public-market crypto participation, has weathered sharp swings as investors recalibrate exposure to digital-asset ecosystems in the face of evolving regulatory scrutiny and market volatility. ARK’s action underscores the importance of liquidity and portfolio rebalancing in a sector characterized by outsized moves and opaque macro-linked catalysts.

On the one hand, the Coinbase sale signals a realignment of risk as ARK seeks to diversify away from a single stock that has borne the brunt of multiple dislocations in the crypto space. On the other hand, the allocation to Bullish reveals an appetite for a different kind of exposure — one that concentrates on an exchange-traded vehicle that aggregates institution-grade access to digital assets and related services. Bullish, having listed on the NYSE in August 2025, has seen a challenging stretch, with shares down considerably since inception, yet it remains part of a broader ecosystem believed to be critical to mainstream institutional adoption of crypto infrastructure.

ARK’s ongoing stake in Coinbase across its three funds remains meaningful. The holdings, spread across ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK), ARK Next Generation Internet ETF (ARKW), and ARK Fintech Innovation ETF (ARKF), account for roughly 3.7%, 3.4%, and 4.95% of each fund’s COIN allocation, respectively. This positioning reflects a long-tail belief in Coinbase’s role within the crypto-financial services landscape, even as the stock has shifted in its relative weight. The juxtaposition of a continued COIN stake against a fresh BLSH bet reveals a nuanced strategy: maintain exposure to a marquee crypto access point while seeking to participate in a broader trend toward institutional-grade platforms and crypto-native financial infrastructure.

The backdrop to these moves includes bitcoin’s recent price dynamics and the broader risk-off tone that has pressured crypto equities. Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) experienced volatility in the week, testing levels around the lower end of the prior range before rebounding into a more cautious stance among investors. The price action around BTC and other digital assets remains a critical driver for the equity valuations of publicly traded crypto-exposed firms, including Coinbase and Bullish, making ARK’s rebalancing a microcosm of how active funds adapt to shifting liquidity and sentiment in the cryptoverse.

In territory that remains volatile and highly followable, ARK’s positioning illustrates a continuity of its core thesis: basic, scalable exposure to transformative technologies and the financial infrastructure that supports them, even in the face of near-term price retrenchment. Coinbase, as one of the clearest on-ramps to crypto markets, continues to matter for both retail and institutional participants, while Bullish represents a distinct, institution-focused angle on the crypto economy. The divergence in performance between COIN and BLSH mirrors a broader market pattern where individual stock trajectories can diverge from sectoral or platform-level narratives, presenting both risk and potential opportunity for nimble investors.

What to watch next

• ARK’s next 13F filings and any subsequent COIN or BLSH trades, which will indicate whether the shift is ongoing or a one-off adjustment.
• COIN’s price action in the weeks ahead, particularly in response to crypto market volatility, regulatory updates, or earnings commentary from Coinbase management.
• Performance and liquidity changes in Bullish (BLSH) as it continues to navigate institutional demand for crypto-enabled platforms.
• Any further commentary from Ark Invest on its longer-term crypto thesis and how the COIN and BLSH positions fit into a broader risk framework.

Sources & verification

• ARK trade filing showing the sale of 119,236 COIN shares for roughly $17.4 million and the prior day’s smaller purchase.
• Nasdaq data confirming Coinbase’s year-to-date decline (about 37%).
• NYSE data confirming Bullish’s listing on the NYSE and its subsequent price trajectory, including the ~60% drop from IPO levels.
• ARK’s disclosed holdings of COIN across its funds: ARKK, ARKW, and ARKF, with COIN representing 3.7%, 3.4%, and 4.95% of each fund, respectively.
• Historical context on Coinbase’s direct listing and its long-term share-price performance since April 2021.

ARK reverses course: Coinbase stake discarded as Bullish bet grows

ARK Invest’s latest activity sheds light on an ongoing approach that blends conviction with tactical rotation. The firm’s exit from a portion of its Coinbase stake (EXCHANGE: COIN) — 119,236 shares valued at roughly $17.4 million — occurred on Thursday as the stock retraced from a string of gains and moved toward support levels near multi-month lows. This action followed a modest purchase on Tuesday, when ARK added 3,510 COIN shares for about $630,000, a signal that the firm remains comfortable with exposure to Coinbase but is recalibrating its risk posture amid a cooler macro and a softer price environment for crypto equities.

