Kalshi, the prediction market platform, announced that Stephanie Cutter—former Obama administration staffer and co-founder of Precision Strategies—will join the company as a policy adviser. The appointment, disclosed in a Thursday notice, comes as Kalshi seeks to deepen its political and regulatory engagement in Washington, D.C., and across the country. Cutter’s arrival adds a veteran of Democratic campaigns to Kalshi’s policy team at a moment when the industry faces intensifying regulatory scrutiny and evolving questions about the role of politics in prediction markets.

Kalshi said Cutter’s move would help the firm “deepen its relationships in DC and across the country.” CEO and co-founder Tarek Mansour highlighted Cutter’s governmental and political experience as a bridge to policymakers and other stakeholders. Cutter’s hiring follows Kalshi’s strategy of embedding itself more firmly in political circles as it navigates a regulatory landscape that has grown more complex over the past year.

Kalshi’s roster already includes staff with government ties, including the appointment of Donald Trump Jr. as a strategic adviser in January 2025, a development noted in the market’s broader push to align with political figures ahead of a changing regulatory climate. The recruitment of Cutter signals Kalshi’s intent to bring experienced policy voices directly into its decision-making as it seeks to balance growth with compliance in a jurisdiction that has seen ongoing legal and legislative debate surrounding event-based markets.

At the same time, the legal and regulatory environment for prediction markets remains unsettled. State-level authorities have pursued lawsuits against Kalshi and other platforms offering event contracts, arguing that such markets amount to illegal gambling or betting. In Washington, the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), led by Michael Selig, has asserted that it holds exclusive jurisdiction over these markets and has pursued cases against state gaming regulators over the matter. The tension underscores a broader push by lawmakers to scrutinize, and potentially constrain, prediction markets—especially those tied to political events.

Key takeaways

• Kalshi hires Stephanie Cutter as policy adviser to strengthen policy outreach amid ongoing regulatory scrutiny of prediction markets.
• Cutter’s background in government and political campaigns is intended to help Kalshi communicate its position to policymakers and the public, per the company.
• The platform already counts high-profile political advisers, including Donald Trump Jr., illustrating Kalshi’s bid to embed in political circles during a sensitive regulatory era.
• Regulatory friction persists: the CFTC claims exclusive oversight of prediction markets, while state regulators challenge or enforce their own regimes, prompting lawsuits and legislative proposals.

Policy push in a contested space

The timing of Cutter’s arrival underscores Kalshi’s ambition to leverage policy expertise as a differentiator in a market where regulatory clarity remains elusive. Kalshi’s notice frames the hire as part of a broader effort to cultivate relationships with lawmakers, regulators, and stakeholders who will shape the framework governing event-based contracts. Mansour’s remark—emphasizing Cutter’s ability to “get the message to the right people”—illustrates how Kalshi views policy engagement as central to its long-term viability and competitive positioning.

The broader governance context is clear: while Kalshi positions itself as a legitimate financial technology, it operates in a space where opinions diverge on whether prediction markets should be permitted to operate with fewer restrictions, and if so, what guardrails are necessary to prevent manipulation or insider trading. The presence of political advisers on Kalshi’s payroll reflects a strategic bet that shaping policy conversations could yield a more favorable operating environment, or at least greater predictability for a product that depends on real-world events occurring as forecasted.

Regulatory battleground: courts, commissions, and state actions

Industry observers note that the past year has seen a wave of legal activity at the state level, where regulators have challenged or restricted prediction-market-like offerings. Proponents argue such markets can improve price discovery and information flows, while opponents point to concerns about gambling law, consumer protection, and the potential for insider information to drive bets. Kalshi and peers such as Polymarket have publicly discussed implementing guardrails intended to curb use by insiders, but legislative progress remains uneven.

On the federal side, the CFTC has framed the issue within the agency’s core remit: it asserts exclusive jurisdiction over derivative-like markets tied to events and has taken action against state authorities in other contexts to defend that stance. This legal backdrop matters for Kalshi’s strategy, because a clearer federal framework could reduce intergovernmental friction and open the door for broader user participation under explicit guidelines. For investors and users, the outcome of ongoing court fights and potential federal legislation will influence the platform’s risk profile and the types of markets Kalshi can legally offer in the coming years.

Meanwhile, congressional dynamics add another layer of potential change. Several bills have floated the idea of preventing politicians from participating in predictive markets and of imposing stricter disclosures around the use of such platforms. As of the latest developments, none of these proposals had been enacted into law, leaving a period of watchful waiting for operators, users, and policymakers alike. In this context, Kalshi’s move to strengthen its policy team can be viewed as a proactive approach to navigating a period of regulatory ambiguity, rather than a reaction to a discrete, imminent rule change.

Implications for users, builders, and investors

For users and market participants, the regulatory landscape remains the most consequential variable. A more defined federal framework could reduce the risk of sudden platform shutdowns or wholesale policy reversals, while also imposing stricter compliance requirements. For builders and operators in the prediction-market space, Cutter’s appointment highlights the increasing professionalization of policy oversight and the growing importance of credible governmental liaison functions in a sector where public perception and political legitimacy matter as much as product design.

Investors and observers should weigh the potential upside of regulatory clarity against the risk that stricter rules could curb certain market types or restrict access to insider-sensitive information. The presence of political advisers on Kalshi’s team signals a belief that, even in a patchwork regulatory regime, a well-connected operator can navigate policy changes more smoothly and carve out a defensible niche with robust governance standards. As the debate over prediction markets continues, the key questions will be whether Congress and state authorities converge on guardrails that protect users without stifling innovation, and whether Kalshi’s ecosystem can demonstrate resilience through regulatory transitions.

