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Trump’s Bitcoin bet? Cramer hints at $60k strategic reserve

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Trump’s Bitcoin bet? Cramer hints at $60k strategic reserve

Market commentator Jim Cramer claimed on CNBC that the Trump administration plans to purchase Bitcoin for a proposed U.S. Strategic Reserve amid ongoing market volatility.

Summary

  • Cramer claimed the Trump administration may buy Bitcoin for a proposed U.S. Strategic Reserve, reportedly targeting a $60,000 entry price amid recent market volatility.
  • The U.S. government currently holds 328,372 BTC (over $23 billion), with executive orders specifying that reserves come from asset forfeitures and cannot be sold; Treasury officials say public funds cannot be used to buy crypto.
  • Interest in a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve is rising, with Polymarket placing the probability of establishment before 2027 at 31%, while BTC trades around $71,133, up 3% over the past 24 hours.

“I heard at $60,000 the President is gonna fill the Bitcoin Reserve,” Cramer said on Friday’s Squawk on the Street segment.

The remark coincided with a sharp Bitcoin sell-off earlier in the week, which saw BTC briefly approach $60,000 before rebounding above $70,000. If the purchase occurs at the cited price, Bitcoin would need to decline more than 15% for the administration to execute it.

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What the data shows

According to Arkham data, the U.S. government currently holds 328,372 BTC, valued at over $23 billion, with no recent changes in holdings. An executive order from March 2025 specifies that BTC for the reserve would come from criminal and civil asset forfeitures, and deposits cannot be sold.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has stressed that the federal government has no legal authority to bail out Bitcoin or compel banks to purchase it, reinforcing that public funds cannot be used to acquire cryptocurrency assets.

Despite these legal constraints, interest in a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve appears to be growing. Polymarket data shows the probability of such a reserve being officially established before 2027 has risen to 31%, up from 23% in early January.

At the time of reporting, Bitcoin was trading at $71,133.74, up roughly 3% over 24 hours, reflecting ongoing market volatility and investor attention on potential government involvement.

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Crypto World

Bitcoin, Ethereum, Crypto News & Price Indexes

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Bitcoin, Ethereum, Crypto News & Price Indexes

Jump Trading, a Chicago-based quantitative trading company, is reportedly set to acquire minority stakes in prediction market platforms Polymarket and Kalshi, underscoring growing institutional interest in the rapidly expanding sector.

The equity stakes would be obtained in exchange for providing trading liquidity on both platforms, Bloomberg reported Monday, citing people familiar with the discussions.

While the report did not disclose specific ownership percentages, Bloomberg said Jump’s stake in Polymarket would scale based on the liquidity the company ultimately provides.

Founded more than two decades ago, Jump Trading has long been a major player in proprietary financial trading and has expanded aggressively into digital assets. It has been active as both a market maker and venture investor in crypto, backing blockchain infrastructure projects and exchanges through its affiliated investment arms.

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Polymarket and Kalshi are the two largest prediction market platforms, each commanding multibillion-dollar valuations following recent funding rounds.

As previously reported by Cointelegraph, Polymarket raised $2 billion from NYSE parent Intercontinental Exchange, valuing the company at $9 billion. In early December, Kalshi secured $1 billion in funding at an $11 billion valuation.

While both platforms allow users to trade on the outcomes of real-world events, they operate under different models. Polymarket is a decentralized platform built on the Polygon blockchain that enables onchain settlement of prediction contracts, whereas Kalshi operates as a centralized, federally regulated exchange in the United States.

Polymarket’s monthly volume has surged at the start of 2026. Source: Dune

Related: Trump Jr. joins Polymarket board as prediction market eyes US comeback

Prediction markets gain traction, but still face regulatory hurdles

Prediction markets gained mainstream attention after Polymarket’s event contracts accurately forecast the outcome of the 2024 US presidential election, highlighting the sector’s potential as a real-time information and risk-pricing tool. Industry analysts now estimate that prediction markets may generate trillions of dollars in annual trading volume by the end of the decade.

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Eilers & Krejcik Gaming, a research and consulting company specializing in the global gambling and gaming industry, has identified sports-related contracts as a major driver of that growth. Speaking to CNBC in December, Eilers & Krejcik partner emeritus Chris Grove said sports betting could account for nearly half of the sector’s projected expansion.

Despite Polymarket’s early lead, Kalshi had largely caught up, with trading volumes at similar levels as of October. Source: Messari

Despite the growth potential, Grove cautioned that legal and regulatory challenges could slow adoption. 

Kalshi, which operates as a federally regulated prediction market, has received approval from the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission to run as a Designated Contract Market. However, the platform is facing pushback at the state level. Regulators in Nevada, Maryland, New Jersey and Ohio have challenged Kalshi’s offerings, triggering ongoing litigation and cease-and-desist actions.

Related: Polymarket wins regulatory approval to operate US trading platform