Crypto World
what the $365 million month means
In July, spot Ethereum ETFs pulled in more than twice the capital that Bitcoin ETFs attracted. The gap is not an anomaly. It is the first evidence that institutional money is repricing Ethereum as infrastructure rather than an alternative to Bitcoin.
Summary
- Spot Ethereum ETFs recorded $365 million in net inflows during July 2026, their strongest month since launching in July 2024, while spot Bitcoin ETFs attracted just $205 million, the lowest monthly total in the product’s history.
- The disparity followed Bitcoin ETF outflows of $2.43 billion in May and approximately $4.5 billion in June, an eight week streak that totaled more than $8 billion in redemptions and marked the first negative half year for spot Bitcoin ETFs since their January 2024 debut.
- The ETH/BTC trading ratio has risen from its 2026 low of approximately 0.024 in May to 0.030, a 25% recovery that coincides with the ETF flow reversal and growing institutional interest in Ethereum’s staking yield and stablecoin settlement role.
- Staked Ethereum has reached a record 41.7 million ETH, roughly one third of the total supply, while BlackRock’s staked Ethereum ETF (ETHB) and Grayscale’s ETHE now offer investors yield exposure alongside price appreciation, a structural advantage that Bitcoin ETFs cannot replicate.
- The stablecoin market capitalization crossed $322 billion in June 2026, with Ethereum processing the majority of settlement volume and BlackRock’s 2026 Global Outlook identifying Ethereum as the primary beneficiary of stablecoin adoption, framing the blockchain as a settlement layer rather than a speculative asset.
For most of the past two years, the conversation about crypto ETFs has been a conversation about Bitcoin. The launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs in January 2024 attracted more than $30 billion in net inflows within the first year. The products became the fastest growing ETF category in history. BlackRock’s IBIT alone gathered more assets in its first six months than any ETF in any category had ever attracted in a comparable period. Ethereum ETFs, approved six months later in July 2024, were treated as a sideshow: smaller inflows, lower assets under management, less media attention, and none of the breathless coverage that accompanied every Bitcoin ETF milestone.
July 2026 reversed that hierarchy. Spot Ethereum ETFs pulled in $365 million in net inflows, their best month on record. Spot Bitcoin ETFs attracted $205 million, their worst. For the first time, institutional capital flowed into Ethereum products at more than twice the rate of Bitcoin products. The question is whether July was an anomaly or the beginning of a structural rotation.
The numbers behind the reversal
The July data looks dramatic in isolation. It looks more significant in context.
Bitcoin ETF flows had been deteriorating for months. In May, spot Bitcoin ETFs posted $2.43 billion in net outflows, the largest monthly redemption since the products launched. June was worse: approximately $4.5 billion exited, with a 13 day consecutive outflow streak from mid-May through early June totaling $4.33 billion. For the first half of 2026, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $5.4 billion in net outflows, the first negative half year in the product’s history.
July’s $205 million in net inflows technically ended the bleeding. But the amount was anemic by any standard. In the first quarter of 2025, Bitcoin ETFs were averaging more than $2 billion in monthly inflows. The $205 million figure represents a 90% decline from that pace.
The cumulative damage was significant. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs ended the first half of 2026 with $5.4 billion in net outflows, the first negative half year since the products launched in January 2024. Total assets under management across all spot Bitcoin ETFs declined from a peak of more than $70 billion to approximately $55 billion by the end of June, erasing much of the growth that had made these products the headline success story of institutional crypto adoption.
Ethereum ETFs moved in the opposite direction. After modest inflows through the spring, July brought $365 million in net capital, led by BlackRock’s products. On individual trading days in late July and early August, Ethereum ETFs repeatedly attracted more capital than Bitcoin ETFs. On July 23, Ethereum ETFs pulled in $72.64 million versus Bitcoin’s $68.99 million. On August 4, Ethereum ETFs recorded $53.75 million in inflows. The following three days brought an additional $202 million.
The ETH/BTC ratio on Binance rose approximately 11% during July, from roughly 0.027 to 0.030, confirming the price action that the flow data suggested. Ethereum was not just attracting more ETF capital. It was outperforming Bitcoin on a relative basis for the first time in 2026.
Why Bitcoin ETFs lost their bid
The Bitcoin ETF outflow cycle that began in May had multiple causes, none of which have fully resolved.
The most direct was price. Bitcoin fell from its October 2025 all-time high of $126,080 to below $60,000 in May 2026, a decline of more than 50%. ETF holders who entered during the 2024 and early 2025 euphoria found themselves underwater. The products that were supposed to be the easiest way to gain Bitcoin exposure became the easiest way to exit it. Unlike self-custodied Bitcoin, ETF shares can be sold in seconds during market hours, and investors used that liquidity.
The magnitude of the selling was unprecedented. BlackRock’s IBIT, the largest spot Bitcoin ETF with more than $20 billion in assets at its peak, saw single day outflows exceeding $200 million multiple times during the June drawdown. Fidelity’s FBTC and ARK’s ARKB experienced similar redemption pressure. The 13 consecutive trading day outflow streak from mid-May through early June was the longest in the product category’s history, with a cumulative $4.33 billion leaving the complex in less than three weeks.
The second factor was Strategy, formerly MicroStrategy. The company that had been the largest corporate buyer of Bitcoin began selling in July 2026. Strategy’s $8.2 billion unrealized loss and its decision to sell $218 million in Bitcoin over four consecutive weeks removed a key source of reflexive demand. Institutional investors who had used Bitcoin ETFs as a proxy for the Strategy trade unwound those positions as the thesis weakened.