What to watch next: the trajectory of state and federal actions on prediction markets, any new guardrails or prohibitions affecting political participation, and how Kalshi’s newly expanded policy function translates into concrete policy wins or clearer operational guidelines. The coming months will reveal whether this hiring signals a durable edge in policy access, or if the market must weather a more uncertain regulatory horizon before broader adoption can occur.

Traders are pricing fewer Fed cuts in 2026 as U.S. unemployment dips to 4.3%, tempering the liquidity story for Bitcoin and Ethereum but not triggering a risk‑asset capitulation.

Derivatives and rates markets have trimmed expectations for how aggressively the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in 2026, according to Jinshi‑cited pricing data. That shift reflects growing skepticism that inflation will glide back to target quickly enough to justify deep easing, even as nominal policy rates sit at multi‑decade highs. Fewer cuts priced into 2026 effectively mean a higher “terminal” funding cost for leveraged players and a slower normalization of real yields — both headwinds to the kind of explosive liquidity conditions that fueled earlier crypto bull cycles.

At the same time, the U.S. labor market continues to look stubbornly robust. Jinshi reports that the March unemployment rate ticked down to 4.3%, beating expectations for 4.4% and edging lower from February’s 4.4%. That is hardly a recession print; if anything, it signals that job conditions remain tight enough to keep wage and service‑sector inflation from collapsing, giving the Fed political and analytical cover to hold rates elevated longer. For risk assets, including Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), the combination of a still‑strong labor market and fewer rate cuts priced is a classic “higher for longer” setup: growth isn’t falling off a cliff, but the cheap‑money punch bowl stays out of reach.

Crypto traders react to US data news

For crypto traders, the implications are nuanced rather than outright bearish. A slower, shallower easing cycle tends to compress valuation multiples and cap speculative excess, making it harder for marginal capital to chase high‑beta altcoins with leverage. However, as long as unemployment hovers near 4–4.5% and the economy avoids a hard landing, on‑chain activity and real demand for digital assets can still grind higher, especially in narratives tied to stablecoins, tokenized treasuries and yield‑bearing infrastructure that directly intersect with rates markets. The immediate read‑through: expect less of a “melting‑up” liquidity rally in 2026 and more of a choppy, macro‑sensitive grind, where each shift in Fed‑cut odds and each monthly jobs print becomes a tradable event for both BTC and ETH volatility.

TLDR

• Riot Platforms sold 3,778 Bitcoin for more than $250 million during the first quarter of 2025.
• The company reduced its total Bitcoin holdings to 15,680 BTC after the sale.
• Riot Platforms achieved an average selling price of over $76,000 per Bitcoin.
• The firm has now sold Bitcoin in consecutive quarters after raising nearly $200 million late last year.
• CEO Jason Les said earlier that sales were intended to fund ongoing growth and operations.

Riot Platforms sold more than $250 million in Bitcoin during the first quarter of 2025. The company confirmed it sold 3,778 BTC at an average price above $76,000. As a result, the firm reduced its total holdings to 15,680 BTC by the end of March.

Riot Platforms Cuts Bitcoin Holdings as Sales Extend Into Second Quarter

Riot Platforms reported that it sold 3,778 Bitcoin during the first quarter of 2025. The company achieved an average sale price above $76,000 per coin. Consequently, it reduced its Bitcoin reserves to 15,680 BTC at quarter’s end. The remaining holdings now carry a market value near $1.04 billion. Bitcoin traded at $66,844 at the time of valuation.

The Colorado-based miner has now sold Bitcoin in consecutive quarters. During November and December, it generated nearly $200 million from Bitcoin sales. The company has not yet disclosed detailed allocation plans for the recent proceeds. A company representative did not respond to a request for comment. However, earlier in 2025, CEO Jason Les addressed the purpose of prior sales.

Les stated that earlier Bitcoin sales aimed to “fund ongoing growth and operations.” He connected those operations to expanding infrastructure and computing capacity. The company outlined these objectives in its latest strategic business update. Riot Platforms has focused on increasing its data center capabilities. It also continues to adjust its capital structure through asset sales.

Riot Platforms Shifts Strategy Toward Data Center Development

Riot Platforms confirmed that it intends to expand beyond traditional Bitcoin mining. The firm stated that it plans to unlock its nearly two-gigawatt power portfolio. It aims to deploy that capacity for high-demand data center infrastructure. Les said, “2025 marked a watershed year for Riot.” He added that the company has transformed its future trajectory.

The company explained that it previously used most of its power portfolio for Bitcoin mining. Now, it seeks to reallocate that capacity toward data center development. Riot Platforms stated that its long-term goal is “to fully utilize our power portfolio for data center development.” This shift aligns with ongoing operational restructuring. The firm continues to balance mining output with infrastructure planning.

An activist investor, Starboard Value, urged the company to accelerate its transition strategy. Starboard Value stated that the opportunity could add as much as $21 billion to Riot’s valuation. The investor called for a “renewed sense of urgency” in pursuing this plan. Meanwhile, shares of RIOT closed up 2.47% on Thursday. The stock recently traded at $12.86.

Over the past six months, RIOT shares have fallen more than 33%. During the same period, Bitcoin has declined 47% from its all-time high of $126,080. The company continues to report updates through formal filings and public statements. Riot Platforms has not announced further Bitcoin sales beyond the first quarter.