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Robinhood Q4 Earnings Miss as Crypto Revenues Decline

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Robinhood’s latest earnings narrative paints a bifurcated picture: the platform’s overall revenue grew, but the crypto segment continued to grapple with a broader market downturn. In the fourth quarter of 2025, the trading platform reported net revenues of $1.28 billion, up 27% year over year yet beneath Wall Street consensus of about $1.34 billion. Crypto revenues declined sharply, falling 38% year over year to $221 million as digital asset markets cooled after the October downturn. On the bottom line, the company posted net income of $605 million and earnings per share of $0.66, modestly topping expectations of $0.63. For the full year, Robinhood tallied a record $4.5 billion in net revenues and $1.9 billion in net income, marking increases of 52% and 35%, respectively.

Key takeaways

  • Q4 net revenues came in at $1.28 billion, missing the approximately $1.34 billion expected by analysts, even as the company delivered a 27% YoY increase.
  • Crypto revenues dropped to $221 million in Q4, a 38% year-over-year decline amid a bearish tilt in crypto markets that accelerated in October.
  • Notional crypto volumes across Robinhood’s app and its wholly owned exchange Bitstamp rose 3% QoQ to a record $82.4 billion, underscoring ongoing user engagement in crypto activity despite revenue softness.
  • Equity trading volumes grew more robustly in the quarter, up 10% QoQ to $710 billion, with options trading up 8% to 659 million contracts, highlighting diversification away from crypto into traditional assets.
  • Robinhood’s “other” transaction-based revenues — including its prediction markets and futures — surged to a quarterly record of $147 million, rising 375% year over year and surpassing equity trading revenues for the first time.
  • Shares in Robinhood (HOOD) fell in after-hours trading, down 7.66% to $79.04 after closing the regular session at $85.60, continuing a drawdown that has left the stock well below its October 2023 peak.

Tickers mentioned: $HOOD

Sentiment: Neutral

Price impact: Negative. The stock moved lower in after-hours trading following the earnings release, reflecting investor disappointment with crypto revenues and the quarterly miss on consensus estimates.

Market context: The results come as a broader retail and crypto market backdrop remains fragile, with liquidity and risk appetite shifting as investors reassess the potential for mainstream adoption of crypto products within a unified “Financial SuperApp” strategy.

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Why it matters

The quarterly numbers illustrate how Robinhood is trying to diversify beyond its origins as a stock-trading app. While the core platform posted a respectable top-line increase, the crypto business—once a high-growth driver—hit a wobble as the crypto cycle cooled. This divergence underscores a broader industry trend: even as retail interest in crypto persists, revenue generation from digital assets remains highly sensitive to price action and market sentiment. For a company positioning itself as a one-stop financial interface, crypto volatility adds a layer of risk to the pace and scale of user monetization.

At the same time, Robinhood’s willingness to lean into non-traditional revenue sources is evident. The quarterly ascent of “other” transaction-based revenues to $147 million, a 375% year-over-year climb, marked a watershed moment where prediction markets and futures began to outpace traditional equity trading revenues. The platform’s bet on event contracts, launched in partnership with Kalshi in March last year, appears to be paying off as traders seek derivatives tied to real-world outcomes. This diversification aligns with the company’s stated ambition to become a holistic Financial SuperApp, a longer-term thesis that hinges on expanding monetization across asset classes and product types.

From an investor perspective, the earnings mix highlights both opportunity and risk. The after-hours stock swing reflects heightened sensitivity to crypto headlines and quarterly revenue gaps. Yet, management’s ability to deliver record annual revenues and grow net income suggests a resilient operating model, buoyed by a mix of crypto exposure, growing volumes in traditional markets, and the rapid acceleration of ancillary products like prediction markets. The “Financial SuperApp” narrative remains intact, but the path to scale will likely depend on continuing to attract and retain a broad user base while extracting incremental margin from new product lines.

