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the prediction market emergency that could redraw federal-state crypto boundaries

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the prediction market emergency that could redraw federal-state crypto boundaries

On August 11, the CFTC invoked emergency powers for only the seventh time in its history to keep Kalshi running after New York filed a $36 billion lawsuit calling prediction contracts illegal gambling. The clash between federal derivatives law and state gaming enforcement may define the regulatory future of every crypto-adjacent market in America.

Summary

  • The CFTC issued an emergency order on August 11, 2026, directing Kalshi to continue operating nationwide after New York Attorney General Letitia James filed a $36 billion civil enforcement action alleging the platform runs an unlicensed gambling operation.
  • Chairman Mike Selig invoked Section 8a(9) of the Commodity Exchange Act, a provision used only six times previously and not since 1980, calling the threat of a sudden shutdown an “existential threat” to the Commission’s registrants and regulatory jurisdiction.
  • New York’s lawsuit accuses Kalshi of violating the state constitution, the Federal Interstate Wire Act, and state gaming law by offering sports prediction contracts to users as young as 18, three years below the state’s mobile sports betting age requirement.
  • A coalition of 44 state attorneys general, led by Ohio AG Andy Wilson, has urged the CFTC to withdraw its proposed prediction market rule, arguing that sports event contracts are state-regulated gambling rather than federally regulated derivatives.
  • The outcome will likely determine whether the Commodity Exchange Act preempts state gambling law for all event contracts traded on CFTC-licensed exchanges, with direct implications for Polymarket, crypto perpetuals, and any tokenized derivatives platform seeking to operate across state lines.

When the Commodity Futures Trading Commission ordered a private company to ignore an active state lawsuit and keep its doors open, the agency crossed a line that no federal financial regulator had approached in more than four decades. The August 11 emergency order did not merely defend Kalshi, the New York-based prediction market that has become the fastest-growing derivatives venue in the United States. It declared, in language that left little room for interpretation, that the federal government alone decides which financial contracts Americans can trade and that state gambling law has no authority over products listed on a CFTC-registered designated contract market. For the broader crypto industry, the implications reach far beyond sports betting. If the CFTC’s preemption argument survives judicial review, it could create a federal safe harbor for every tokenized derivative, perpetual contract, and event market that secures a federal license, stripping states of the enforcement tools they have used against crypto platforms for the better part of a decade.

How the CFTC-Kalshi relationship reached a breaking point

Kalshi received its designation as a CFTC-registered contract market in 2020, becoming the first federally licensed exchange dedicated to event contracts. For its first three years, the platform offered markets on economic data releases, weather events, and policy outcomes, contracts that drew little attention from state regulators. The turning point came in September 2023, when the CFTC itself tried to block Kalshi from listing congressional election contracts, arguing they constituted illegal gaming. Kalshi sued, and in a ruling that reshaped the prediction market landscape, a federal district court sided with the company. The D.C. Circuit declined to stay the ruling in October 2024, and by early 2025 the CFTC had dropped its appeal entirely.

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The political winds shifted dramatically. Under Chairman Mike Selig, appointed in early 2025, the CFTC reversed course. The agency withdrew its 2024 proposed rule that would have defined “gaming” to include election contracts, and in January 2025 Kalshi self-certified sports event contracts, the product category that would trigger the current crisis. What had been a regulator trying to restrain a market became a regulator racing to protect it.

The speed of the expansion caught state regulators off guard. Within months of launching sports contracts, Kalshi was processing billions of dollars in monthly volume on markets covering NFL, NBA, and MLB outcomes. The platform marketed these products aggressively, positioning itself as a regulated alternative to offshore sportsbooks. For state gaming commissions that had spent years building licensing frameworks after the Supreme Court struck down the federal sports betting ban in Murphy v. NCAA (2018), the message was unmistakable: a federally licensed exchange was offering the same product they regulated, without paying state taxes, without obtaining state licenses, and without following state consumer protection rules.

The New York lawsuit and its $36 billion demand

On July 31, 2026, New York Attorney General Letitia James and Governor Kathy Hochul filed a civil enforcement action against KalshiEX LLC in New York State court. The complaint runs to more than 100 pages and alleges that Kalshi operates as an illegal gambling business in the state, offering sports prediction contracts without a license from the New York State Gaming Commission.

The damages sought are staggering. New York demands at least $36 billion, a figure that includes the return of all customer funds wagered through the platform, a $100,000 civil penalty for each sports contract offered in the state, and full disgorgement of profits. The complaint also targets Kalshi’s age requirements, noting that the platform permits users as young as 18 to trade sports contracts while New York law requires mobile sports bettors to be at least 21.

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The legal theory rests on three pillars. First, New York argues that prediction contracts on sporting events are wagers under state law regardless of their federal classification. Second, the state invokes the Federal Interstate Wire Act, which prohibits the interstate transmission of information that assists in placing bets on sporting events. Third, the complaint argues that the CFTC’s regulatory framework does not and cannot preempt state consumer protection and gambling enforcement, because the Commodity Exchange Act was never intended to authorize a nationwide sports betting operation.

The lawsuit did not emerge in isolation. The New York State Gaming Commission issued a cease-and-desist order to Kalshi in October 2025, shortly after the platform began offering sports contracts. Arizona’s attorney general filed criminal charges against the company in March 2026. By the time James filed her complaint, the 50-state war over prediction markets had already produced more than 20 lawsuits and cease-and-desist actions nationwide.

The emergency order: anatomy of a federal intervention

The CFTC’s response arrived eleven days later. On August 11, Chairman Selig signed Release 9281-26, invoking Section 8a(9) of the Commodity Exchange Act, a provision that grants the Commission emergency authority to take action necessary to “maintain or restore orderly trading in, or liquidation of, any futures contract.” The order directed KalshiEX to continue operating in accordance with the Act’s Core Principles and to refrain from voluntarily suspending operations in response to the New York lawsuit.

