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Solana price confirms bull trap as local structure shifts bearish

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Solana price confirms bull trap as local structure shifts bearish - 1

Solana’s price invalidated its recent breakout attempt after failing to hold above key resistance, confirming a bull trap and shifting the short-term market structure back to bearish.

Summary

  • Failed breakout above $88 confirms bull trap, trapping late buyers
  • Rejection at the point of control signals bearish control, favoring downside rotation
  • $78 support is the key level to watch, with potential reaction or swing-failure setup

Solana (SOL) price has entered a critical corrective phase after recent price action failed to sustain acceptance above major resistance levels. What initially appeared to be a bullish continuation has now revealed itself as a classic bull trap, catching late buyers before the price reversed sharply lower.

This type of failed breakout often marks an important inflection point, especially when it occurs at high-timeframe resistance and value extremes.

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As price rotates back into its prior trading range, technical signals suggest that downside continuation is now the higher-probability scenario in the immediate short term.

Market participants are closely watching how Solana behaves as it approaches key support levels, where either further breakdown or a reactive bounce may emerge.

Solana price key technical points

  • Bull trap confirmed above $88 resistance, invalidating the bullish breakout
  • Rejection at the point of control signals weakness, favoring range rotation lower
  • $78 high-timeframe support comes into focus, with Fibonacci confluence below
Solana price confirms bull trap as local structure shifts bearish - 1
SOLUSDT (4H) Chart, Source: TradingView

Solana’s recent rally pushed price above the value area high and into high-timeframe resistance near the $88 region. However, this move lacked sustained acceptance. Instead of consolidating above the resistance, the price quickly stalled and reversed, signaling that buyers were unable to maintain control at higher levels.

This behavior is characteristic of a bull trap, where price briefly trades above resistance to attract breakout buyers before reversing back into the prior range. Once acceptance above resistance fails, the resulting move lower is often sharp as trapped longs are forced to exit positions.

The inability to hold above the value area high was the first warning sign. This level typically defines the upper boundary of fair value within a range, and rejection here often leads to rotations back toward lower value.

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Rejection at point of control confirms bearish shift

Following the failure above resistance, Solana rotated back into the trading range and attempted to stabilize near the point of control (POC). The POC represents the price level at which the highest trading volume has occurred and often serves as a balance point during consolidation phases.

However, Solana was unable to reclaim or hold above this level. The rejection at the POC confirms that sellers remain dominant and that the market has transitioned from balance into renewed imbalance. When a price is rejected at the POC after a failed breakout, it significantly increases the probability of a full-range rotation.

This rejection marks a clear shift in short-term market structure, turning the local bias bearish and opening the path toward lower support levels.

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$78 support becomes the immediate downside target

With local structure now bearish, attention turns to the next major downside level. High-timeframe support near $78 stands out as the primary target. This region aligns with the value area low and represents the lower boundary of the broader trading range.

Importantly, the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement rests just below this level, adding further technical confluence. Fibonacci retracement zones often act as magnets for price during corrective phases, particularly after failed breakouts.

A move into this region would complete a full range rotation and likely coincide with increased volatility as liquidity is tested. Whether Solana stabilizes or continues to decline will depend heavily on the reaction at this support zone.

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Swing failure pattern could signal reversal

While the immediate bias favors downside continuation, the $78 region is not just a bearish target — it is also a potential inflection zone. If price sweeps below this support, tests the 0.618 Fibonacci level, and then quickly reclaims the level, it could form a swing failure pattern (SFP).

Such behavior would indicate a liquidity grab rather than a true breakdown and could mark the beginning of a corrective bounce or even a larger reversal, depending on volume and follow-through. For this reason, price action around $78 should be monitored closely rather than treated as an automatic breakdown.

What to expect in the coming price action

From a technical, price action, and market structure perspective, Solana’s recent rejection confirms a bull trap and shifts short-term momentum firmly bearish. As long as the price remains below the value area high and the point of control, downside continuation toward the $78 support zone remains the higher-probability outcome.

Until bullish acceptance returns above key value levels, rallies should be treated with caution. The market is now in a corrective rotation phase, and how Solana reacts around $78 will likely define the next major move.

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Crypto World

Nexo Relaunches Crypto Platform in the United States

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SEC, United States, Nexo

Nexo is set to relaunch its digital asset services and crypto exchange platform in the US on Monday, more than three years after it left the market following battles with federal and state regulators.

Now, citing improved regulatory clarity for digital assets in the US, the rebooted Nexo platform will offer flexible and fixed-term yield programs, a spot cryptocurrency exchange, crypto-backed credit lines and a loyalty program for US users, Nexo head of communications Eleonor Genova told Cointelegraph.

The platform’s trading infrastructure will be provided by Bakkt, a US-based digital asset platform focused on serving institutional clients. Genova said:

“Nexo’s US offering is structured through partnerships with appropriately licensed US service providers. Certain services are made available via a third-party Securities and Exchange Commission-registered (SEC) investment adviser, which provides advisory services under applicable US securities laws.”

SEC, United States, Nexo
Current SEC Chair Paul Atkins testifies to Congress. The SEC has made a pro-crypto regulatory pivot under Atkins’ leadership. Source: US House Committee on Financial Services

The new US operations will be based in Florida and run by a management team to be announced soon, according to the company.

Nexo first announced plans to re-enter the US during an exclusive event in April 2025, which featured Donald Trump Jr., the son of US President Donald Trump, as a keynote speaker. At the event, Trump Jr. described crypto as the future of finance.

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Related: Nexo to pay $500K fine to California regulator over ‘risky loans’

2022 exit cited regulatory uncertainty under Gensler regime

Nexo left the US market in December 2022 during the depths of the crypto bear market, citing the hostile regulatory posture toward the crypto industry under the leadership of former SEC chair Gary Gensler.

SEC, United States, Nexo
Source: Nexo

The company said it had decided to exit the US out of necessity after engaging in “good faith” conversations with US state and federal regulators over 18 months that did not move the needle.

“It is now unfortunately clear to us that despite rhetoric to the contrary, the US refuses to provide a path forward for enabling blockchain businesses,” the company said at the time.

Nexo’s “Crypto Earn” program, which allowed users to earn compounding interest on select cryptocurrencies loaned to the platform, was a major point of contention between the SEC and the company.

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In January 2023, Nexo agreed to a $45 million settlement with the SEC over failing to register its interest-bearing crypto rewards program with the regulator. The company also settled a $22.5 million multi-state securities settlement related to the earn interest program.

The company shuttered its Crypto Earn program for US users one month later.

Washington mulls crypto “clarity”

Nexo’s market reentry comes amid efforts in Washington to pass a bill defining how US market regulators will police crypto. The House passed a similar bill, the CLARITY Act, in July, but the effort has stalled as the Senate Banking Committee has yet to gather enough bipartisan support to advance it.

White House crypto adviser Patrick Witt said on Friday that both sides must compromise on the issue and push for passage before November’s midterm elections. Contributing to the stalemate are concerns voiced by crypto industry executives, which US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent believes have negatively impacted the industry, he told CNBC on Friday.

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A White House-brokered meeting last week between crypto and banking industry representatives to reach an agreement on stablecoin provisions in the market structure bill was described as “productive,” but remains unresolved. 

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