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The US Dollar Index (DXY) Climbs to a One-and-a-Half-Month High

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The US Dollar Index (DXY) Climbs to a One-and-a-Half-Month High

Today, the US Dollar Index rose above the 98.70 level for the first time since the third week of January. Monday’s trading opened with a bullish gap, and upward momentum continues to build as news emerges of a major escalation in the Middle East:

→ Demand for safe-haven assets: Historically, the US dollar and US Treasury bonds have served as primary refuges for capital during periods of heightened uncertainty.

→ Military activity around the Strait of Hormuz is pushing oil prices higher (WTI jumped by approximately 10% yesterday) along with gas prices. This creates a direct pathway to another wave of global inflation.

Technical Analysis of the DXY Chart

Six days ago, when analysing the US Dollar Index (DXY) chart, we:

→ Reaffirmed the validity of the descending channel (marked in red), which originated in November 2025.
→ Once again highlighted the strength of demand, reflected in the confident upward trajectory (shown by the arrow) following the false break below the multi-month low of 96.50 at the end of January.
→ Suggested that bulls could regain momentum and break the prevailing downtrend.

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Indeed, price action in early March confirms this view: the descending channel is losing relevance, being replaced by an upward trajectory marked in blue. In this context, developments in the Middle East are of critical importance:

→ If tensions begin to ease, the DXY may stabilise around the median line of the blue ascending channel.

→ A renewed escalation and the collapse of potential negotiations could trigger a further advance towards the upper boundary of the blue channel.

It is also worth noting that the area around the 98 level may now serve as support:

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→ This zone previously saw rapid price appreciation, signalling strong buying pressure.
→ It was also the point of a bullish breakout from the red channel and above the 97.98 resistance level.

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Bitcoin falls below $67,000 as U.S. equities slide and oil pushes higher

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Bitcoin losing $70,000 is a warning sign for further downside

Day four of the Middle East conflict is bringing renewed volatility to global markets during Tuesday’s pre-market, with a clear shift toward risk off positioning.

Bitcoin is down 3% over the past 24 hours, slipping below $67,000 after briefly touching $70,000 on Monday. In equities, the Invesco QQQ (QQQ) ETF closed slightly higher to start the week but is now down about 2% in pre market trading.

Metals are also under pressure. Gold and silver are both lower, with gold holding above $5,300 per ounce and silver sliding another 4% to around $85 per ounce.

In energy markets, WTI crude oil is above $74 per barrel up 5% over the past 24 hours, nearing Sunday futures highs just above $75. Meanwhile, the US dollar is strengthening sharply, with the DXY index climbing above 99, a level not seen since Jan. 20.

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Treasury yields are edging higher across the curve. The US 10 year yield is holding firmly above 4% and pushing toward 4.1%, reflecting persistent rate pressure.

Crypto related equities are tracking bitcoin lower. Strategy (MSTR), the largest publicly traded holder of bitcoin, is down 2%. Coinbase (COIN) has fallen 5%, Galaxy Digital is off 3%, and AI focused miners IREN (IREN) and Cipher Digital (CIFR) are also down roughly 4%.

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Savings models are the only way to rebuild crypto trust

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Ilya Tarutov

Disclosure: The views and opinions expressed here belong solely to the author and do not represent the views and opinions of crypto.news’ editorial.

The 2021 to 2025 crypto market cycle left a trail of broken trust, with countless scams and rug pulls making everyday users feel like they were just exiting liquidity. But 2026 marks a critical turning point. The arrival of staking rewards through regulated products like ETFs signals a broader shift toward sustainable, verifiable rewards.

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Summary

  • Dormant capital signals distrust: Millions of undelegated SOL wallets show retail isn’t disengaged, it’s cautious. Users prefer inactivity over opaque risk.
  • Trust requires principal protection: Savings models like Premium Bonds and Save to Win prove that transparent rewards + protected capital build long-term participation.
  • Crypto must shift from hype to habit: Verifiable on-chain rewards, native staking by default, and incentives for consistent saving can redefine the next market cycle.

The next great crypto rally won’t come from more speculative hype. Instead, it will be driven by products that redesign incentives to mimic the simple, trusted mechanics of saving: clear rules, steady rewards from transparent sources, and absolute protection of your starting capital.

Idle retail capital highlights a deep trust gap

Previous crypto cycles were structurally optimized for insiders. Advantages in speed, information, and capital created an environment where retail participants consistently arrived late to high-risk trades.

