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Wall Street remains split after earnings miss

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Wall Street remains split after earnings miss

IREN’s (IREN) latest earnings offered a snapshot of a company mid-transition, with shares currently paying the price for that transition. The firm reported weaker-than-expected revenue and earnings as bitcoin mining took a back seat to its rapidly expanding AI cloud ambitions.

Crushed by record-low margins after the 2024 halving, bitcoin miners are recasting themselves as digital infrastructure players, converting power-hungry mining sites into AI-ready data centers in a bid for more stable, long-term revenue.

One of last year’s best-performing stocks, not just in crypto, but for the whole market, IREN has come back to earth a bit since hitting a record high near $77 in November. Down about 20% amid Thursday’s market crash, shares are flat on Friday at $39.77.

IREN has secured $3.6 billion in GPU financing tied to its Microsoft contract, alongside a $1.9 billion customer prepayment, funding that management says will cover roughly 95% of GPU-related capital expenditures as it scales its AI business, a development JPMorgan analysts Reginald Smith and Charles Pearce described as encouraging.

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IREN’s fiscal second-quarter revenue fell sequentially as lower average hashrate, fewer coins mined and a quarter-over-quarter drop in bitcoin prices weighed on results, according to the Wall Street bank.

The drag from mining was partly offset by rapid growth in cloud services, where revenue more than doubled from the prior quarter to $17 million. That figure came in above JPMorgan’s $14 million estimate but well short of the Street’s $28 million forecast. Management said all GPUs currently energized are fully contracted, a signal the bank described as encouraging as the company pivots toward AI infrastructure.

Cost controls also helped cushion the quarter. Cash SG&A dropped sharply to $43 million, while power costs declined on lower average hashrate. As a result, adjusted EBITDA reached $75 million, beating the bank’s estimate, driven by lower operating and energy expenses. The bank has an underweight rating on the stock.

Investment bank B. Riley raised its price target on IREN to $83 from $74 while reiterating its buy rating, arguing that the recent pullback has created an attractive entry point.

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The upgrade comes despite a softer fiscal second quarter, during which adjusted EBITDA of $75.3 million missed expectations. B. Riley said the earnings miss is overshadowed by IREN’s progress on its AI pivot, including $3.6 billion in low-cost GPU financing tied to its Microsoft deal, a $1.9 billion prepayment that covers about 95% of GPU capex, and an expanded power portfolio now exceeding 4.5 gigawatts (GW).

Compass Point analyst Michael Donovan reiterated a buy rating and a $105 price target on IREN, saying the latest earnings show a company better positioned for growth, even though recent results were weaker. He said IREN now has more secure power and a clearer plan to fund its expansion, which matters more than one soft quarter.

Donovan described the fourth quarter as a period of change. Revenue fell to $184.7 million as the company mined less bitcoin while shifting its facilities from older bitcoin-focused machines to newer chips used for artificial intelligence. Even so, the mix of revenue improved as AI-related services began to make up a larger share of the business.

He pointed to the $3.6 billion financing package linked to IREN’s Microsoft project as an important milestone. The funding is larger than originally planned and is structured so that money is drawn as construction moves forward and revenue contracts kick in.

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Donovan expects IREN to begin recognizing revenue from Microsoft toward the end of the second quarter of 2026, with revenue increasing in stages after that. By the end of 2026, he sees a path for the business to generate about $3.4 billion in annualized revenue.

Read more: Weak earnings drag IREN, Amazon; bitcoin stocks rebound in pre-market

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Sonic Labs launches USSD stablecoin backed by US Treasuries

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Binance holds nearly 87% of USD1 stablecoin supply: Forbes 

Sonic Labs has launched USSD, a USD-pegged stablecoin supported by tokenized U.S. Treasury assets, adding a new source of stable liquidity to the Sonic blockchain ecosystem.

Summary

  • Sonic Labs launched USSD, a USD stablecoin integrated directly into its network.
  • The token is backed 1:1 by short-duration U.S. Treasury assets.
  • Reserve assets include products from BlackRock, Superstate, and WisdomTree.

The new stablecoin, announced on March 9, will serve as a dependable on-chain dollar across the network. It can be used for trading, lending, payments, and settlement in decentralized finance applications running on Sonic.

Sonic Labs said the launch gives developers and users a stable asset that can move easily across DeFi platforms within the network.

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Institutional Treasury backing

USSD maintains a 1:1 backing with high-quality U.S. dollar assets held with regulated custodians. The reserves include tokenized Treasury products linked to major financial institutions such as BlackRock, Superstate, and WisdomTree.

