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Scaramucci Predicts Bitcoin Bull Run Returns by Late 2026 Amid Market Downturn

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

Key Takeaways

  • SkyBridge Capital’s Anthony Scaramucci maintains that Bitcoin’s traditional four-year market cycle continues operating despite growing institutional participation
  • Significant profit-taking occurred around the $100,000 price milestone, creating substantial sell-side pressure that pushed BTC from $126,000 down to $60,000
  • While institutional capital and exchange-traded funds have dampened price swings, they haven’t fundamentally altered the cyclical nature of Bitcoin markets
  • Scaramucci anticipates volatile, sideways price action throughout most of 2026 before a fresh uptrend emerges in the fourth quarter
  • The S&P 500 declined 1.3% and breached its 200-day moving average, prompting warnings that Bitcoin might decline 50% if correlation with equities persists

Anthony Scaramucci, the managing partner at SkyBridge Capital, maintains that Bitcoin is experiencing a typical four-year cycle pullback and anticipates price recovery beginning in Q4 2026.

Scaramucci offered these insights during an appearance on Scott Melker’s “The Wolf of All Streets” podcast. He identified selling activity around the $100,000 price level as a primary catalyst behind the ongoing downturn.

Early adopters and long-term Bitcoin holders viewed the $100,000 mark as a significant profit-taking opportunity. This selling wave created downward momentum despite simultaneous institutional capital entering the market.

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Bitcoin reached a peak near $126,000 before experiencing a steep decline to $60,000. This correction shattered widespread market predictions that BTC would reach $150,000 during 2025.

According to Scaramucci, those bullish projections were driven by Donald Trump’s cryptocurrency-friendly policies and improved regulatory conditions in the United States. However, he emphasized that markets typically defy consensus expectations.

He referenced early 2023 as a perfect illustration. Bitcoin began its recovery in January 2023 during a period of extreme bearish sentiment following FTX’s November 2022 collapse.

“It was at a period of great disinterest and great apathy that the bull market started again,” Scaramucci noted.

Institutional Participation Has Modified But Not Eliminated the Cycle

Scaramucci explained that Bitcoin exchange-traded funds and institutional capital have moderated volatility without destroying the cyclical framework. While price fluctuations have become less dramatic, the fundamental pattern persists.

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He characterized the cycle as somewhat self-reinforcing. Market participants who recognize and trade based on the four-year rhythm effectively perpetuate the pattern through their collective behavior.

U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have attracted approximately $2 billion in net inflows during the last four weeks, representing the most extended period of positive flows seen in 2026.

Bitcoin’s Correlation With Traditional Equity Markets Strengthens

Bitcoin dropped beneath $69,000 on Saturday as escalating Middle East geopolitical tensions continued pressuring risk-sensitive assets. The Iran situation has now stretched into its third week, creating headwinds for global financial markets.

The S&P 500 fell 1.3% on Friday, closing below its 200-day moving average for the first occurrence in ten months. This technical level serves as a critical indicator for assessing long-term equity market trends.

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Several market analysts now suggest Bitcoin could experience an additional 50% decline in 2026 if its correlation with the S&P 500 remains elevated.

Scaramucci characterized the present correction as an ordinary downturn consistent with historical cycles. He projects continued volatility and range-bound trading for the majority of the year before a new bullish phase initiates in Q4 2026.

U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have accumulated approximately $2 billion in total inflows during the previous four-week period.

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Crypto World

BNB Price Prediction: Pump To $730 or Drop To Under $600

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BNB price is at the $640 level as of now, recording a daily gain of 1.9% amidst the Bitcoin 2.5% pump and a bullish overall prediction.

BNB price is at the $640 level as of now, recording a slight daily gain of 1.9% amidst the Bitcoin 2.5% pump and a bullish overall prediction. The asset has shed more than 5% over the last week, retreating from highs as traders secure profits.

With volume currently sitting at $1.33 billion, participation is thinning significantly. Technical indicators suggest the fourth-largest cryptocurrency is stuck in a consolidation phase, forcing active traders to weigh the opportunity cost of holding through the chop versus rotating capital into emerging narratives.

