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Solana price prediction: here’s why rebound to $120 is possible if $90 holds

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Solana price target
Solana price rebound possible
  • $90 acts as crucial support for a potential Solana price upward move.
  • Rising short-term momentum supports a possible rebound.
  • Breaking $100 could open the path toward $120.

Solana (SOL), currently trading at around $91.90, has been under immense bear pressure in recent months.

The token has seen a steady decline from its previous highs, but recent technical signals suggest a rebound could be in play.

The $90 level is emerging as a key support level, which, if held, could trigger a strong upward move.

Technical analysis

The immediate support level at $90 has been tested several times in recent weeks, and every time Solana approaches it, buyers have stepped in to prevent further declines.

Technical charts show that holding this level is critical since a break below it could lead to a pullback toward $77.

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Solana price rebound on the table

On the other hand, maintaining $90 provides a foundation for bulls to push higher.

Momentum indicators show a mixed picture, with shorter timeframe charts indicating growing strength, although some oscillators are still signalling caution.

This suggests that while there is potential for upward movement, the market is waiting for confirmation.

Trading volume has also picked up slightly in the past month, showing renewed interest among traders.

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Yet, on-chain activity has dropped, indicating fewer transactions on the network.

This combination of higher trading volume and lower on-chain use points to speculative interest driving the short-term rally.

Why a rebound to $120 is possible

The combination of technical support, rising volume, and potential bullish momentum makes the $120 target realistic if $90 holds.

If Solana holds $90, the path to $96.47 is relatively clear.

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Once $96.47 is broken and sustained, a move toward $120 becomes plausible.

This would represent a nearly 30% gain from current levels, making it an attractive scenario for bullish traders.

Historical patterns also support this possibility.

In previous cycles, Solana has seen rapid rallies after establishing such strong support levels.

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Short-term momentum is improving, and daily momentum indicators such as Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) are turning more positive.

The MACD histogram is above the middle line, and the signal line has moved above the main MACD line, and the RSI has rebounded above 50 after a slight dip, signalling a possible rebound in the near term.

These suggest that buyers are gaining control, at least for the near term.

However, caution still remains since any failure at the resistance at $96.47 could lead to sideways trading or a complete collapse.

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In addition, the market is sensitive to broader cryptocurrency trends, and a strong rebound in Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) could further lift Solana’s price, while weakness in these coins could cap Solana’s gains.

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Crypto World

Bitcoin Rebounds 4% on Iran Ceasefire Hopes but Faces $72K Resistance

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Bitcoin Rebounds 4% on Iran Ceasefire Hopes but Faces $72K Resistance

Bitcoin (BTC) rose back above $71,000 during the early Asian trading hours on Wednesday after Trump’s administration offered a 15-point plan to Iran to end the war, sparking short-term optimism across risk assets.

Key takeaways:

  • Bitcoin bounces 4% to $71,500 after President Trump sent Iran a 15-point proposal aimed at ending the war. 

  • Bitcoin faces stiff resistance above $72,000. 

Bitcoin jumps 4% on ceasefire hopes

Data from TradingView showed BTC price rose as much as 4% to an intraday high of $71,300 from Tuesday’s low of $68,890, recouping all the losses incurred the day prior.

BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The price reacted to news that the US, through the primary intermediary Field Marshal Syed Asim Munir (Pakistan’s Chief of Army Staff), has sent Iran a 15-point plan aimed at ending the war.

The key elements of the plan include: a temporary ceasefire with calls on Iran to dismantle or severely limit its nuclear program, suspend its ballistic-missile work, and the full reopening of the Strait of Hormuz for safe maritime traffic.

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Source: X/The Kobeissi Letter

Meanwhile, Iran continues to deny any ongoing talks as ​​Trump delayed his self-imposed deadline for Tehran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.

Following the news, WTI crude oil dropped 5.75% to $87 per barrel, while Brent crude shed 6% to trade at $98.

Oil prices table. Source: Oil Price.com

Gold extended yesterday’s gains, now up 2.53% on the day to trade at $4,561 at the time of writing.

This move eases inflation fears tied to disrupted shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, positively impacting risk assets, including Bitcoin.

Analysts noted the swift repricing, with Coinlore saying that Bitcoin is now acting as a “real-time sentiment instrument for global risk.”

CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr said that BTC will “likely remain headline-driven” until the US and Iran send a “public de-escalation signal.”

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Bitcoin price faces “rough times ahead”

Despite the rebound, BTC’s upside appears to be capped at $72,000, where the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) and the upper trend line of a symmetrical triangle converge.

A break above $72,000 would confirm a bullish breakout from the triangle, toward the measured target at $92,400, 30% above the current price.

BTC/USD daily chart. Cointelegraph/TradingView

Glassnode’s cost-basis distribution heatmap reveals concentrated supply and resistance between $72,000 and $74,000, where investors acquired roughly 380,000 BTC over the last 30 days. This indicates that sellers could aggressively defend this zone.

Bitcoin cost basis distribution heatmap. Source: Glassnode

On the downside, a dense accumulation cluster sits around $65,000, where investors previously acquired 160,000 BTC. 

This level coincides with the lower trend line of the symmetrical triangle, which, if lost, could trigger the next leg lower toward the bearish target of the triangle at $52,500.

Meanwhile, Capriole Investment’s Bitcoin Macro index has dropped to -1.37, levels seen at the depth of previous bear cycles.

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The chart below shows that the metric historically spends a year at or below these valuations before recovering.

“Bitcoin Macro index is in the value zone,” Capriole Investments founder Charles Edwards said in an X post on Wednesday, adding:

“In all prior instances, price went lower into deeper value first before recovering, suggesting we may have more rough times ahead first.”

Bitcoin Macro Index. Source: Capriole Investments

As Cointelegraph reported, traders warn of a second bear flag breakdown that could clear the path for another sell-off below $50,000.