These tokenized Treasury funds bring traditional financial instruments into blockchain markets while maintaining transparency and stability on-chain. Sonic Labs says the reserve structure follows the same framework used by Frax (FRAX), which focuses on clear redemption mechanics and dependable backing.

Users can mint USSD through non-custodial smart contracts on the Sonic network. Supported dollar-based assets may be deposited at a one-to-one ratio, and the minting process carries no fees.

The structure makes it easier for liquidity providers and DeFi participants to enter the ecosystem without additional costs.

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Cross-chain liquidity and Sonic’s DeFi strategy

USSD launches with cross-chain minting support from more than ten blockchain networks. A user can deposit assets on another chain and receive USSD directly on Sonic, allowing liquidity to move between ecosystems with fewer barriers.

Through Frax’s cross-chain infrastructure, the stablecoin can also be exchanged for supported dollar assets. This setup enables users to settle transactions, transfer money between networks, and manage liquidity without depending on fragmented markets.

Stablecoins often serve as the main currency for DeFi, supporting trading pairs, collateral for lending, and settlement in derivatives markets.

A native stablecoin will help keep liquidity within the Sonic ecosystem and gives applications a consistent dollar reference. Revenue generated from the Treasury assets backing USSD may later support ecosystem incentives and network development as activity on Sonic continues to grow.

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Why Everyone’s Wrong About the AI Services Market

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Crypto Breaking News

The opportunity isn’t that AI is new. It’s that most businesses still don’t understand it.

The narrative around AI services is intoxicating. Build an agency. Develop autonomous agents. The market is wide open. And technically, it’s not wrong. The opportunity is substantial.

But the reasoning behind this advice is fundamentally flawed.

Everyone assumes the market is wide open because AI is new. Wrong. The market is wide open because of a massive intelligence gap—the distance between what’s technically possible and what businesses actually understand about AI. And almost nobody is positioning themselves to profit from it.

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Here’s what separates people making $2,000 monthly from those hitting $20,000: they understand where the real gap is, and they’re selling to businesses that haven’t figured out AI yet.

The Numbers Everyone Gets Wrong

Let’s start with adoption data. Roughly 1.3 billion people use free ChatGPT. Sounds massive. But then the numbers fall off a cliff: 15-25 million pay for any AI tool. Only 2.5 million actively use AI for coding.

These figures seem significant until you contextualize them against reality: there are 400+ million businesses worldwide.

The vast majority have never integrated AI into their operations in any meaningful way. They’ve heard the hype. Maybe they experimented with ChatGPT once drafting an email, brainstorming a meeting agenda. Then they moved on. The technology sits there, unused and underutilized.

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This is the intelligence gap. And it’s the biggest revenue opportunity in the market right now.

Why Most Professionals Miss the Opportunity

Here’s what typically happens: You build AI capability. You immediately chase the most obvious prospects—tech companies, startups, venture-backed firms. These businesses understand AI. They have internal resources. They shop around aggressively.

It’s a race to the bottom. You’re competing against other AI specialists. Procurement teams are doing rigorous technical due diligence. Budgets are fixed. Margins evaporate.

You’ll close some deals. But you’ll exhaust yourself competing for scraps in the most competitive market possible.

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The real money is in the opposite direction: businesses that have never implemented AI, don’t know where to start, and don’t have anyone internally who can figure it out.

The Gap Nobody’s Talking About

Ask a business owner over 40 what Claude is. Watch the blank stare. Ask them about autonomous agents. About workflow automation. About speed-to-lead systems.

They’re not being slow. They’re genuinely unfamiliar with these concepts. Their world is structured around traditional software and manual processes. AI exists in their universe as an abstract notion, not as a concrete solution to their specific problems.

This is the opportunity. These business owners have expensive problems—leads going cold because nobody answers the phone, proposals taking three hours to write, data entry consuming half someone’s day. They’d pay generously to solve these problems. They just don’t know AI is the tool.

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The business owner isn’t going to watch a YouTube tutorial. They’re not going to read documentation. They’re not going to figure this out themselves. They need someone to do it for them, show them the value, and maintain it.

That someone is you. But only if you position correctly.

Where Everyone Gets Positioning Wrong

Most professionals default to chasing the same tier of prospect: startup founders, tech company leaders, people who already understand AI. They cold DM on Twitter. They attend tech events. They join startup communities.

This is psychologically understandable. These prospects ‘get it.’ Conversations move faster. You don’t have to explain what automation is.

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But it’s strategically terrible. You’re competing against every other person who had the same idea. The market is saturated. Pricing pressure is brutal. These companies already know your value—so they shop aggressively and demand volume discounts.

The smartest move is the opposite: chase boring industries. Industries where nobody else is going. Where business owners are hungry for solutions but have zero competition from other AI specialists.

