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VC in Latin America must throw out Silicon Valley’s playbook

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Thiago Rüdiger

Disclosure: The views and opinions expressed here belong solely to the author and do not represent the views and opinions of crypto.news’ editorial.

The formulas that work well for venture capitalists investing in the United States — the blitzscaling mindset, the obsession with user growth over revenue, the eagerness to fund abstract infrastructure bets — simply don’t map onto Latin America, a region defined by macro instability and a consumer base that uses crypto out of necessity rather than ideology.

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Summary

  • Latin America isn’t Silicon Valley on a delay: Crypto adoption is driven by necessity — inflation, capital controls, remittances — not ideology or yield, so growth-at-all-costs models break fast.
  • Revenue, liquidity, and licenses beat hype: Winning startups control local rails, banking relationships, and regulatory access; community buzz and abstract network effects don’t survive real-world stress.
  • Scaling looks like logistics, not SaaS: Each new country is a new financial system, with political and macro risk baked in — VCs who don’t reprice that reality will keep misfiring.

The Silicon Valley playbook assumes two things: that capital is abundant, and that markets are homogenous. In Latin America, neither is true. Liquidity is thinner, operating costs are higher, and each major market has its own idiosyncratic rules, banks, tax environments, and political risks. VCs entering the region must unlearn the idea that a “regional rollout” is just a matter of translating the app and hiring a local general manager. Crypto companies here scale more like logistics companies than software startups.

If VCs from the United States want to fund projects in Latin America’s crypto scene, they must write a completely new investing thesis. That means funding revenue-first businesses, valuing regulatory licensing more than “community,” prioritizing teams who understand local corridors, and letting go of the idea that what works in San Francisco will work in São Paulo. Latin America’s crypto market is not a derivative of the U.S. market; it is its own ecosystem with its own constraints and opportunities. Investors who recognize that early will dominate the next decade.

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Latin America’s unique characteristics

The biggest mistake venture capitalists make when investing in Latin America is assuming the region is merely an earlier stage of the same market dynamics they understand in the United States. That assumption quietly shapes everything, from how they evaluate products to how they price risk… and it is wrong. 

In the United States, crypto adoption is often fueled by ideology, experimentation, and yield-chasing. Failure is tolerated. Switching costs are low. In Latin America, crypto adoption is more utilitarian than aspirational. People use blockchain technology to protect savings from inflation, access dollars, move money across borders, or navigate capital controls. These users are not early adopters in the typical Silicon Valley sense; they are economically constrained actors solving immediate problems.

This distinction matters because it breaks the growth-at-all-costs mindset. Latin American crypto users are pragmatic and price-sensitive. If a product is slow, expensive, unreliable, or confusing, it is abandoned immediately. There is no patience for onboarding funnels or roadmap promises. Products must work from day one, under stress, at a reasonable scale. So applying Valley-style growth models (subsidizing usage and deferring monetization) is a mistake.

The error compounds when investors treat Latin America as a downstream extension of U.S. crypto trends. Too many funds approach the region looking to localize whatever is hot in San Francisco: the next DeFi primitive, the next infrastructure layer, the next community-first protocol. 

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But Latin America is not waiting for imported innovation. It is already pioneering real-world crypto use cases under conditions far harsher than those faced by developed markets. In that sense, Latin America is a leading indicator, not a lagging one. Many of the problems crypto claims it will solve in the future are already present in the region today. 

Trust dynamics reinforce this divergence. In Silicon Valley’s online-native culture, Crypto Twitter still matters enormously. As does Discord. In Latin America, trust is built offline, through institutions, brands, customer support, regulatory standing, and physical presence. Users care less about slick community strategies and more about whether a product works during a currency crisis or a banking disruption.

The art of investing

The Silicon Valley model assumes abundant capital and forgiving markets; assumptions that simply do not hold in Latin America. That’s why revenue matters much earlier for startups in the region. Liquidity is thinner, fundraising cycles are longer, and macro shocks are frequent. A startup that fails to generate revenue early is very exposed. 