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The result is a deep and persistent trust gap, and the on-chain evidence is impossible to ignore. A massive pool of dormant capital on Solana (SOL) proves that while the industry has captured people’s attention, it has failed to earn their sustained participation.

Currently, more than 2 million Solana wallets holding between 1 and 100 SOL remain undelegated. This means their assets aren’t used to secure the network, and that over 14 million SOL are sitting on the sidelines. Compare this to the less than 560,000 wallets in the same capital bracket that are actively staking.

What we are seeing here isn’t user apathy. It is a rational response to an ecosystem where the safest option, native staking, offers rewards that feel economically meaningless for smaller holdings, while the alternatives are correctly perceived as high-risk ventures. This idle capital is the market’s clearest signal that something fundamental needs to change.

Savings mechanics inspired by regulated markets

To bridge this trust gap, crypto must default to behaviors that feel like saving, not speculating. This means simple, repeatable actions: deposit, hold, and add regularly. Crucially, the rewards for these actions must come from transparent and verifiable network sources, like Solana’s native inflationary rewards.

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As I see it, the era of mysterious, black box DeFi models, where users rightly suspected they were the source of the rewards, has to end. Instead of reinventing the wheel, we can learn from systems that have earned public trust for decades.

Take the UK’s Premium Bonds as an example. This government-backed savings product has been trusted for over 70 years. Its mechanic is simple: your capital is 100% protected. Instead of earning typical interest, savers get a chance to receive periodic reward allocations.

Premium Bonds’ scale is enormous, with over 24 million participants and £134.6 billion in savings. In 2025 alone, £4.95 billion was distributed. It proves that a system built on absolute capital protection can build immense, long-term trust while still offering a chance at a meaningful outcome.

Introducing a similar model in the U.S., Save to Win operates through special savings accounts at credit unions. By depositing a minimum amount, a saver gets entries into periodic reward distributions.

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Again, the saver’s original money is never at risk. A study showed 56% of participants were first-time savers, proving the model effectively builds healthy financial habits. These regulated systems show that adding engaging layers to savings works, but only when built on transparency and capital protection.

The principles for a fairer on-chain economy

For crypto builders looking to define the 2026 to 2028 cycle, these principles should be non-negotiable. Verifiable rewards should come first. Instead of opaque APYs, all rewards must originate from transparent, on-chain sources like native network inflation.

Second, platforms and protocols must protect beginners by default. The safest path, native staking, should always be the easiest and most accessible. New users shouldn’t be pushed toward high-risk activities as their first experience.

Third, good habits should always be rewarded. The system must incentivize behaviors that promote long-term health: regular saving, long-term holding, and consistent participation. It must feel like financial progress is possible, even with small amounts.

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The new mantra for builders should be “slower but clearer.” This is how we prepare for the next phase of sustainable growth, moving away from short-term hype.

From speculation to savings

Crypto’s next wave of adoption won’t be driven by a new token or a flashy new trend. It will be powered by products that feel fundamentally fair, safe, and savings-oriented to everyday people.

This is a call to action for the entire industry. Builders, investors, and even regulators must work to standardize these mechanics. We need to prioritize principal-protected incentives, demand transparent reward sources, and design systems that reward sound financial habits.

If we successfully make this shift, crypto can finally achieve the same level of ingrained trust as traditional savings vehicles. This is how we unlock the vast sea of dormant capital sitting on the sidelines.

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Ilya Tarutov

Ilya Tarutov

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Ilya Tarutov is the founder of Tramplin, a premium staking platform built on Solana with verifiable and random distribution of outsized rewards. Since 2015, he has worked in crypto with a long-term focus on building and investing across Web3 and AI. He also founded iTreasury.io, an investment team backing crypto and AI startups; its publicly listed portfolio includes 54 projects across infrastructure and early-stage companies. Tarutov is also a co-founder of MixBytes, a blockchain security firm specializing in smart contract audits.

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Why are NEAR, Virtuals, and Morpho surging?

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Why are NEAR, Virtuals, and Morpho surging?

NEAR Protocol, Virtuals, and Morpho crypto stood as some of the best performers on Tuesday amid a broader market rebound back above the $2.4 trillion mark.