The Industries Where Money Accumulates

Think about the most unsexy businesses imaginable. Accounting firms. Dental practices. HVAC contractors. Real estate brokerages. Private equity offices. Insurance agencies. Law firms.

These industries have three things in common:

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  1. They make real money and aren’t price-sensitive on solutions that work. An HVAC contractor who closes one additional job monthly from faster lead response doesn’t blink at a $500 monthly retainer. That’s a 10-20x ROI.
  2. They have minimal competitive saturation. Nobody is systematically approaching dental offices with automation solutions. There are so many of these businesses that even if a competitor starts, the market remains unsaturated.
  3. They refer like crazy. Boring industries are tight-knit professional networks. One successful implementation for a law firm partner gets you introduced to three more. Same workflow, different client, same price. Build once, sell six times.

What This Means For Your Next Move

Stop chasing prestige prospects. Stop trying to impress people who already understand AI. Stop competing on technical sophistication in markets where technical sophistication is already commoditized.

Instead, pick one unsexy industry. Dentists. Contractors. Accountants. Real estate agents. Go deep on understanding their specific problems. Learn their language. Understand their workflows.

Then build solutions to their problems. Not AI solutions. Solutions to their specific expensive bottlenecks.

The business owners in these industries are hungry. They see the opportunity but don’t know how to implement. They have money and they’re willing to spend it. And they’re desperately underserved by specialists who actually understand their business.

That’s the intelligence gap. And if you’re the one filling it, you win.

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Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Paradigm, a16z, Winklevoss Capital, Balaji Srinivasan among investors in ZODL

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Management wins board approval to sell BTC

Zcash Open Development Lab (ZODL), a new development group formed by the former core team of the Electric Coin Company (ECC), has raised more than $25 million in seed funding to continue building the privacy-focused cryptocurrency ecosystem.

The round drew support from Paradigm, a16z crypto, Winklevoss Capital, Coinbase Ventures, Cypherpunk Technologies, Chapter One, Balaji Srinivasan and several angel investors in crypto and technology.

ZODL was founded by former ECC CEO Josh Swihart. The lab emerged after the entire ECC engineering and product team resigned in January following a governance dispute with Bootstrap, the nonprofit board that oversees ECC. The group said the conflict made it difficult to continue its work under the previous structure.

The team has since created ZODL to continue developing core Zcash software and tools.

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One focus is Zodl, a self-custodial mobile wallet previously known as Zashi. The app lets users hold ZEC and send shielded transactions, which hide sender, receiver and transaction amount using zero-knowledge cryptography.

Since its launch in 2024, the wallet has helped expand activity in Zcash’s shielded pool by more than 400%, according to the project. The app has also processed over $600 million in ZEC swaps since October according to the team behind it.

The new funding will support hiring engineers and expanding development. ZODL says it will continue work on the Zcash protocol while building products designed to make private digital payments easier to use.

ECC itself remains under Bootstrap, while the engineers who built much of the network’s core software now operate through the independent ZODL lab.

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The price of ZEC is up more than 8.8% in the last 24-hour period to now trade at $215, amid a wider crypto market recovery that has seen the CoinDesk 20 (CD20) index move up 3% in the same period.

Cypherpunk Technologies (CYPH), a digital asset treasury firm backed by the Winklevoss twins that’s focusing on ZEC, is up 2.7% in today’s trading session.

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WIF price forms bullish divergence, bottom forming?

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WIF price forms bullish divergence in oversold conditions, bottom forming? - 2

WIF price trades below $0.18 range support while RSI prints bullish divergence. A reclaim of this level could signal a deviation and potential move toward $0.26.

Summary

  • Key Level: $0.18 range low must be reclaimed to confirm a deviation.
  • Momentum Signal: Bullish RSI divergence suggests selling pressure is weakening.
  • Upside Target: Successful reclaim could drive rotation toward $0.26 range resistance.

Dogwifhat (WIF) is currently trading at a crucial technical level after losing the key range support near $0.18. Price action has now been finding acceptance below this region since the February 6 low was established, signaling that the market has temporarily shifted below its previous trading range.

While a break below support often indicates further downside risk, the current setup is presenting a potential deviation scenario that traders are watching closely.