Scaling further exposes the limits of software-first thinking. In the United States, expanding regionally is largely a question of marketing spend and infrastructure. In Latin America, each new country is a new financial system. It involves new banks, new payment rails, new tax regimes, new FX controls, new regulators, and new political risks. Expanding jurisdictionally is like building a logistics corridor. Investors who expect SaaS-style expansion curves systematically misjudge timelines and execution risk.

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Liquidity is another axis where the Silicon Valley model fails. VCs tend to prioritize abstract network effects, assuming global scale will naturally translate into defensibility. In the Latin American crypto scene, the real bottleneck is liquidity fragmentation. Winning companies control local fiat on- and off-ramps and maintain strong banking relationships. Local liquidity, not global narratives, determines success.

Regulation completes the picture

U.S. crypto investors often celebrate regulatory gray zones as opportunities to move fast. In Latin America, regulatory arbitrage is not a viable long-term strategy. Regulation is fragmented, but unavoidable. Banking relationships, licenses, and compliance frameworks are competitive moats. Companies that “move fast and break things” often destroy their ability to operate at all. Investors who fail to value regulatory depth consistently underestimate what durability looks like in this market.

Finally, risk itself must be reframed. Silicon Valley underwriting models focus heavily on product-market fit and technical execution. In Latin America, risk is just as macro and political. Elections can trigger capital controls overnight. Banking partners can disappear. Regulatory frameworks can shift abruptly. Investors need to adapt their risk models to avoid mispricing outcomes. 

Investing in Latin America isn’t necessarily harder; it’s just different. Crypto adoption here is real, demand-driven, and already embedded in daily economic life in many places. Investors who insist on applying Silicon Valley’s playbook will continue to misunderstand the market. Those who shift their mindset will end up backing the companies with the right DNA.

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Thiago Rüdiger

Thiago Rüdiger

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Thiago Rüdiger is the CEO of the Tanssi Foundation, where he oversees ecosystem growth and decentralization for Tanssi’s modular blockchain infrastructure.

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UNI Crypto Prediction: CEX Resurfaced as Crypto Recovers

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UNI crypto is having a healthy 4.5% gain. However, with CEX sector clawing back relevance in a recovering market, UNI is under pressure.

Uniswap’s governance token is holding on and looking good. UNI crypto is now priced at $3.50, with a healthy 4.5% intraday gain. However, the real story is structural, with centralized exchanges clawing back relevance in a recovering market, and UNI sits at a critical technical junction that will define its next $1 move in either direction.

The CEX versus DEX debate has sharpened considerably in early 2026. Kraken’s anticipated IPO is positioning the exchange as the compliance gold standard, while Coinbase continues to dominate retail onboarding. Uniswap v4, meanwhile, is competing as a programmable liquidity layer rather than a simple swap venue, a pivot that changes its valuation calculus entirely.

The question now is whether crypto’s recovery provides a second attempt or whether UNI fades further.

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Can UNI Crypto Price Reclaim $4 Before April?

UNI is consolidating inside a $3.10–$3.95 range, with moving averages stacked in mild bearish alignment. The 7-day SMA sits at $3.71, the 20-day at $3.83, and the 50-day at $3.68, all above the current price.

An analyst, Tony Kim, set a slightly more aggressive target earlier this month: “Potential move toward $4.22 resistance if current support levels hold through March.”

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UNI crypto is having a healthy 4.5% gain. However, with CEX sector clawing back relevance in a recovering market, UNI is under pressure.
UNI USD, TradingView

In a bull scenario, daily volume breaks above $5.2M, RSI pushes past 53, and UNI reclaims the $3.7 50-day SMA, opening a run toward $4.15.