CEO Vlad Tenev reiterated a strategic thread that has persisted through earnings cycles: the company is relentlessly building out its suite of financial services to deepen user engagement and lifetime value. In the statement, he emphasized that “our vision hasn’t changed: we are building the Financial SuperApp.” That framing, if realized, could help Robinhood weather episodic crypto downturns by yielding a more stable and diversified revenue stream across products and geographies.

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What to watch next

  • Next-quarter commentary on crypto revenue resilience: whether price action and user activity stabilize enough to revive crypto-related monetization.
  • Progress updates on the “Financial SuperApp” initiative, including product rollouts, cross-product usage metrics, and international expansion signals.
  • Regulatory developments affecting crypto trading and prediction markets, especially around consumer protections and platform liability.
  • Quarterly trends in notional crypto volumes versus other product categories to gauge ongoing demand shifts from crypto to traditional assets and derivative markets.
  • Follow-up on Kalshi partnership outcomes and the elasticity of revenue from event-based contracts as mainstream retail adoption evolves.

Sources & verification

  • Robinhood Reports Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Results — official press release
  • Zacks coverage comparing results to Wall Street estimates
  • Bitstamp and Robinhood crypto trading volume context and quarterly notional volumes
  • Robinhood launches betting markets hub with Kalshi — coverage of the prediction markets initiative

Robinhood earnings reveal crypto headwinds amid broader revenue growth

Robinhood (EXCHANGE: HOOD) reported mixed fourth-quarter results as the platform continues to diversify beyond its core trading app into crypto services and other revenue streams. In Q4 2025, the company tallied net revenues of $1.28 billion, a 27% year-over-year increase but below Wall Street consensus of roughly $1.34 billion. Crypto revenues declined sharply, falling 38% year over year to $221 million as digital asset markets cooled after the October downturn. On the bottom line, the company posted net income of $605 million and earnings per share of $0.66, modestly topping expectations of $0.63. For the full year, Robinhood tallied a record $4.5 billion in net revenues and $1.9 billion in net income, marking increases of 52% and 35%, respectively.

Notional crypto volumes across the app and its exchange Bitstamp rose 3% quarter-on-quarter to a record $82.4 billion in Q4, underscoring continued user engagement in digital assets despite soft revenue figures. By comparison, traditional equities activity remained stronger, with equity trade volumes up 10% QoQ to $710 billion and options trading rising 8% to 659 million contracts. The company’s foray into event-based contracts also bore fruit in the quarter, as Kalshi-backed prediction markets helped lift overall revenue from “other” transaction-based streams to a quarterly record of $147 million, up 375% year over year and surpassing the revenue generated from equity trades for the first time.

The quarterly narrative sits within a broader strategy to expand Robinhood’s product suite beyond stock and crypto trading. The company emphasized that the growth of prediction markets and futures was not a one-off spike but part of a deliberate pivot toward higher-margin, diversified revenue streams. While the crypto segment faced headwinds, the strength of non-traditional product lines suggests a path to resilience if demand for these instruments remains robust and regulators maintain a stable environment for retail access to alternatives.

Chairman and CEO Vlad Tenev framed the results within the larger ambition of building a comprehensive financial platform. “Our vision hasn’t changed: we are building the Financial SuperApp,” he said, highlighting that the business model is designed to leverage cross-product engagement and monetization across multiple asset classes. The market reaction to the earnings release reflects a cautious stance: investors weighed the crypto softness against the strength of other lines and the long-term potential of a broader platform ecosystem.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Saylor pushes “1.4% forever” Bitcoin play to Middle East wealth funds

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Saylor pushes “1.4% forever” Bitcoin play to Middle East wealth funds

Michael Saylor pitches a 1.4% credit‑funded balance‑sheet formula to Middle East capital, aiming to turn corporates into perpetual Bitcoin accumulators in a fragile market.

Michael Saylor has found a way to turn balance‑sheet engineering into a perpetual Bitcoin (BTC) accumulator’s charter — and he is not whispering it, he is broadcasting it to the Middle East.

Saylor’s “1.4% forever” math

Speaking live on Middle Eastern television, Strategy’s executive chairman Michael Saylor distilled his pitch into a single, aggressive sentence: “If we sell credit instruments equal to 1.4% of our capital assets, we can pay the dividends funded in Bitcoin and we can increase the amount of BTC we have forever.”

