To get an idea of how big a deal AI-based commerce could be for crypto, ask entrepreneurs and developers involved in digital assets, particularly stablecoins. They’ll happily tell you blockchain-based money is the natural fit, an essential element in the mix and so forth.

Their logic is simple. Over the past few years, stablecoins — mostly digital versions of the dollar on public blockchains like Ethereum — have begun eating into the global payments industry. And while they’ve proven to be faster and cheaper than traditional bank transfers, it’s in the new world of autonomous, micro-transacting AI agents that they will shine.

That, at least, is the view of companies like Circle Internet (CRCL), the creator of the second-largest stablecoin, and technicians at crypto exchange Coinbase (COIN), which has led engineering on x402, a payments protocol designed for use by autonomous AI agents in a field becoming known as agentic finance.

Just as 24/7, frictionless, cross-border payment has been a growth area for stablecoins, agentic commerce has particular requirements that the dollar-pegged tokens meet, according to Dante Disparte, Circle’s chief strategy officer and head of global policy. Those include the ability to program the coins so they transfer only when particular conditions are met and to daisy chain, or compose, a set of actions that occur on receipt of a token.

“Firstly, you have to be able to exploit the otherwise really innocuous features of stablecoins, which is programmability and composability,” Disparate said in an interview. “Number two, where the stablecoin lives, the physical blockchain ledgers themselves, are the common reference point the agents will turn to.”

The crypto industry, however, is viewed with, if not suspicion, then at least circumspection, among some AI developers. For example, Peter Steinberger, the creator of AI agent OpenClaw, is publicly opposed to crypto, so much so that he refuses to engage in any further commentary on the subject and declined to comment for this article.

While crypto’s bullishness on AI is one end of the spectrum, consider the other side, said Sean Neville, co-founder of Catana Labs, a builder of agentic finance infrastructure that last year raised $18 million in seed funding led by a16z.

“I’ve worked with people who are more in the AI developer and engineering community that have a very low opinion of crypto,” said Neville, who is also a co-founder of Circle, in an interview. “I think stablecoins have achieved some escape velocity, but the AI developer community in particular has a negative view of crypto, because of things like memecoins and Ponzi schemes and whatnot.”

Untouched by human hands

A key feature of agentic finance is that it involves micro-transactions, or nano-payments, some of which take place between AI agents with humans somewhere in the background.

This is quite different from using Chat GTP as a front-end for a shopping cart and plugging a credit card into it, though, in the near term, agentic systems will access both crypto and cards, Neville said. Agentic payments are likely to be high-frequency transactions in the fractions-of-a cent range that credit card networks will struggle to handle.

“Over time, I do think that there are significant advantages in stablecoins and blockchain rails that are much more natural fits for agentic flows beyond just the retail commerce use case,” Neville said. “If AI is doing things like leveraging 24/7, programmable rails to stream different kinds of money around the world, across borders, it’s just difficult to do that with anything other than stablecoins.”

With clear regulatory guidance for stablecoins finally coming in the U.S., there are potentially more pressing questions for AI agents around fragmentation and conflicting protocols jockeying for position, Neville said.

“There’s a bunch of different ways for agents to pay each other, but if they can’t all agree on how payments should work, then it’s difficult to bootstrap marketplaces, whether they’re using micro payments or not,” he said. “I would love to see something like an SSL equivalent emerge for agents, and it would be great to see a standard that nobody owns, so that we could all kind of build on the same interoperable standard.”

SSL, or Secure Sockets Layer, is a standard technology that encrypts the connection between a web server and a browser.

Stablecoin-friendly option x402, which is often cited in the debate, has caused some people to get hung up on the protocol’s transaction volume from one month to another, said Erik Reppel, head of engineering for Coinbase Developer Platform and an x402 founder. He said his focus is firmly on looking ahead at a whole category of commerce that will hugely disrupt the internet’s existing advertising marketplace.

“I think the thing people haven’t quite realized is that we’re going to break the fundamental economic model of the internet, moving from browsers and you visiting the website of the person who’s publishing content, to consuming things through your agents and your chat interface,” Reppel said in an interview.

The few cents paid by an agent crawling a website, equivalent to the value of an advert flashed before a human’s eyes, could in theory be accomplished by spinning up lots of virtual cards, if a developer has a relationship with, for example, Visa, Rappel said.

