Ripple’s XRP broke the weekend silence with a massive double-digit surge to over $1.65.

Unlike the weekend at the start of the month, in which the cryptocurrency market was hit hard, and multiple assets suffered massive losses, the past 24 hours have benefited almost all digital assets.

Ripple’s cross-border token has emerged as one of the top gainers, having surged by 16% daily to its highest price levels since February 1 at over $1.65.

CryptoWZRD weighed in on XRP’s performance during the weekend, indicating that both charts, against the USD and BTC, closed bullish. The analyst added that “further upside from XRPBTC is very likely.”

Cobb, one of the most vocal XRP bulls on X who made some bold price predictions yesterday with double-digit targets, noted that the cross-border asset might have started to decouple from other larger-cap cryptocurrencies.

This claim has merit at least in the past day. Aside from DOGE, which has soared by over 20% since Saturday, XRP is the only other double-digit gainer from the top 20 alts.

ERGAG CRYPTO indicated that the current two-week candle, which is set to close later today, is “shaping into either a Hammer or a Dragonfly Doji.” The analyst explained that both options are classic reversal candles that appear after a severe downtrend.

XRP has indeed been in a downtrend for the past month and a half. The asset peaked at $2.40 on January 6 but was quickly halted there and pushed south to just over $1.10 on February 6. Nevertheless, it responded well to this calamity and now trades at $1.65, representing a near 50% surge from the local lows.

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Consequently, ERGAG CRYPTO advised their followers to ignore the noise and focus on XRP’s structure, which “remains a bullish setup, until the market proves otherwise.”

#XRP – Descending Broadening Wedge (Update):

On the 2-week timeframe, the current candle (closing in ~16 hours) is shaping into either a Hammer ⚒️ or a Dragonfly 🐉Doji.

👉Both are classic reversal candles when they appear after a downtrend.

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Add to that:
▫️ The Descending… https://t.co/zGhHHznrUo pic.twitter.com/JWXVOddqiy

— EGRAG CRYPTO (@egragcrypto) February 15, 2026

TLDR:

• Altcoin markets have experienced two identical 120-day downtrends since January 2024 during peak optimism phases. 
• Total3 market cap shows rally-distribution-bleed-reset pattern rather than continuous upward bull cycle movement. 
• Price has returned to major support zone while RSI sits at depressed levels after months of declining momentum. 
• Historical pattern suggests capitulation windows occur when 120-day cycles repeat within same market structure.

Altcoin markets have consistently followed a 120-day downtrend pattern over the past two years, according to recent market analysis.

The cycle appears during periods of peak optimism and extends into full four-month corrections. Traders holding positions in recent drawdowns may find relief in understanding this recurring timeframe. The pattern suggests markets move in predictable blocks rather than continuous upward momentum.

Recurring Downtrend Structure in Altcoin Markets

Total3 market capitalization data reveals a consistent rhythm since January 2024. Markets experience sharp rallies followed by extended distribution phases.

The first quarter of 2024 saw altcoins surge before entering a 120-day decline. During these periods, bounces get sold, and sentiment turns negative.

Later cycles showed identical behavior. A fourth-quarter rally materialized before another 120-day correction pushed into early 2026. The duration matched previous patterns almost exactly. This repetition indicates structure rather than random volatility.

Market observers from Our Crypto Talk noted how most participants only recognize the rally phases. Successful traders track the reset periods with equal attention.

The current environment sits within another reset zone. These blocks follow a sequence: rally, distribution, slow decline, reset, then another rally.

Understanding this rhythm changes how traders approach positioning. Markets don’t move in straight lines during bull cycles.

Instead, they advance through predictable consolidation periods. Recognition of these phases helps separate short-term noise from longer-term trend development.

Technical Setup Points to Potential Base Formation

Current price action has returned to a major support band that previously acted as a floor. The market has repeatedly reacted around this zone in past cycles.

This area represents significant accumulation levels from earlier timeframes. Price behavior near established support often signals exhaustion of selling pressure.

Momentum indicators show complementary signals. RSI has trended downward for months and now sits at depressed levels.

While no single indicator guarantees reversals, compressed momentum after timed downtrends typically precedes shifts. Selling pressure appears to be reaching exhaustion points.

The convergence of time-based cycles and technical levels creates noteworthy conditions. When 120-day downtrends appear twice within the same cycle, they often mark capitulation windows.

Weak positions exit while value-focused buyers begin accumulating. This phase doesn’t guarantee immediate upside but shifts probability distributions.

Market structure suggests a transition from random downside to base building. Bitcoin’s stability could catalyze altcoin bid activity in coming weeks.

