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Trump Locks In $150M Venezuela Gold Deal While Markets Watch Iran

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TLDR:

  • Venezuela’s Minerven will ship up to 1,000 kg of gold to US refineries under a new Trump-brokered deal.
  • Trafigura is acting as intermediary, shepherding the gold under a separate US government arrangement.
  • The contract requires 98% final gold purity, with the total deal value estimated above $150 million.
  • The deal marks the third reported resource extraction agreement brokered by the Trump administration in 2025.

The United States has secured a multimillion-dollar gold agreement with Venezuela, marking a shift in Washington’s resource diplomacy. 

Venezuela’s state-owned mining company, Minerven, will ship up to 1,000 kilograms of gold to US refineries. 

Commodity trading giant Trafigura is serving as intermediary in the arrangement. The deal, reported by Axios, carries an estimated value exceeding $150 million.

Trump’s Venezuela Gold Deal: What the $150M Minerven Contract Covers

Interior Secretary Doug Burgum traveled to Venezuela personally to finalize the agreement. 

His involvement signals how seriously Washington is treating resource access as a foreign policy tool. The contract specifies a 98% final gold content standard, according to sources cited by Axios.

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Trafigura’s role is to shepherd the physical gold into US refining infrastructure under a separate arrangement with the government. 

The trading firm has existing logistics networks across commodity supply chains. That infrastructure makes it a natural fit for a deal of this scale and sensitivity.

Kobeissi Letter, a renowned financial markets account, flagged the deal on X, noting the US is “eyeing Venezuela’s gold.” The post attracted attention from traders and macro analysts tracking dollar-adjacent commodity flows.

This marks the third resource extraction deal the Trump administration has reportedly structured since January, when Maduro’s grip on Venezuela reportedly weakened.

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US Resource Strategy Extends Beyond Venezuela Into Asia and Latin America

The Venezuela gold agreement did not emerge in isolation. 

According to posts by analyst Shanaka Perera on X, the same week saw Japan and India ink a rare earth agreement in Rajasthan. India also opened the Andaman Basin to oil exploration during that same period.

A joint US-Ecuador military operation also took place within the same seven-day window, according to Perera’s account. These moves, taken together, suggest a coordinated effort to lock in resource relationships across multiple regions simultaneously.

Venezuela holds some of the world’s largest oil reserves. For years, Caracas maintained deep financial and strategic ties with Beijing. A shift toward US-aligned commodity flows represents a meaningful change in that dynamic.

Gold markets have taken note. The deal adds to existing upward pressure on gold prices, which have held near record highs in recent sessions. A 1,000-kilogram shipment, while not enormous by global standards, carries symbolic weight given its origin and the political context surrounding it.

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Crypto World

Bitcoin Rebounds 4% on Iran Ceasefire Hopes but Faces $72K Resistance

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Bitcoin Rebounds 4% on Iran Ceasefire Hopes but Faces $72K Resistance

Bitcoin (BTC) rose back above $71,000 during the early Asian trading hours on Wednesday after Trump’s administration offered a 15-point plan to Iran to end the war, sparking short-term optimism across risk assets.

Key takeaways:

  • Bitcoin bounces 4% to $71,500 after President Trump sent Iran a 15-point proposal aimed at ending the war. 

  • Bitcoin faces stiff resistance above $72,000. 

Bitcoin jumps 4% on ceasefire hopes

Data from TradingView showed BTC price rose as much as 4% to an intraday high of $71,300 from Tuesday’s low of $68,890, recouping all the losses incurred the day prior.

BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The price reacted to news that the US, through the primary intermediary Field Marshal Syed Asim Munir (Pakistan’s Chief of Army Staff), has sent Iran a 15-point plan aimed at ending the war.

The key elements of the plan include: a temporary ceasefire with calls on Iran to dismantle or severely limit its nuclear program, suspend its ballistic-missile work, and the full reopening of the Strait of Hormuz for safe maritime traffic.

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Source: X/The Kobeissi Letter

Meanwhile, Iran continues to deny any ongoing talks as ​​Trump delayed his self-imposed deadline for Tehran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.

Following the news, WTI crude oil dropped 5.75% to $87 per barrel, while Brent crude shed 6% to trade at $98.

Oil prices table. Source: Oil Price.com

Gold extended yesterday’s gains, now up 2.53% on the day to trade at $4,561 at the time of writing.

This move eases inflation fears tied to disrupted shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, positively impacting risk assets, including Bitcoin.

Analysts noted the swift repricing, with Coinlore saying that Bitcoin is now acting as a “real-time sentiment instrument for global risk.”

CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr said that BTC will “likely remain headline-driven” until the US and Iran send a “public de-escalation signal.”

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Bitcoin price faces “rough times ahead”

Despite the rebound, BTC’s upside appears to be capped at $72,000, where the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) and the upper trend line of a symmetrical triangle converge.

A break above $72,000 would confirm a bullish breakout from the triangle, toward the measured target at $92,400, 30% above the current price.

BTC/USD daily chart. Cointelegraph/TradingView

Glassnode’s cost-basis distribution heatmap reveals concentrated supply and resistance between $72,000 and $74,000, where investors acquired roughly 380,000 BTC over the last 30 days. This indicates that sellers could aggressively defend this zone.

Bitcoin cost basis distribution heatmap. Source: Glassnode

On the downside, a dense accumulation cluster sits around $65,000, where investors previously acquired 160,000 BTC. 

This level coincides with the lower trend line of the symmetrical triangle, which, if lost, could trigger the next leg lower toward the bearish target of the triangle at $52,500.

Meanwhile, Capriole Investment’s Bitcoin Macro index has dropped to -1.37, levels seen at the depth of previous bear cycles.

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The chart below shows that the metric historically spends a year at or below these valuations before recovering.

“Bitcoin Macro index is in the value zone,” Capriole Investments founder Charles Edwards said in an X post on Wednesday, adding:

“In all prior instances, price went lower into deeper value first before recovering, suggesting we may have more rough times ahead first.”

Bitcoin Macro Index. Source: Capriole Investments

As Cointelegraph reported, traders warn of a second bear flag breakdown that could clear the path for another sell-off below $50,000.