“But anyone can program stablecoins,” he said. “Anyone in the world can spin up as many wallets as they want, and then just use wallets as the way to fully isolate funds for an agent. What we want is agents to have isolated, programmable funds, where your agent can’t spend into your credit card limit and can’t access your credit card.”

Catena’s Neville said the company is grappling with squaring regulated money transmission with a sea of agents and bots that have no financial identity. The goal is to keep the bad bots out, he said, while identifying and allowing the ones you want, while giving them specific guidelines and policies they can’t escape.

“The way to handle that is programmable money, because we can leverage cryptography to ensure verifiability and auditability and so on,” Neville said. “It’s effectively identity and policy controls so agents can operate within the rules, regardless of which protocol or which wallet or account infrastructure they happen to be using.”

If history repeats, bitcoin could easily go above $300,000.

Popular analyst Merlijn The Trader outlined in a recent post on X that bitcoin’s current setup resembles, to a large extent, its market behavior in late 2022 when the asset actually skyrocketed by triple digits from bottom to top.

To even have the theoretical chance of doing so, though, Merlijn outlined the key level BTC has to hold.

385% Surge in the Making?

His analysis noted that bitcoin had already run this playbook over three years ago, which is evident from the descending compression and sweep buy liquidity. He believes this setup will trap late sellers and BTC’s price will eventually reverse upon its conclusion.

Merlijn explained that the last time this happened, BTC’s price skyrocketed from $15,000 to $73,000. A similar price surge of 385% would send the cryptocurrency flying to well over $300,000.

Obviously, such a scenario is hard to envision now and might sound like a stretch, but Merlijn indicated that BTC could reignite a highly impressive rally as long as it holds the key $65,000 level. If it doesn’t, then it would continue the liquidity sweep phase.

BITCOIN RAN THE SAME PLAYBOOK AS NOVEMBER 2022.

Descending compression. Sweep buy liquidity.
Trap late sellers. Then reverse.

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Last time this resolved: BTC went from $15K to $73K.

Hold $65K: base is complete.
Lose it: liquidity sweep continues.

The market hunts liquidity… pic.twitter.com/BDPICGhWYS

— Merlijn The Trader (@MerlijnTrader) March 14, 2026

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He doubled down in a subsequent post that every major BTC cycle had started with a bear trap. In previous examples, such as the massive runs in 2013, 2016, and 2020, the price gains were quite spectacular – 24,000%, 6,300%, and 842%, respectively.

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The analyst noted that the pattern doesn’t change as fear is always the first phase of the rally. And, as reported recently, fear has dominated the crypto market for a few consecutive months.

Still Bear Cycle

In the meantime, Doctor Profit, among the most well-known crypto analysts who have been calling for this correction for months, acknowledged BTC’s recent pump to $74,000. However, he argued that this is likely to be a short-term upside move, before “we see another downturn” to new lows.

The cryptocurrency was indeed rejected at $74,000 for the second time in the past 10 days or so, and now struggles to remain above $70,000.

#Bitcoin is rising fast and strong, exactly as predicted. Expect more upside move before we see another downturn move to new lows. In the meantime, let’s enjoy the fake pump together that will last for some weeks!

— Doctor Profit 🇨🇭 (@DrProfitCrypto) March 13, 2026

Tech investor Balaji Srinivasan, a former Coinbase chief technology officer, is urging the crypto industry to forge more financial tools for refugees and stateless populations. In a Saturday X post, he emphasized that global conflicts and economic migration can swell displacement figures, pointing to Ukrainians fleeing war and workers departing Gulf states amid mounting regional tensions as illustrative cases. He argued that cryptocurrency infrastructure could supply essential financial rails when traditional institutions falter or become inaccessible, offering livelihoods and liquidity to those cut off from conventional banking networks. The moment signals a broader conversation about crypto’s potential humanitarian role, beyond speculative trading and borderless payments.

Key takeaways

• Balaji Srinivasan frames crypto as a critical tool for refugees, advocating product development tailored to stateless populations.
• The argument hinges on crypto’s resilience in adverse conditions, described as a “wartime mode for the internet.”
• Andi Duro of TwoCents cautions that the industry has rarely built refugee-focused solutions, citing misaligned incentives in the market.
• Progress exists in stablecoins’ reach, with USDC emerging as a borderless digital currency; reported metrics show large supply growth amid regional capital movements.
• Analysts connect stablecoin dynamics to capital flight, including in the UAE, where real estate volatility has influenced crypto flows.