BNB price is at the $640 level as of now, recording a daily gain of 1.9% amidst the Bitcoin 2.5% pump and a bullish overall prediction.
BNB DEX Volume, Defillama

BNB Price Prediction: Can Binance Coin Reclaim $730 as Volume Dips?

The technical setup for BNB presents a conflict between long-term strength and short-term weakness. While the 200-day moving average remains bullish, actively sloping upward since mid-March, practically every short-term signal flashes caution.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits at a neutral 50 level, providing no clear directional bias, while the ADX at 27.74 confirms a trend is present but lacks the momentum to force a breakout.

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BNB price is at the $640 level as of now, recording a daily gain of 1.9% amidst the Bitcoin 2.5% pump and a bullish overall prediction.
BNB USD, TradingView

Price action is currently confined within Bollinger Bands ranging from $594 (support) to $682(resistance). A failure to hold the $620 level could see a retest of the lower band. Conversely, forecasts from Binance analysts suggest a potential quarterly climb to $925.86 if macro conditions stabilize. However, the immediate volume profile is concerning; without a surge in buying pressure, the projected 15.9% monthly move to $730 appears optimistic (even unlikely) in the current low-liquidity environment.

Discover: The Best New Crypto

Maxi Doge Targets 1000x Leverage Culture as Major Caps Stall

While BNB consolidates with an $88 billion market cap, traders seeking volatility are increasingly looking down-market. Large caps often act as stable collateral, but in a sideways market, they rarely offer the aggressive multiples sought by retail capital. This rotation is evidenced by the thinning liquidity in majors, as speculative funds flow toward high-beta meme tokens that capitalize on specific subcultures.

One project absorbing this liquidity is Maxi Doge ($MAXI), a new entrant branding itself around the “Leverage King” mentality. Distinct from the soft aesthetics of typical dog coins, Maxi Doge features a 240-lb canine juggernaut explicitly targeting the “gym bro” and high-leverage trading demographic. (Think protein shakes and 100x longs).

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The presale data shows significant early traction, with more than $4.6 million raised so far. At the current stage price of $0.000281, the project is positioning itself as a high-octane alternative to stagnant legacy coins. Features include holder-only trading competitions and a “Maxi Fund” treasury designed to sustain liquidity. And not to forget the high 66% APY rewards for stakers.

While meme tokens carry inherent volatility risks, the “never skip a pump” branding has resonated with the degens of the current cycle.

Research Maxi Doge Presale

The post BNB Price Prediction: Pump To $730 or Drop To Under $600 appeared first on Cryptonews.

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Crypto World

Airdrops Rewarded Extraction And Ended Real Communities

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Airdrops Rewarded Extraction And Ended Real Communities

Opinion by: Nanak Nihal Khalsa, co-founder of Holonym Foundation

For most of the last cycle, crypto teams convinced themselves that airdrops were community building. In practice, they became something else entirely: a large-scale training program that taught people how to extract value as efficiently as possible and leave.

That outcome was not an accident. It was a predictable result of how token launches were designed between 2021 and 2024. Low float, high fully diluted valuations and points programs that rewarded activity over intent and eligibility rules that could be reverse-engineered by anyone with enough time and scripts. We built systems where the rational behavior was to spin up wallets, simulate engagement and sell at the first opportunity.

The industry likes to talk about trust as an abstract concept. In reality, trust eroded because token launches stopped aligning incentives with belief. Participation became transactional.

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Loyalty became temporary. Governance became theater. When users are rewarded for volume rather than conviction, you do not get communities — you get mercenaries.

Airdrops built extraction playbooks

Points programs accelerated this dynamic. They were often framed as a fairer way to distribute tokens, but in practice, they turned participation into a job. The more time, capital and automation you had, the more points you could farm. Real users with limited bandwidth were crowded out by people who treated points dashboards like yield farms.

Everyone knew this was happening while it was happening. Teams watched wallet clusters grow. Analysts published postmortems showing how a small number of entities captured outsized shares of supply. Still, the model persisted, largely because it looked good in growth charts and bought short-term attention.

