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Solana price risks a drop below $80 as bearish engulfing candles indicate weakness

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Solana price risks a drop below $80 as bearish engulfing candles indicate weakness - 1

Solana’s price is showing renewed downside risk after bearish engulfing candles rejected key resistance, with weakening market structure increasing the likelihood of testing sub-$80 support levels.

Summary

  • Bearish engulfing candles confirm rejection at the key $90 resistance
  • Loss of the point of control signals weakness, favoring further downside
  • $78–$80 support is the critical zone, with Fibonacci and liquidity confluence

Solana (SOL) price action has shifted back into a vulnerable technical position after a failed attempt to reclaim higher resistance. What initially looked like a potential stabilization has now turned into renewed weakness, as sellers regain control after a rejection at a key resistance zone. The broader structure remains corrective, and recent candlestick behavior suggests that downside continuation is becoming increasingly likely.

As price trades back below important value levels, attention is now turning to high-timeframe support zones that could come into play in the near term. Whether these levels hold or fail will determine if Solana can stage a meaningful bounce or if the correction deepens further.

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Solana price key technical points

  • Bearish engulfing candles rejected $90 resistance, reinforcing seller control
  • Loss of the point of control signals weakness, favoring rotation lower
  • $78–$80 support zone aligns with Fibonacci confluence, acting as a key downside target
Solana price risks a drop below $80 as bearish engulfing candles indicate weakness - 1
SOLUSDT (4H) Chart, Source: TradingView

Solana recently attempted to push above the $90 resistance level, but the move failed to gain traction. Price quickly closed back below resistance, forming bearish engulfing candles that invalidated the breakout attempt. These engulfing structures are significant because they often reflect aggressive selling pressure entering the market when buyers lose control.

The rejection from resistance is further reinforced by Solana’s inability to hold above the point of control (POC). Multiple counter-trend closes below this level indicate that the market has shifted away from balance and back into bearish momentum. When price loses the POC after a failed breakout, it often signals the start of a deeper corrective rotation.

Loss of value opens path toward $78 support

With price now trading below the point of control, the next logical downside magnet is the value area low. This level defines the lower boundary of fair value within the current range and frequently acts as a target during corrective phases.

Below the value area low sits high-timeframe support around $78, which also marks the lower edge of the broader trading structure. A move into this region would place Solana below the $80 psychological level, increasing volatility as traders reassess risk.

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From a technical perspective, the $78 area carries additional significance due to its alignment with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement. Fibonacci confluence often attracts price during corrective moves, particularly when paired with visible resting liquidity.

Liquidity sweep or deeper breakdown?

The swing low near $78 indicates an area with likely resting liquidity. Markets often dip into such zones to trigger stop-loss orders before deciding on the next directional move. If Solana quickly trades into this region and then reclaims it with strong buying interest, the move could resemble a liquidity sweep, setting the stage for a reactive bounce.

However, timing and structure will be critical. A slow grind lower, or prolonged acceptance below $78, would weaken the bounce thesis and suggest that a deeper corrective phase is unfolding. In that scenario, the market would be signaling that buyers are not yet ready to defend key support.

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Broader market structure remains corrective

From a market structure standpoint, Solana has not yet invalidated its bearish bias. Lower highs remain intact, and recent attempts to reclaim resistance have failed. Without a decisive reclaim of value and strong bullish volume, rallies should continue to be treated as corrective rather than trend-changing.

The presence of bearish engulfing candles at resistance adds further weight to this view, as such patterns often precede continuation lower rather than immediate reversal.

What to expect in the coming price action

From a technical, price-action, and market-structure perspective, Solana is likely to continue rotating lower in the short term. As long as the price remains below the resistance and the point of control, the probability favors a move toward the value area, low and high-timeframe support near $78.

Traders should closely monitor price behavior around this zone. A sharp reaction and reclaim could trigger a short-term relief bounce, while sustained trading below $80 would increase the risk of a deeper correction.

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Until bullish acceptance returns above key value levels, downside risks remain elevated, and Solana’s next meaningful move is likely to be defined by how the price reacts at sub-$80 support.

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Crypto World

2-Step Bitcoin Quantum Plan, Prepare For AGI

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2-Step Bitcoin Quantum Plan, Prepare For AGI

Crypto industry executives at Cointelegraph’s LONGITUDE conference in Hong Kong stressed the importance of addressing Bitcoin’s technological risks and said that clear US regulations can’t come soon enough.