The third factor was macroeconomic. The Federal Reserve held rates at 4.25% to 4.5% throughout the first half of 2026. The rate cut narrative that had supported risk assets through 2024 and early 2025 failed to materialize. With Treasury bills yielding more than 4%, the opportunity cost of holding a non-yielding asset like Bitcoin increased. Institutional allocators who could earn risk free returns in money market funds had less incentive to maintain exposure to a volatile asset that had halved from its peak.
None of these factors applied to Ethereum with the same force. Ethereum’s price decline, while steep in absolute terms, was priced into a different narrative. Ethereum was not sold as digital gold or an inflation hedge. It was sold as a technology platform. The investment case never depended on monetary policy or corporate treasury adoption. And critically, Ethereum ETFs could offer something that Bitcoin ETFs could not: yield.
The divergence in flows was not just about one product category losing capital and another gaining it. It was about two fundamentally different investment theses diverging for the first time since both ETF categories existed simultaneously. Bitcoin ETF investors were selling exposure to a store of value that was not storing value. Ethereum ETF investors were buying exposure to a settlement layer that was generating yield. The products look similar on a trading screen. The underlying reasons for owning them had become entirely different.
The staking yield advantage
The structural difference between Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs became clear in March 2026, when BlackRock launched the iShares Staked Ethereum Trust ETF, trading under the ticker ETHB. The product holds spot Ethereum and stakes a portion of those holdings on the Ethereum network, generating yield for investors alongside price exposure.
The SEC and CFTC’s joint interpretive release on March 17, 2026, which classified staking rewards as non-securities across 16 digital commodities, removed the legal barrier that had delayed these products for more than a year. By April, two staking ETFs were live: Grayscale’s ETHE and BlackRock’s ETHB, with five more issuers including Fidelity and Franklin Templeton awaiting approval.
The gross staking yield on Ethereum currently ranges from 3.1% to 3.3% annually. After fund fees and custody costs, net distributions to shareholders range from approximately 1.9% to 2.6%. BlackRock’s ETHB charges 0.25% with a first year waiver to 0.12%, while retaining 18% of staking rewards as compensation shared between BlackRock and Coinbase as custodian.
The yield changes the investment calculus in a way that matters more at institutional scale than retail scale. A Bitcoin ETF offers price exposure and nothing else. An Ethereum staking ETF offers price exposure plus a yield that, while modest, is competitive with short duration fixed income in a world where real rates remain compressed. For institutional allocators benchmarking against a 4% risk free rate, an asset that returns 2% in staking yield only needs to appreciate 2% to match Treasuries. Bitcoin needs to appreciate 4%.
The math becomes more compelling over longer holding periods. An institutional investor with a three year horizon who holds an Ethereum staking ETF accumulates approximately 6% to 8% in staking yield over that period, regardless of price movement. The same investor holding a Bitcoin ETF accumulates nothing. If both assets return zero in price appreciation over three years, the Ethereum position generated positive real returns while the Bitcoin position generated zero. That difference is the kind of structural advantage that portfolio committees notice, particularly when allocating to an asset class that has historically been difficult to justify on a risk-adjusted basis.
This is not a theoretical argument. The flow data confirms it. Since ETHB’s launch in March, BlackRock’s staked Ethereum product has consistently attracted capital even on days when the broader Ethereum ETF complex saw outflows. The product’s existence has changed the marginal investor’s decision from “Bitcoin or Ethereum” to “a non-yielding store of value or a yielding settlement layer.”
The stablecoin settlement thesis
The deeper shift is not about yield. It is about what Ethereum does.
BlackRock’s 2026 Global Outlook identified Ethereum as the primary beneficiary of accelerating stablecoin adoption and broader tokenization trends. The report argued that stablecoins are moving beyond exchanges and integrating into mainstream payment systems, with potential expansion into cross-border transfers and day-to-day use in emerging markets. The implication was that one dominant blockchain would control the settlement layer for these transactions, and BlackRock’s positioning, through ETHB and its $1 billion BUIDL tokenized Treasury fund on Ethereum, indicated which blockchain it expected that to be.
The numbers support the thesis. The total stablecoin market capitalization crossed $322 billion in June 2026, up from $137 billion at the start of 2024. Tokenized Treasury products exceeded $7 billion. The Open USD consortium launched with more than 140 Fortune 500 partners exploring stablecoin-based payment rails. The GENIUS Act, signed into law in July 2025, created a federal framework for payment stablecoins that requires one-to-one reserves, monthly disclosures, and full KYC and AML compliance. The regulatory clarity made institutional adoption possible at scale.
The institutional positioning extends beyond ETFs. SoFi became the first national U.S. retail bank to issue a stablecoin on Ethereum for internal settlements. Morgan Stanley added staking incentives to its Ethereum and Solana ETF products. Standard Chartered projected the stablecoin market could reach $2 trillion by 2028, with Ethereum capturing the majority of settlement volume. Chris Dixon, general partner at Andreessen Horowitz, said publicly that stablecoins “now rival major payment networks like Visa” with $300 billion issued, framing the remaining 90% of crypto as the next regulatory frontier.
Staked Ethereum reached 41.7 million ETH, approximately one third of total supply, the highest ratio ever recorded. The locked supply reduces available float, creating a supply constraint that does not exist for Bitcoin. Every ETH staked is ETH that cannot be sold without an unstaking period, a structural difference that affects price dynamics during periods of rising demand.
Tom Lee, co-founder of Fundstrat Global Advisors, publicly outlined three catalysts he believes will push the ETH/BTC ratio higher in the second half of 2026: stablecoin growth, real world asset tokenization, and Ethereum’s expanding role as the settlement layer for institutional finance. The thesis is that Ethereum is being repriced from “Bitcoin’s alternative” to “the financial system’s settlement infrastructure,” and the ETF flow data is the first quantitative evidence that institutional allocators agree.
