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Futures Waver After Monday Rally as Iran Talks Optimism Fades Amid Ongoing Conflict

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Nasdaq futures pointed to a mixed open Tuesday, March 24, 2026, after the tech-heavy index posted a solid 1.38% gain the previous session on hopes of de-escalation in the U.S.-Iran conflict that briefly sent oil prices tumbling and lifted investor sentiment across Wall Street.

stock markets nyse nasdaq s&p 500 news biggest gainers

E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures traded little changed to slightly lower in early premarket action, fluctuating near flat after Monday’s relief rally. The Nasdaq Composite closed Monday at 21,946.76, up 299.15 points, or 1.38%, following President Donald Trump’s announcement of “very good and productive” talks with Iran and a decision to postpone strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure for five days.

The move reversed earlier losses tied to soaring oil prices and fears that prolonged Middle East tensions could derail economic growth and keep inflation elevated. The S&P 500 rose 1.15% to 6,581.00, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average surged 631 points, or 1.38%, to 46,208.47. Gains were broad-based, with technology, consumer discretionary and communication services sectors leading the advance as risk appetite returned.

Optimism proved short-lived, however. Iranian state media pushed back on Trump’s claims, stating no direct negotiations had taken place, while reports emerged that some U.S. allies in the Persian Gulf were considering joining operations against Tehran. Oil prices, which dropped sharply Monday, rebounded modestly early Tuesday, adding pressure on rate-sensitive growth stocks that dominate the Nasdaq.

The tech-heavy benchmark has been particularly sensitive to geopolitical developments and energy costs. Higher oil prices raise input expenses for companies and threaten to push inflation higher, reducing expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts. Interest rate futures now price in virtually no easing before mid-2027, according to the CME FedWatch Tool, a shift that weighs on high-valuation tech names.

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Monday’s session marked a sharp reversal from recent volatility. Before Trump’s Truth Social post, futures had pointed to another down day amid the ongoing conflict that has driven West Texas Intermediate crude well above pre-crisis levels. Once the news hit, Dow futures briefly spiked more than 1,100 points, while Nasdaq contracts surged as much as 2.5% in early trading.

Analysts described the market reaction as classic headline-driven trading. “Any signal of diplomatic progress provides immediate relief, especially after weeks of oil-driven selling pressure,” said one strategist at a major Wall Street firm who declined to be named because of firm policy. “But when those signals are contradicted, the rally can fade quickly.”

Technology giants helped power Monday’s gains. Nvidia, Amazon, Meta Platforms and other heavyweights in the Nasdaq-100 rose between 2% and 4% as investors rotated back into growth stocks. The Nasdaq-100 itself climbed about 1.22% to close near 24,188.59.

Broader context shows the Nasdaq has been range-bound in 2026, trading well below its record highs from late 2025. Persistent inflation concerns linked to energy shocks have kept the Federal Reserve on hold longer than many anticipated at the start of the year. The index remains vulnerable to swings in oil and bond yields.

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Treasury yields edged higher early Tuesday as traders weighed the balance between growth risks and sticky inflation. The 10-year note yield hovered near recent levels, adding modest pressure on rate-sensitive sectors.

Corporate earnings season continues this week, with several major technology and industrial companies scheduled to report. Results will be scrutinized for resilience amid higher costs and any signs of softening demand tied to geopolitical uncertainty.

The partial federal government shutdown, now entering its sixth week, has added another layer of background noise but has so far had limited direct impact on equity markets compared with the Middle East situation. TSA staffing issues at major airports have drawn attention, yet broader fiscal concerns remain secondary for most investors.

International markets showed mixed performance overnight. European stocks were little changed as traders digested the same headlines. Asian markets closed mostly lower, reflecting caution over global growth prospects if the conflict persists.

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For individual investors, the current environment calls for caution amid rapid headline shifts. Portfolio managers recommend maintaining diversification and keeping dry powder to capitalize on volatility. Sectors with exposure to energy or defense have benefited in recent weeks, while pure growth and consumer names have faced pressure when oil spikes.

Retail trading activity has surged during the swings, with many using futures and options to bet on short-term outcomes. Professionals caution against overreacting to single-day moves driven by unconfirmed diplomatic reports.

