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Sundial CEO on Institutional Crypto Strategy and Flight to Quality

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Sundial CEO on Institutional Crypto Strategy and Flight to Quality

After reaching an all-time high of roughly $4 trillion in total market value in October, crypto markets have entered one of their sharpest corrections in years.

Bitcoin, which peaked near $126,000 during the rally, has since retraced to the low $60,000 range. Billions of dollars in leveraged positions have been liquidated, open interest has contracted sharply from late-year highs, and liquidity across trading venues has thinned. ETF flows have turned negative, reinforcing a broader phase of institutional de-risking.

The speed of the unwind has revived a familiar question: when volatility spikes and liquidity compresses, how do institutions actually respond?

How Institutional Capital Responds to Volatility

For Sheldon Hunt, the pullback tells a different story than the headlines suggest. As founder and CEO of Sundial, a Bitcoin Layer-2 protocol targeting institutional participation, he sees institutions simplifying their exposure instead of abandoning it.

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“When you see volatility like this, what pulls back first is risk, exposure, and complexity,” Hunt told BeInCrypto during our conversation at Liquidity Summit 2026 in Hong Kong, further adding:

“Institutions are not necessarily cutting all exposure. They are consolidating. They go back to basics.”

That return to basics, Hunt says, is best understood as a flight to quality.

When volatility spikes, institutions tend to reduce exposure to more complex or risk-centric applications. Rather than chasing new strategies, they narrow their focus. He added:

“You can pull back on some of these complexities, variants like DeFi. You want to get back to something like the basics.”

Wallet Activity as a Market Barometer

In addition to allocation shifts, Hunt also watches on-chain behavior for early signs of stress.

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“Wallets generally don’t lie,” he said, describing wallet activity as one of the clearest barometers of market health.

During volatile periods, he observes assets moving off exchanges and DeFi platforms and reconsolidating into fewer wallets. That movement, he argues, reflects caution rather than capitulation.

Hunt does not view the current shift as a brief pause. In his assessment, the market is operating under real liquidity strain.

“We’re living in it right now,” he said. “There are certainly constraints around liquidity these days. People are quite nervous.”

He points to volatility across broader markets and tightening financial conditions as reinforcing that caution. For institutional capital, that environment changes the tempo of decision-making.

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Hunt believes that capital allocators are likely to proceed more cautiously under current liquidity constraints. 

“There’s still a real possibility that this is the beginning of a fairly nasty bear market that could go on for potentially two or more years,” he said.

If the downturn extends, timing matters less than resilience. Allocators focus on maintaining exposure without introducing additional fragility. He described the current phase as “minimizing risk exposure and looking to be in it for the long run.”

Evaluating Yield Through an Institutional Lens

That framing also informs how institutions approach Bitcoin yield.

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Hunt said one of the most common misconceptions is that institutions are primarily focused on maximizing returns. In practice, he argued, that assumption does not reflect how professional allocators operate.

According to Hunt, professional allocators are unlikely to pursue 20% or 30% yields on their Bitcoin if those returns depend on layered complexity or unclear counterparty structures.

“The reality is that institutions are focused on minimizing risk,” he said. “Stable and secure yield over the long run, even 1% or 2%, is far more aligned with their mandates.”

In practical terms, that shapes how products are evaluated. Yield levels alone are not the deciding factor. Custody arrangements, settlement mechanics, and downside scenarios tend to carry more weight in internal reviews.

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Despite the growing conversation around Bitcoin-native finance, Hunt believes meaningful institutional deployment remains limited. Hunt added:

“There’s this idea that there’s all of this Bitcoin out there, it’s all sloshing around. The reality is that we have seen very little Bitcoin being put to work on DeFi or being put to work in either the protocols or layer-2s.”

A large share of BTC continues to sit in long-term custody. For Hunt, that signals that the infrastructure layer is still developing rather than saturated.

“It’s still early days,” he said. “The best days of Bitcoin are very much ahead of it. The best days of DeFi are ahead of it. There’s still so much more to be untapped.”

The slower pace of institutional participation, in his view, reflects how risk is assessed. Before capital moves into structured yield environments, questions around custody control, settlement assurance, and exposure concentration must be addressed in ways that align with existing mandates.