The opposing case: why the rotation may not last
The strongest version of the skeptical case begins with a simple observation. Ethereum is down approximately 35% in 2026 and more than 50% from its 2025 peak near $5,000. At approximately $1,908, it trades at a market capitalization of $233 billion, less than one fifth of Bitcoin’s $1.3 trillion. The ETF flow reversal happened during a period of extreme Bitcoin weakness, not Ethereum strength. If Bitcoin ETFs return to positive flows, as they began to in early August with weekly inflows exceeding $750 million, the relative advantage disappears.
The yield argument also has limits. A 2% net staking return is meaningful in a zero rate environment. It is less compelling when Treasuries yield 4%. Institutional investors who are yield-sensitive enough to care about 2% staking rewards are yield-sensitive enough to prefer 4% risk free returns. The staking ETFs may attract marginal capital, but they are unlikely to drive a fundamental reallocation from fixed income into crypto.
There is also the question of Ethereum’s competitive position. In February 2026, Solana surpassed Ethereum in stablecoin settlement volume for the first time. Layer 2 networks on Ethereum continue to capture transaction fees that would otherwise accrue to the base layer, creating a dynamic where Ethereum’s usage grows but its revenue does not. Daily fees on Ethereum remain approximately 70% below their 2024 highs. If Ethereum is being repriced as infrastructure, the market should eventually demand that the infrastructure generates revenue proportional to its usage. That has not happened yet.
The competitive threat from Solana is particularly relevant to the settlement thesis. If stablecoin issuers and payment companies choose Solana for faster and cheaper transactions, Ethereum’s role as the dominant settlement layer erodes regardless of how many ETFs BlackRock launches on it. The GENIUS Act is blockchain agnostic. It creates regulatory clarity for stablecoins, not for Ethereum specifically. Any chain that meets the compliance requirements can compete for settlement volume. Societe Generale’s decision to launch its euro stablecoin EURCV on the XRP Ledger alongside Ethereum, Stellar, and Solana illustrates the risk: major institutions are hedging their blockchain bets, not committing exclusively to Ethereum.
The bear case is that July’s ETF flow reversal was a function of Bitcoin’s collapse rather than Ethereum’s ascent, and that a Bitcoin recovery will normalize the relationship. Early August data already shows signs of this: Bitcoin ETFs posted weekly inflows exceeding $750 million in the first full week of August, with single day inflows of $128 million on August 6 alone. If that pace continues, Bitcoin will reassert its dominance in ETF flows and July’s reversal becomes a footnote.
The bull case is that staking yield, stablecoin settlement, and institutional positioning have permanently changed the risk-reward calculus between the two assets, and that even if Bitcoin flows recover in absolute terms, Ethereum’s share of total crypto ETF capital will continue to grow.
What makes this time different
Every previous ETH/BTC ratio rally has eventually reversed. In 2017, the ratio peaked at 0.15 during the initial coin offering mania and collapsed to 0.02 during the subsequent bear market. In 2021, it reached 0.08 during the DeFi summer and NFT boom before falling back below 0.05. In late 2024, Ethereum briefly outperformed during the post-ETF approval euphoria before underperforming through the first half of 2025. The pattern has been consistent: Ethereum outperforms during speculative manias and underperforms during the subsequent contractions.
The current ratio movement is happening during a contraction, not a mania. Both assets are down significantly from their peaks. Bitcoin is trading at approximately $64,200, down 49% from its $126,080 all-time high. Ethereum is at approximately $1,908, down more than 50% from its 2025 peak. The ratio is rising not because Ethereum is surging, but because institutional capital is flowing into Ethereum products at a higher rate than Bitcoin products during a period when both assets are deeply underwater. That distinction matters because it suggests a fundamental reassessment of relative value, not speculative excess.
The structural differences are new. Staking ETFs did not exist before March 2026. The GENIUS Act did not exist before July 2025. BlackRock did not have a tokenized Treasury fund on Ethereum before 2025. Grayscale did not distribute staking rewards to ETF holders before 2026. Morgan Stanley did not offer staking incentives on crypto ETFs before 2026. These are not cyclical factors. They are permanent changes to Ethereum’s investment profile that did not exist during any previous ETH/BTC cycle.
The cumulative effect is a different kind of investor. Previous Ethereum rallies were driven by retail speculation and DeFi yield farming. The current flow shift is driven by institutional allocators responding to yield, regulatory clarity, and settlement infrastructure. These investors operate on longer time horizons and make allocation decisions based on structural analysis, not momentum. If the rotation is indeed institutional in nature, it may prove more durable than previous cycles, though one month of data is too little to confirm that thesis.
Whether these structural changes are sufficient to sustain a rotation remains unproven. One month of flow data does not make a trend. But the combination of record Ethereum inflows, record low Bitcoin inflows, staking yield, regulatory clarity, and institutional positioning creates a set of conditions that has never existed before. The market will determine whether those conditions produce a new regime or just another temporary reversal.
What to watch
August ETF flow data. If Ethereum ETFs maintain their inflow advantage over Bitcoin ETFs for a second consecutive month, the rotation narrative gains significant credibility. If Bitcoin flows recover and dominate, July becomes an outlier.
ETHB assets under management. BlackRock’s staked Ethereum ETF is the clearest proxy for institutional demand for yield-bearing crypto exposure. Watch for the product to approach its $2.5 billion fee waiver threshold, which would indicate rapid adoption.
ETH/BTC ratio above 0.035. The ratio has recovered from 0.024 to 0.030. A move above 0.035 would represent the highest level since mid 2025 and confirm a trend reversal. A rejection back below 0.027 would suggest the rotation was temporary.
Staking ETF approvals. Fidelity, Franklin Templeton, and other issuers have pending applications for staking-enabled Ethereum ETFs. Each approval adds a new product competing for institutional capital that Bitcoin ETFs cannot match.
