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VC in Latin America must throw out Silicon Valley’s playbook

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Thiago Rüdiger

Disclosure: The views and opinions expressed here belong solely to the author and do not represent the views and opinions of crypto.news’ editorial.

The formulas that work well for venture capitalists investing in the United States — the blitzscaling mindset, the obsession with user growth over revenue, the eagerness to fund abstract infrastructure bets — simply don’t map onto Latin America, a region defined by macro instability and a consumer base that uses crypto out of necessity rather than ideology.

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Summary

  • Latin America isn’t Silicon Valley on a delay: Crypto adoption is driven by necessity — inflation, capital controls, remittances — not ideology or yield, so growth-at-all-costs models break fast.
  • Revenue, liquidity, and licenses beat hype: Winning startups control local rails, banking relationships, and regulatory access; community buzz and abstract network effects don’t survive real-world stress.
  • Scaling looks like logistics, not SaaS: Each new country is a new financial system, with political and macro risk baked in — VCs who don’t reprice that reality will keep misfiring.

The Silicon Valley playbook assumes two things: that capital is abundant, and that markets are homogenous. In Latin America, neither is true. Liquidity is thinner, operating costs are higher, and each major market has its own idiosyncratic rules, banks, tax environments, and political risks. VCs entering the region must unlearn the idea that a “regional rollout” is just a matter of translating the app and hiring a local general manager. Crypto companies here scale more like logistics companies than software startups.

If VCs from the United States want to fund projects in Latin America’s crypto scene, they must write a completely new investing thesis. That means funding revenue-first businesses, valuing regulatory licensing more than “community,” prioritizing teams who understand local corridors, and letting go of the idea that what works in San Francisco will work in São Paulo. Latin America’s crypto market is not a derivative of the U.S. market; it is its own ecosystem with its own constraints and opportunities. Investors who recognize that early will dominate the next decade.

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Latin America’s unique characteristics

The biggest mistake venture capitalists make when investing in Latin America is assuming the region is merely an earlier stage of the same market dynamics they understand in the United States. That assumption quietly shapes everything, from how they evaluate products to how they price risk… and it is wrong. 

In the United States, crypto adoption is often fueled by ideology, experimentation, and yield-chasing. Failure is tolerated. Switching costs are low. In Latin America, crypto adoption is more utilitarian than aspirational. People use blockchain technology to protect savings from inflation, access dollars, move money across borders, or navigate capital controls. These users are not early adopters in the typical Silicon Valley sense; they are economically constrained actors solving immediate problems.

This distinction matters because it breaks the growth-at-all-costs mindset. Latin American crypto users are pragmatic and price-sensitive. If a product is slow, expensive, unreliable, or confusing, it is abandoned immediately. There is no patience for onboarding funnels or roadmap promises. Products must work from day one, under stress, at a reasonable scale. So applying Valley-style growth models (subsidizing usage and deferring monetization) is a mistake.

The error compounds when investors treat Latin America as a downstream extension of U.S. crypto trends. Too many funds approach the region looking to localize whatever is hot in San Francisco: the next DeFi primitive, the next infrastructure layer, the next community-first protocol. 

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But Latin America is not waiting for imported innovation. It is already pioneering real-world crypto use cases under conditions far harsher than those faced by developed markets. In that sense, Latin America is a leading indicator, not a lagging one. Many of the problems crypto claims it will solve in the future are already present in the region today. 

Trust dynamics reinforce this divergence. In Silicon Valley’s online-native culture, Crypto Twitter still matters enormously. As does Discord. In Latin America, trust is built offline, through institutions, brands, customer support, regulatory standing, and physical presence. Users care less about slick community strategies and more about whether a product works during a currency crisis or a banking disruption.

The art of investing

The Silicon Valley model assumes abundant capital and forgiving markets; assumptions that simply do not hold in Latin America. That’s why revenue matters much earlier for startups in the region. Liquidity is thinner, fundraising cycles are longer, and macro shocks are frequent. A startup that fails to generate revenue early is very exposed. 