The legal reasoning was direct. The Commission found that the threat of a “sudden, unpredictable shutdown” of a registered designated contract market constituted an emergency warranting intervention. It argued that Kalshi’s closure would strand open positions, disrupt price discovery in event contract markets, and undermine the integrity of the federal regulatory framework.

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The historical weight of the decision cannot be overstated. The CFTC had exercised its emergency powers only six times previously, and never since 1980. Those prior instances involved commodity market crises, situations in which physical delivery of grain or silver was at risk. Using the same authority to prevent a state attorney general from enforcing gambling law against a prediction market marked an entirely new application of the provision.

It was also the second time in 30 days that Selig had used emergency orders to support Kalshi. The first, issued in mid-July in connection with a separate state enforcement action, attracted comparatively little attention. The second, directed squarely at the largest state economy in the country, made the confrontation impossible to ignore.

The preemption question that will define crypto regulation

The core legal question is deceptively simple: does the Commodity Exchange Act preempt state gambling law for contracts traded on CFTC-registered exchanges? The CFTC says yes. The 44-state coalition that submitted comments during the agency’s proposed rulemaking says no.

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The CFTC’s preemption argument builds on the structure of the Commodity Exchange Act itself. The Act grants the Commission “exclusive jurisdiction” over accounts, agreements, and transactions involving contracts of sale of a commodity for future delivery. CFTC-registered designated contract markets must comply with 23 Core Principles covering market surveillance, financial integrity, position limits, and customer protection. The Commission argues that this comprehensive federal scheme leaves no room for state regulation of the same products.

The states counter with two arguments. The first is textual: the Commodity Exchange Act contains a savings clause preserving state jurisdiction over fraud and manipulation. States argue this clause, combined with the Tenth Amendment, preserves their authority to regulate gambling within their borders. The second is practical: prediction contracts on sporting events look, function, and are marketed identically to sports bets. If a product walks like a wager and is sold to consumers as a wager, relabeling it as a “derivative” should not exempt it from consumer gambling protections.

A federal appellate court provided a partial answer in April 2026, ruling that the Commodity Exchange Act “likely” preempts state gambling laws for sports event contracts traded on CFTC-licensed designated contract markets. The court affirmed a district court preliminary injunction barring New Jersey from enforcing its gambling laws against Kalshi. But the ruling was preliminary, not final, and it addressed a single state’s laws. The New York case, with its massive damages claim and its constitutional arguments, will force a more definitive resolution.

For crypto markets, the stakes extend well beyond prediction contracts. If the CFTC’s preemption theory prevails, any platform that obtains or operates through a federal derivatives license could argue that state money transmitter laws, state securities regulations, and state gambling statutes do not apply to its federally supervised products. The precedent would create a single federal passport for crypto derivatives, the same regulatory structure that European markets achieved through MiFID and MiCA but that the United States has never adopted.

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What this means for Polymarket and the wider market

Polymarket occupies a different but related position in the regulatory landscape. The platform settled with the CFTC in 2022 for operating an unregistered trading facility and subsequently restricted U.S. users from its main trading interface. It began a phased U.S. rollout under an intermediated model in late 2025, and by March 2026 had self-certified new market rules with the CFTC for its U.S. venue. In February 2026, Polymarket set a single-day trading volume record of $425 million. A reported CFTC investigation into the platform’s marketing practices and compliance controls adds another layer of uncertainty, suggesting that even platforms cooperating with the federal framework face ongoing regulatory scrutiny.

The CFTC’s turf war with the states directly affects Polymarket’s path to full U.S. operation. If state gambling laws apply to prediction contracts despite CFTC oversight, Polymarket would need to obtain gaming licenses in every state where it operates, a compliance burden that would be prohibitive for a blockchain-based platform. If the CFTC’s preemption theory holds, Polymarket’s federal registration becomes a nationwide operating license.

The broader prediction market industry recorded $50.59 billion in combined monthly trading volume in July 2026, a new all-time high across Kalshi, Polymarket, and Polymarket US. That volume figure explains why states are fighting so aggressively. Sports betting generated approximately $14 billion in state tax revenue in fiscal year 2025. If prediction markets capture a meaningful share of sports wagering under a federal license that bypasses state taxation and licensing, the fiscal consequences for state budgets would be severe.

The CFTC’s June 2026 proposed rule attempted to thread the needle. The rule is broadly receptive to sports event contracts but would prohibit markets based on player injuries, officiating decisions, and certain discrete in-game actions. It also proposed banning contracts on war and assassination while formally distinguishing prediction markets from pure-chance gambling. The 44-state coalition, led by Ohio AG Andy Wilson and representing every state except Texas, Florida, Georgia, Missouri, and New Hampshire, has urged the CFTC to withdraw and rewrite the proposed rule entirely. The comment period closed in late July, days before the New York lawsuit was filed.

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The tribal gaming industry has also entered the fight. Native American tribes that operate sports betting under compacts negotiated with state governments view prediction markets as a direct threat to their exclusivity agreements. Several tribal nations filed amicus briefs supporting the states’ position, arguing that federal preemption of state gambling law would undermine the sovereignty-based framework that governs tribal gaming nationwide. The economic stakes for tribal communities that depend on gaming revenue add a dimension to the conflict that goes beyond the traditional federal-state regulatory debate.

The strongest case against federal preemption

Intellectual honesty requires stating what would have to be true for the CFTC’s position to fail. Three conditions would invalidate the preemption thesis.

First, if courts conclude that the Commodity Exchange Act’s savings clause preserves state authority over consumer protection and gambling, the CFTC’s “exclusive jurisdiction” language would apply only to market structure regulation, not to the underlying legality of the product. Under this reading, states could ban prediction contracts as gambling even though the CFTC supervises the exchange on which they trade, just as states can ban the sale of alcohol even though the federal government regulates interstate commerce.

Second, if the Supreme Court applies its recent federalism decisions to narrow federal preemption doctrine, the presumption against preemption of traditional state police powers, which include gambling regulation, could defeat the CFTC’s argument regardless of the Commodity Exchange Act’s text. The Court has grown increasingly skeptical of broad federal preemption claims over the past decade.