Summary

  • NEAR Protocol, Virtuals and Morpho led altcoin gains with double-digit rallies on Tuesday.
  • NEAR, VIRTUALS benefited from positive developments across the AI sector alongside project-specific catalysts.
  • Morpho rallied following the launch of the OKX Onchain Earn product on the protocol.

According to data from CoinGecko, the global crypto market rose 5% to $2.45 trillion before stabilizing around $2.4 trillion at press time. The market recovery was largely fueled by Bitcoin, the bellwether’s rally on Monday with the flagship crypto jumping from intraday lows near $65,000 to over $69,800 in a matter of hours.

Besides this, investor appetite for risk assets also returned after U.S. manufacturing data exceeded market expectations, fueling optimism surrounding Fed rate cuts this year.

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The crypto market recovery triggered a short squeeze across major crypto assets. Data from CoinGlass shows nearly $202 million worth of short positions were liquidated in the past 24 hours, out of the total $331 million liquidated from both sides across leveraged markets.

Amidst this volatility, NEAR Protocol, Virtuals, and Morpho emerged as the standout winners. These assets capitalized on the easing market sentiment to post double-digit gains.

NEAR Protocol (NEAR) was the strongest gainer of the day with its 24% rally to a 5-week high of $1.45 on Monday. The surge extended its weekly gains to over 50%.

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The AI token’s gains follow AI chip-making giant Nvidia announcing a multiyear strategic partnership with Coherent Corp, a global leader in photonics and networking, to advance its optical interconnect technology.

As part of the agreement, Nvidia would be investing $2 billion in Coherent to support research and development, along with expanding manufacturing capacity.

NVIDIA shares rose by 2.93% shortly after the announcement, sparking a broader rally in AI-focused cryptocurrencies. The partnership also comes just days after the chip giant revealed bullish quarterly earnings, easing fears of a slowdown in AI spending.

As Nvidia is the market bellwether for artificial intelligence, its bullish earnings and stock rally serve as a major impetus for related assets such as NEAR Protocol.

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Project-specific catalysts, including the launch of Near FM and Near Intents has also supported the recent rally.

Virtuals Protocol 

Virtuals Protocol (VIRTUAL) rose over 15% today to $0.79, its highest price since late January this year. The gains followed after it broke out of a consolidation from the $0.60-$0.75 range it had been stuck within over the past week.

Besides sharing the AI market hype surrounding Nvidia news and its stock gains, the agentic AI coin also benefited from strengthening fundamentals supporting it. 

In a recent X post, the Virtuals Protocol team revealed that agent transactions on the network soared by around 128% over the past two weeks, as 3,421 agents competed in Epoch 2 of its AI revenue incentives program. Agent-to-agent revenue reached $2.8 million during the period, with roughly $200,000 distributed to builders.

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The team also outlined upgrades for Epoch 3 aimed at tightening reward quality and making it materially harder to manufacture artificial signal, with a stronger focus on genuine demand and sustained utility. 

Morpho 

Morpho (MORPHO) rose 11% on the day to $1.97, extending its weekly gains to around 25%.

Morpho’s gains today can be largely attributed to a surge in network activity following the launch of the OKX Onchain Earn product on the Morpho protocol. The event includes a 65 million KAT (Katana Network) reward pool for users staking USDT on the protocol.

At the same time, there’s also noticeable chatter around Apollo Global’s recent commitment to the protocol, which has provided a strong fundamental backstop for the current price action. Under a newly established four-year cooperation agreement, the $940 billion asset manager is authorized to acquire up to 90 million MORPHO tokens, representing roughly 9% of the total supply.

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Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.

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Monad Gains Bitcoin Liquidity as Chainlink Enables cbBTC Bridge from Base

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Monad Gains Bitcoin Liquidity as Chainlink Enables cbBTC Bridge from Base

Chainlink has enabled transfers of Coinbase’s wrapped Bitcoin token, cbBTC, from Base to the Monad blockchain using its cross-chain interoperability protocol (CCIP), enabling more than $5 billion worth of cbBTC to move into the Monad ecosystem.

According to Monday’s announcement from Monad, the integration brings cbBTC into the Monad DeFi ecosystem, where a bevy of applications, including Curvance and Neverland, are adopting cbBTC markets.

The move introduces Bitcoin-backed liquidity to lending, borrowing and other decentralized finance (DeFi) applications on Monad, an EVM-compatible layer-1 blockchain designed for high-throughput trading and financial use cases.