Ethereum fee revenue recovery. If daily fees remain 70% below 2024 highs despite rising stablecoin volumes, the narrative that Ethereum captures value from settlement activity weakens. A fee recovery would validate the infrastructure thesis.
What are Ethereum ETF inflows?
Ethereum ETF inflows measure the net amount of new capital entering exchange-traded funds that hold spot Ethereum. A positive inflow number means more money entered the fund than left it during a given period. In July 2026, spot Ethereum ETFs recorded $365 million in net inflows, their highest monthly total since the products launched in July 2024.
Why did Bitcoin ETF inflows drop in 2026?
Bitcoin ETFs experienced $5.4 billion in net outflows during the first half of 2026, driven by Bitcoin’s 50% price decline from its October 2025 all-time high, Strategy’s shift from buyer to seller, and the opportunity cost of holding a non-yielding asset while Treasury bills offered more than 4% returns.
What is a staking ETF?
A staking ETF holds a proof of stake cryptocurrency like Ethereum and stakes a portion of those holdings on the blockchain network to earn rewards. The rewards, currently 3.1% to 3.3% gross for Ethereum, are distributed to shareholders after fees. BlackRock’s ETHB was the first major staking ETF, launching on March 12, 2026.
How does staking yield affect ETF competition?
Staking yield gives Ethereum ETFs a structural advantage over Bitcoin ETFs. An Ethereum staking ETF offers both price exposure and approximately 2% annual yield, while a Bitcoin ETF offers only price exposure. This means Ethereum ETFs need less price appreciation to match the total return of risk-free assets like Treasuries.
What is the ETH/BTC ratio?
The ETH/BTC ratio measures the price of one Ethereum token in terms of Bitcoin. A rising ratio means Ethereum is outperforming Bitcoin. The ratio fell to approximately 0.024 in May 2026, its lowest level of the year, before recovering to 0.030 by early August, coinciding with the shift in ETF flows.
What does the GENIUS Act have to do with Ethereum?
The GENIUS Act, signed into law in July 2025, created a federal framework for payment stablecoins. Since Ethereum processes the majority of stablecoin settlement volume, the regulatory clarity benefits Ethereum disproportionately by making institutional adoption of stablecoin infrastructure legally viable at scale.
Is institutional money leaving Bitcoin for Ethereum?
The July 2026 ETF flow data suggests some institutional rotation, with Ethereum ETFs recording $365 million in inflows while Bitcoin ETFs attracted just $205 million. However, one month of data does not confirm a trend. Early August saw Bitcoin ETFs recover with weekly inflows exceeding $750 million.
Will Ethereum outperform Bitcoin in the second half of 2026?
Analysts like Tom Lee of Fundstrat have identified three catalysts for ETH/BTC appreciation: stablecoin growth, real world asset tokenization, and Ethereum’s settlement layer role. Whether these catalysts produce sustained outperformance depends on whether the structural advantages identified in ETF flows translate into persistent capital allocation changes. This is analysis, not investment advice.
Disclosure: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. ETF flow data is sourced from publicly available filings. Prices and market data are current as of August 12, 2026.
Crypto World
ICT Trading: What Are the Main ICT Concepts?
Inner Circle Trading (ICT) is a price-action methodology developed by Michael J. Huddleston, also known as the Inner Circle Trader. It explains market behaviour through concepts such as liquidity, market structure, order blocks, fair value gaps, and trading session timing. Traders use them to analyse price movements from an institutional perspective. Although ICT trading is most commonly associated with the forex market, the methodology is also applied to indices, commodities, and other financial instruments.
This article explains the core ICT concepts, how they fit together, and how traders use them to develop market bias, identify potential liquidity targets, and analyse price action across different market conditions.
Key Takeaways
- ICT explains market movement through institutional behaviour, focusing on liquidity, structure, and order flow rather than indicators.
- The Inner Circle Trading method is used across forex, indices, and commodities on intraday and higher timeframes to interpret how major players influence price.
- Core ICT concepts include Break of Structure (BOS), Change of Character (CHoCH), Market Structure Shift (MSS), liquidity pools, order blocks, fair value gaps, optimal trade entries, and kill zones.
- ICT shows how price targets liquidity, reacts to imbalances, and shifts momentum, giving traders a clearer narrative of market intent.
- The framework combines structure, timing, and context, making it a detailed but discretionary approach to analysing market movement.
- The ICT methodology is not a mechanical strategy. It relies on discretionary analysis rather than fixed rules.
What Is ICT in Trading?
ICT, or Inner Circle Trading, is a price-based methodology developed by Michael J. Huddleston that offers a way to read institutional behaviour in the markets. It focuses on identifying where banks and large funds, the so-called “smart money,” enter, exit, and target liquidity. Traders use ICT across forex, indices, and commodities, mainly on intraday charts like the one-minute to one-hour, as well as higher timeframes when building directional bias.
The approach breaks price into structure, liquidity, and imbalance. It teaches traders to spot where the market takes stops, when momentum shifts, and where price often returns before moving again. Rather than relying on indicators, ICT centres on raw price action and the recurring patterns created by institutional order flow. This makes it a structured way to analyse short- and medium-term movements.
ICT is one interpretation of smart money concepts (SMC) rather than the whole field. Other institutional order-flow approaches exist and use different terms for similar ideas. What separates ICT is its specific vocabulary and its focus on when liquidity enters the market, not only where.
Who Developed ICT?
Inner Circle Trading was created by Michael J. Huddleston, widely known as “The Inner Circle Trader.” He is an online educator who built a large following by teaching institutional-style price action.
The abbreviation ICT refers to two things. It names Huddleston himself, and it names the body of concepts he teaches. When traders say they follow ICT, they usually mean the methodology rather than the person.
His public lessons shaped much of the terminology traders now associate with the Inner Circle Trader methodology, including order blocks, liquidity grabs, and kill zones.