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Third, if Congress acts. The Prediction Markets Security and Integrity Act of 2026, introduced as S. 4060, addresses insider trading on prediction markets but does not resolve the preemption question. Legislation that explicitly preserves state gambling authority, or explicitly preempts it, would moot the judicial battle. Multiple bills addressing this gap are reportedly in draft form in both chambers.

What to watch

The next 90 days will determine the trajectory of this conflict. New York will seek to have the CFTC’s emergency order declared invalid, likely arguing that Section 8a(9) was designed for commodity market emergencies, not for shielding private companies from state law enforcement. The CFTC will seek a federal court injunction preventing New York from enforcing its complaint. Whichever court rules first will set the terms for an appellate battle that could reach the Supreme Court within 18 months.

Watch for the CFTC’s final prediction market rule, expected by late 2026 or early 2027. The rule will define which event contracts are permissible and, critically, whether the Commission explicitly asserts preemption over state gambling law in the regulatory text itself. A strong preemption statement in a final rule would give courts a clearer basis for deferring to the federal framework.

Watch for congressional action. The 44-state coalition has significant political leverage, and members of Congress from those states face pressure to protect state gambling revenue. A legislative fix that splits the difference, perhaps allowing states to collect taxes on prediction market activity without granting them the power to ban federally licensed contracts, would represent the most pragmatic resolution.

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Watch for other states. If New York succeeds in extracting even a partial settlement from Kalshi, other states will file similar suits within weeks. If the CFTC’s emergency order holds, the agency will have created a precedent that makes state enforcement actions against any CFTC registrant far more difficult, a result with implications that extend to every crypto exchange, stablecoin issuer, and DeFi protocol that might someday seek a federal license.

And watch for the market itself. Prediction market volumes have grown from a niche curiosity to a $50 billion monthly industry in barely two years. If regulatory uncertainty causes platforms to pull back from sports contracts, that volume will migrate offshore, to unregulated venues beyond the reach of either federal or state oversight. Both sides of this fight claim to be protecting consumers. The irony is that prolonged legal warfare may drive consumers toward the least protected venues of all.

What is the CFTC’s emergency order regarding Kalshi?

On August 11, 2026, CFTC Chairman Mike Selig invoked Section 8a(9) of the Commodity Exchange Act to direct KalshiEX to continue operating nationwide. The order responded to New York Attorney General Letitia James’s $36 billion lawsuit by declaring that a sudden shutdown of a registered designated contract market would threaten market integrity and the federal regulatory framework.

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Why did New York sue Kalshi for $36 billion?

New York alleges that Kalshi operates an illegal gambling business by offering sports prediction contracts without a license from the New York State Gaming Commission. The $36 billion figure includes the return of customer funds, civil penalties of $100,000 per illegal sports contract offered in the state, and full disgorgement of profits.

What is the difference between a prediction contract and a sports bet?

Under federal law, a prediction contract is a binary option or event contract traded on a CFTC-registered designated contract market, subject to federal derivatives regulation including margin requirements, position limits, and market surveillance. Under state law, many of these same products meet the legal definition of a wager on the outcome of a sporting event. The classification determines which regulator has authority.

How does this affect Polymarket?

Polymarket’s U.S. operations depend on the CFTC’s regulatory framework. If state gambling laws apply to prediction contracts despite federal oversight, Polymarket would need state-by-state gaming licenses to operate in the United States. If federal preemption holds, Polymarket’s CFTC registration becomes a nationwide operating license.

What does federal preemption mean in this context?

Federal preemption means that the Commodity Exchange Act’s grant of exclusive jurisdiction to the CFTC over derivatives contracts overrides conflicting state gambling laws. If courts uphold preemption, states cannot ban, restrict, or impose licensing requirements on products traded on CFTC-registered exchanges.

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How many states oppose the CFTC’s position on prediction markets?

A coalition of 44 state attorneys general, led by Ohio AG Andy Wilson, has formally opposed the CFTC’s proposed prediction market rule. The coalition includes every state except Texas, Florida, Georgia, Missouri, and New Hampshire. More than 20 lawsuits and cease-and-desist actions against prediction market platforms are pending across the country.

Could this precedent affect other crypto derivatives?

Yes. If the CFTC’s preemption argument prevails, any crypto derivative traded on a CFTC-registered exchange could claim immunity from state regulation. This would affect perpetual contracts, tokenized commodities, and any blockchain-based financial product that secures federal derivatives market registration, potentially creating a single federal passport for regulated crypto products.

What would invalidate the CFTC’s preemption argument?

Three developments could defeat the CFTC’s position: a court ruling that the Commodity Exchange Act’s savings clause preserves state gambling authority; a Supreme Court decision applying the presumption against preemption of traditional state police powers; or legislation that explicitly preserves state authority to regulate prediction contracts as gambling. This is educational analysis, not investment advice.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or legal advice. Prediction markets carry significant risk, including the risk of total loss of capital. Readers should conduct their own research and consult qualified professionals before making any financial decisions. Crypto.news does not endorse or recommend any specific platform, product, or trading strategy mentioned in this article. Published August 14, 2026.

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Are Whales Responsible For Ethereum (Eth) Price Decline

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ETH 7-day price chart

The price of Ethereum has declined consistently over the last seven days. Many factors could be responsible for this trend, including the activity (buying and selling of ETH) of large traders, commonly known as whales.

ETH 7-day price chart

Ethereum price chart for the last 7 days. Source: Coinmarketcap.com

To find out if whales are responsible, we analyzed Ethereum trading data for decentralized exchanges (DEX) from Dune Analytics for the last seven days and answered four important questions.

  • Have large traders been buying or selling ETH?
  • Has their activity increased or decreased over this period?
  • Which whale groups are driving the activities and capital flows?
  • Are these activities responsible for the ETH price decline?

We categorized whales into three cohorts, placing them in $100K–$500K, $500K–$1M, or $1M–$5M. The analysis shows that while whales have been active within this period, they are not directly responsible for the price decline.