Looking ahead, the path for the Nasdaq will likely depend on three factors: any fresh developments on U.S.-Iran talks, the trajectory of oil prices, and incoming economic data. Housing figures and consumer confidence readings are due this week, though geopolitical news is expected to dominate.

If diplomatic efforts gain traction and oil moderates, the Nasdaq could extend Monday’s rebound, potentially testing resistance near 22,500. Conversely, renewed escalation or supply disruptions could push the index back toward recent lows around 21,500.

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Wall Street opens at 9:30 a.m. Eastern. Early price action will offer clues on whether Monday’s gains can hold or if profit-taking will dominate as skepticism returns.

The Nasdaq’s performance Monday highlighted its role as a barometer for risk sentiment. Heavily weighted toward technology and growth, the index often amplifies both positive and negative macro shocks. Its 1.38% gain erased some recent losses but left it down for the month amid ongoing uncertainty.

Analysts note that while the relief rally was welcome, underlying concerns persist. Higher-for-longer interest rates, combined with elevated energy costs, continue to challenge valuations in the tech sector, where price-to-earnings multiples remain elevated compared with other parts of the market.

As trading begins Tuesday, investors will monitor any new comments from Washington or Tehran that could swing sentiment rapidly. Additional clarity on the scope and timing of potential talks will be key.

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In the meantime, Nasdaq futures today signal a cautious tone following the previous session’s volatility. The coming hours and days will test whether the de-escalation hopes can translate into sustained momentum or if geopolitical risks will keep markets on edge.

The tech-heavy index, long a favorite of growth investors, continues to navigate one of its more challenging periods in recent memory, with external shocks testing its resilience.

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Trump and Xi are set to meet. Where do US-China tariffs stand?

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Trump and Xi are set to meet. Where do US-China tariffs stand?

The first US presidential visit to China in almost 10 years will test a fragile tariff truce.

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Why “Invisible Infrastructure” Is Becoming a Critical Business Risk in Electrification

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Why “Invisible Infrastructure” Is Becoming a Critical Business Risk in Electrification

Electrification is often discussed in terms of visible assets: electric vehicles, charging stations, and energy tariffs. For most organisations, these are the elements that shape investment decisions and public sustainability commitments.

However, as deployment scales, performance is increasingly determined by a less visible layer of infrastructure. This layer rarely features in board-level discussions, yet it directly influences operational reliability, cost predictability, and system resilience.

The emerging risk for businesses is not adoption of new technology, but underestimating the infrastructure required to make that technology consistently work at scale.

The shift from assets to systems

Traditional infrastructure thinking is asset-centric. A charger is installed, a vehicle is deployed, and performance is assumed to follow specification.

In practice, electrified systems behave differently. They operate as interconnected chains of components, where reliability is determined by the weakest link rather than the most advanced element.

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This shift from isolated assets to dependent systems introduces a structural challenge: small inconsistencies in supporting components can accumulate into measurable operational inefficiencies.

Where operational risk actually emerges

In early-stage deployments, infrastructure issues are often attributed to high-level components such as charging units or software platforms. These are visible, complex, and therefore assumed to be the primary source of variation.

However, in scaled environments, a different pattern emerges. Performance variability is frequently driven by lower-profile physical components within the system architecture.

These components are not typically monitored with the same intensity as primary assets, yet they operate under continuous load conditions that expose differences in quality, durability, and consistency.

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The result is not immediate failure, but gradual degradation in operational predictability.

Why small inefficiencies become structural at scale

At individual unit level, minor variations are often negligible. At fleet or multi-site level, they compound into system-wide inefficiencies.

Examples include:

  • reduced predictability in asset availability
  • increased buffering requirements in operational planning
  • higher sensitivity to peak demand periods
  • gradual erosion of utilisation efficiency across infrastructure networks

The key issue is not breakdown, but inconsistency. Systems designed around assumed uniform performance begin to drift when that assumption does not hold in practice.

The procurement blind spot

Most procurement frameworks remain optimised for upfront cost, specification compliance, and installation speed. These criteria are necessary but incomplete in electrified environments.

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What is often underweighted is lifecycle behaviour under sustained operational load.

This includes:

  • how components perform under continuous use
  • how degradation profiles differ across suppliers
  • how maintenance frequency evolves over time
  • how small variations scale into system-level inefficiencies

As a result, infrastructure decisions that appear rational at purchase stage can generate disproportionate operational costs over time.