Even as ARK trims its Coinbase exposure, it did not abandon crypto-market participation altogether. The fund allocated capital to Bullish (EXCHANGE: BLSH), acquiring 716,030 shares for approximately $17.8 million. Bullish, which listed on the NYSE in August 2025, provides an institutional-grade gateway to crypto markets and related services — a structure ARK evidently views as a complementary exposure to COIN’s direct stock dynamic. Bullish’s post-listing performance has been uneven, with shares down more than 60% from the IPO highs, yet the asset’s placement in ARK’s portfolio underscores a strategic tilt toward infrastructure-driven plays rather than pure-asset bets.

Across Coinbase (COIN) and Bullish (BLSH), ARK’s activity this year reflects a delicate balancing act. COIN remains a meaningful component of ARK’s strategy, particularly within the ARKK, ARKW, and ARKF funds, where it represents a combined stake that surpasses several other holdings. Since Coinbase’s direct listing in April 2021, the stock has trended lower from its initial surge, illustrating the long arc of a company that once symbolized the crypto market’s public-market gateway. The overall trajectory for COIN this year has mirrored the broader sector’s volatility, influenced by interest-rate expectations, regulatory debates, and evolving investor appetite for crypto exposure through both direct equity and exchange-traded vehicles.

Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) and other digital assets have remained pivotal in shaping the context for such trades. The price action of BTC and the ensuing risk sentiment influence how institutions value crypto-centric equities, including Coinbase and platforms like Bullish. In a market where liquidity and sentiment can flip quickly, ARK’s decision to simultaneously book a sale and pursue a fresh stake in an institutional gateway signals a nuanced stance: preserve exposure to a core asset while seeking to diversify through a platform with potential for broader institutional adoption. The net effect is a portfolio that can weather near-term volatility while maintaining a longer horizon exposure to the crypto economy’s infrastructure and liquidity channels.

For investors keeping a close eye on ARK’s moves, the underlying takeaway is not a simple binary bet on one asset but a calculated reallocation that emphasizes liquidity, diversification, and the belief that crypto infrastructure remains a meaningful layer in the broader financial system. The balance ARK seeks — continuing exposure to Coinbase while adding Bullish — indicates a perspective that the crypto economy will require both direct access points and regulated, institution-facing platforms as the market matures. As the sector continues to grapple with regulatory signals and macro headwinds, ARK’s actions offer a lens into how active managers navigate a landscape where volatility often coexists with potential for structural shifts in crypto finance.

Bitcoin Core developer Gloria Zhao has stepped down as a maintainer and revoked her Pretty Good Privacy (PGP) signing key, ending about six years as one of the project’s gatekeepers. 

On Thursday, Zhao submitted her last pull request to the Bitcoin GitHub repository, removing her key from the trusted keys and withdrawing herself as one of the few maintainers able to update Bitcoin’s software.

Becoming the first known female maintainer in 2022, she focused on mempool policy and transaction relay: the rules and peer‑to‑peer logic that decide which transactions get into nodes’ waiting rooms and how quickly they propagate across the network. 

She helped design and implement package relay (BIP 331) and TRUC (Topologically Restricted Until Confirmation, BIP 431), along with upgrades to replace‑by‑fee (RBF) and broader P2P behavior, making fee bumping more reliable and reducing censorship.

Zhao’s work was funded through Brink, where she became the organization’s first fellow in 2021, with her fellowship backed by the Human Rights Foundation’s Bitcoin Development Fund and Jack Dorsey’s Spiral (formerly Square Crypto), placing her among a small cohort of publicly supported, full‑time open‑source Bitcoin protocol engineers.

Beyond her technical contributions, Zhao mentored new contributors and co‑ran the Bitcoin Core PR Review Club, helping junior developers learn how to review complex changes and navigate Core’s conservative review culture. 

Related: Bitcoin Core v30 bug risks fund loss during legacy wallet upgrades

Split over OP_RETURN and Knots

Her resignation comes after more than a year of public disputes between Bitcoin Core and Bitcoin Knots, and the removal of OP_RETURN limits, a fight over whether Bitcoin’s default node software should make it harder to use block space for non‑monetary data.

In 2025, Zhao deleted her X account amid personal attacks during the OP_RETURN war, after a livestream in which a core developer questioned her credentials.

While some Bitcoin Core critics celebrated Zhao’s departure, others took a more somber tone.

“They bullied her and made her life as miserable as possible until she rage quit, and quite frankly, I think what they did to her was tragic,” said pseudonymous Bitcoiner Pledditor.

Pledditor added that it set a “terrible precedent” and called it, “sad and pathetic.

“Congratulations you finally did it. You bullied one of Bitcoin Core’s most prolific and consistently excellent maintainers until she gave up,” said Chris Seedor, co-founder and CEO at Bitcoin wallet backup company Seedor.

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