Scaling further exposes the limits of software-first thinking. In the United States, expanding regionally is largely a question of marketing spend and infrastructure. In Latin America, each new country is a new financial system. It involves new banks, new payment rails, new tax regimes, new FX controls, new regulators, and new political risks. Expanding jurisdictionally is like building a logistics corridor. Investors who expect SaaS-style expansion curves systematically misjudge timelines and execution risk.

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Liquidity is another axis where the Silicon Valley model fails. VCs tend to prioritize abstract network effects, assuming global scale will naturally translate into defensibility. In the Latin American crypto scene, the real bottleneck is liquidity fragmentation. Winning companies control local fiat on- and off-ramps and maintain strong banking relationships. Local liquidity, not global narratives, determines success.

Regulation completes the picture

U.S. crypto investors often celebrate regulatory gray zones as opportunities to move fast. In Latin America, regulatory arbitrage is not a viable long-term strategy. Regulation is fragmented, but unavoidable. Banking relationships, licenses, and compliance frameworks are competitive moats. Companies that “move fast and break things” often destroy their ability to operate at all. Investors who fail to value regulatory depth consistently underestimate what durability looks like in this market.

Finally, risk itself must be reframed. Silicon Valley underwriting models focus heavily on product-market fit and technical execution. In Latin America, risk is just as macro and political. Elections can trigger capital controls overnight. Banking partners can disappear. Regulatory frameworks can shift abruptly. Investors need to adapt their risk models to avoid mispricing outcomes. 

Investing in Latin America isn’t necessarily harder; it’s just different. Crypto adoption here is real, demand-driven, and already embedded in daily economic life in many places. Investors who insist on applying Silicon Valley’s playbook will continue to misunderstand the market. Those who shift their mindset will end up backing the companies with the right DNA.

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Thiago Rüdiger

Thiago Rüdiger

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Thiago Rüdiger is the CEO of the Tanssi Foundation, where he oversees ecosystem growth and decentralization for Tanssi’s modular blockchain infrastructure.

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Crypto World

Ansem Says Ethereum Is in a Worse Spot Than 2023 as Thesis Weakens

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Ethereum Price Prediction

Crypto analyst Ansem argues that Ethereum (ETH) is in a “worse spot” in 2026 than it was in 2023, pointing to a thesis he says has been eroding for years.

His bearish take drew rebuttals from some members of the community. Meanwhile, on-chain activity and technical indicators elsewhere on the network flash bullish signals.

Ansem Lists Cracks in the ETH Thesis

Ansem argues that Solana (SOL) has dominated retail activity this cycle. Hyperliquid has taken the lead in perpetual futures trading, while rollups have failed to gain traction.

He also noted that Vitalik Buterin “publicly abandoned” the general-use rollup thesis. The ongoing Aave (AAVE) situation around the KelpDAO rsETH exploit, Ansem said, is a mark on  Ethereum’s core value proposition of “safety + security of defi & insto interest.

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“ETH thesis has been weakening consistently for years,” the analyst wrote. ETH in 2026 is in a worse spot than it was in 2023, amplified by AI doing extremely well & tech stocks being much more favorable investments with real revenues / emerging narratives / increasing momentum, ETH is a $300B asset with a ton of overhang from Tom Lee topblasting + complacent ETH holders sitting idle in defi protocols.”

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Technically, the analyst noted that ETH remains in a sustained downtrend after failing to break multi-year resistance. He projected that the second-largest cryptocurrency could slip to 2025 lows near $1,300 and to the bear-market lows from 2022.

“Tight invalidation 2377 assuming problems worsen if you want to play it loose assuming other risk assets continues doing well & drags it up probably somewhere around 2700/2800 invalidation fundamentals wise would want to see breakout activity from some new vertical,” the post read.

Ethereum Price Prediction
Ethereum Price Prediction. Source: X/Ansem

Community Members Push Back

The take triggered notable pushback. Ryan Berckmans accused Ansem of not understanding fundamentals. Leo Lanza went further, sharply dismissing the analyst’s bearish case on X.