However, the bear can argue that there could be an invalidation. A close below $3.3 flips short-term structure negative, potentially dragging price toward the $3.25 weekly low f

Discover: The best pre-launch token sales

LiquidChain Targets Early-Mover Upside as Uniswap Tests Key Levels

UNI at $3.50 offers a known asset at compressed valuation, but with the 200-day SMA at $5.85 as a realistic ceiling, the upside math is bounded. Early-stage infrastructure presales offer a different risk profile entirely.

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LiquidChain is positioning itself as a Layer 3 cross-chain liquidity layer, fusing Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana liquidity into a single execution environment, a direct infrastructure play on the fragmentation problem that makes multi-chain trading expensive and slow.

The project’s Unified Liquidity Layer and Deploy-Once Architecture mean developers write once and access all three ecosystems simultaneously, reducing the bridging friction that has historically hemorrhaged value from DEX traders.

The presale is currently priced at $0.0144, with more than $600K raised to date. Liquid also offers a huge 1700% APY as staking rewards, and launched with a Certik audited contract.

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Research LiquidChain here.

This article is not financial advice. Crypto assets are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research before investing.

The post UNI Crypto Prediction: CEX Resurfaced as Crypto Recovers appeared first on Cryptonews.

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Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) Stock: Aletheia Capital Projects 63% Rally on AI Infrastructure Boom

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AMD Stock Card

Key Highlights

  • Aletheia Capital maintains Buy recommendation on AMD with $330 price objective
  • Server CPU revenues expected to expand at 45% CAGR through 2028
  • Data center business projected to surge from $17B in 2025 to $77B by 2028
  • Company has evolved into comprehensive AI compute solutions provider
  • CEO Lisa Su joins Trump administration’s science and technology advisory council

Advanced Micro Devices ($AMD) continues to attract bullish sentiment from Wall Street analysts, with Aletheia Capital maintaining its Buy recommendation and establishing a $330 price objective for the chipmaker. Trading at $201.99, the stock presents substantial appreciation potential based on the firm’s analysis.


AMD Stock Card
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc., AMD

The investment case from Aletheia focuses heavily on AMD’s positioning within the emerging agentic AI landscape. The research firm contends that central processing units — rather than solely graphics processing units — represent the optimal semiconductor architecture for agent-based computational tasks, positioning AMD favorably to capitalize on this shift.

Aletheia’s financial projections anticipate AMD’s server CPU business will achieve a remarkable 45% compound annual growth rate spanning 2025 through 2028. This aggressive expansion forecast forms the foundation of the firm’s optimistic outlook.

Regarding data center operations, the analyst firm forecasts revenue climbing from $17 billion in 2025 to $58 billion by 2027, ultimately reaching $77 billion in 2028. This trajectory represents approximately 4.5-fold growth over a three-year period.

Aletheia employed a sum-of-the-parts methodology to derive its $330 valuation. For comparison, InvestingPro’s Fair Value analysis places AMD at $225.24, which still exceeds current trading levels.

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The company delivered 34% revenue growth over the trailing twelve months. This performance validates the thesis that AMD is capturing increased market share within the AI computing sector.

Aletheia’s perspective on AMD has broadened beyond viewing the company as merely an alternative GPU supplier. The firm now characterizes AMD as a “comprehensive AI compute provider” — terminology that underscores the company’s strategic transformation.

However, the firm acknowledged several risk factors including end market demand volatility, execution challenges, and geopolitical uncertainties. These considerations carry significant weight given current macroeconomic conditions.

Wall Street Consensus Strengthens

Wolfe Research similarly maintains an Outperform stance on AMD with a $300 price objective. The firm emphasized AMD’s conviction in its AI accelerator development timeline and sustained server market traction.

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Seaport analyst Jonathan Golub observed that semiconductor sector valuations, including AMD’s multiple, have contracted since July. He interprets this compression as creating attractive entry opportunities.

Corporate Updates and Strategic Moves

AMD and Celestica unveiled the Helios rack-scale AI platform designed for data center infrastructure applications. This collaboration capitalizes on Celestica’s engineering and production expertise.