No Strong Buying Or Selling Bias

The data shows that large DEX traders had a slight buying bias, buying approximately $358 million of WETH and selling approximately $352M during the period, with a $6M net difference. This difference isn’t significant, indicating a nearly balanced buying and selling pattern within the last seven days.

Pie chart showing Ethereum whale activity

Whale buy vs sell volume for the last seven days. Source: Dune.com

High Volatility But No Clear Trend

Whale activity showed no clear trend over the last seven days, as there is no clear increase or decrease. However, sharp differences in activity are clear, with a huge decline over the weekend indicating significant volatility. This shows that large traders have been active in the market.

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Line chart of whale activity

Whale activity showing volatility in the last 7 days. Source: Dune.com

Smaller Size Whales Drive Activity But Capital Flow

Large traders with amounts ranging from $100K–$500K accounted for 86% of whale activity by transaction count. This shows that moderately large traders were the most frequent participants over the period.

Bar chart showing whale activity

Whale trading counts. Source: Dune.com

However, the $1M–$5M cohort, with only 8.7% of trades, comes very close in terms of trading volume at 45.13%, compared to 45.64% for the $100K–$500K cohort. This indicates that while moderately sized whales are the most frequent participants, larger whales have a disproportionately greater impact on capital flows despite their significantly fewer transactions.

Bar chart showing whale trading volume

Whale trading volume in USD. Source: Dune.com

ETH Price Decline Unrelated To Whale Activity

Despite sharp differences in the large traders’ activities by day, ETH price declined consistently, while whale trading volume fluctuated without a corresponding trend over the period in focus. This shows that the price decline has no direct link with large trader activities in the last seven days.

Line chart showing Ethereum price decline

Ethereum price with respect to whale activity. Source: Dune.com

Conclusion

The data reveals that while there is no clear trend in the activity of whales over the last seven days, ETH price continued to fall. The findings suggest that whale activity over this period is not directly responsible for the price decline.

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However, the analysis only considers data for the last seven days, which may be too short a period to give an accurate picture of what is really going on. Also, the price decline may be driven by other factors such as general current sentiment among retail traders, who ultimately are the majority of the market.

An interesting direction to also consider, which this analysis doesn’t cover, would be to determine where large traders are sending their ETH to—whether to centralized exchanges (CEX) or to private wallets. The finding could give important insight into the minds of these big players and tell us what to expect from the market next.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Bitcoin Shrugged Off Good CPI and PPI Data: Why Is BTC Still Stalling?

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Bitcoin investors received what should have been a fairly supportive and positive combination of macroeconomic data in the past week, starting with the weak US jobs report last Friday.

However, the asset failed to produce any significant gains, again. Moreover, it has lost some traction and is actually down on a weekly scale, currently struggling to remain above $63,000. Why is that?

Why No Gains, BTC?

After the jobs report from a week ago, which managed to push BTC beyond $65,000 briefly, all eyes turned to the US CPI data on Wednesday. As reported, the July numbers came broadly in line with expectations, initially leading to a brief rebound to $64,400 before Bitcoin gave the gains back and resumed the downtrend it was already on as the business week progressed.

The subsequent PPI report was even more encouraging, with producer prices remaining flat month-over-month, contrary to expectations of a 0.2% increase. CryptoQuant weighed in on the matter and added that Treasury yields declined, while US equities posted some gains. Under normal circumstances, this combination should have provided some relief for risk-on assets, but BTC has failed to make a move upward.

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Their analysis indicated that the explanation may have less to do with the macro environment and considerably more to do with a simple problem: Bitcoin buyers are nowhere to be seen in the spot market.

The report explained that such trading activity remains subdued, while flows into the US BTC ETFs have remained relatively weak in the past several days. Even more importantly, the Coinbase Premium Index continues to be almost entirely in negative territory for three months, and it now sits at around -0.1%.

The analysts added that the seven-day average spot trading volume across major exchanges dropped from nearly $9 billion in late June to under $4 billion on August 12. This 55% decline came even as BTC’s price recovered 8% within the same timeframe.

The Real Price Test

CQ identified Bitcoin’s short-term holder cost basis at around $68,700 as a major obstacle to the asset’s path forward, as it’s a level at which investors who bought relatively recently could exit at breakeven if the cryptocurrency reaches it.

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As such, a surge to $65,000 won’t be enough to confirm that the broader trend has changed. They believe a more sustainable recovery would require several developments at once: renewed, significant ETF inflows, such as those from the previous week; stronger spot volume; a return to a positive Coinbase Premium; and a decisive break above $68,700.

The post Bitcoin Shrugged Off Good CPI and PPI Data: Why Is BTC Still Stalling? appeared first on CryptoPotato.

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TronBid: A Flexible Marketplace to Rent and Sell TRON Energy

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Sending USDT over the TRON network is particularly popular because of its speed and broad adoption. That said, TRC-20 transfers also require network resources.

When a wallet doesn’t have enough TRON Energy, TRX may be burned to cover the remaining cost of executing the smart contract. For users who make frequent transfers, renting energy provides an alternative to staking a large amount of TRX solely to generate network resources.

This is exactly the type of use case that TronBid’s marketplace is built around. It brings together users who want to rent TRON energy and holders of staked TRX who have unused energy or bandwidth they want to monetize.

Instead of offering only one way to acquire energy, TronBid combines a P2P marketplace, instant energy rental, a Telegram bot, a calculator, and API access in one single ecosystem. Its marketplace also allows both buyers and sellers to create their own orders, giving participants more flexibility over pricing and rental terms.

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What is TronBid?

TronBid brings forward a marketplace and a rental platform for TRON network resources, primarily focused on energy and bandwidth.

TRON energy is consumed whenever smart contracts are executed on the network. Naturally, this includes the primary use case for the blockchain: USDT TRC-20 transfers. If an address doesn’t have sufficient energy available, TRX can be burned to cover the required network resources. As mentioned above, instead of staking a large amount of TRX themselves, users can receive temporarily delegated energy from another wallet.

TronBid creates the infrastructure needed to satisfy this delegation process.