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Custody, Control, and the Next Cycle

Looking toward the next cycle, Hunt expects architecture to matter more than surface-level features.

“I’m of the very firm belief that in this next cycle, a big priority is going to be around non-custodial options,” he said, pointing specifically to non-custodial staking and settlement models that account for custodial risk.

In his view, institutions want clarity over who controls assets at every stage of the process. In practice, that means retaining unilateral authority over settlement and custody. The crypto industry has long championed the idea of being one’s own bank. For institutional allocators, that principle shows up less as ideology and more as governance architecture. The next phase of adoption will depend on whether that architecture can satisfy traditional risk frameworks.

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could it remain below $2k as whales cut holdings over 90 days?

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Ethereum price dips about 1–2% near $1.95k, nearing a 7‑month losing streak as whales trim holdings on macro pressure.

Summary

  • ETH trades around $1.94k–$1.97k today, down roughly 1–2% in 24h, with 24h volume near $21–23b and a 24h range around $1.94k–$2.06k.
  • Coinglass‑based data show ETH has logged six straight monthly declines, its longest losing streak since 2018, and has closed lower in 12 of the past 15 months.
  • On‑chain data highlight selling from 100k–1m ETH wallets over 90 days while RSI sits in historically oversold territory and funding plus open interest have normalized, suggesting reduced leverage risk into key support.

Ethereum (ETH) faces a potential seventh consecutive monthly decline, a rare occurrence in cryptocurrency market history, according to market data.

Ethereum price prediction: could it remain below $2k as whales cut holdings over 90 days? - 1

The digital asset has slipped below a key psychological price level, though it briefly recovered above another threshold before showing signs of weakness, market observers reported.

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On-chain data indicates that wallet addresses holding between 100,000 and 1,000,000 ETH have reduced their reserves over the past 90 days, according to blockchain analytics. The reduction has occurred outside of exchanges, suggesting strategic position reduction rather than preparation for short-term trading activity.

The cryptocurrency has faced headwinds from macroeconomic conditions, with persistent inflation dampening institutional appetite for risk assets, analysts noted. Ethereum has been among the hardest-hit major cryptocurrencies during this period.

Technical indicators show the daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) in historically oversold territory, a level where relief rallies have previously formed, according to technical analysis data. Funding rates have normalized and open interest has declined, reducing leverage-related risk in the market.

Market analysts identified a nearby support level as a critical threshold for the asset. Should Ethereum hold above this support and reclaim higher price levels, momentum could shift toward previous resistance zones, according to technical analysis.

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The correction appears driven by macroeconomic factors rather than deteriorating network fundamentals, market participants stated. The asset approaches what analysts describe as a short-term inflection point as large holders continue to reduce exposure.

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X Reverses Cryptocurrency Advertising Ban with New Disclosure Rules

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Nexo Partners with Bakkt for US Crypto Exchange and Yield Programs

Key Takeaways

  • Platform reverses prohibition on compensated cryptocurrency advertising
  • Mandatory disclosure labels required for all paid crypto content
  • Geographic restrictions apply based on local regulatory requirements
  • New transparency framework balances monetization with compliance
  • Policy shift enables creator earnings while maintaining oversight

The social media platform X has reversed its prohibition on paid cryptocurrency and gambling advertisements, creating new opportunities for content creators and marketing partners. The platform now permits compensated digital asset content through a structured disclosure program. Mandatory labeling requirements and location-based restrictions form the compliance foundation.

Disclosure System Governs Cryptocurrency Marketing on Platform

Cryptocurrency and related financial instruments have been removed from X’s restricted categories for paid partnerships. This policy modification reverses limitations that existed since mid-2024. Content creators now have authorization to earn revenue from digital asset promotions.

The company established a Paid Partnership designation to regulate compensated promotional activities. All creators must transparently identify financial arrangements when endorsing cryptocurrency offerings. Adherence to relevant advertising standards and consumer protection regulations is mandatory.

X makes clear distinctions between Paid Partnership content and traditional advertising products. As a result, certain material prohibited under partnership guidelines may qualify through alternative X Ads channels. This framework enables the platform to maintain disclosure standards while facilitating revenue generation.

