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The $23.6B Bitcoin Miscalculation: Inside Nakamoto Inc.’s Costly Treasury Collapse

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Nexo Partners with Bakkt for US Crypto Exchange and Yield Programs

TLDR:

  • Nakamoto Inc. purchased 5,398 BTC near Bitcoin’s $118K peak, now sitting on $270M in unrealized losses.
  • The $23.6B market cap wipeout marks one of the steepest corporate Bitcoin treasury collapses in crypto history.
  • A reverse takeover structure helped launch $NAKA’s Bitcoin strategy but accelerated losses as sentiment shifted fast.
  • The 99% drop in 280 days is pushing institutional investors to reconsider single large Bitcoin purchases near cycle tops.

$23.6 billion in market value has been wiped from Nakamoto Inc. ($NAKA) in just 280 days. The company purchased 5,398 Bitcoin near the asset’s all-time high of $118,000.

That single decision now carries $270 million in unrealized losses. The market capitalization collapse of 99% has stunned both retail and institutional observers.

This ranks among the most damaging corporate Bitcoin treasury bets on record.

How a Bold Bitcoin Bet Became a $23.6B Collapse

The scale of the $23.6 billion market cap erasure did not happen overnight. Nakamoto Inc. built its Bitcoin reserve strategy through a reverse takeover structure.

That approach generated early momentum and brief investor enthusiasm around the stock. As Bitcoin retreated from peak levels, however, the company’s valuation followed in dramatic fashion.

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Buying 5,398 BTC at approximately $118,000 per coin left the company extremely vulnerable to any price correction. There was no phased entry, no cost-averaging approach, and no visible downside buffer in place.

When prices moved against the position, the losses compounded quickly across 280 days. The result was a near-total destruction of shareholder value.

Analyst @wiseadvicesumit captured the situation plainly, writing that “conviction is powerful” but “timing is brutal.”

The post described this as what happens when “number go up forever” meets reality. That framing resonated widely across crypto communities and financial circles. Many observers pointed to the entry price as the single most critical failure in the entire strategy.

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The $270M Loss That Is Reshaping Corporate Crypto Strategy

The $270 million sitting in unrealized losses represents more than a balance sheet problem for Nakamoto Inc. It signals a broader warning for any corporate treasury considering large, concentrated Bitcoin positions.

Crypto commentator @nice_investment described the collapse as “one of the most expensive timing errors in crypto history.” That assessment is difficult to argue against, given the numbers involved.

The use of a reverse takeover to establish the Bitcoin reserve drew significant attention at launch. It positioned Nakamoto Inc. as an aggressive, conviction-driven institutional player in the crypto space.

Yet the same structure that amplified early excitement also accelerated the downside when sentiment shifted. The $23.6 billion erasure now follows that story wherever it is told.

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Corporate treasury teams across the industry are watching this outcome carefully. Single large purchases near market cycle peaks have historically produced poor returns across multiple Bitcoin cycles.

This case adds a striking new data point to that pattern. Going forward, phased entry strategies and defined risk thresholds are likely to gain more favor among institutions entering the Bitcoin market.

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Crypto World

Messari CEO Eric Turner Steps Down Amid AI Expansion

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Messari CEO Eric Turner Steps Down Amid AI Expansion

Blockchain data provider Messari has announced a series of layoffs on Monday as its CEO, Eric Turner, stepped down to make way for the company’s “next phase” as an AI-first company. 

“Today, I stepped down as CEO of Messari and handed the reins to Diran,” Turner said on X on Monday, referring to Diran Li, who ascended after serving as chief technology officer of the company for more than seven years. 

He added that it “wasn’t an easy decision, but it’s the right one for the company’s next phase, and he has my full support.”

Turner took over as interim CEO in July 2024 following founder Ryan Selkis’ resignation. Speaking about the staff cuts, Turner said it was a “difficult day for the team as we say goodbye to many people who helped build Messari.”

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There were no details on the number of staff cuts. Messari laid off roughly 15% of its full-time staff in January 2025 and made a similar workforce reduction in February 2023. 

Source: Eric Turner

Messari pivots to an AI-first company 

In a separate post, Diran Li announced that he was stepping into the CEO role at Messari. 

“After conversations with Eric and the board, we agreed this is the right step for the company’s next chapter,” he said.

Li confirmed the cuts, stating that the transition also includes a difficult decision: “We’ve parted ways with many teammates who helped build Messari into what it is today.”

“Looking ahead, we’re doubling down on Messari as an AI-first company serving institutions through research and AI products.”

Messari began as a pure crypto research and data company in 2018, and gradually started incorporating AI into its products in 2024. 

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Related: AI data center gold rush sparks debate over impact on Bitcoin mining

Blockchain intelligence for agentic AI

Last week, Li announced that Messari was opening its data layer to autonomous agents, adopting the x402 protocol to “bring our institutional-grade crypto intelligence to every builder and agent on the internet.”

The move will allow developers and AI agents to autonomously source and pay for data from the blockchain intelligence company using crypto wallets. 

Messari is the latest crypto native company to expand from the industry to AI, following in the recent footsteps of Core Scientific, Cipher Mining, MARA Holdings, Hut 8, and Galaxy Digital

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