Tickers mentioned: $USDC

Sentiment: Neutral

Price impact: Neutral. The discussion centers on humanitarian finance and infrastructure, not immediate price moves.

Market context: The discourse sits at the intersection of humanitarian needs, macro capital flows, and evolving stablecoin dynamics, a period when liquidity and trust in borderless digital rails are being stress-tested against geopolitical risk and regulatory scrutiny.

Why it matters

The propositions raised by Srinivasan underscore a broader reckoning within crypto: its potential to serve as a life-supporting financial layer when fiat rails are stressed or severed. Refugees and stateless individuals often rely on untrusted or fragile payment systems, and a decentralized, permissionless network could in theory offer access to savings, remittances, and basic liquidity where traditional banks fail to operate. By reframing crypto as a humanitarian technology rather than solely a speculative instrument, the industry could expand its utility and widen its social license among policymakers, aid organizations, and displaced communities.

On the substance of progress, there is acknowledgement that crypto has already seen some utility growth through stablecoins, especially a dominant USD-pegged token that has achieved widespread use across borders. As cited in industry reporting, the stablecoin market has surged in recent weeks, with circulating supply and market capitalization tracking toward record levels. In particular, the ecosystem’s borderless digital money concept has started to gain traction among users who need fast, low-cost transfers that do not depend on traditional correspondent banking networks. This development is not purely transactional; it also signals a broader shift in how communities facing disruption think about access to financial services. See the USDC price index for current data and context, and related analyses documenting the stablecoin’s expanding footprint, including discussions about capital movements in the Middle East and beyond.

Meanwhile, the UAE has figured prominently in conversations about capital flight and crypto usage. A Dubai-based analyst noted that turbulence in the real estate sector has contributed to shifting capital flows, which some observers link to heightened activity in borderless digital currencies. The real estate market index referenced in regional analyses has trended downward since the onset of regional tensions, a dynamic that dovetails with broader questions about how crypto can provide liquidity channels in volatile markets. These observations echo a wider debate about how policymakers should approach stablecoins and cross-border payments while ensuring consumer protection and financial stability.

Beyond humanitarian implications, the discourse is also framed against a broader crypto policy backdrop. For instance, discussions about how digital assets intersect with national security, monetary sovereignty, and financial inclusion are amplifying in legislative forums. A separate policy thread has examined the potential use cases for prediction markets related to geopolitical events, underscoring how technology platforms could influence risk assessment and decision-making in crisis contexts. The tension between fostering innovation and maintaining regulatory guardrails remains a defining feature of the current landscape. The link to related policy discussions provides additional context on how lawmakers view the balance between experimentation and oversight.

Ultimately, the conversation centers on whether crypto developers and entrepreneurs can translate a doctrine of resilience into real-world tools that assist people who are most vulnerable to disruption. The call to action is not merely to build faster payments or cheaper transfers, but to design interfaces and fiducial structures that can function under duress, with clear governance and robust privacy protections. If the industry can align incentives around humanitarian use cases, the result could be a more inclusive crypto ecosystem that extends its benefits beyond early adopters to those who have historically been excluded from formal financial systems.

What to watch next

• Announcements of refugee-focused crypto tooling or pilots from wallets, remittance platforms, or humanitarian organizations.
• Regulatory developments shaping stablecoins and cross-border payments, particularly in regions with rising displacement pressures.
• Updates on USDC and other stablecoins’ global supply dynamics, including any official disclosures about new markets or regulatory compliance arrangements.
• Further commentary from Balaji Srinivasan and other industry voices on wartime internet resilience and humanitarian finance.
• Regulatory or legislative steps related to prediction markets or crisis-related financial instruments that could influence crypto-backed risk transfer tools.

Sources & verification

• Balaji Srinivasan’s X post referenced in discussion of refugee-focused crypto tooling.
• Andi Duro, founder of TwoCents, on crypto’s deployment for refugees and the critique of current product focus.
• USDC price index for current stablecoin metrics and liquidity context.
• USDC market cap near $80B and related analysis on UAE capital flight and capital dynamics.
• Article on Bitcoin’s geopolitical stress test and price movement referenced in related context.