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The logic is brutally simple: monetize a thin slice of the asset base via credit, recycle that into yield‑bearing Bitcoin exposure, and feed shareholders both cash flow and upside without, in his view, diluting the core capital stack. KuCoin’s summary of the framework put it starkly: selling 1.4% of capital assets as credit “could allow the company to boost Bitcoin holdings permanently” while still supporting stock dividends.

This approach extends a strategy he outlined at the Bitcoin MENA conference, where he told regional sovereign funds in the Middle East that “Bitcoin is digital capital, or digital gold, and digital credit builds on it by stripping out volatility to generate yield.”

Macro risk, meet corporate leverage

Saylor’s formula lands in a market where Bitcoin itself has turned into the cleanest proxy for global risk appetite. At press time, Bitcoin (BTC) trades around $70,345, with a 24‑hour range between roughly $68,428 and $71,852 on about $59.3B in volume. Ethereum (ETH) changes hands near $2,012, with 24‑hour trading volume close to $28.7B and intraday prints between about $1,999 and $2,140. Solana (SOL) sits around $86, with roughly $3.9B traded over the last day as it grinds through a 2025–26 drawdown. XRP (XRP) hovers near $1.44, down about 1% over the last 24 hours as on‑chain data flags a “stop‑loss phase” after months of distribution.crypto+8

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This parabolic move comes as digital assets continue to trade as the purest expression of macro risk appetite. Bitcoin (BTC) is hovering around $70,345, with a 24‑hour high near $71,852 and a low near $68,428, on roughly $59.3B in dollar volumes. Ethereum (ETH) changes hands close to $2,012, with about $28.7B in 24‑hour turnover and spot quotes clustered in the $2,000–$2,100 band on major exchanges earlier this week. Solana trades around $86, up modestly over the last 24 hours, with nearly $3.9B in volume.crypto+5

Middle Eastern capital in the crosshairs

Saylor has been explicit about his target audience. In Abu Dhabi, he claimed to have met “every Middle East sovereign wealth fund” to pitch Bitcoin‑backed credit as a superior fixed‑income replacement, promising “two to four times” traditional yields while using corporate structures like Strategy as leverage amplifiers.

The sales pitch collides with a more fragile tape. Bitcoin has slipped below $70,000 amid what one analyst called an “unpumpable” market, with selling pressure overwhelming inflows after a 45% drawdown from the 2025 peak. Whether Saylor’s 1.4% rule becomes a template or a cautionary tale will be decided not in televised sound bites, but in the next macro stress test.

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Why Is LayerZero (ZRO) Token Up Today?

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LayerZero (ZRO) Price Performance

LayerZero’s native token, ZRO, has bucked the broader market downturn, posting double-digit gains to reach a four-month high.

The rally follows the LayerZero’s unveiling of a new blockchain, backed by Citadel Securities and ARK Invest. Both firms made strategic investments through ZRO purchases.

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Institutional Backing Fuels ZRO Rally While Crypto Market Slides

BeInCrypto Markets data shows the crypto market extended its decline today, following yesterday’s $19 billion in losses. Over the past 24 hours, total market capitalization has fallen by more than 2%, reflecting continued risk-off sentiment across major digital assets.

Despite the broader pullback, select altcoins have managed to post outsized gains, with ZRO being one of them. During early Asian trading hours, the token climbed to an intraday high of $2.42 on Binance.

This level was last seen in early October 2025. At the time of writing, ZRO was trading at $2.27, up nearly 22% over the past day.

LayerZero (ZRO) Price Performance
LayerZero (ZRO) Price Performance. Source: BeInCrypto Markets

The token secured the third spot among the top 300 daily gainers on CoinGecko. Trading activity has also accelerated significantly. Over the past 24 hours, the token recorded $491 million in volume, marking a 410.60% increase.

What Is LayerZero’s New Blockchain?