How Do ICT and Smart Money Concepts Differ?
Smart money concepts is the broader term. It covers any approach that reads price through institutional order flow, including work by educators with no connection to Huddleston. ICT sits inside that category as one version of it, with its own vocabulary and its own sequence of analysis.
The two share most of their core ideas. Both read market structure, both treat liquidity as a target rather than a by-product, and both look for imbalances left behind by fast moves. The differences sit in the detail. The ICT methodology adds session timing through kill zones, defined entry models such as optimal trade entry, and terms like inducement and displacement that general SMC material often leaves out.
Traders frequently treat the two labels as identical. They are not. ICT is one branch of SMC, so ICT ideas are smart money ideas, while the reverse does not hold.
ICT vs Smart Money Concepts at a glance:
How Do ICT Concepts Differ From Traditional Technical Analysis?
Inner Circle Trading differs from traditional technical analysis because it focuses on reading institutional order flow rather than reacting to indicators. The approach strips charts back to structure, liquidity, and imbalance, giving traders a more price-driven way to analyse markets.
Traditional technical analysis tends to start with a tool, such as a moving average or an oscillator, and read price through it. Institutional trading concepts start with price itself and ask which levels large participants are likely to be working towards.
The main differences include:
- Focus on liquidity: ICT centres on where stop orders sit and how the market seeks them, while technical analysis relies on indicators or pattern recognition.
- Institutional logic: ICT frames moves as deliberate actions by large players. Traditional analysis often treats price swings as neutral or random.
- Market structure detail: ICT breaks trends into Break of Structure (BOS), Change of Character (CHoCH), Market Structure Shift (MSS), offering a tighter read on shifts in momentum than generic swing-high/swing-low analysis.
- Imbalance and displacement: Inner Circle Trading highlights rapid moves and Fair Value Gaps as signals of strength, whereas standard approaches often minimise the relevance of these gaps.
- Time-based context: ICT uses kill zones to track when liquidity enters the market, while technical analysis rarely factors in session timing.
What Are the Main ICT Trading Concepts?
Inner Circle Trading concepts are a group of price-action tools that explain how institutional traders move the market. They cover structure, which includes ideas like Break of Structure (BOS), a Change of Character (CHoCH), liquidity through pools, sweeps, and engineering, and order blocks that show where major players commit orders. It also works with fair value gaps, optimal trade entries built from retracements, and kill zones linked to specific trading sessions. Together, these concepts offer a clear framework for reading intraday and higher-time-frame behaviour.
The sections below group these ICT trading concepts into four blocks: structure, order blocks, liquidity, and imbalance, followed by the timing and entry tools that sit alongside them. To understand them, you can consider following along in FXOpen’s TickTrader platform.
1.Structure
In the context of ICT, market structure is based on the idea that market direction can be identified through patterns of highs and lows. Within market structure, key structural events are split into distinct movements: a Break of Structure (BOS), a Change of Character (CHoCH), and a Market Structure Shift (MSS).
Market Structure

Market structure describes how price moves through a sequence of highs and lows. It shows whether the market trends up, trends down, or ranges, and gives traders a clear view of the current direction. In ICT, structure forms the foundation for reading intent behind price movements and deciding when a trend strengthens, weakens, or begins to reverse.
Specifically, structure is characterised by a series of higher highs and higher lows in an uptrend, or lower highs and lower lows in a downtrend.
For example, EUR/USD rises to 1.0850, pulls back to 1.0800, then pushes on to 1.0920 before dipping to 1.0870. Each high and each low sits above the one before it, so the structure stays bullish. That reading holds until the price closes below 1.0800.
Structure is also fractal, which means a downtrend on a 15-minute chart can be a single pullback inside a daily uptrend. Reading ICT market structure on more than one timeframe keeps that context visible, which is why traders often check the higher timeframe before acting on a lower one.
Break of Structure (BOS)
A Break of Structure (BOS) is a concept that confirms the continuation of the current market direction. It occurs when price moves beyond a key swing point that defines the current trend.
- Bullish BOS appears in an uptrend, when a candle moves above the most recent swing high while the prior swing low remains intact.
- Bearish BOS occurs in a downtrend, when a candle drops below the most recent swing low while the prior swing high holds.
An ICT BOS points to trend continuation, so it tells traders the existing direction is still intact rather than warning of a turn. Traders looking for signs of trend reversal watch for a Change of Character instead, which breaks the swing point on the opposite side of the move.
Change of Character (CHoCH)

A Change of Character concept reflects a possible trend change. It occurs when price violates the swing point that protects the current trend, signalling the first meaningful shift in control. In an uptrend, a CHoCH forms when price fails to set a new high and then closes below the most recent swing low that previously held the trend. In a downtrend, it forms when price fails to create a fresh low and then closes above the most recent protective swing high.
An ICT CHoCH on its own does not confirm a reversal. It marks the first crack in the existing structure, and price often reclaims the level and continues in the original direction. Traders typically wait for follow-through, such as strong displacement that breaks a key structural level, before treating the shift as established.
Market Structure Shift (MSS)

A Market Structure Shift is a significant change in the market that can disrupt the existing trend. This specific type of CHoCH is typically marked by a price moving sharply (a displacement) through a key structural level, such as a higher low in an uptrend or a lower high in a downtrend.
An ICT MSS differs from a CHoCH in how the level breaks rather than which level breaks. A CHoCH can form on a slow drift through the protective swing point, while an MSS requires a decisive move, often leaving an imbalance behind it.
These shifts can signal a profound change in market dynamics, with the sharp move often preceding a new sustained trend. Recognising an MSS allows traders to reevaluate their current bias and adapt to a new trend, given its clear signal.
2. Order Blocks
ICT order block meaning relates to a price area associated with the final buying or selling activity before a strong directional move. In ICT analysis, traders monitor these areas because price may later return to them and react.