Co-hosted by crypto exchange OneBullEx, the Feb. 12 event opened with a fireside chat featuring Tron founder Justin Sun, who discussed what the industry needs to prioritize — including preparing for artificial general intelligence (AGI) — which many expect to arrive within the next few years.

“We need to create a very easy standard for AGI to use blockchain,” Sun said.

Tron founder Justin Sun shared his optimism about the industry’s future. Source: Cointelegraph

Sun’s fireside chat was followed by three panel discussions covering the quantum computing threat to Bitcoin, the potential impact of the US CLARITY Act on the industry, and the progress of crypto infrastructure toward a trillion-dollar scale.

Despite a volatile crypto market at the end of 2025, industry players expressed optimism about the industry’s future.

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Bitcoiners should ‘discount the value’ until quantum solve

Quantum computing, which some in the Bitcoin community see as a serious potential threat, sparked a debate among panelists.

Capriole Investments founder Charles Edwards said the risk should be priced into Bitcoin until the asset becomes quantum-resistant.

“Today, you kind of have to start to discount the value of Bitcoin based on that risk until it’s solved,” Edwards said. He pointed to growing fears about quantum computing as a primary reason Bitcoin’s price ended the year lower than it started.

Charles Edwards (Capriole Investments), John Lilic (NeverLocal), Matthew Roszak (Hemi), and Akshat Vaidya (Maelstrom) shared their thoughts on quantum computing’s threat to Bitcoin. Source: Cointelegraph

“If you just look at the data, 2025 should have been a great year for Bitcoin,” Edwards said, explaining that quantum became a “non-zero threat” and US-based Bitcoin ETF issuers began adding risk disclaimers for quantum.

Meanwhile, Matthew Roszak, Bloq chairman and Hemi co-founder, wasn’t as worried about how it might play out:

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“To look at this as a movie trailer and what’s ahead for Bitcoin and quantum. Just the preview here. It’s a two-step process. We’re going to upgrade and chill. That’s it. That’s the process.”

Maelstrom managing partner and co-founder Akshat Vaidya admitted that quantum is an “existential threat,” but it will be met with a “coordinated response that’s proportionate.”

US CLARITY Act will be significant for the industry

White House crypto and AI czar David Sacks said in December that the US is “closer than ever” to passing the US CLARITY Act, which aims to provide the industry with clearer regulations.

Although the bill hasn’t passed, industry panelists agreed that the US has become noticeably more friendly toward crypto since President Donald Trump took office.

 Henri Arslanian (Nine Blocks Capital Management) led a panel on the US CLARITY Act, consisting of Craig Salm (Grayscale), Brian Mehler (Stable), Graham Ferguson (Securitize), Sonia Shaw (OneAsset), and Sean McHugh (VARA). Source: Cointelegraph

Sean McHugh, senior director at Dubai’s Virtual Assets Regulatory Authority, who previously worked in TradFi in the US, said one of the main reasons he moved to Dubai was its more crypto-friendly regulatory environment than the US.

“I think one of the reasons why I moved to Dubai is because, you know, they were committed to clarity when I left a year and a half ago,” McHugh said, adding:

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“The US was in a very different place than it is now.”

Grayscale Investments’ chief legal officer, Craig Salm, pointed to past conflicts over crypto between the two US financial regulators during the Joe Biden administration. 

“There used to be this whole turf war between the SEC and the CFTC,” Salm said, adding:

“Your regulator fighting over jurisdiction just isn’t productive for anybody.”

Salm also noted that the environment has changed. Instead of clashing, the SEC and CFTC are meeting together and coordinating to bring much-needed clarity to the asset class.

“Which is exactly what I think we all need,” Salm said.

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Doubts over crypto infrastructure readiness for big flows

When asked whether crypto infrastructure is ready to handle trillion-dollar institutional flows, the panelists expressed some doubts.

“I would say probably not yet,” Offchain Labs chief strategy officer A.J. Warner said.

A.J. Warner (Offchain Labs), Joanita Titan (Monad Foundation), Austin Federa (DoubleZero) and Isroil Shafiev (OneBullEx) explored the infrastructure required for global adoption, institutional-grade use cases, and RWAs. Source: Cointelegraph

Monad Foundation head of institutional growth, Joanita Titan, echoed Warner’s sentiment. “Billion-dollar payments or billion-dollar processing is not a problem, but trillion dollars, I don’t think we’re there yet,” she said.

Warner argued that the largest bottlenecks are “continuing to scale, resiliency of networks, and user experiences.”

Cointelegraph’s exclusive LONGITUDE events will continue in 2026, with editions planned for New York, Paris, Dubai, Singapore and Abu Dhabi.

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