Those users who need resources can rent energy through a ready-made package or participate in the marketplace directly. At the same time, those whose staked TRX generates unused resources are able to offer those resources to others while keeping complete ownership of their TRX.

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How the TronBid Marketplace Works

The main TronBid Marketplace is essentially a P2P market for TRON energy and bandwidth. Its current structure gives users several ways to interact depending on whether they are buying or selling resources.

A buyer can create a buy order and specify the amount of energy or bandwidth needed, the price per unit, and the desired rental duration. Sellers, on the other hand, are able to review active orders and fulfill the ones that match the resources and the terms they are willing to provide.

TronBid also supports the ability for sellers to push their own offers, meaning that sellers can specify the resource, amount, asking price, and rental terms.

The goal is to complete a two-sided marketplace where buyers are not limited to waiting for a fixed rental price, and sellers are not limited to searching through existing buyer orders. Both sides can initiate a potential transaction.

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A Two-Sided Market for TRON Energy

The two-sided structure is one of the most interesting features of the current TronBid platform.

A user who wants to rent TRON Energy has two basic options within the marketplace:

  • Create a buy order with a preferred amount, price and rental period.
  • Choose an existing seller offer and purchase Energy under the displayed terms.

Sellers have similar flexibility:

  • Fulfill an existing buyer order.
  • Create their own sell offer with a chosen amount, price and rental term.

This allows supply and demand to play a more direct role in price discovery.

Instead of all transactions depending on a centrally defined rental rate, buyers can signal what they are prepared to pay while sellers can signal what they are prepared to accept. U.Today has previously described TronBid’s open-market approach as a model where Energy providers compete on price, while the current TronBid platform expands that marketplace structure with dedicated seller-created offers.

Features of TronBid: Closer Look

Evidently, the platform is built around buying, selling, and renting energy on TRON, but let’s have a closer look at some of its more interesting features.

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  • Quick Rent

Users who need energy immediately can use TronBid Quick Rent to select a package, enter a TRON address, pay in TRX, and receive delegated energy automatically without having to wait for a match on the marketplace.

  • Telegram Bot

TronBid’s official Telegram bot provides another quick and convenient way to access energy rental services, particularly for mobile users.

  • API Access

Businesses and developers can integrate automated TRON energy rentals into wallets, payment services, exchanges, and other applications.

Conclusion

TRON Energy rental gives users an alternative to relying solely on TRX burning or staking large amounts of TRX when interacting with smart contracts such as USDT TRC-20.

TronBid approaches this market from several directions.

Users who want to rent TRON Energy can choose between instant fixed-package rental and a P2P marketplace.

Those who already have unused resources can sell TRON Energy or Bandwidth while retaining ownership of their staked TRX. Buyers and sellers can both create marketplace orders, while Telegram and API access extend the service beyond the main website.

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Bit Digital Stock Rises Despite $107.2 Million Q2 Loss

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Bit Digital Stock Performance After Earnings

Bit Digital stock climbed after the company reported a $107.2 million net loss for the second quarter, breaking from the sell-off that punished rival crypto-linked shares this week.

The Nasdaq-listed Ethereum (ETH) treasury and artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure firm booked $32.1 million in revenue. That marks a 15% gain over the first quarter.

Investors Look Past Bit Digital’s Quarterly Loss

Investors appeared to focus on the operating line rather than the headline loss. The stock added 2.05% to close at $1.49 on Thursday, then gained another 1.34% to $1.51 after hours.

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Bit Digital Stock Performance After Earnings
Bit Digital Stock Performance After Earnings. Source: Google Finance

That reaction stood apart from the rest of the week’s crypto earnings slate. Bitdeer slid roughly 20% after its August 10 report, while Forward Industries fell 1.36% after hours despite closing the session higher.

The pattern was also observed earlier in other major crypto equities such as Coinbase, MARA Holdings, and CleanSpark.

Roughly $86 million of Bit Digital’s loss came from non-cash digital asset movements and non-operating items. That included a $46 million impairment on liquid staked ETH, which the company says was not a realized loss.

The loss also narrowed. Bit Digital lost $146.7 million, or $0.45 per diluted share, in the first quarter. This quarter’s figure was $0.31 per share.

Meanwhile, the operating businesses grew. Cloud services revenue climbed 42% to $23.8 million at a gross margin near 58%. Group gross profit reached $18.6 million.

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Ethereum Treasury Now Funds the AI Business

Bit Digital held 164,310.5 Ethereum as of June 30. It bought 8,568 ETH for $20 million on May 11 and sold none during the quarter. The company raised $50 million against a portion of that treasury.

It also used its own balance sheet to commit up to $150 million to WhiteFiber through a delayed draw facility for the NC-1 data center campus. Bit Digital’s 27 million WhiteFiber shares carried an implied value of nearly $1.05 billion at quarter-end.

CEO Sam Tabar argued the market has not caught up to that shift.

“Our operating results improved through the quarter. Our valuation did not. The market continues to value Bit Digital primarily as a passive digital asset treasury, and the Board is currently evaluating our options to address that disconnect,” he said.

WhiteFiber has signed new multi-year cloud agreements worth more than $540 million in aggregate contract value since its last earnings call. Tabar said the wider portfolio should produce over $200 million in annualized revenue once fully deployed.

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The post Bit Digital Stock Rises Despite $107.2 Million Q2 Loss appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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The Biggest Bitcoin Bear Keeps Adding to Their Short Position as BTC Price Slides Further

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Bitcoin’s breakout attempt faced another rejection at $65,000 earlier this week, and the bears appear to be in control once again, driving the asset south to under $63,000.

One particular bear has garnered the community’s attention with massive short positions that they keep building on.

Data provided by Lookonchain indicates that the unknown market pessimist continues to increase their leveraged position, which has now grown to 2,000 BTC. The analysts described them as the “largest on-chain BTC bear.”

Although the trader is currently well in the green on their position, sitting on an unrealized profit of nearly $2 million at today’s prices, their liquidation levels are not far off.