Geographic Boundaries Define Promotion Accessibility

Despite removing the worldwide prohibition, specific territories continue restricting crypto promotions. Nations including the United Kingdom, European Union member states, and Australia enforce rigorous financial advertising regulations. X mandates that creators block paid cryptocurrency material from these jurisdictions.

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Content creators hold direct responsibility for geographic compliance under the revised guidelines. X anticipates users will comprehend regional financial marketing requirements prior to posting compensated material. This framework assigns accountability to individual influencers and commercial collaborators.

X maintains prohibitions on numerous industry categories for paid partnerships. The restricted list continues blocking adult services, alcoholic beverages, relationship platforms, controlled substances, tobacco products, and weaponry. Commercial advertising related to political or social causes also remains forbidden.

Market Response and Platform Development Direction

The crypto community has demonstrated varied responses to the policy transformation. Certain participants celebrated restored monetization capabilities following extended restrictions. Alternative voices cautioned that enforcement complexities might generate ambiguity regarding unpaid token recommendations.

Industry observers suggest enhanced labeling standards could transform influencer marketing approaches on X. They predict informal promotional tactics may diminish under heightened disclosure requirements. Nevertheless, marketing organizations now possess a structured framework for regulation-compliant cryptocurrency initiatives.

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This policy transformation corresponds with additional platform innovations currently developing at X. Platform owner Elon Musk recently validated intentions to deploy X Money in restricted beta testing soon. Furthermore, X intends to introduce Smart Cashtags functionality enabling direct equity and cryptocurrency transactions.

X has historically functioned as a primary gathering space for cryptocurrency enterprises and enthusiasts. Consequently, the policy reversal reestablishes a recognized marketing avenue while incorporating regulatory safeguards. These modifications demonstrate X’s effort to harmonize regulatory obligations with viable creator compensation models.

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Hong Kong links up with Shanghai trade authorities to put cargo data on blockchain

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Hong Kong links up with Shanghai trade authorities to put cargo data on blockchain

Hong Kong is doubling down on its role as China’s financial bridge, signing a new agreement with Shanghai authorities to build cross-border blockchain rails for cargo trade and trade finance.

The memorandum of understanding between the Hong Kong Monetary Authority, the Shanghai Data Bureau, and the National Technology Innovation Center for Blockchain, announced Monday afternoon in Hong Kong, formalizes plans to develop a shared digital platform linking trade data, electronic bills of lading, and financing systems.

The MoU signals growing adoption of bitcoin in real-world plumbing, targeting $1.5 trillion in annual cargo finance where paper work and jams still cost a lot in delays in fraud.

By plugging mainland cargo data into Hong Kong’s international-facing infrastructure, officials aim to reduce friction in cross-border trade while reinforcing the city’s status as the primary conduit between China and global capital markets.

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Under the agreement, the parties will study the creation of a cross-border platform under the HKMA’s Project Ensemble framework. The initiative will explore the use of electronic bills of lading and blockchain-based documentation to streamline trade finance, while connecting with Hong Kong’s Commercial Data Interchange and CargoX to facilitate secure data sharing.

For Hong Kong, the move extends its digital asset strategy beyond tokenized green bonds and into the real economy. Instead of focusing solely on sovereign issuance or crypto markets, regulators are targeting the operational bottlenecks in cargo finance, where paper documents, fragmented data, and manual verification continue to slow credit decisions.

If successful, the platform could embed Hong Kong deeper into mainland supply chains while offering international investors and banks a compliant gateway to Chinese trade data. In doing so, the city is attempting to turn blockchain from a pilot project into core cross-border financial infrastructure.

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AWS Data Centers in UAE Disrupted After Strikes Amid Rising Gulf Conflict

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AMZN Stock Card

Key Takeaways

  • Unidentified objects impacted AWS facilities in the UAE on Sunday, triggering fires and service disruptions
  • Emergency services cut power to affected zones; a secondary UAE location experienced additional electrical issues
  • Bahrain-based AWS infrastructure also experiencing power supply and network connectivity challenges
  • Timing aligns with Iranian military response throughout the Gulf region, though AWS hasn’t established direct causation
  • Customers advised to migrate workloads to alternative regions while restoration efforts continue over several hours

Amazon’s cloud computing division experienced significant service interruptions following an incident where unknown projectiles hit its United Arab Emirates facility on Sunday, resulting in fire damage and electrical system failures.