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Wif price key technical points

  • Range Low Support: $0.18 is the key level that must be reclaimed to confirm a potential deviation.
  • Bullish RSI Divergence: RSI is forming higher lows while price prints lower lows.
  • Upside Target: Reclaiming range support could trigger a move toward range high resistance at $0.26.
WIF price forms bullish divergence in oversold conditions, bottom forming? - 2
WIFUSDT (4H) Chart, Source: TradingView

The recent breakdown below the $0.18 level marked an important development in WIF’s market structure. This level previously acted as the range low of the broader trading environment and had provided multiple reactions in previous price cycles. Once price broke below this level, the market entered a lower trading zone where acceptance beneath support began to develop. Sustained trading below a key range boundary typically increases the risk of further downside expansion, but this scenario may be evolving differently due to the appearance of momentum divergence.

One of the most notable signals currently present on the chart is the bullish divergence forming on the Relative Strength Index (RSI). While WIF price action has continued to print lower lows, the RSI indicator has begun forming higher lows.

This divergence between price and momentum often indicates that selling pressure is weakening and that the bearish trend may be losing strength. In many cases, bullish divergence appears during late stages of a downtrend when the market is preparing for a potential reversal or relief rally.

However, momentum signals alone are not enough to confirm a trend reversal. The broader crypto market also remains under bearish pressure, with Bitcoin and most altcoins still trading significantly below their all-time highs after double-digit declines.

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As a result, the key technical confirmation for WIF will be a reclaim of the $0.18 range low. If price can push back above this level and hold it as support, it would suggest that the recent breakdown was likely a deviation rather than a true continuation move. Such a reclaim would shift market structure back into the previous trading range and increase the probability of a rotation toward the upper boundary.

From a broader market structure perspective, range-bound markets tend to rotate between support and resistance levels as liquidity moves between participants. Once a deviation occurs and price re-enters the range, the probability often favors a move toward the opposite side of the range. In WIF’s case, the next major technical target would be the range-high resistance near $0.26.

Volume and momentum behavior will also play an important role in confirming this potential shift. If price begins reclaiming support alongside increasing buying pressure and strengthening RSI momentum, it would add further confirmation that a local bottom may be forming. Conversely, continued rejection below $0.18 would keep the market vulnerable to further downside exploration.

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What to expect in the coming price action

WIF remains at a key technical turning point as bullish divergence develops while price trades below major support. A confirmed reclaim of $0.18 would strengthen the case for a deviation and open the door for a rotation toward $0.26 resistance, while failure to reclaim the level could allow bearish momentum to persist.

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Bithumb Receives Business Suspension Notice for AML Violations

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Bithumb Receives Business Suspension Notice for AML Violations

Bithumb, South Korea’s second-largest cryptocurrency exchange by trading volume, is reportedly facing a possible partial business suspension of up to six months as regulators step up enforcement over anti-money laundering controls.

South Korea’s Financial Intelligence Unit (FIU) gave Bithumb a preliminary notice of a six-month partial suspension over alleged anti-money laundering and know-your-customer failures under the Act on Reporting and Using Specified Financial Transaction Information, according to local media reports on Monday. The regulator reportedly cited concerns over dealings with unregistered overseas virtual asset service providers and shortcomings in customer due diligence.

The FIU also issued a reprimand warning to Bithumb’s CEO, a warning considered a heavy penalty, which may lead to restrictions on his reappointment or future roles. Regulators are expected to hold a sanctions review later in March before deciding on any final measures. Bithumb told News1 that the action remains at the pre-notification stage and that the scope of any sanctions could still change.

“This measure is not yet a confirmed sanction, but is a pre-notification stage, and there may be some adjustments in the sanctions trial,” a Bithumb spokesperson said, adding that “restrictions only apply to the transfer (withdrawal) of virtual assets by new members.”

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If finalized, the suspension would restrict new users from transferring digital assets off the platform, according to the report. Bithumb did not immediately respond to Cointelegraph’s request for comment.

Related: South Korea moves to cap crypto exchange shareholder stakes at 20%: Report

The notice follows scrutiny on South Korea’s Financial Services Commission’s failure to detect critical flaws tied to Bithumb’s internal systems after the exchange mistakenly credited 2,000 Bitcoin (BTC) per user instead of 2,000 Korean won ($1.40) during a promotional event on Feb. 6, distributing a total of 620,000 BTC (worth around $43 billion at the time).

Related: Hacker returns $21M in Bitcoin stolen from South Korean authorities: Report

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South Korean regulators impose stricter money laundering regulations

South Korean regulators are seeking to impose stricter sanctions on crypto exchanges suspected of AML and KYC violations. 

In November 2025, FIU imposed a partial three-month suspension and a 35.2 billion won ($25 million) fine on cryptocurrency exchange Upbit’s parent company, Dunamu, for similar violations. 

Crypto exchange Korbit also received a warning and a 2.73 billion won ($1.9 million) fine in December 2025.

Both administrative penalties stemmed from concerns related to dealings with overseas crypto service providers and neglect of customer verification practices.

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