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The current price at which the bear will be wiped out is just over $63,500, which makes the position even riskier. For now, though, it’s quite beneficial since BTC has seemingly lost the $63,000 support despite the positive CPI and PPI data from earlier this week.

According to analysts at CryptoQuant, the cryptocurrency has failed to rally due to several factors: the Coinbase Premium has remained in the negative for three months, the spot Bitcoin ETFs have seen weaker inflows, and there’s not enough spot trading volume across all centralized exchanges.

The post The Biggest Bitcoin Bear Keeps Adding to Their Short Position as BTC Price Slides Further appeared first on CryptoPotato.

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Upbit to delist STORJ, JASMY and TT in South Korea on Sept. 14

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Upbit lists Derive (DRV) with KRW, BTC and USDT trading pairs

Upbit and Bithumb will end trading support for Storj (STORJ), JasmyCoin (JASMY) and ThunderCore (TT) on Sept. 14 after concluding that the issues behind earlier warning designations remained unresolved. 

Summary

  • Upbit will delist STORJ, JASMY and TT on September 14 after warning issues remained unresolved.
  • Bithumb announced matching delistings, setting the same September 14 trading cutoff for all three tokens.
  • Withdrawals on Upbit remain available until October 14, giving holders one month after trading ends.
  • Storj Labs entered Chapter 11 in July, while its decentralized storage network continues operating normally.
  • ThunderCore disputes the exchanges’ concerns, saying its network, issuance mechanism and operations remain normal currently.

Upbit’s notice covers STORJ/KRW, STORJ/BTC, JASMY/BTC, JASMY/USDT, TT/KRW and TT/BTC, with trading scheduled to stop at 3:00 p.m. KST. Bithumb independently confirmed the three delistings Friday.

All open orders will be canceled when support ends. Upbit will keep withdrawals available until Oct. 14. Bithumb separately announced the same Sept. 14 trading cutoff and Oct. 14 withdrawal deadline for all three assets, confirming that the action is not limited to one Korean exchange.

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Upbit says the warning issues were not resolved

Upbit first placed STORJ under a trading warning on July 28. The exchange said its review considered disclosure of important information, the substance and sustainability of the project and its actual progress. Deposits were suspended when the warning was issued, and Upbit said it would decide during the Aug. 10 to Aug. 14 review window whether to extend, remove or escalate the designation.

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The warning came two days after Storj Labs filed for Chapter 11 protection in the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the Northern District of West Virginia. Storj said case No. 5:26-bk-00512 was intended to address legacy liabilities while keeping its decentralized storage business operating. Upbit did not say the bankruptcy filing by itself caused the delisting.

As crypto.news reported, Storj Labs filed for Chapter 11 while keeping its cloud services active. The company has also floated a possible ownership mechanism for STORJ holders in a reorganized business. That remains a proposal rather than a confirmed recovery for token holders, and any arrangement would depend on the bankruptcy process.

JASMY and TT failed to clear later reviews

Upbit designated JASMY and TT as warning assets on July 31 and suspended deposits. For JASMY, the exchange cited shortcomings in disclosures about matters capable of materially affecting the asset, alongside concerns involving business substance, sustainability and actual progress.

For TT, Upbit also raised questions about the project’s operations, while the original review covered issuance and circulation related concerns. Bithumb’s final notice said the warning reasons for STORJ, JASMY and TT had not been resolved. No new Jasmy response addressing Friday’s delisting was identified in the official materials reviewed.

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The decisions come as Korean exchanges continue applying post-listing reviews to supported assets. In related coverage, Upbit moved to remove NKN after its warning review, another case in which a caution designation preceded termination of trading support.

ThunderCore disputes the exchanges’ assessment

ThunderCore has disputed the characterization behind TT’s warning designation. In an Aug. 1 statement, the project said plans involving TT had been publicly communicated and that changes to issuance, network parameters and token economics had been disclosed to Upbit and Bithumb. It maintained that “the network, the issuance mechanism, and the project’s operational condition remain normal.” That is ThunderCore’s position and conflicts with the exchanges’ decision to maintain their concerns.

ThunderCore also updated its circulating supply estimates in June after a governance proposal allowed block issuance to be adjusted from zero to 135 TT by vote. Its official blog lists a new Aug. 14 update concerning Upbit and Bithumb trading support, but both exchanges still proceeded with delisting.

What happens next for STORJ, JASMY and TT

Upbit users can trade the six affected pairs until 3:00 p.m. KST on Sept. 14. Any unfilled buy or sell orders will then be canceled. Withdrawals remain supported until 3:00 p.m. KST on Oct. 14, giving users another month to move assets to compatible wallets or other venues.

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Bithumb set the same dates and warned that withdrawal processing may require advance address registration. The exchange also said technical support can become limited after the withdrawal window closes. Delisting does not disable the underlying networks or tokens, but it removes the affected trading markets from two major South Korean venues.

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Polymarket Faces Baltimore Lawsuit and Lost JPMorgan Banking Relationship

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Baltimore has sued prediction market operators Kalshi and Polymarket, accusing both of running unlicensed sportsbooks in the city.

Mayor Brandon Scott and the City Council filed the complaints Thursday in Circuit Court for Baltimore City.

Baltimore Sues Kalshi and Polymarket

The city says both platforms let residents bet on game winners, point spreads, point totals, and player statistics. Those propositions match products sold by licensed sportsbooks, according to the complaints.

Both companies call them event contracts. However, Baltimore argues they function as sports bets and amount to unlawful gambling under Maryland law.

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Furthermore, the lawsuit claims that the missing licenses free both firms from the tax bills, audits, and player-protection rules that licensed operators carry.

The complaints also allege the platforms advertise in ways that suggest their products are lawful and properly supervised. The city says that impression draws in inexperienced bettors and problem gamblers who stand to lose money.

“These companies are running sportsbooks without licenses and betting that a new label will put them above the law. It won’t. Baltimore will not let multibillion-dollar companies put profits over people and harm our communities through illegal gambling,” Mayor Scott said.

The city wants an injunction blocking both platforms from taking transactions from residents. It also seeks civil penalties of up to $1,000 per violation per day. Restitution for affected consumers and disgorgement of profits round out the demands.