There are a few different types of order blocks to be aware of: regular order blocks, breaker blocks, and mitigation blocks.
Regular Order Blocks

A regular ICT order block is an area on the price chart representing a concentration of buying (demand zone) or selling (supply zone) activity.
A bullish order block typically forms around the last bearish candle or price area before a strong move higher, while a bearish order block forms around the last bullish candle or area before a strong move lower. Depending on the existing market structure, the subsequent move may either continue the prevailing trend or contribute to a structural shift.
In the ICT trading strategy, order blocks are treated as potential reaction areas. In an established uptrend, for example, a bullish order block may form during a retracement before price moves higher and produces a bullish Break of Structure (BOS). If price later retraces into that order block, traders may monitor the area for a bullish reaction and potential continuation of the existing trend.
Conversely, in an established downtrend, a bearish order block may form during a retracement before price moves lower and produces a bearish Break of Structure (BOS). If price later retraces into that order block, traders may monitor the area for a bearish reaction and potential continuation of the existing trend.
Breaker Blocks

A breaker block forms when price invalidates an order block that should have held if the trend remained intact. This formation indicates that liquidity has been taken (fueling the movement through the order block) and that the trend is likely shifting.
For instance, in an uptrend, if the price creates a new high but then reverses below the previous higher low, the bullish order block above the low becomes a breaker block. Price often returns to that zone afterwards, and traders watch how it reacts there as the new direction develops.
Mitigation Blocks

A mitigation block appears when institutional players place orders to offset (“mitigate”) losses from an earlier position that moved against them.
The sequence runs in three parts. A strong displacement moves price away from a level, a counter-move brings price back to where that displacement began, and institutions use the revisit to close out the earlier losing position and re-enter in the direction of the original move.
A bullish mitigation block is the last down candle before a strong upward displacement. A bearish one is the last up candle before a strong downward move, as in the example above. When price returns and reacts from that candle, ICT traders read it as the original order flow resuming.
3.Liquidity
Liquidity refers to areas on the price chart with a high concentration of trading activity, typically marked by stop orders. ICT liquidity concepts include: buy- and sell-side liquidity, liquidity grabs, and inducements.
Buy-Side and Sell-Side Liquidity

Buy-side liquidity is typically found above recent or equal highs, where stop-loss orders from short positions and breakout buy orders may cluster. When triggered, these orders can add buying pressure. Sell-side liquidity works inversely, with sell orders typically clustering below recent or equal lows.
In ICT analysis, if price moves beyond a high or low to take liquidity but quickly returns within the previous range, the move may be interpreted as a liquidity sweep and a potential reversal signal.
For example, if EUR/USD repeatedly fails to break 1.1500, buy-side liquidity may build above this level. Price may rise above 1.1500, trigger buy orders, and then fall back below it. ICT traders may interpret this rejection as a sweep of buy-side liquidity and watch for signs of a bearish reversal.
Liquidity Grabs

A liquidity grab occurs when the price quickly spikes into high-density order areas, triggering stops and then reversing direction. According to ICT methodology, larger participants take advantage of the resulting order flow to fill sizeable positions with limited slippage. The move temporarily shifts price momentum, usually just long enough to trigger the stops before direction reverses.
What traders observe is the pattern itself, and a liquidity sweep through an obvious high or low that immediately fails is the signature they look for.
Inducement

An inducement is a specific type of liquidity grab that triggers stops and makes other traders enter the market. It often appears as a peak or trough, typically into an area of liquidity, in a minor counter-trend within the larger market trend. The pattern creates the appearance of a trend change, which tends to attract entries in that direction. Price then reverses and continues with the original major trend, and the stops from those entries add to the order flow behind the move.
4.Fair Value Gaps and Displacement
In the Inner Circle Trading methodology, two specific types of sharp trending movements signal significant shifts in market dynamics: fair value gaps and displacements.
Fair Value Gaps (FVGs)

A fair value gap is a concept that reflects an imbalance in price caused by a fast, aggressive move where the market skips over prices that normally would be traded. It forms when a three-candle sequence leaves a space where the middle candle’s body and wick do not overlap with the wicks of the candles on either side. This shows that price moved so quickly in one direction that no trading occurred in that portion of the range.
Traders monitor revisits because the gap represents unfilled orders. Buyers and sellers who wanted to transact in that range never got the chance, and their orders may still be resting there. When price returns, that pending interest can produce a reaction, which is why an ICT fair value gap is often treated as a potential entry area rather than a target.
Displacements

Displacements, also known as liquidity voids, is a sudden, forceful price move that leaves a large stretch of the chart with little trading activity behind it. It typically spans several candles and can contain multiple fair value gaps within it.
Displacement matters most for what it implies about intent. A slow drift through a level and a violent push through the same level are read differently, and the second is what turns a structural break into an MSS or gives an order block its significance.
5.Additional ICT Concepts
Beyond these ICT concepts, there are a few other niche components. These include Kill Zones, optimal trade entries, and balanced price ranges.
Kill Zones
Kill Zones refer to specific periods during the trading day when market activity significantly increases due to the opening or closing of major financial centres. These periods often set the tone for price movements based on the increased volume and volatility.
The concentration is real. BIS data for April 2025 puts global OTC foreign exchange turnover at $9.6 trillion dollars a day, with sales desks in the United Kingdom handling around 38% of it and the United States about 19%. That is why ICT kill zones cluster around the hours those two centres are active.
Times shift by an hour when either region moves to daylight saving, so traders check the current session times against their own platform clock rather than relying on fixed hours.

Optimal Trade Entry (OTE)

An optimal trade entry (OTE) is a type of Inner Circle trading strategy, found using Fibonacci retracement levels. After an inducement that prompts a displacement (leaving behind an FVG), traders use the Fibonacci retracement tool to pinpoint entry areas.