The company also finalized a multi-year licensing arrangement with Adeia Inc. This agreement provides AMD access to Adeia’s semiconductor intellectual property library while settling all pending legal disputes between the parties.

CEO Lisa Su secured an appointment to President Trump’s Council of Advisors on Science and Technology. This role positions her among influential leaders guiding U.S. technology and scientific policy direction.

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AMD communicated concerns regarding its client computing and gaming divisions due to escalating memory component costs. These segments have demonstrated weaker performance relative to the robust data center business.

InvestingPro designates AMD as a “prominent player in the Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment industry.” The stock declined 0.87% during the trading session at time of publication.

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Oil Price Prediction: Trading Oil With Crypto? Is It Time to Long Oil?

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Oil just posted its biggest monthly price gain, and traders are watching both the oil and crypto positions before making any prediction.

Brent crude oil just posted its biggest monthly price gain on record, 51% since the opening day of the month, and crypto traders are watching both the oil chart and their crypto positions simultaneously before making any prediction.

Bitcoin rebounded 2% intraday to $67,000 even as oil shockwaves rattled equities, raising a question active traders are increasingly asking: is the real opportunity in oil, crypto, or something built on top of both narratives? The answer depends heavily on what happens in the Strait of Hormuz over the next 72 hours.

Brent closed Friday at $112.57 per barrel, up from $72.48 on February 27, the day before the US-Israeli strike on Iran, and briefly tagged $119.50 intraday, its highest since June 2022. BloombergNEF estimates 9 million barrels per day have been knocked offline by the conflict, with Iran all but closing the Strait of Hormuz, through which roughly one-fifth of global oil and gas normally flows.

A coordinated 400-million-barrel emergency reserve release on March 11 barely dented the rally. Trump’s 10-day ultimatum to Iran to reopen the strait was met by a rising oil price and falling stock markets, not exactly the negotiating leverage the White House projected.

Total crypto market capitalization has reached $2.4 trillion despite the macro turbulence, suggesting digital assets are absorbing the geopolitical shock. The macro correlation between Treasury yields, risk assets, and crypto is tightening, and oil is now the single most consequential variable in that equation.

Discover: The best crypto to diversify your portfolio with

Oil Price Prediction: Will Oil Blast Pass $200?

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WTI crude surged above $110 per barrel on March 9 and has held elevated since, with 10-year futures still pricing around $57 per barrel, a signal that markets expect eventual normalization but have no timeline for it.

Oil just posted its biggest monthly price gain, and traders are watching both the oil and crypto positions before making any prediction.
Brent Crude Oil, TradingView

Bitcoin is currently trading in a defined $62,000–$73,000 channel. Resistance sits at $73,000, tested and rejected recently; support is intact at $62,000. The brief touch of $74,000 before the pullback signals buyers are present at highs, but conviction is thin.

Rising import prices, up 1.3% in February, combined with oil above $110, are the inputs feeding that rate-hike probability. Watch Tuesday’s API Crude Oil Stocks and ADP Employment data as the next directional catalysts.

Once the Strait of Hormuz opens for business, oil will likely start to normalize. Is this the time to long oil? The answer lies more in geopolitics right now, not much in chart structure.

Discover: The best pre-launch token sales

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Bitcoin Hyper is Targeting A movement Similar to Oil

BTC at $67,000 inside a known range is a respectable position, but at this market cap, the asymmetric upside that early crypto cycles delivered is structurally compressed.

The Iran deadline extension is already weighing on risk assets, and spot BTC traders are essentially betting on a macro resolution they cannot control. For traders hunting for leverage on the Bitcoin ecosystem without the channel ceiling, the infrastructure layer is where some rotation is happening.

Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) is positioning as the first Bitcoin Layer 2 with Solana Virtual Machine (SVM) integration, combining Bitcoin’s security model with sub-Solana-speed execution and low-cost smart contracts.