The disruption began approximately 4:30 p.m. local time in Dubai. Emergency response teams disabled the facility’s electrical infrastructure to control the resulting flames.

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According to AWS’s official service health dashboard, “objects struck the data center, creating sparks and fire” at one of its UAE-based availability zones.


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Amazon.com, Inc., AMZN

Subsequently, another UAE availability zone encountered what the company characterized as a “localized power issue,” further extending the scope of regional service degradation.

The cloud infrastructure provider additionally documented electrical and network connectivity complications affecting one of its Bahrain deployment zones.

The company instructed affected customers to redirect their operations to infrastructure located in unaffected geographic regions during remediation. AWS projected that full restoration would require “multiple hours away.”

These technical failures occurred simultaneously with Iranian military operations targeting the UAE, part of a coordinated retaliatory campaign spanning the Middle East following joint US and Israeli strikes that resulted in the deaths of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and additional high-ranking Iranian leadership.

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Tehran’s response encompassed multiple territories, with projectile and unmanned aerial vehicle assaults documented against American military installations and allied nations including the UAE, Qatar, Kuwait, and Saudi Arabia.

AWS has neither acknowledged nor dismissed any direct correlation between the facility damage and Iranian military actions. Company representatives provided no statement when approached for comment.

Impact on UAE-Based AWS Clients

Prominent AWS enterprise customers operating in the UAE include Al Ghurair Investment LLC and Dubai Islamic Bank.

The cloud provider maintains 123 availability zones distributed across 39 geographic regions worldwide, establishing extensive infrastructure redundancy — though regional concentration still created vulnerability in this scenario.

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Ongoing Restoration Efforts

AWS initially communicated progress toward service restoration early Monday but subsequently revised its status, continuing to direct users toward alternative regional infrastructure.

As of Monday morning in Dubai, both affected UAE availability zones along with the single Bahrain zone continued experiencing service degradation.

Shares of Amazon (AMZN) traded up 1.00% at the most recent market check.

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Riot, Core earnings, U.S. jobs report: Crypto Week Ahead

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Riot, Core earnings, U.S. jobs report: Crypto Week Ahead

Earnings reports are still rolling in. This week Riot Platforms, the fourth-largest bitcoin miner by market cap, is due to report, as is Core Scientific, the No. 6.

Like many of their peers, the two are using their experience running large data centers and negotiating power-supply deals to expand into AI. Core, whose proposed $9 billion purchase by CoreWeave (CRWV) failed in October, barely mentions digital asset mining on its homepage. It will be interesting to see how much of its business still comes from that source.

Also due this week is the U.S. jobs report for February. The world’s largest economy is forecast to have added 60,000 nonfarm positions last month, according to the consensus estimate on Trading Economics.

Traders will also be monitoring the war in the Middle East, which has seen the U.S. and Israel strike Iran in what President Donald Trump called “major combat operations” targeting the country’s missile, naval and nuclear infrastructure.

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Iran has retaliated with attacks on various countries in the region that host U.S. military bases. The conflict has been escalating with Iran-backed militias joining in. Trump has said it’s expected to last “four to five weeks,” so an earlier-than-expected truce could bring risk appetite back.

What to Watch

(All times ET)