The panic phase appears complete based on historical cycle comparison. Patience becomes valuable during these periods as markets digest previous excesses and establish foundations for subsequent moves.

DOGE and other meme coins are some of the most impressive gainers during the weekend.

Although most cryptocurrencies have charted notable gains over the past 36 hours or so, Dogecoin is among the top performers, having surged by double digits to over $0.11.

Perhaps the most evident reason behind this rally could be, once again, Elon Musk. This time, though, he hasn’t made a specific DOGE-focused statement as in the past, but rather a broader promise for the entire crypto industry.

In a recent video, the owner of X said the social media platform will allow users to trade stocks and digital assets directly from their timelines. They will be able to interact with ticker symbols in posts and complete trades within the app.

The beta platform is expected to launch within a month or two from X Money, the company’s in-house payments system. Nikita Bier, the firm’s head of product, explained that the goal is to turn the social media behemoth into an “everything app” that allows users to invest, send money, post, and message others.

Given Musk’s history with Dogecoin, it’s no wonder that the OG meme coin has gone on a tear ever since the announcement went live. The asset has consistently risen for the past few days, going from $0.095 to a two-week peak of over $0.115.

It’s worth noting, though, that the billionaire has been quite silent on the Dogecoin endorsement front in the past year or so after some controversial claims that led to lawsuits against him.

Other meme coins have also benefited from the recent market resurgance. PEPE has skyrocketed by 30% daily, while PIPPIN has solidified its spot in the top 100 alts after another 16% surge. Moreover, the asset has rocketed by 270% in the past week.

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TLDR:

• Solana Company introduces first tri-party custody model allowing borrowing against natively staked SOL tokens. 
• Anchorage Digital’s Atlas system provides automated collateral management while assets remain in custody. 
• Institutions earn 7% staking yields on SOL while accessing on-chain liquidity through Kamino’s platform. 
• The scalable model serves as blueprint for future treasury companies and institutional DeFi participation.

Solana Company (NASDAQ: HSDT) announced a partnership with Anchorage Digital and Kamino on February 13, 2026.

The collaboration introduces the first digital asset treasury enabling borrowing against natively staked SOL in qualified custody.

The tri-party custody model allows institutional investors to earn staking rewards while accessing on-chain liquidity. This structure maintains custody, compliance, and operational control for institutional participants.

Tri-Party Custody Model Connects Institutional Capital to DeFi

The partnership brings institutional capital to Solana’s decentralized finance ecosystem through a novel custody arrangement.

Anchorage Digital serves as the collateral manager for natively-staked SOL held in segregated accounts. Institutions can earn staking rewards while simultaneously unlocking borrowing power through Kamino’s lending platform. All assets remain under qualified custody at Anchorage Digital Bank throughout the borrowing process.

Nathan McCauley, CEO and Co-Founder of Anchorage Digital, addressed the institutional demand for this infrastructure. “Institutions want access to the most efficient sources of on-chain liquidity, but they aren’t willing to compromise on custody, compliance, or operational control,” McCauley stated.

He noted that Atlas collateral management allows institutions to keep natively staked SOL with a qualified custodian while using it productively.

This approach brings institutional-grade risk management to Solana’s lending markets, according to the executive.

Anchorage Digital’s Atlas system provides automated oversight of loan-to-value ratios around the clock. The platform orchestrates margin and collateral movements based on predefined rules.

When necessary, the system executes liquidations to protect lenders and borrowers. These features give institutions familiar risk and compliance controls while enabling direct market participation.

Cheryl Chan, Head of Strategy at Kamino, commented on the partnership’s potential. “This collaboration unlocks meaningful institutional demand to borrow against assets held in qualified custody,” Chan explained.

By partnering with Anchorage Digital, Kamino enables institutions to access on-chain liquidity and yield on Solana. The arrangement allows institutions to custody assets within their existing regulated framework.

This removes a barrier that previously limited institutional participation in decentralized lending markets.

Blueprint for Future Treasury Operations and Network Growth

Cosmo Jiang, General Partner at Pantera Capital Management and Board Member at Solana Company, provided his perspective on the structure. “This structure demonstrates how institutional-grade infrastructure can unlock deeper participation on Solana,” Jiang said.

He described it as a strong example of how regulated custody and on-chain borrowing can work together. Jiang believes this scalable model is the blueprint other treasury companies will follow and institutional investors will demand.

The collaboration extends beyond the initial deployment. Other investors, venture firms, and protocols can replicate the structure.