“For each violation of the CPO, and for each day that a violation was committed, Plaintiff is entitled to civil penalties of up to $1,000. Baltimore City Code Art. 2, § 4-4,” the lawsuit reads.

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Cities and States Widen the Prediction Market Fight

Baltimore joins a growing list of jurisdictions taking prediction markets to court. Kentucky Attorney General sued Kalshi and Polymarket in June alongside casino game operator VGW.

Wisconsin’s Department of Justice brought Dane County lawsuits in April, naming Kalshi, Polymarket, Robinhood, Coinbase, and Crypto.com. Nevada moved earliest, halting Kalshi entirely in March through a 14-day restraining order.

Meanwhile, the New York City Council opened a probe into prediction markets on Wednesday. Speaker Julie Menin gave the platforms 14 days to disclose city user numbers and revenue.

However, federal preemption remains the industry’s core defense, and it has worked. Whether a city ordinance survives that same argument is the next test.

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Banks Keep Their Distance Too

Institutional caution runs alongside the legal pressure. The Financial Times reported that JPMorgan ended its banking relationship with Polymarket last year amid regulatory concerns. The prediction-market platform has since moved to another lender.

JPMorgan has nevertheless retained some links to Polymarket, including inviting CEO Shayne Coplan to speak at a Miami conference.

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South Korean lawmaker warns 22% crypto tax could drive capital overseas

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Bank of Korea defends bank-first stablecoin plan amid bill deadlock

South Korean lawmaker Park Soo-young has called for the government to withdraw its planned 22% tax on virtual asset gains before the levy takes effect on Jan. 1, 2027, arguing that the policy unfairly targets roughly 13 million crypto users while investment taxes on domestic stocks have been scrapped.

Summary

  • South Korean lawmaker Park Soo-young has called for the planned 22% crypto gains tax to be withdrawn.
  • The tax is scheduled to take effect on Jan. 1, 2027, with an annual deduction of 2.5 million won.
  • Park said the tax could push more Korean capital to overseas crypto exchanges.
  • The People Power Party has also proposed abolishing or delaying the tax.

According to Digital Asset, the People Power Party lawmaker criticized the tax plan on his YouTube channel, “Park Soo-young’s Economy TV,” on Aug. 13, describing it as a punitive policy that could push more Korean capital toward overseas cryptocurrency markets.

“I hope this punitive tax plan that holds 13 million digital asset users hostage will be withdrawn immediately,” Park said.

The lawmaker compared the treatment of crypto investors with South Korea’s decision to abolish the financial investment income tax, which would have applied to investment income from financial products including stocks.

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Park argued that removing the investment tax while retaining a separate levy on virtual assets amounts to telling investors they could face a “tax bomb” if they choose not to invest in the domestic stock market.

South Korea crypto tax faces renewed opposition

Under South Korea’s current Income Tax Act, profits from the transfer or lending of virtual assets will be classified as other income from Jan. 1, 2027. Investors will receive an annual deduction of 2.5 million won, with gains above that amount taxed at 20%.

Once the 2% local income tax is included, the effective rate reaches 22%.

The 2.5 million won deduction is the same basic deduction applied to capital gains from overseas stocks, while South Korea no longer plans to introduce the financial investment income tax that would have covered certain domestic financial investments.

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The government has maintained that implementation will proceed next year. In May, Moon Kyung-ho, director of the Ministry of Economy and Finance’s income tax division, publicly confirmed that authorities were preparing to introduce the tax on schedule, as crypto.news previously reported.

The National Tax Service has also been preparing implementation guidance with South Korea’s five major crypto exchanges: Upbit operator Dunamu, Bithumb, Coinone, Korbit and Gopax. The guidance is expected in 2026, while the first full filing period would come in May 2028 for income earned during 2027.

Political opposition has continued despite those preparations. The People Power Party introduced legislation in March seeking to amend the Income Tax Act and abolish the crypto tax before it takes effect. The tax has already been delayed three times following years of disagreement over when and how digital asset gains should be taxed.

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Originally introduced in 2020, the regime was scheduled to take effect earlier, but lawmakers repeatedly pushed back its implementation. The latest postponement moved the start date from 2025 to 2027.

Park warns capital could move overseas

Park also challenged the idea that taxing crypto could encourage investors to redirect their money into Korean equities.

“People will not invest in domestic stocks just because of this,” he said, adding that the policy could instead accelerate the movement of Korean wealth overseas.

To support his argument, Park cited data showing that roughly 124 trillion won flowed into overseas digital asset exchanges between January and September last year.

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Capital moving from Korean platforms to foreign exchanges and private wallets has already drawn regulatory attention. Financial Services Commission data released in March showed that South Korean exchanges recorded 90 trillion won, or roughly $60 billion, of crypto outflows during the second half of 2025, up 14% from 78.9 trillion won in the first half. The regulator attributed part of the activity to cross-border arbitrage and similar trading, while overseas crypto outflows have remained under scrutiny.

South Korea has also moved to place more cross-border digital asset activity within its foreign-exchange framework. Amendments to the Foreign Exchange Transactions Act created a virtual asset transfer service category and require companies handling qualifying overseas crypto transfers to register with the finance minister. The cross-border transfer rules cover businesses moving virtual assets between South Korea and foreign countries through sales, purchases or exchanges.

Loss carryforwards become another tax dispute

Park separately criticized the treatment of losses under the planned system, arguing that the government intends to collect tax when investors make profits without providing comparable treatment when cryptocurrency prices fall.

“The losses suffered from a crypto crash cannot even be carried forward, yet they are already putting a spoon into the profits,” Park said.

His comments follow other objections focused on how the virtual asset tax compares with the treatment of other investments.

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A public petition seeking complete repeal of the levy crossed the 50,000-signature threshold in May, automatically sending the proposal to a National Assembly committee for review. The petition argued that imposing a 22% tax on crypto profits while financial investment income from stocks and bonds remains exempt creates unequal treatment between asset classes. The tax repeal petition also raised concerns about investor protections and the treatment of a market where large price movements can rapidly alter gains and losses.