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The presale has raised $32 million at a current price of just $0.0136, with 36% staking rewards live for early participants. The core pitch: Bitcoin’s programmability problem (slow transactions, high fees, no native smart contracts) gets a direct fix, while the security layer stays intact.

Research Bitcoin Hyper before the presale window closes.

This article is not financial advice. Crypto assets are highly volatile. Do your own research before investing.

The post Oil Price Prediction: Trading Oil With Crypto? Is It Time to Long Oil? appeared first on Cryptonews.

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Here’s Why Bitcoin Analysts Say BTC Price Will Bottom at $40K

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Here’s Why Bitcoin Analysts Say BTC Price Will Bottom at $40K

Bitcoin (BTC) buyers made a tepid comeback on Monday, pushing BTC price to its intraday high of $67,860. Analysts said that Bitcoin remains in a bear market, with several metrics pointing to a potential bottom below $50,000.

Key takeaways:

  • Bitcoin price turns $70,000 into resistance, clearing the path for a deeper correction.

  • Bitcoin’s short-term holder realized price bands moved lower, with a potential bottom around $46,000.

  • Historical retracement levels and a bear flag breakdown point to $39,000–$41,000 as the final low for BTC price this cycle.

Bitcoin’s “path of least resistance” is downward

Data from TradingView captured ongoing BTC price gains, up 1.5% on the day to trade at $67,750, as $69,000-$70,000 became new resistance.

BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Analyzing Bitcoin’s price action on lower time frames, Telegram trading resource Technical Crypto Analyst said losing the $68,000-$69,000 support “confirms short-term bearish momentum,” adding:

“Unless price quickly reclaims $69K–$70K, the path of least resistance remains downward toward the $65K demand zone.”

Related: Worst six months since 2018? Five things to know in Bitcoin this week

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“Great bounce upwards, but nothing confirmed as of yet on Bitcoin,” MN Capital founder Michael van de Poppe said in a Monday post on X.

It “all depends on macroeconomic events; however, I’d rather see a breakout above $71K for confirmation,” he added.

“On the other hand, a classic little sweep to $65K just before the push upwards would signal that we’re going to get that momentum.”

BTC/USD four-hour chart. Source: X/Michael van de Poppe

Analyst Kyle Chassé said that with the Fear and Greed index still in the “extreme fear zone” and the order books showing more shorts than longs, the market leans “towards more downside.”

Crypto fear and greed indeed. Source: X/Kyle Chassé

Where will the Bitcoin price bottom?

Bitcoin’s 46% drawdown from its $126,000 all-time high has seen the cost basis of short-term holders (STH) — the average price of entities who have held BTC for less than 155 days — drop from $113,500 to $83,200.

“​​This is a sign that the pricing for a potential bottom has also moved lower,” said CEO and founder at Alphractal Joao Wedson in an X post on Monday.

Similarly, the lower line of the STH realized pricing bands (blue line) has also moved “even lower, which could confirm that Bitcoin may form a bottom around $50K or slightly below,” Wedson added.

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The chart below shows that Bitcoin bottomed out just below the lower band of the STH realized price during the 2022 bear market. 

Bitcoin STH realized price bands. Source: Alphractal

Analyst Willy Woo said that the bear market bottom for Bitcoin could be between its realized price, currently at $54,000, and the Cumulative Value-Days Destroyed (CVDD), now at $45,500.

“Old school onchain models suggest a BTC bottom between $46K-54K. ”

Bitcoin pricing models. Source: X/Willy Woo

The CVDD measures the cumulative value of “Coin Days Destroyed” (long-term holders selling) relative to the market’s age, creating a rising “floor” price during bear markets. 

Crypto analyst Crypto Jelle said Bitcoin’s bear market lows have historically formed between the 0.618 and the 0.786 retracement levels, which are at $57,600 and $39,000, respectively.

BTC/USD weekly chart. Source: X/Jelle

As Cointelegraph reported, the current “last stages” of the bear market are producing predictions of as low as $41,000, based on a bear flag breakdown.