The result is that airdrops lost credibility because the mechanism became predictable and gameable. By the time a token reached the market, a meaningful portion of supply was already earmarked for immediate exit. Price action after a launch started to feel less like discovery and more like cleanup.

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Token sales are back because airdrops lost credibility

This is the context in which token sales and ICO-style launches are returning. Not as a nostalgia play, and not as a rejection of decentralization, but as a response to a structural failure. Teams are looking for ways to reintroduce selection into distribution. Who gets access, under what conditions and with what constraints has become just as important as how much capital is raised.

What is different this time is not the idea of selling tokens, but the way participation is being shaped. Early initial coin offerings (ICOs) were open to anyone with a wallet and fast fingers. That openness came with obvious downsides, including whale dominance, regulatory blind spots and zero accountability.

The new generation of token launches experiments with filters that did not exist before. Identity and reputation signals, onchain behavior analysis, jurisdiction-aware participation and enforced allocation limits are increasingly part of the design. The goal is not exclusion for its own sake; it is to ensure that distribution reaches humans who are likely to stick around.

This shift exposes a deeper fault line in the industry. Crypto has spent years positioning itself as permissionless, yet many of its most valuable moments now depend on some form of admission control. Without it, capital leaks to automation. With it, teams risk recreating the same surveillance-heavy systems they claim to be replacing. The tension between openness and protection is no longer theoretical; it shows up in every serious launch discussion.

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Who gets in now matters more than how much is raised

The uncomfortable truth is that we cannot solve this problem by pretending identity does not matter. We already live in a world where identity exists everywhere. The question is whether it is implemented in ways that respect user agency or in ways that extract data and concentrate power. Most of the first wave of crypto infrastructure avoided identity entirely, not because it was a principled stance, but because the tools to do it safely did not exist. As every launch scales and scrutiny increases, that avoidance is no longer tenable.

Related: Solana WET presale hijacked by Sybil wallets as HumidiFi resets launch

This is where privacy-preserving identity becomes infrastructure rather than ideology. If teams want to limit one human to one allocation or prevent automated clusters from dominating governance or demonstrate basic compliance without collecting dossiers on their users, they need systems that can prove properties about participants without exposing who they are. The alternative is a binary choice between naive openness and heavy-handed Know Your Customer. Neither scales well.

In parallel, the industry is also confronting the limits of its wallet layer. Many of the issues that plague token launches are downstream of how wallets are designed and embedded. Fragmented accounts, weak recovery, blind signing and browser-based attack surfaces all make it harder to build durable relationships between users and protocols. When participation is mediated through tools that are easy to spoof and hard to trust, distribution mechanisms inherit those weaknesses. It is not a coincidence that the same launches suffering from Sybil attacks are also dealing with user confusion, lost access and post-launch attrition.

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Some teams are starting to connect these dots. Instead of treating identity, wallets and token launches as separate concerns, they are approaching them as a single system — a system where a user can prove uniqueness without doxing, interact across applications with a consistent account and retain control without being asked to manage fragile secrets. When these pieces fit together, distribution stops being a one-time event and starts to look more like an ongoing relationship.

This is not about making launches smaller or more exclusive; it is about making them more intentional. Fewer participants who care is often better than many participants who do not.

Projects that optimize for human alignment tend to see stronger retention, healthier governance participation and more resilient markets. That is not ideology; it is observable behavior.

The teams that succeed will be the ones that stop treating distribution as marketing and start treating it as infrastructure. They will assume adversarial conditions by default. They will design for automation resistance from day one. They will view identity not as a checkbox, but as a tool to protect both users and ecosystems. They will accept that some friction, when applied thoughtfully, is a feature rather than a bug.

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Airdrops did not fail because users are greedy. Airdrops failed because the system rewarded greed and punished commitment. If crypto wants to grow beyond its current audience, it needs to stop training people to extract and start giving them reasons to belong.

Token launches are where that shift becomes visible. Whether the industry is willing to follow through remains an open question.

Opinion by: Nanak Nihal Khalsa, co-founder of Holonym Foundation.