The disagreement has left the Jan. 1 deadline dependent on whether lawmakers change the Income Tax Act before implementation. The government has said it intends to proceed under the existing law, while no clear opposition to implementation has emerged from the ruling party.

The People Power Party continues to seek either the abolition or another postponement of the tax. Its March bill proposed removing the levy entirely, while Park’s latest comments called for the government to withdraw the planned tax before its scheduled 2027 implementation.

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Bitcoin miners’ hashrate drops 13.4% as AI infrastructure revenue rises

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Crypto Breaking News

Public Bitcoin mining companies are shrinking their realized hashrate faster than the broader Bitcoin network, according to a BlocksBridge Consulting analysis reported in Miner Weekly. The data suggests some operators are redeploying electricity, facilities, and hardware toward data-center and high-performance computing (HPC) workloads rather than expanding crypto mining.

In the latest Miner Weekly update, BlocksBridge Consulting tracked a cohort of public Bitcoin miners and found realized hashrate declined from 368.3 EH/s in Q4 2025 to 319 EH/s in Q2 2026—down 13.4%. When excluding Bitdeer, the contraction was larger: realized hashrate fell 21.2% from 324.6 EH/s to 255.9 EH/s over the same six-month span. Bitdeer, by contrast, increased its realized hashrate by 44% to 63 EH/s.

Key takeaways

  • Public miners’ realized hashrate dropped 13.4% between Q4 2025 and Q2 2026, while the Bitcoin network’s average hashrate fell 10.6%.
  • Excluding Bitdeer, the public-miner cohort’s realized hashrate declined 21.2%, indicating a stronger pullback from many large listed operators.
  • BlocksBridge’s numbers point to a shift in resource allocation—electricity and compute capacity moving toward data centers and HPC.
  • Core Scientific and TeraWulf are increasingly earning from non-mining activities, with colocation and HPC leases outpacing mining revenue in recent quarters.
  • The change is tied to the post-China mining boom unwinding and the parallel rise in AI infrastructure demand since 2022.

Public miners retreat faster than the network

The gap between industry-wide network trends and what’s happening at listed miners matters because realized hashrate at major operators often reflects strategic choices: whether to run machines at full tilt, pause less efficient operations, or repurpose capacity. While Bitcoin’s aggregate hashrate fell 10.6% over the period covered by BlocksBridge, the cohort of public miners declined more sharply, dropping 13.4% from 368.3 EH/s to 319 EH/s.

The divergence becomes more pronounced when looking at the composition of the cohort. Without Bitdeer, realized hashrate fell 21.2% from 324.6 EH/s to 255.9 EH/s. That larger contraction suggests that many public operators were not merely adjusting output with the broader cycle—they were reducing mining footprint relative to peers, or limiting the use of their most readily available power for Bitcoin blocks.

Bitdeer’s opposite direction reinforces that the trend isn’t uniform across all listed miners. BlocksBridge reported Bitdeer’s realized hashrate rose 44% to 63 EH/s during the same six-month window, implying that at least one major operator continued to treat mining expansion as economically viable while others pulled back.

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Why the shift is happening: mining economics versus AI-driven demand

BlocksBridge framed the pullback as the unwinding of the expansion cycle that followed China’s 2021 Bitcoin mining ban. That regulatory shock triggered one of the steeper declines in network hashrate, followed by a recovery as miners relocated overseas and re-established operations in other jurisdictions.

In North America, the migration and subsequent capital deployment helped public miners expand. Many raised funds and acquired new power sites to increase mining capacity. But with one halving cycle later, the cost-and-demand equation has changed. According to BlocksBridge’s framing, weaker mining profitability combined with surging demand for AI infrastructure since 2022 has encouraged several public miners to redirect sites and power capacity away from pure Bitcoin mining.

That matters for investors because “miner earnings” are no longer tightly linked to one variable—Bitcoin network economics—at least not for the largest operators pursuing diversification. Instead, revenue becomes increasingly tied to how much capacity can be monetized through data-center services, colocation, and HPC leasing, where customer demand is driven by the AI build-out rather than solely by block rewards and transaction fees.

Non-mining revenue is moving to the center of the story

BlocksBridge’s report also points to another signal of this transition: the share of revenue coming from activities other than mining. In the examples highlighted, Core Scientific generated $136.7 million in colocation revenue in Q2, compared with $27.5 million from Bitcoin mining. TeraWulf, in turn, reported $31.9 million in HPC lease revenue versus $12.8 million from mining.

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The implication is straightforward: for these operators, facilities and power are being monetized as compute infrastructure for third parties, not only as a way to mine BTC. Cointelegraph previously covered these financial dynamics in separate stories—such as Core Scientific’s revenue mix and TeraWulf’s data-center and HPC expansion—both of which are consistent with the broader BlocksBridge narrative about miners evolving into infrastructure providers.

For context within the cohort, the article notes that Riot Platforms and Bitdeer remained earlier in the transition, with Bitcoin mining still accounting for the majority of revenue in their latest reported quarter. That contrast is important: it helps explain why the overall public-miner hashrate decline isn’t identical to a universal exit from mining. Some companies are deepening the AI/data-center pivot, while others are still heavily dependent on mining cash flows.

What to watch next

The next phase likely hinges on whether the non-mining expansion continues to offset mining profitability pressure—and on how quickly remaining public miners decide to scale down operations in less efficient locations. Investors should watch both realized hashrate trends across cohorts and disclosures about revenue mix, because the sector’s direction appears to be determined as much by electricity monetization strategy as by Bitcoin’s underlying network changes.

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JPMorgan cut Polymarket banking ties over regulatory concerns: Report

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JPMorgan cut Polymarket banking ties over regulatory concerns: Report

JPMorgan cut Polymarket banking ties over regulatory concerns: Report

JPMorgan Chase reportedly cut banking ties with Polymarket in October 2025 over regulatory concerns but remains open to an underwriting role if the platform goes public.

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