The rise of quality differentiation in commodity infrastructure

As electrification matures, previously interchangeable components are becoming differentiated based on performance stability rather than basic compliance.

Manufacturing consistency, certification rigor, and material durability are increasingly relevant indicators of long-term system reliability.

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In this context, the importance of component-level engineering becomes more visible. For example, manufacturers such as Voldt® operate in a segment where emphasis is placed on reducing variability under sustained commercial load conditions, rather than simply meeting baseline specification requirements.

This reflects a broader market shift toward infrastructure-grade quality standards across the electrification ecosystem.

From electrification projects to infrastructure management

The strategic implication for businesses is a reframing of electrification itself.

What is often treated as a deployment project is, in reality, a transition into ongoing infrastructure management. This requires a different evaluation lens:

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  • from individual asset performance to system behaviour
  • from installation success to operational stability
  • from purchase cost to lifecycle impact
  • from compliance to resilience

Under this model, infrastructure is not a static investment but a continuously operating system with compounding dependencies.

Reliability of the infrastructure

As electrification scales across UK businesses, the primary constraint is shifting. It is no longer access to technology, but the reliability of the infrastructure that supports it.

The most significant risks are not necessarily located in high-visibility assets, but in the less visible components that determine whether systems perform consistently under real-world conditions.

For organisations moving from pilot projects to full-scale deployment, understanding and managing this “invisible infrastructure” layer is becoming a defining factor in operational success.

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Flats plan for former Lookers office block

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Blueoak Estates leading Timperley project

The empty office block could be brought back into use

The empty block could be brought back into use(Image: Google)

An abandoned office building in Timperley could be brought back into use as new homes.

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Developer Blueoak Estates Ltd is eyeing up the three-storey property in Etchells Road with a view to turning it into apartments. The building was last home to the Lookers Motor Group.

Some 34 new homes are proposed to be created within the office block. These would be a mix of one- and two-beds, planning documents show.

This could be just phase one of the plans for the site, however. Documents state that the plant room and an external ‘plant well’ in the roof area would be redundant under the new use and could be ‘subject to future conversion’.

Limited changes would be made to the exterior of the building. These would see new windows fitted and the ‘part removal’ of the external stairs.

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Some 38 parking spaces are proposed for the new homes. An additional 34 cycle spaces would be provided in an internal storage area.

Blueoaks is seeking permission from Trafford council for the change of use of the building.

To find all the planning applications, traffic diversions, road layout changes, alcohol licence applications and more in your community, visit the Public Notices Portal.

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Taiwan stocks lower at close of trade; Taiwan Weighted down 0.79%

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Taiwan stocks lower at close of trade; Taiwan Weighted down 0.79%

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Red Rock Resorts Q1 2026 Earnings: Focus On The Long Term (NASDAQ:RRR)

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Red Rock Resorts Q1 2026 Earnings: Focus On The Long Term (NASDAQ:RRR)

This article was written by

I am a specialist in Asian equities after having been a sellside analyst for 13 years. In addition, I have also spent time covering US hardware and semiconductor stocks on the sellside. Within Asia, I have covered the casino, automotive, industrial, consumer and technology sectors. I have also worked on the buyside as a fund manager in long only and as an analyst in hedge funds all covering Asian equities where I have developed a keen understanding of Asian companies and economies with a focus on China. From a global equities perspective, I enjoy covering companies globally by examining key metrics such as financial statements strength, valuation upside, and conducting proper analysis of the competitive advantages of the company. Throughout my career, I have found and written on undiscovered small cap companies which have increased in equity value by multiple times. I would like to write for Seeking Alpha where my goal is to help investors cut through the noise and to focus on fundamentals and the company’s competitive outlook instead of the momentum trade.

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha’s Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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Fidelity Blue Chip Growth Fund Q1 2026 Commentary (FBGRX)

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Fidelity Blue Chip Growth Fund Q1 2026 Commentary (FBGRX)

Fidelity’s mission is to strengthen the financial well-being of our customers and deliver better outcomes for the clients and businesses it serves. With assets under administration of $12.6 trillion, including discretionary assets of $4.9 trillion as of December 31, 2023, Fidelity focuses on meeting the unique needs of a broad and growing customer base. Privately held for 77 years, Fidelity employs more than 74,000 associates with its headquarters in Boston and a global presence spanning nine countries across North America, Europe, Asia and Australia. Note: This account is not managed or monitored by Fidelity, and any messages sent via Seeking Alpha will not receive a response. For inquiries or communication, please use Fidelity’s official channels.