Another user pointed to a 56% drop in the SOL/ETH pair this cycle.

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“Soleth is down 56% after being up 12x+ *this cycle* because one guy decided to buy 5% of the eth supply after it had underperformed all cycle. idk why you guys act like i dont also bearpost solana i havent posted anything bullish about sol in over a year,” Ansem replied.

Not everyone shares the bearish view on Ethereum. BeInCrypto recently highlighted that network activity remains strong, while technical indicators like the Rainbow Chart and MACD are also flashing bullish signals.

With macro and geopolitical uncertainty still in play, the question is whether ETH slides further this year or stages a renewed rally.

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The post Ansem Says Ethereum Is in a Worse Spot Than 2023 as Thesis Weakens appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Crypto World

Aave’s TVL Falls $8B After $293M Kelp DAO Hack

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Aave’s TVL Falls $8B After $293M Kelp DAO Hack

Total value locked on decentralized lending protocol Aave dropped by nearly $8 billion over the weekend after hackers behind the $293 million Kelp DAO exploit borrowed funds on Aave, leaving roughly $195 million in “bad debt” on the protocol and triggering withdrawals.

Data from DeFiLlama shows that Aave’s TVL fell from about $26.4 billion to $18.6 billion by Sunday, losing the top spot as the largest DeFi protocol. 

Aave v3’s lending pools for USDt (USDT) and USDC (USDC) are now at 100% utilization, meaning that more than $5.1 billion worth of stablecoins cannot be withdrawn until new liquidity arrives or borrows are repaid. 

$2,540 is available to be withdrawn from the $2.87 billion USDT pool on Aave v3 at the time of writing. Source: Aave

Aave’s TVL fall shows how rapidly risk from a single security incident can spread throughout the broader, interconnected DeFi lending market, potentially leading to a severe liquidity crisis.

The incident began on Saturday when hackers stole 116,500 Kelp DAO Restaked ETH (rsETH) tokens worth about $293 million from Kelp DAO’s LayerZero-powered bridge and used them as collateral on Aave v3 to borrow wrapped Ether (wETH).

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Crypto analytics platform Lookonchain said the move created about $195 million in “bad debt” on Aave, which contributed to the Aave (AAVE) token tanking nearly 20% from $112 on Saturday at 6:00 pm UTC to $89.5 about 25 hours later. 

Lookonchain noted that some of the largest crypto whales to withdraw funds from Aave were the MEXC crypto exchange and Abraxas Capital at $431 million and $392 million, respectively.

Source: Grvt

Several crypto networks and protocols tied to rsETH or the LayerZero bridge have paused use of the bridge until the problem is resolved, including DeFi platform Curve Finance, stablecoin issuer Ethena and BitGo’s Wrapped Bitcoin (WBTC).

Aave has frozen several rsETH, wETH markets

Shortly after the Kelp DAO exploit, Aave said it froze the rsETH markets on both Aave v3 and v4 to prevent any suspicious borrowing and later stated that rsETH on Ethereum mainnet remains fully backed by underlying assets.

WETH reserves also remain frozen on Ethereum, Arbitrum, Base, Mantle and Linea, Aave said.

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This incident marks the first significant stress test of Aave’s “Umbrella” security model, which was introduced in June 2025 to provide automated protection against protocol bad debt while enabling users to earn rewards.

Related: Aave DAO backs V4 mainnet plan in near-unanimous vote

Earlier this month, the Bank of Canada found that Aave avoided bad debt in its v3 market by using overcollateralization, automated liquidations and other strategies that shifted risk to borrowers.

In comments to Cointelegraph, Aave defended its liquidation-based model, framing it as a core safety mechanism that protects lenders while limiting downside for borrowers.

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It comes as Aave parted ways with its longest-standing DeFi risk service provider, Chaos Labs, on April 6, following disagreements over the direction of Aave v4 and budget constraints.

Magazine: Are DeFi devs liable for the illegal activity of others on their platforms?