The rally followed LayerZero Labs’ announcement of Zero. It is a new blockchain network designed to address scalability constraints that have historically limited decentralized systems.

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According to the company, Zero introduces a heterogeneous architecture. It separates transaction execution from verification using zero-knowledge proofs, eliminating the “replication requirement.”

LayerZero claims the network can scale to up to 2 million transactions per second per zone, with transaction costs as low as $0.000001. The blockchain is scheduled to launch in fall 2026.

“Zero’s architecture moves the industry’s roadmap forward by at least a decade. We believe we can actually bring the entire global economy on-chain with this technology. Our mission is to build permissionless infrastructure for a better world – this is the beginning of that world,” Bryan Pellegrino, CEO of LayerZero Labs, stated.

As part of the rollout, Citadel Securities is collaborating with LayerZero to evaluate potential applications in trading, clearing, and settlement workflows. The firm also made a strategic investment in ZRO.

ARK Invest is likewise becoming a shareholder in LayerZero and has purchased ZRO. Cathie Wood, ARK’s founder and CEO, will join the project’s advisory board.

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“ZRO is the token of the network, and LayerZero will provide interoperability between Zones and across the 165+ blockchains it connects,” the announcement read.

Beyond these investments, LayerZero said it is working with The Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation to explore enhancements to tokenized securities infrastructure, including scalability improvements for its DTC Tokenization Service

Intercontinental Exchange, parent company of the New York Stock Exchange, is examining potential applications related to 24/7 markets and tokenized collateral integration. Google Cloud is also partnering with LayerZero to explore infrastructure enabling AI agents to conduct micropayments autonomously.

Meanwhile, the development closely follows Tether’s strategic investment in LayerZero Labs through Tether Investments. Thus, the combination of strategic capital and institutional collaboration appears to have fueled investor interest in ZRO, even as the broader crypto market continues to face selling pressure.

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Hong Kong working to allow perpetual contracts, chief regulator says

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Hong Kong working to allow perpetual contracts, chief regulator says

HONG KONG — Financial regulators in Hong Kong are going to unveil a framework for trading platforms to offer perpetual contracts, the head of the region’s Securities and Futures Commission said Wednesday.

Brokers in Hong Kong will soon be able to provide financing to clients backed by bitcoin and ether and platforms will be able to offer market-making through independent units, said Julia Leung, the CEO of Hong Kong’s SFC at CoinDesk’s Consensus Hong Kong conference.

While the SFC plans to share more details later, the moves are part of the regulator’s broader push to let regulated firms offer more products and services, Leung said, following on its 2025 roadmap which included an effort to develop the local crypto market.

The SFC has already published the conclusions from its consultation on custody and related issues, but these new initiatives are focused on continuing to develop these markets in Hong Kong, including with novel products like perpetual futures contracts.

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“We will be publicizing a high-level framework for platforms to be offering perpetual contracts,” she said.

These products will only be available for institutional investors, not retail clients, at this time, she said, and the framework will focus on risks. Platforms seeking to offer these products will need to be able to manage those risks, “and it also has to be very fair to the customers.”

On the other initiatives, Leung said that the SFC will start sharing further details soon.

“We will allow brokers to provide financing to clients with strong … credit profiles, and the collateral will be backed by both securities as well as virtual assets,” she said. “Because virtual assets … many of them are very volatile, so we’ll start with two that will be eligible as collateral, bitcoin and ether.”

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Platforms looking to engage in market-making will need to make sure they have strong conflict-of-interest rules and independent market-making units, she said.

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Vitalik Buterin Explores Ethereum’s Future Role in AI and AGI Integration

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Crypto Breaking News

Vitalik Buterin, co-founder of Ethereum, reignited conversations about the potential intersection of Ethereum and artificial intelligence (AI). In a recent post on X, Buterin revisited his past thoughts on how the Ethereum network could contribute to the development of AI and artificial general intelligence (AGI). His comments underscore his ongoing commitment to long-term technological objectives, highlighting Ethereum’s broader potential beyond decentralized finance.