This repeatability positions the model as a standard for institutional participation in protocol borrowing. The framework accommodates various collateral types, from standard digital assets to reward-bearing positions.

Solana has recorded strong network metrics across multiple dimensions. The blockchain processes more than 3,500 transactions per second. Daily active wallets average around 3.7 million users.

The network has surpassed 23 billion transactions year-to-date. SOL offers a native staking yield of approximately 7 percent.

Solana Company operates as an independent treasury company focused on supporting tokenized networks. The firm serves as a long-term holder of SOL tokens.

HSDT continues developing its neurotech and medical device operations alongside its digital asset treasury activities. The company’s mission centers on supporting the growth and security of blockchain networks.

Key Takeaways

• CryptoQuant data suggests the “ultimate” bear market bottom is near $55,000 based on realized price models.
• Bitcoin recently saw $5.4 billion in realized losses on Feb. 5, the highest since March 2023.
• Key valuation metrics like MVRV and NUPL have not yet reached historical capitulation zones.

TLDR:

• Institutional buyers accumulate positions quietly before breakouts occur, absorbing supply inside bases 
• Volume reduction before breakouts signals stored energy rather than weakness in underlying price trends 
• Momentum funds and retail traders enter after performance becomes visible, creating delayed volume spikes 
• Breakout timing context matters more than immediate volume confirmation for predicting trend sustainability

Low volume breakouts often face skepticism from traders who follow conventional technical analysis rules. The standard teaching suggests strong volume must accompany price breakouts for validation.

However, market history reveals a different pattern where volume frequently arrives after the breakout occurs. Technical analyst Aksel Kibar recently examined this phenomenon, noting that markets often move quietly before attracting broader participation.

This observation challenges widely accepted assumptions about volume requirements during breakout formations.

Institutional Accumulation Precedes Public Recognition

Market structure explains why breakouts occur without immediate volume expansion. Institutional investors typically build positions within consolidation ranges before prices break higher.

These buyers accumulate shares gradually when public interest remains low. Supply gets absorbed during this quiet phase, creating conditions for easier price movement.

Technical research supports the concept of volume reduction before breakouts. This pattern reflects stored energy rather than weakness in the underlying trend.

Price can advance with minimal participation because resistance has already been removed. The breakout itself represents recognition of a shift rather than the beginning of participation.

Early positioning by informed buyers means fewer shares remain available when prices break out. The lack of sellers allows price to move higher without requiring heavy volume.

This dynamic contradicts the traditional view that volume must confirm every breakout immediately. Markets can transition from accumulation to markup phase with relatively light trading activity.

The concept of “volume dry-up” before breakouts appears frequently in technical literature. Reduced trading activity can signal preparation for a move rather than disinterest.

When supply has been absorbed and sellers have exited, prices move freely on modest volume. This phase often precedes substantial trends that develop over subsequent weeks or months.

Market Stages Reveal Delayed Volume Patterns

Technical analyst Aksel Kibar noted on social media that breakout performance should consider context beyond the initial moment.

His analysis identifies three distinct stages in market behavior following consolidation patterns. The initial breakout stage often shows limited participation from retail traders and momentum investors.

Performance becomes visible as the trend develops and price gains become measurable. Momentum-focused funds enter positions after trends establish themselves through consistent price action.

Retail participation follows as media coverage expands and investment narratives gain traction. This sequence explains why volume peaks occur after breakouts rather than during them.

Studies examining breakout patterns reveal that timing matters more than immediate volume confirmation. Some quiet breakouts evolve into sustained trends while high-volume breakouts occasionally mark exhaustion points. The relationship between volume and price depends on market phase and participant behavior.

Recognition that volume confirms participation rather than initiating moves changes how traders evaluate breakouts. Markets demonstrate strength through sustained price advancement regardless of initial volume levels.

Historical patterns show that whisper-quiet beginnings can precede powerful trends. The sequence of accumulation, breakout, and expansion follows a logical progression that volume data reflects over time.

TLDR:

• Each resistance test removes sell liquidity, gradually weakening the barrier rather than strengthening it. 
• Short positions accumulate above tested resistance, creating stop-loss clusters that fuel explosive breakouts. 
• Horizontal resistance levels with three or more touches demonstrate institutional recognition and setup quality. 
• Repeated price returns to resistance signal market acceptance and persistent demand, not rejection behavior.

Breakout probability increases with multiple tests at resistance levels, contrary to traditional technical analysis teachings.

Technical analyst Aksel Kibar challenges conventional market wisdom in a detailed explanation of modern market dynamics. The analysis focuses on liquidity pools, order flow, and auction theory.

