Connect with us
DAPA Banner

Crypto World

Stocks and crypto markets on edge as US inflation cools, Trump eyes steel tariff cuts

Published

on

Stocks and crypto markets on edge as US inflation cools, Trump eyes steel tariff cuts

The stock and crypto markets remained on edge today, February 13, as participants reacted to the latest US consumer inflation report, which continued moving downwards in January.

Summary

  • The stock and crypto markets retreated after the US published the latest US consumer inflation report.
  • Data by the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that the headline Consumer Price Index fell to 2.4%.
  • Core inflation, which excludes the volatile food and energy prices, fell to 2.5%.

US stock indices retreated, with the futures tied to the Dow Jones. Nasdaq 100, and S&P 500 falling by over 35 basis points, continuing a trend that has continued on Thursday.

Similarly, crypto prices like Bitcoin (BTC) dropped to $66,000, while top altcoins like LayerZero (ZRO), Canton, Internet Computer, Uniswap, and Kaspa dropped by over 5% in the last 24 hours. The market capitalization of all tokens dropped to $2.29 trillion.

Advertisement

US consumer inflation retreated in January 

A report released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that the headline Consumer Price Index retreated from 2.7% in December to 2.4% in January, the lowest level in months. It retreated from 0.3% in December to 0.2% on a MoM basis.

The report showed that the core inflation, which excludes the volatile food and energy prices, dropped to 2.5% from the previous 2.6%. These numbers mean that US inflation has not surged as during President Donald Trump’s tariffs as most economists were expecting.

The report came a few hours after the Financial Times reported that Trump’s administration was considering tweaking his massive steel and aluminum tariffs, a move that will lead to lower prices in the long term  

The data came two days after the BLS released strong non-farm payrolls data, which showed that the economy created 130k jobs in January, while the unemployment rate slipped to 4.3%. 

Advertisement

Still, it is unclear whether the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates more times this year, even as inflation retreats. A Polymarket poll has the odds of no cuts in March at 93%. Another poll estimates that there will be just two cuts this year.

Stocks and crypto markets do well in periods of low interest rate 

In theory, the stock and crypto markets do well when the Fed is cutting interest rates. A good example of this happened during the COVID-19 pandemic when these assets jumped as the Fed slashed rates to zero.

The assets then plunged in 2022, with Bitcoin moving below $16,000, as the Fed hiked interest rates to combat the elevated inflation.

Advertisement

However, the current Federal Reserve cycle has happened amid a divergence in the two assets. The stock market has soared to a record high, while Bitcoin and most altcoins are stuck in a bear market.

One reason for this is that the market has had some major moving parts in the past few months. The stock market has been driven be the ongoing AI boom, while the crypto market crash has happened because of the elevated risks, including on Iran. 

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading
Click to comment

You must be logged in to post a comment Login

Leave a Reply

Crypto World

$80M Hyperliquid Whale Bet Predicts Bitcoin Crash and Oil Rally

Published

on

$80M Hyperliquid Whale Bet Predicts Bitcoin Crash and Oil Rally

Key takeaways:

  • A Hyperliquid whale placed an $80 million bet against Bitcoin and the S&P 500 while going long on Brent crude oil prices.

  • The whale’s history of massive losses and inconsistent signals suggests the trade could fall on the wrong side of the market.

Bitcoin (BTC) showed strength on Wednesday, bouncing back from Tuesday’s $66,000 low after President Donald Trump teased a potential ceasefire in the US and Israel-Iran war. Even with Bitcoin trading above $68,000, one whale used Hyperliquid DEX to place an $80 million bet on a market collapse. 

Traders are now watching closely to see if this whale’s massive position signals a looming Bitcoin price drop.

Hyperliquid whale 0x94d373…c933814 position. Source: CoinGlass

The Hyperliquid whale, linked to address 0x94d373…c933814, carefully built this nearly $80 million leveraged position between Tuesday and Wednesday. The trade includes a $40 million short (sell) on Bitcoin futures near $68,760, a $2 million short on synthetic S&P 500 Index contracts, and a $37 million long (buy) in synthetic Brent oil contracts.

Crude Brent oil (left) vs. Bitcoin/USD (right). Source: TradingView

The whale’s aggregate position leverage stood at 7 times, indicating high conviction. The Bitcoin futures liquidation price was $80,083, while the Brent oil position would be forcefully terminated above $93. The timing of the trade is curious as S&P 500 Index futures gained 4% between Tuesday and Wednesday as traders anticipate the US and Israel-Iran war dissipating over the next few weeks.

On Wednesday, President Trump said “Iran’s New Regime President” is considering a “ceasefire,” although the conditions to fully reopen the Strait of Hormuz remain unknown. Iran demands reparations and sovereignty. Thus, one could assume that the Hyperliquid whale is counter-trading the market’s optimistic take, betting that Brent crude oil prices will jump while Bitcoin loses its value.

Advertisement

This Hyperliquid whale previously lost $40 million

This address belongs to a particularly unlucky whale, or at least one who has been extremely unsuccessful since late January. The Hyperliquid whale apparently uses bots for execution, given the sheer number of small trades that build into huge positions, but it still managed to lose $37 million in its first month of activity in December 2025.

The same user was flagged by X user ‘lookonchain’ on Feb. 5 after taking a massive loss on leveraged bullish bets on Ether (ETH), Bitcoin, Solana (SOL), and XRP (XRP). 

Source: X/lookonchain

According to the analysis, the whale had previously made $25 million in profits from shorts in multiple cryptocurrencies, but decided to flip the position on Feb. 4, resulting in a $40 million loss. There is no way to know exactly what triggered this entity to place those bets, but the event proves that even whales can misinterpret the market.

Related: Warren Buffett bought $17B in US T-bills: A bad omen for Bitcoin price?

The erratic signals from President Trump regarding a potential full-on invasion and the war in Iran leave room for opposing views. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi denied there were talks for a ceasefire but confirmed to Al Jazeera on Tuesday that there was an intention to end the war, according to CNBC.

Advertisement

Given the history of this whale’s market positioning and its track record of losing trades, it’s possible that the current $80 million bet may fall on the wrong side of the market.