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Solana price signals ABC correction after range-rejection

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Solana price signals ABC correction after range-high rejection - 1

Solana price has rejected a key resistance zone near $90, signaling the potential continuation of an ABC corrective structure.

Summary

  • Key Resistance: $90 aligns with high-timeframe resistance and the value area high.
  • ABC Correction: Rejection suggests the C-leg of a corrective structure may be underway.
  • Support to Watch: A break below $81 could open downside toward the value area low.

Solana’s (SOL) recent price action suggests the market may be entering a corrective phase following a clear rejection from the upper boundary of its trading range. The $90 region has acted as a significant high-timeframe resistance zone, aligning with the value area high and several structural resistance levels on the chart.

With the latest move failing to hold above this region, the probability of a deeper corrective move is beginning to increase.

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Solana price key technical points

  • Range-High Resistance: $90 aligns with high-timeframe structural resistance and the value area high.
  • ABC Structure: Price action is signaling the continuation of a corrective ABC pattern.
  • Downside Target: Potential move toward $81 support and the value area low.
Solana price signals ABC correction after range-high rejection - 1
SOLUSDT (4H) Chart, Source: TradingView

Solana’s price action recently approached the $90 region, which has historically acted as an important resistance level within the current market structure. This zone represents the upper boundary of the broader trading range and aligns closely with the value area high derived from the volume profile. When price approaches these areas, selling pressure often emerges as traders look to defend previous resistance.

The latest price movement shows a clear rejection from this region, reinforcing the idea that Solana remains within a corrective phase rather than entering a sustained breakout. The inability for price to reclaim the $90 resistance level suggests that buyers may be losing momentum at this point in the trend.

From a technical perspective, the rejection also aligns with a developing ABC corrective pattern, a common structure in market cycles where price moves through three phases before potentially resuming a broader trend. In this structure, the initial decline forms the A leg, followed by a temporary recovery known as the B leg, before the market enters the C leg, which typically extends toward lower liquidity zones.

In Solana’s case, the recent rally toward $90 may represent the B leg of the correction. Because the move has failed to sustain above resistance, the market may now be transitioning into the C leg of the structure, which typically involves price breaking below intermediate support levels as liquidity is cleared from the market.

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This technical setup is unfolding as broader ecosystem developments continue, including Nasdaq-listed Solmate Infrastructure announcing plans to establish a Solana infrastructure hub in the United Arab Emirates as part of a wider corporate restructuring and capital overhaul.

One of the key levels to watch in this scenario is the $81 support zone, which represents an important high-timeframe support level within the current structure. If price moves below this level, it would confirm increasing bearish pressure and open the door for a deeper rotation toward the value area low.

The value area low acts as a key liquidity region where large clusters of orders tend to accumulate. In range-bound markets, price frequently rotates between the value area high and value area low as traders rebalance positions and search for liquidity.

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Another important factor supporting the corrective outlook is the presence of untapped swing lows below the current price. Markets often move toward these zones as they contain resting stop orders and liquidity pools that larger participants may target before establishing a new directional move.

The confluence of resistance levels near $90 strengthens the probability that the rejection will continue to influence price direction. Multiple technical factors align in this region, including structural resistance, the value area high, and Fibonacci retracement levels, making it a significant barrier for bullish continuation.

Because of this, the broader market structure suggests that Solana may remain in a rotational environment until either the range high or range low is decisively broken. For now, the rejection from resistance suggests that the downside portion of the range may be tested next.

What to expect in the coming price action

As long as Solana remains below the $90 resistance zone, the ABC corrective structure is likely to remain active. A break below the $81 support level could accelerate downside momentum toward the value area low, while a strong reclaim of $90 would invalidate the bearish outlook and signal renewed bullish momentum.

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Crypto World

Bitcoin Strength Stuns Bears But They Haven’t Given Up Yet

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Bitcoin Strength Stuns Bears But They Haven’t Given Up Yet

Key takeaways:

  • Bitcoin sits above $71,000 as weak US economic data and the US and Israel-Iran war drive investors toward scarce assets.

  • Tech stocks’ correlation to BTC and rising oil prices suggest that the 5-month correction from $126,000 might not be over.

Bitcoin (BTC) jumped above $73,000 on Friday, successfully locking in the 70,000 support for the week. These gains occurred as the US reported weak economic activity data, triggering concerns of an impending recession while the war in Iran continues to drag on.

While socio-economic events and institutional inflows might have led to Bitcoin’s bullish momentum, traders are still questioning if the bear market has actually ended.

Economic turmoil, growing investor appetite for BTC back Bitcoin’s breakout

The US economy grew by a mere 0.7% between October and December 2025, which was a significant downgrade from previous estimates, according to a US Commerce Department report released on Friday. While the final report is due April 9, the risks of a recession throughout 2026 have increased, driving investors away from US Treasuries.

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US 10-year Treasury yield vs. Bitcoin/USD. Source: TradingView

Yields on the US 10-year Treasury surged to 4.26%, meaning investors are demanding a higher return to hold those assets. The mere risk of additional liquidity causes traders to seek shelter in scarce assets. This partially explains why the S&P 500 traded just 5% below its all-time high despite the worsening economic conditions.

WTI oil futures (left) vs. S&P 500 futures (right). Source: TradingView

On Monday, the S&P 500 futures plummeted to their lowest levels in over three months after oil prices briefly surged to $119.50. The US decision to temporarily authorize the purchase of Russian oil stranded at sea helped to cool off some of the risks. This move, announced by US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent on Friday, eased the markets’ short-term concerns.

US-listed spot Bitcoin ETF daily net flows, USD. Source: CoinGlass

Institutional demand for Bitcoin has also been signaled as a potential driver for the recent bullish momentum. Spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) faced four consecutive days of net inflows totaling $583 million, while analysts estimate that Strategy (MSTR) accumulated over $900 million through the yield-bearing STRC instrument.

Related: Bitcoin’s ‘extremely precise’ macro signal puts $100K target back in play

Bitcoin’s momentum turned bullish, but the bear market carries on

At first glance, the economic backdrop points toward liquidity injections and rising institutional interest in Bitcoin. However, that doesn’t necessarily mean the five-month correction following the $126,000 peak in October 2025 has ended. 

Bitcoin’s 50-day correlation with the Nasdaq 100 sits at 84%. As concerns grow over sticky inflation and stagnant economic growth, the odds of a stock market pullback increase. Traders are unlikely to use Bitcoin as a hedge, especially given its recent underperformance compared to gold.

Adding to this, oil prices remain $30 higher than levels seen before the war in Iran began. These high fuel costs hit consumer spending and create inflationary pressure, which reduces the capital retail traders have available for crypto investments.

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Inflows to the spot BTC ETFs have surged as $2.14 billion entered the ETFs from Feb. 24 to March 4, driving a 14% rally. However, prices slipped 10% over the next four days as those flows reversed. This suggests spot ETF activity is just reacting to Bitcoin’s price rather than acting as a leading indicator.

Whether Bitcoin stays above $70,000 over the weekend may not shift investor sentiment. While a five-week consolidation and several tests of the $64,000 support show bulls’ confidence, the recent price action hasn’t delivered a clear signal for a breakout.