Classical teachings suggest resistance strengthens with repeated failures. However, market behavior demonstrates the opposite trend through systematic liquidity depletion. Each test removes available sell orders and transfers inventory from sellers to buyers.

Liquidity Depletion Weakens Resistance Over Time

Resistance levels function as liquidity pools rather than solid barriers. Modern markets reveal these zones contain clusters of limit orders and resting sell liquidity.

Each price movement into resistance consumes available sell orders through transactions. This process gradually removes supply from the level.

The technical analyst compares resistance to ice being chipped away with each touch. Every test fills sell orders and reduces available supply at that price point.

Eventually, insufficient sellers remain to maintain the resistance level. This creates conditions favorable for eventual breakouts.

Buyers consistently absorb demand at these levels through repeated transactions. The inventory transfers from sellers to buyers during each test. This systematic reduction in available supply makes future breakouts structurally easier to achieve.

Short Positions Create Breakout Fuel Above Resistance

Market participants tend to initiate new short positions after repeated failures at resistance. Confidence in the level grows with each rejection, leading to tighter stop-loss clustering above. This accumulation of stops creates latent energy that fuels eventual breakouts.

When resistance finally breaks, short sellers must cover their positions simultaneously. Breakout traders and momentum participants enter the market at the same time. This combination creates a liquidity vacuum that accelerates price movement upward.

Aksel Kibar notes on his platform that strong breakouts frequently occur after multiple failed attempts. The concentration of stop-loss orders above well-tested levels amplifies the breakout move. This pattern explains why persistent testing often leads to decisive directional moves.

Horizontal Boundaries Signal Institutional Recognition

Horizontal levels carry particular significance in technical analysis, according to the analyst. These boundaries indicate institutional recognition and shared market memory across time periods. Multiple touches increase participant awareness and order clustering around these levels.

The analyst emphasizes mature chart patterns with a minimum of three touch points to pattern boundaries. This selection criterion improves signal quality and setup probability in trading decisions. Horizontal patterns from global exchanges demonstrate this principle consistently.

Markets operate as auction systems where repeated price returns signal ongoing negotiation. Persistence at specific levels indicates acceptance behavior rather than rejection.

Strong markets build bases through consolidation near resistance before continuation moves. This base-building process incorporates multiple tests as part of the natural market structure.

Two US senators are pressing the Treasury Department to investigate a reported foreign investment in a crypto venture tied to the Trump family, raising concerns about national security, foreign influence and access to sensitive financial data.

In a Friday letter to Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren and New Jersey Senator Andy Kim asked the government to determine whether the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIUS) should investigate a deal in which a UAE–backed investment vehicle agreed to purchase a 49% stake in World Liberty Financial (WLFI) for roughly $500 million.

The lawmakers wrote that the transaction reportedly occurred days before Donald Trump’s inauguration and would make the foreign fund the firm’s largest shareholder and its only publicly known outside investor. They asked Bessent, who chairs CFIUS, to confirm whether the committee was notified and, if necessary, conduct a “comprehensive, thorough, and unbiased investigation.”

The investment was reportedly backed by Sheikh Tahnoon bin Zayed Al Nahyan, the UAE’s national security adviser. The agreement allegedly directed about $187 million to entities linked to the Trump family and granted two board seats to executives connected to G42, a technology company previously scrutinized by US intelligence agencies over concerns about ties to China, per the letter.

Related: Trump Media files for two new crypto ETFs tied to Bitcoin, Ether, Cronos

UAE stake could expose Americans’ financial and personal data

Warren and Kim argued that the structure of the deal could allow a foreign government to gain influence over a US company handling financial and personal information. They noted that the firm’s privacy disclosures indicate it collects data including wallet addresses, IP addresses, device identifiers and approximate location data, along with certain identity records through service providers.

CFIUS is tasked with reviewing foreign investments that could provide access to sensitive technologies or personal data belonging to US citizens. The lawmakers requested answers by March 5.

Last year, Senators Warren and Jack Reed also called on US authorities to investigate alleged links between World Liberty Financial’s token sales and sanctioned foreign actors. In a Nov. letter to the Justice Department and Treasury, they cited claims that WLFI governance tokens were bought by blockchain addresses tied to North Korea’s Lazarus Group, as well as Russian- and Iranian-linked entities.

Related: Trump family’s WLFI plans FX and remittance platform: Report

Trump says sons handle WLFI investment

Earlier this month, US President Donald Trump said he was unaware of the reported multimillion-dollar investment tied to an Abu Dhabi royal and entities connected to the World Liberty Financial crypto platform.