The Fibonacci tool is applied to the price move that created the displacement, from high to low in a bearish move and from low to high in a bullish move. Traders typically focus on the 61.8% to 78.6% retracement zone as a potential entry area.
Traders may also look for an order block or fair value gap within the ICT OTE zone. When these concepts overlap, they can provide additional confirmation for the setup.
Balanced Price Range (BPR)

A balanced price range is a zone where price trades back and forth, rebalancing previous inefficiencies. Opposing displacements create overlapping FVGs, and the resulting zone shows where both directions have now traded. During this phase, price often oscillates between the extremes of the range as it works to resolve the imbalance.
A BPR gives traders defined boundaries rather than a single level. Reactions at the edges are watched for continuation, and a decisive move beyond either edge is read as the imbalance resolving in that direction.
ICT Trading Workflow
This is an analytical framework rather than a fixed rule set. Traders work through it in order, but each step involves judgment, and the sequence adapts to what the market is doing. It blends systematic market reading with judgment, context, and experience. The goal is to build a coherent narrative from higher-time-frame bias down to precise execution zones.
- Establishing a Higher Timeframe Bias
Traders begin by analysing the weekly, daily, and four-hour structure to identify the prevailing trend, key swing points, and major liquidity pools. This step frames whether the market is delivering higher or lower prices. - Marking Liquidity and Structural Levels
Traders identify buy-side and sell-side liquidity, including equal highs/lows, obvious stop clusters, and major swing points. Structural markers like BOS, CHoCH, and MSS may help traders understand whether momentum is intact or shifting. - Locating Imbalances and Institutional Footprints
Fair value gaps, order blocks, mitigation blocks, and displacements provide clues about where institutional orders may sit. Traders study how price reacts around these levels to understand whether smart money is adding to, mitigating, or closing positions. - Assessing Session Timing and Volatility Windows
Kill zones filter periods of heightened activity, potentially helping traders judge when ICT liquidity is likely to be taken. Timing adds context that chart patterns alone do not provide. - Building a Directional Narrative
Traders combine structural bias, liquidity targets, imbalances, and timing into a single market narrative. This sets expectations without forcing a mechanical decision. - Identify Potential Execution Zones
Areas such as retracements into order blocks, FVG fills, or OTE regions often align with points where momentum may resume. Traders use confluence, not a single signal, to refine these zones. - Review, Adapt, and ReassessAs price develops, traders reassess structure, liquidity, and displacement. The ICT strategy relies on active interpretation, so the process stays flexible.
Which Markets an ICT Concepts Be Used In?
ICT is built around price behaviour rather than the characteristics of any single market, so the same reading applies wherever there is enough participation to produce clean structure and visible liquidity.
ICT forex analysis is the most common application, particularly on major pairs, where session timing lines up directly with the London and New York kill zones. Index CFDs are the next most active area, since instruments tracking the S&P 500 or the DAX respond to the same session-driven volume. Commodities such as gold and oil, individual shares, and cryptocurrency* CFDs are all analysed with the same concepts, though liquidity and session behaviour vary between them.
Timeframes work the same way. Traders apply ICT concepts from the weekly chart down to the one-minute, usually running two or three timeframes together, with the higher one setting bias and the lower one refining entry areas. The shorter the timeframe, the more noise sits alongside the structure, which is why ICT concepts forex trading material tends to focus on the 15-minute to 1-hour range for execution.
What Challenges Do ICT Traders Face?
ICT presents several practical challenges because it demands strong chart interpretation skills and a good grasp of context. Traders often find the approach mentally demanding, especially when markets move quickly or produce conflicting signals.
Newer traders tend to struggle for a specific reason: individual concepts are easy to define, but they only make sense when combined, so learning definitions isn’t the same as being able to read a chart in real time.
The main challenges include:
- High complexity: ICT uses many concepts that interact with each other, so traders must read multiple layers of structure, liquidity, and imbalance at once.
- Context dependence: Signals rarely stand alone. Traders need to judge whether a displacement, BOS, or liquidity grab aligns with the broader narrative, which requires experience.
- Session-based variation: Price behaves differently across sessions, meaning traders must adapt to changing conditions rather than stick to fixed expectations.
- Discretion and nuance: ICT relies heavily on interpretation, so traders manage uncertainty and avoid forcing patterns that are not there.
- Emotional discipline: Because setups form quickly around liquidity events, traders face pressure to act without overreacting to noise.
ICT Trading Concepts: Advantages and Limitations
ICT trading offers a structured way to analyse price, but it also has clear limitations for traders to consider. The framework gives a detailed view of institutional behaviour, yet it remains demanding to apply consistently.
Advantages
- Institutional focus: ICT centres on how large players move price, giving traders a clearer read on why markets expand or reverse.
- Strong structural logic: Concepts like BOS, CHoCH, and MSS make trend shifts clearer than broad pattern-based methods.
- Precision in levels: Order blocks, liquidity pools, and FVGs provide well-defined areas that traders may use to take advantage of key price reactions.
- Multi-time-frame alignment: The framework links higher-time-frame bias with intraday execution, creating a coherent workflow.
Limitations
- Assumption of deliberate intent: ICT often interprets market moves as intentional actions by institutional traders, which may not always reflect how order flow actually operates.
- Steep learning curve: The depth of the framework means traders may require considerable time before applying it with consistency.
- Retrospective clarity: Many concepts appear clearer in hindsight, making them harder to apply consistently in real time.
- No fixed rules: The discretionary nature means consistency can be harder to maintain than with mechanical systems.
Whether ICT suits a particular trader depends less on the concepts themselves than on how they are used. This methodology rewards traders who are willing to tolerate uncertainty and form opinions based on multiple factors, and tends to disappoint those looking for a signal to enter a trade.