  • Crypto
    • March 2: SuperRare to release Delirium, a new collection by artist Xer0x
    • March 2: Mantra’s OM token to change to MANTRA with a 1:4 coin split as the Mantra chain upgrades from v6 to v7.
    • March 3: SolCex mobile app to debut on Google Play and Apple’s App Store.
    • March 4: Qubic begins testing parallel dogecoin mining and AI training
  • Macro
    • March 2, 10:00 a.m.: U.S. ISM manufacturing PMI for February est. 52.3 (Prev. 52.6)
    • March 3, 5:00 a.m.: Eurozone inflation rate YoY flash for February (Prev. 1.7%); Core YoY (Prev. 2.2%)
    • March 3, 7:30 p.m.: Australia GDP growth rate QoQ for Q4 (Prev. 0.4%)
    • March 3, 8:30 p.m.: China NBS manufacturing PMI for February (Prev. 49.3)
    • March 4, 8:15 a.m.: U.S. ADP employment change for February (Prev. 22K)
    • March 4, 10:00 a.m.: U.S. ISM services PMI for February (Prev. 53.8)
    • March 4, 2:00 p.m.: U.S. Fed Beige Book
    • March 5, 8:30 a.m.: U.S. initial jobless claims for week ending Feb. 28 (Prev. 212K)
    • March 5, 8:30 a.m.: U.S. nonfarm productivity QoQ prel for Q4 (Prev. 4.9%)
    • March 5, 4:30 p.m.: U.S. Fed balance sheet update for period ending March 4
    • March 6, 8:30 a.m.: U.S. nonfarm payrolls for February Est. 60K (Prev. 130K)
    • March 6, 8:30 a.m.: U.S. unemployment rate for February (Prev. 4.3%)
    • March 6, 8:30 a.m.: U.S. average hourly earnings MoM for February (Prev. 0.4%)
    • March 6, 8:30 a.m.: U.S. retail sales control group MoM for January (Prev. 0.0%)
    • March 8, 8:30 p.m.: China inflation rate YoY for February (Prev. 0.2%)
  • Earnings (Estimates based on FactSet data)
    • March 2: Riot Platforms (RIOT), post-market, -$0.32
    • March 2: Core Scientific (CORZ), post-market, -$0.18
    • March 6: Metalpha (MATH), pre-market
    • March 9: Sharplink (SBET), pre-market, $0.31
    • March 11: Exodus Movement (EXOD), pre-market, $0.14

Token Events

  • Governance votes & calls
    • PoolTogether DAO is voting to manually resubmit and execute the remaining actions for the PTBR-35 governance shutdown after a previous execution error. Voting ends March 2.
    • Angle DAO is voting on an orderly wind-down of the EURA and USDA stablecoins, providing users a one-year 1:1 redemption period followed by a final settlement airdrop. Voting ends March 2.
    • GMX DAO is voting to transition to a defined leadership model by hiring a CEO with performance-tied compensation and forming an interim leadership committee to guide the restructuring. Voting ends March 2.
    • ShapeShift DAO is voting to appoint PTT as the Tokenomics Workstream Leader for a six-month term, compensated entirely in FOX tokens to eliminate stablecoin costs. Voting ends March 3.
    • Decentraland DAO is voting to explore the automatic execution of approved proposals and soft term limits for signer keys while maintaining emergency oversight. Voting ends March 3.
    • Uniswap DAO is voting across two linked proposals to expand v2 and v3 protocol fees to eight layer-2 networks and enable a new tier-based fee system across all v3 pools. Voting ends March 4 and 5.
    • ENS DAO is voting to replace three DNSSEC oracle algorithms to patch a critical RSA signature forgery vulnerability and significantly reduce gas costs. Voting ends March 4.
    • Gnosis DAO is voting to provide a grant to fund the continued support, infrastructure and maintenance of the Revoke.cash security platform. Voting ends March 5.
  • Unlocks
    • March 5: Ethena (ENA) to unlock 2.24% of its circulating supply worth $18.35 million.
    • March 6: Hyperliquid (HYPE) to unlock 2.72% of its circulating supply worth around $288.77 million.
  • Token Launches
    • March 8 or earlier: Chiliz (CHZ) to deploy revenue from the protocol to buyback and burn CHZ tokens.
    • March 8 or earlier: WhiteBit Token (WBT) to be listed on Kraken.

Conferences

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XRP price prediction as XRP futures trading rises

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XRP price prediction as XRP futures trading rises - 2

The XRP market is undergoing a structural shift as trading dynamics move from spot accumulation to a derivatives-led environment.

