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Crypto World

Stablecoin Supply Hits $315B in Q1 as USDC Rises, USDT Falls

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Crypto Breaking News

Stablecoins stood out as a rare bright spot in an otherwise muted first quarter for the crypto market. Fresh data from CEX.IO shows the sector expanded despite a broad downturn, underscoring their evolving role as the market’s liquidity backbone and a defensive option for investors navigating volatility.

Overall stablecoin supply climbed to a record $315 billion in Q1, rising by about $8 billion. While that is the slowest pace of growth since the final quarter of 2023, it still marks a net expansion during a period of weaker price action across digital assets. Equally notable is the share of activity they generated: stablecoins accounted for roughly 75% of total crypto trading volume in the quarter—the highest level on record and a signal of ongoing demand for a familiar, fast settlement layer in crypto markets.

Key takeaways

  • Record liquidity backbone: Stablecoin supply reached $315 billion in Q1, up about $8 billion year over year, with 75% of crypto trading volume conducted in stablecoins.
  • Volume vs. retail: Total stablecoin transaction volume surpassed $28 trillion, reinforcing stablecoins’ central role as the main on-chain liquidity layer, even as retail activity cooled.
  • Shift in usage: Retail transfers declined 16% in Q1—the steepest drop on record—while automated activity surged, with bots driving about 76% of stablecoin transaction volume.
  • Issuer divergence: USDC supply grew by roughly $2 billion, while USDT declined by about $3 billion—the first meaningful split between the two major issuers since 2022.
  • Yield-driven growth amid scrutiny: The market for yield-bearing stablecoins sits around $3.7 billion, with daily trading volumes above $100 million, a dynamic drawing regulatory attention in the U.S.

Bot-driven liquidity reshapes on-chain dynamics

The data depict a notable shift in how stablecoins are used on-chain. While retail demand showed a clear pullback, the rise of algorithmic activity points to a growing involvement from institutions and sophisticated trading strategies. Bots’ dominance—accounting for roughly three-quarters of on-chain stablecoin volume—suggests that liquidity provisioning, arbitrage, and market-making have moved to the forefront of stablecoin use cases.

In a market environment characterized by tighter risk appetites, such automation can enhance price discovery and capital efficiency for major exchanges and liquidity venues. Yet it also raises questions about the resilience of demand when non-retail participants dominate flows, and about the potential for sudden shifts if algorithmic strategies recalibrate in response to evolving market conditions.

Diverging paths for the two largest issuers

Among stablecoin issuers, a clear divergence emerged in Q1. Circle’s USDC saw supply expand by approximately $2 billion, while Tether’s USDt contracted by around $3 billion. This marks the first substantive split between the two since mid-2022 and suggests a relative shift in on-chain usage toward USDC—an outcome consistent with rising USDC transfer activity observed earlier in the year.

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Analysts have linked the USDC uptick to broader on-chain utility, including trading, settlement, and financial ops, aligning with data that show USDC’s growing centrality in routine liquidity operations. By contrast, the USDT contraction could reflect a combination of redemption dynamics, reserve management choices, and shifting preferences in certain liquidity pools or markets.

For market participants, the divergence underscores how issuer strategies and trusted rails can influence liquidity distribution across protocols and venues. Investors and builders should monitor whether the USDC-USDT dynamic persists, and what it signals about demand regimes for stablecoins across centralized and decentralized ecosystems.

Further context from industry coverage indicates ongoing upticks in USDC transfer activity, reinforcing the view that USDC is becoming a more prominent vehicle for on-chain finance beyond mere trading pairs.

USDC transfer activity has been cited as a notable trend in on-chain volume, a development that dovetails with the supply data described above.

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Yield-bearing stablecoins: growth facing regulatory glare

Another notable dynamic in the quarter was the continued growth of yield-bearing stablecoins, a niche that has drawn heightened scrutiny in the United States. The market for these interest-bearing products sits around $3.7 billion, with daily trading volumes topping $100 million, according to CoinGecko data. The appeal is clear: yield segments can attract capital by offering enhanced returns compared with traditional stablecoins, particularly in an environment of rising interest expectations and evolving DeFi strategies.

However, the same yield-focused segment has become a focal point for policymakers and incumbents concerned about the potential risks and the regulatory framework surrounding crypto markets. Lawmakers and industry participants alike are weighing how yield offerings intersect with investor protection, banking relationships, and the broader stability of the payments and settlement stack. In parallel, traditional banks have pushed back against stablecoins that promise yields, highlighting ongoing regulatory ambiguity as a constraint on product design and market adoption.

In this context, the market data on yield-bearing stablecoins provide a meaningful barometer of how far stablecoin innovation can advance within a regulated framework while balancing the needs of retail users, institutions, and on-chain operators. The relatively modest overall size of the yield-bearing segment — about $3.7 billion — doesn’t yet imply a wholesale shift, but it does suggest that product diversification will continue to shape issuer strategies and market structure decisions in the months ahead.

For readers tracking industry momentum, these dynamics are not isolated. They intersect with broader narratives about stablecoins’ role as a settlement layer, the push toward on-chain financial operations, and the risk-reward calculus for yield-based products in a climate of regulatory review. A recent report highlighted that stablecoins had surpassed traditional payment rails in certain on-chain metrics, underscoring how deeply embedded they have become in crypto liquidity and infrastructure. Earlier analysis noted stablecoins’ growing transfer volumes relative to traditional networks, reinforcing the shift toward crypto-native settlement paradigms.