Buterin sees Ethereum as a foundational layer not only for blockchain transactions but also for enhancing AI systems. He envisions Ethereum supporting more open, transparent, and censorship-resistant AI technologies. Through Ethereum’s decentralized infrastructure, Buterin believes AI could develop in a way that aligns with human progress, rather than accelerating unchecked technological growth.

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Ethereum as the Economic Layer for AI Transactions

Buterin suggests that Ethereum could play a pivotal role as an economic coordination layer for AI-to-AI transactions. Autonomous AI agents, operating independently, could use Ethereum to interact, negotiate, and exchange value seamlessly. In this model, Ethereum would serve as a neutral and reliable settlement layer, facilitating trust in transactions within machine-driven economies.

This vision of Ethereum goes beyond supporting financial markets. Buterin highlights Ethereum’s potential to create a decentralized environment where AI systems can autonomously interact efficiently and securely. By providing a transparent and immutable ledger, Ethereum could support an ecosystem where AI agents transact with each other in a trustless manner, all within the bounds of decentralized principles.

AI-Assisted On-Chain Verification and Trust

Buterin also emphasizes the importance of on-chain verification, with Ethereum providing the trust framework for various operations. He imagines a future where AI could assist in auditing smart contracts, verifying data, and improving decentralized governance systems. With Ethereum at the core, this verification process would be transparent, efficient, and immutable, strengthening the security and reliability of the entire system.

This idea aligns with Buterin’s vision of building a decentralized infrastructure that could sustain long-term technological development. He points out that AI could improve market efficiency, ensuring that decentralized systems function with higher levels of trust and accuracy. The integration of AI in Ethereum’s blockchain could bring about a new era of AI systems that are more accountable and reliable, further embedding Ethereum into the future of computing technology.

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A Vision Beyond Market Cycles

Buterin’s recent tweet serves as a reminder to the crypto community that Ethereum’s development isn’t only about short-term trends or market movements. While many in the crypto industry remain focused on speculative developments, Buterin’s call for long-term thinking encourages broader innovation. His remarks suggest that Ethereum’s real potential lies in its ability to shape the next generation of computing infrastructure, not just in financial applications.

By revisiting ideas from nearly two years ago, Buterin aims to inspire developers and researchers to look at Ethereum’s broader potential. Ethereum’s decentralized architecture could serve as the foundation for future breakthroughs in AI and AGI development. Buterin’s comments, though not offering a clear roadmap, are a signal to think bigger and consider how Ethereum can be integrated into the next wave of technological advancements.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Robinhood Chain Testnet Goes Live on Arbitrum

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Robinhood Chain Testnet Goes Live on Arbitrum

Robinhood has launched a public testnet for Robinhood Chain, its new Ethereum layer‑2 network built using Arbitrum technology that aims to bring tokenized real‑world and digital assets onchain.

According to a release shared with Cointelegraph, the testnet, which is now live for developers, offers network access points, documentation at docs.chain.robinhood.com, compatibility with standard Ethereum development tools and early integrations from infrastructure partners. 

Robinhood says the chain is designed for “financial‑grade” use cases, including 24/7 trading, seamless bridging, self‑custody, and decentralized products such as tokenized asset platforms, lending markets, and perpetual futures exchanges. 

A mainnet launch is planned for later this year, with testnet-only assets such as stock‑style tokens and tighter integration with Robinhood Wallet among the features expected in the coming months.

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Johann Kerbrat, senior vice president and GM of Crypto and International at Robinhood, said in the release that the testnet for Robinhood Chain laid the groundwork for “an ecosystem that will define the future of tokenized real-world assets,” and enable builders to tap into decentralized finance (DeFi) liquidity within the Ethereum ecosystem.

Related: Coinbase adds stock trading, prediction markets in ‘everything app’ push

Robinhood’s tokenization push

The launch marks a deeper shift by Robinhood from simply offering crypto trading to operating its own onchain infrastructure, following its decision to tokenize nearly 500 United States stocks and exchange‑traded funds (ETFs) on Arbitrum as part of a broader real‑world asset strategy.