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Politics And The Markets 05/11/26

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OneWater Marine Inc. (ONEW) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

This is the forum for daily political discussion on Seeking Alpha. A new version is published every market day.

Please don’t leave political comments on other articles or posts on the site.

The comments below are not regulated with the same rigor as the rest of the site, and this is an ‘enter at your own risk’ area as discussion can get very heated. If you can’t stand the heat… you know what they say…

More on Today’s Markets:

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Iran’s new supreme leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, who has not been seen or heard publicly since the war began, “issued new and decisive directives for the continuation of operations and the powerful confrontation with the enemies” while meeting with the head of the joint military command, the state broadcaster reported, with no details.

In April 2026, exports reached a record high of $359.44 billion, up 14.1% year-on-year, exceeding forecasts and showing a strong rebound after a weak growth of 2.5% in March. For the first four months of the year, total exports still grew 14.5% year-on-year to USD 1.34 trillion. However, during the period, sales to the US dropped 10.2%.

Meanwhile, Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu warned in a 60 Minutes interview that the war is “not over… There are still enrichment sites that have to be dismantled, there are proxies that Iran supports, there are ballistic missiles that they still want to produce… there’s work to be done.”

Moderation Guidelines:

We remove comments under the following categories:

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  • Anti-Vaxxer or covid related misinformation
  • Stereotyping, prejudiced or racist language about individuals or the topic under discussion.
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Urban Company shares tank 9% after Q4 net loss swells to Rs 161 crore despite a sharp revenue uptick

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Urban Company shares tank 9% after Q4 net loss swells to Rs 161 crore despite a sharp revenue uptick
Shares of Urban Company plunged as much as 9% to their day’s low of Rs 127 on the BSE on Monday after it reported a sharp rise in consolidated net loss for the March quarter to Rs 161 crore, compared with Rs 2.8 crore in the same period last year, even as the company posted strong revenue growth.

Revenue from operations for Q4FY26 rose 43% year-on-year to Rs 426 crore from Rs 298 crore a year ago. On a sequential basis, revenue grew 11% from Rs 383 crore reported in the October-December quarter of FY26. The company’s losses also widened sharply quarter-on-quarter, increasing nearly eightfold from Rs 21 crore in Q3FY26.

The professional services platform reported a 42% year-on-year rise in net transacting value (NTV) to Rs 1,148 crore during the quarter, the highest level in the last 15 quarters.

Adjusted EBITDA loss for Q4FY26 stood at Rs 98 crore, while adjusted EBITDA excluding InstaHelp came in at Rs 22 crore. The company also reported a 160-basis-point improvement in margins.

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For the full financial year, NTV increased 31% year-on-year to Rs 4,290 crore, while revenue from operations rose 36% to Rs 1,556 crore. According to the company’s filing, both NTV and revenue growth accelerated for the second consecutive year.


Among key business segments, India Consumer Services excluding InstaHelp posted 26% year-on-year NTV growth in Q4FY26, marking the strongest growth in 11 quarters. International operations across the UAE and Singapore recorded 84% year-on-year growth in NTV during the quarter.
The company said both India Consumer Services, excluding InstaHelp and the international business remained profitable in Q4FY26 while also improving margins on a yearly basis.Native NTV rose 67% year-on-year in the March quarter, while revenue from the segment increased 75%.

InstaHelp delivered 2.7 million orders and recorded Rs 40 crore in NTV in Q4FY26, compared with 1.6 million orders and Rs 28 crore in NTV in Q3FY26. March alone saw over 1.1 million orders.

Sensex, Nifty today: Catch all the LIVE stock market action here
(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)

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FMR shares rise following acquisition update

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FMR shares rise following acquisition update

Shares in South Perth-based FMR Resources rose by more than 30 per cent early on Monday following news it would expand its presence in Chile.

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The Perth startup simplifying carbon compliance

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The Perth startup simplifying carbon compliance

ESG consultant David Elliott saw a need to provide a software solution for SMEs, due to Australian regulatory changes.

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