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What this means for traders, users and builders

From an investment and trading standpoint, the quarter’s data suggest that stablecoins remain a critical tool for risk management, liquidity access, and calendar-driven strategies. The sheer scale of on-chain activity—$28 trillion in stablecoin transaction volume—reaffirms stablecoins as the de facto liquidity layer for a broad cross-section of on-chain activity, including arbitrage, price discovery across venues, and cross-border settlement flows.

For developers and protocol teams, the issuer divergence and the dominance of bot-driven flows offer both opportunities and cautions. Platform builders may benefit from deeper liquidity and cheaper execution, but they must consider how to design for resilience in the face of heavy algorithmic participation. Regulators, meanwhile, will likely continue scrutinizing yield-based designs and the broader stability implications of stablecoin markets within the evolving market structure debate. In the U.S., the ongoing policy discussions surrounding a crypto market structure bill and yield rules will shape product features, storage and redemption mechanics, and the viability of certain yield strategies.

What to watch next

Observers should track whether the USDC-USDT divergence persists and how it correlates with on-chain activity patterns and exchange flows. The pace of stablecoin supply growth will be telling as market conditions evolve, particularly if macro cues shift risk appetites or driving factors for demand change. Regulators’ approach to stablecoins with embedded yields will likely influence product development and institutional participation going forward. Finally, the extent to which bot-driven liquidity remains the dominant force behind stablecoin activity will be a key question for traders and market planners in the quarters ahead.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Crypto World

‘Memecoin Messiah’ Lost $60M Trading Mostly SPX6900: He’s Still Not Selling

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'Memecoin Messiah' Lost $60M Trading Mostly SPX6900: He's Still Not Selling

Murad Mahmudov, a crypto trader also known as the “Memecoin messiah,” has lost nearly $60 million across his bets in the past nine months. Still, he expects a bullish reversal.

Key takeaways:

  • Mahmudov thinks SPX6900, which is 96% of his memecoin portfolio, will rise 400,000%.

  • SPX6900 chart technicals signal another 20% decline in the coming weeks.

SPX6900 will reach $1 trillion market cap, claims Mahmudov

On Wednesday, Mahmudov said the market capitalization of SPX6900 (SPX), a memecoin on a mission to overtake the US benchmark S&P 500 index, will grow to $1 trillion from its current valuation of around $250 million, a nearly 400,000% increase.

Source: X/@MustStopMurad

For context, Bitcoin (BTC) is the only cryptocurrency that has been able to hit a $1 trillion mark so far, led by growing institutional demand.

Mahmudov’s publicly labeled wallets, tracked under the entity “Muststopmurad” by Arkham Intelligence, currently hold approximately 29.964 million SPX, valued at roughly $7.79 million.

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Murad Mahmudov’s crypto portfolio. Source: Arkham Intelligence

This single position accounts for about 96% of his total tracked portfolio, currently valued at around $8.1 million.

At its peak in July last year, the same portfolio was worth around $67 million.

The drop since then amounts to an unrealized loss of roughly $60 million, as the broader memecoin sector, including SPX, corrected by more than 80% from its highs.

Mahmudov still holds SPX6900 and other memecoins

Mahmudov does not appear to be locking in the memecoin losses.

Portfolio tracker DropsTab shows no meaningful sales of SPX6900 or his other major positions, with realized profits and losses on the tracked holdings still at zero.

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Mahmudov’s portfolio dashboard. Source: DropsTab

Importantly, the trader appears to be holding more than $6.22 million in unrealized gains instead of taking a profit.

Mahmudov’s refusal to sell also stands out because the broader memecoin market has been brutal toward its dedicated holders.

In a January report, CoinGecko said that 53.2% of all cryptocurrencies tracked since 2021 were inactive, with 11.6 million token failures recorded in 2025 alone that particularly “affected the memecoin sector.”

Related: Memecoins and art market share similar economics — Ki Young Ju

Mahmudov’s smaller wallet holdings also reveal the limits of memecoin conviction.

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Public DEX data for ticker-level matches, including RETARDMAXX, HONK and CHAD, shows that some of these names are barely functional.

One RETARDMAXX pair had roughly $44,000 in liquidity but just six transactions and $89 in daily volume, while CHAD showed $842 in liquidity with zero trades and zero makers.

RETARDMAXX/SOL daily chart. Source: DEXScreener.COM

One HONK pair, meanwhile, had just $1 in liquidity and no recorded activity. Those tokens may still print a price on screen, but in a selloff, they offer little evidence of dependable exit liquidity.

SPX900 breakdown hints at more losses ahead

On the three-day chart, SPX6900 appears to be breaking down from a rising wedge, a bearish pattern that typically resolves lower after price slips below support.

SPX has already started losing the wedge’s lower trendline near $0.26 and remains below its 20-, 50- and 100-period exponential moving averages, underscoring weak momentum.

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SPX/USDT.P three-day chart. Source: TradingView

If the breakdown confirms, the measured move points to $0.205, about 20% below current levels.

A 20% drop in SPX would cut roughly $1.56 million from Mahmudov’s memecoin portfolio.