Balaji Srinivasan calls on crypto builders to serve refugees amid rising displacement

In the current climate of intensified conflicts and ongoing economic migration, Balaji Srinivasan argues that crypto should advance beyond hype and toward practical humanitarian applications. He frames this as a strategic shift for an industry often defined by rapid innovation and speculative sentiment. By urging developers to focus on refugee-accessible financial tools, he positions crypto as a potential backstop for people who lose reliable access to conventional financial rails during crises. The call aligns with a broader conversation about the role of public blockchains in sustaining economic activity when centralized systems face disruptions, emphasizing that decentralization can offer continuity in the face of cyberattacks, infrastructure outages, or regulatory constraints.

Amid the debate, Srinivasan acknowledges that progress already exists in the form of stablecoins expanding their global reach as borderless digital money. While the industry has not yet delivered a full suite of refugee-centric products, the potential is clear: non-custodial wallets, transparent governance, and cross-border settlement rails could empower displaced individuals to store value, send remittances, and access identity-linked financial services with fewer intermediaries. The discussion also touches on the human dimension—products that work for refugees must be usable, accessible, and trusted by communities that have often been underserved by traditional financial infrastructure. The evolving narrative urges builders to test and scale with a humanitarian lens, ensuring security, privacy, and user-centric design are not sacrificed for speed or novelty.

On this topic, Srinivasan points to the broader stability narrative around stablecoins, noting that a leading USD-pegged token is already achieving widespread circulation. The growth in circulating supply and market depth has implications for liquidity and cross-border transactions, potentially enabling refugees and stateless individuals to participate in the digital economy more reliably. Reports referencing the price index and market-cap trends illustrate how capital flows are shifting, sometimes in response to geopolitical developments such as regional tensions in the Gulf and the real estate market’s response to conflict. While the numbers provide a snapshot of the moment, the underlying takeaway is a call for intentional product development that centers humanitarian needs as a core use case for crypto.

In this context, the conversation intersects with regulatory and policy considerations. Acknowledging the tension between innovation and oversight, the discourse invites ongoing dialogue about how to design crypto tools that are compliant, secure, and accessible to those who stand to gain the most from resilient financial rails. The critique from Andi Duro—that refugee-focused crypto products have been historically underdeveloped due to consumer misalignment with gambling-centric segments—serves as a reminder that the market must reorient incentives to serve vulnerable populations. If the community can translate this critique into concrete product and governance innovations, the humanitarian potential of crypto could become a meaningful, verifiable outcome rather than a theoretical ideal.

Tech investor and former Coinbase chief technology officer Balaji Srinivasan has called on the crypto industry to develop more financial tools for refugees and stateless people.

In a Saturday post on X, Srinivasan said the number of displaced individuals could grow as global conflicts intensify and economic migration increases. He pointed to examples ranging from Ukrainians fleeing war to workers leaving the Gulf countries amid regional tensions.

“We should build more crypto tools for refugees and stateless people,” Srinivasan wrote, suggesting that blockchain-based systems can provide financial infrastructure when traditional institutions fail or become inaccessible.

Srinivasan described crypto as “wartime mode for the internet,” arguing that decentralized networks were designed to operate even under hostile conditions such as cyberattacks, infrastructure failures or financial restrictions. He said that public blockchains can continue processing transactions even if centralized systems face disruptions.

Related: Bitcoin ‘passing geopolitical stress test’ as BTC price spikes above $72K

Crypto rarely builds for refugees despite clear need

His comments came in response to a separate post from Andi Duro, founder of research site TwoCents, who argued that while crypto could serve refugees effectively, the industry rarely builds products specifically for them.

“It’s very unfortunate that crypto is a great solution for refugees who are stateless and forced to interact with crumbling institutions and payment rails,” Andi wrote. “But nobody in crypto builds for refugees because they’re not useful consumers for gambling.”

However, Srinivasan noted that crypto has had some success in building such tools. He pointed out the growing role of stablecoins, which he said are already gaining global reach as a borderless form of digital money. “But we can do more,” he added.

Related: US Senate bill targets prediction markets on war and assassinations

UAE capital flight boosts USDC

As Cointelegraph reported, the market capitalization of the USDC (USDC) stablecoin is nearing a record $80 billion as supply surges in recent weeks. USDC’s circulating supply reaching roughly $79.2 billion, surpassing its previous high set in December after rising from about $70 billion in early February.

One Dubai-based analyst attributed the spike to capital flight from the United Arab Emirates amid turbulence in the real estate market. The DFM Real Estate Index has dropped sharply since the start of the war.

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