Summary

  • XRP is shifting from spot-driven accumulation to a speculative, futures-led market, signaling an impending “volatility squeeze” as leveraged traders position for a major move.
  • The price remains trapped below the 50-day SMA ($1.63) with a neutral-to-bearish RSI of 39, indicating a lack of buying pressure despite the surge in trading activity.
  • Traders are eyeing $1.20 as the “must-hold” support floor, while a breakout above the $1.50–$1.80 resistance range is required to confirm a bullish reversal.

Recent Coinglass data reveals a significant uptick in XRP futures volume relative to spot trading, signaling that speculative interest is once again a primary price driver. This surge in futures activity typically precedes a “volatility squeeze,” where the price breaks sharply as leveraged positions are either rewarded or liquidated.

XRP price prediction as XRP futures trading rises - 2

For the Ripple token (XRP), this suggests the market is no longer in a state of passive holding but is bracing for a decisive move.

This futures-dominated landscape makes the price more susceptible to rapid squeezes; while it provides the liquidity needed to break overhead resistance, it also warns that any downside could be exacerbated by a cascade of liquidations.

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XRP price navigates critical support

Technically, XRP is navigating a precarious path, currently trading near $1.35 as of March 2026. The price action remains pinned below the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $1.63, which acts as a formidable dynamic resistance.

XRP price prediction as XRP futures trading rises - 3
XRP price performance | Source: Crypto.News

Until XRP secures a daily close above this level, the medium-term bias remains bearish. Recent candlestick patterns show a string of small-bodied “doji” candles, reflecting market indecision despite the rising futures turnover.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently hovers around 39, placing the asset in a neutral-to-bearish zone that lacks the immediate buying pressure required for a reversal.

Immediate support is firmly established at the $1.20 mark, a level that has historically served as a psychological safety net. Should XRP fail to hold $1.20, a deeper retracement toward $1.00 becomes a distinct possibility.

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Conversely, the first major hurdle for a bullish recovery sits at $1.50, followed by a high-volume resistance zone at $1.80.

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Aave Proposal Clears First Hurdle After Split Vote

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Aave Proposal Clears First Hurdle After Split Vote

Aave’s “Aave Will Win” framework has passed its Temp Check vote, clearing the first formal stage of the protocol’s governance process. 

On Sunday, the off-chain Snapshot vote closed with 52.58% voting in favor, 42% against and 5.42% abstaining. The result advances the measure to the Aave Request for Final Comment (ARFC) stage, where terms may be revised before any binding on-chain vote.

The framework asks tokenholders to approve up to $42.5 million in stablecoins and 75,000 Aave (AAVE) tokens for Aave Labs. In return, the organization would route 100% of revenue from Aave-branded products to the Aave DAO treasury under a DAO-funded operating model. 

The narrow margin highlights a divided governance base as the protocol considers structural changes to its funding, revenue alignment and long-term development. 

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Aave DAO’s Temp Check voting results. Source: Snapshot

The ARFC stage will determine whether concerns raised during the debate will translate into revisions before a formal Aave Improvement Proposal is submitted on-chain. 

Split vote reflects ongoing governance tensions

Aave founder Stani Kulechov said in a post on X that the Temp Check brings the protocol closer to a “fully token-centric model,” adding that structural improvements will be incorporated at the ARFC stage based on community feedback.

Source: Stani Kulechov

Critics previously questioned the size of the funding package and the inclusion of 75,000 AAVE tokens, which carry voting power.

Others called for clearer definitions and stronger disclosure standards around governance holdings. 

Related: Grvt integrates Aave so traders can earn yield on perp collateral

On Feb. 25, competing reports from Aave Chan Initiative (ACI) founder Marc Zeller and Aave Labs offered contrasting interpretations of past funding and value creation ahead of the vote. 

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The ACI published a transparency report reviewing Aave Labs’ historical funding, while Aave Labs outlined its role in building the protocol since 2017. 

What happens next in Aave governance process?

Under Aave’s governance framework, proposals typically move from Temp Check to ARFC before advancing to an on-chain Aave Improvement Proposal (AIP) vote. Only AIPs executed on-chain are binding. 

If the proposal advances beyond ARFC, tokenholders will vote on whether to formalize the DAO-funded model and ratify Aave V4 as the long-term technical foundation.

The outcome could reshape how the Aave ecosystem structures development, revenue and brand stewardship.

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