The Bottom Line
ICT trading brings market structure, liquidity, imbalances, and timing into a single framework for analysing price action. Rather than treating concepts such as BOS, order blocks, fair value gaps, and liquidity sweeps as isolated signals, traders can use them together to build a broader view of market direction and potential price reactions. As ICT relies heavily on interpretation, these concepts require practice and should be considered alongside appropriate risk management.
Traders interested in applying ICT concepts across forex and CFD markets can open an FXOpen account and access multiple markets with spreads from 0.0 pips and commissions from $1.50 per lot.
FAQs
What Is ICT Trading?
ICT (Inner Circle Trading) is a price-action methodology developed by Michael J. Huddleston. It focuses on market structure, liquidity, order blocks, fair value gaps, displacement, and session timing to analyse price movements and potential changes or continuations in market direction.
What Are the Main ICT Concepts?
The main ICT concepts include market structure, Break of Structure (BOS), Change of Character (CHoCH), Market Structure Shift (MSS), liquidity, order blocks, fair value gaps (FVGs), displacement, Optimal Trade Entry (OTE), and kill zones. Together, they form a framework for analysing price action.
What Is an ICT Trading Strategy?
An ICT trading strategy combines several concepts rather than relying on a single signal. Traders may establish a higher-timeframe bias, identify liquidity and market structure, and then look for potential entry areas using order blocks, fair value gaps, or OTE zones.
What Is the Difference Between ICT and SMC?
ICT (Inner Circle Trading) is a specific methodology developed by Michael J. Huddleston, while Smart Money Concepts (SMC) is a broader term for approaches that analyse price through liquidity and institutional market behaviour. They share concepts such as market structure, liquidity, and order blocks, while ICT uses specific terminology and models.
Is ICT Trading for Beginners?
ICT trading can be studied by beginners, but it involves numerous interconnected concepts and requires discretionary analysis. Understanding market structure, liquidity, and ICT price action first may make concepts such as order blocks, fair value gaps, and market structure shifts easier to interpret.
Does ICT Trading Use Indicators?
ICT trading primarily focuses on price action rather than technical indicators. Its core analysis is based on market structure, liquidity, imbalances, order blocks, and trading sessions. Some traders combine ICT concepts with indicators, but indicators are not central to the methodology.
Can ICT Concepts Be Used in Forex Trading?
Yes. ICT concepts are commonly applied to forex, as well as indices, commodities, shares, and other financial markets. Because the methodology focuses on price structure, liquidity, and timing, traders can analyse ICT concepts across different instruments and timeframes.
What Is the Difference Between BOS, CHoCH, and MSS?
A Break of Structure (BOS) generally indicates continuation of the existing market direction. A Change of Character (CHoCH) suggests that the current structure may be changing, while a Market Structure Shift (MSS) involves a structural change accompanied by strong displacement through a significant level.
What Is a Fair Value Gap in ICT Trading?
A Fair Value Gap (FVG) is a price imbalance created during a strong directional move. In ICT analysis, traders monitor these areas because price may later return to the gap before continuing or establishing a new direction.
Can ICT Be Combined With Other Trading Methods?
Yes. Traders may combine ICT concepts with other forms of technical analysis, such as support and resistance, trend analysis, or technical indicators. However, additional tools do not necessarily confirm an ICT setup, and each method should be assessed within the broader market context.
*Important: At FXOpen UK, Cryptocurrency trading via CFDs is only available to our Professional clients. They are not available for trading by Retail clients. To find out more information about how this may affect you, please get in touch with our team.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Crypto World
Israel’s biggest bank launches Galaxy crypto trading for BTC, ETH, SOL
Israel’s Bank Leumi is partnering with Galaxy Digital to bring crypto trading to its banking app, expanding digital asset access beyond institutions and into mainstream retail finance. The service is expected to launch in early 2027, allowing customers to buy, hold, and sell Bitcoin, Ether, and Solana directly through Leumi’s trading interface.
Leumi said customers of the bank and its Pepper mobile banking arm will be able to use a dedicated section within the Leumi Trade app for the three cryptocurrencies. The companies also framed the rollout as a first for an Israeli bank, while detailing how Galaxy will provide both trading capabilities and custody support.
Key takeaways
- Leumi and Galaxy Digital plan to offer crypto trading for Bitcoin, Ether, and Solana through the Leumi Trade app.
- Launch timing: early 2027, according to the companies’ announcement.
- GalaxyOne Institutional will be used for trading and related services, with Galaxy custody infrastructure supporting the setup.
- Leumi says it will be the first Israeli bank to provide digital asset trading to retail customers.
Leumi brings crypto trading into its retail app
Under the agreement announced Friday, Leumi will enable customers to access crypto markets for three major assets—Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH), and Solana (SOL)—via a dedicated section of the Leumi Trade application. The functionality is designed around three common user actions: buying, holding, and selling.
Leumi positioned the integration as an industry milestone in Israel, stating that it expects to be the first Israeli bank to offer digital-asset trading services to customers. The bank also emphasized its customer footprint, noting that it serves millions of clients across retail and business operations.
For market participants, the development is notable because it suggests regulated banks are continuing to build distribution channels for crypto rather than limiting participation to broker-dealers or crypto-native platforms. While the exact user experience and onboarding steps were not detailed in the announcement, the “through the bank’s app” approach is a meaningful shift in where retail crypto services are likely to be discovered and accessed.
Galaxy provides trading and custody infrastructure
The partnership is supported by two separate pillars of Galaxy’s platform. Leumi said it will use GalaxyOne Institutional for trading and related services. For custody and digital asset infrastructure, the companies said Galaxy’s custody platform—formerly known as GK8—will support the technical foundation behind the offering.
That separation matters from a risk and operations standpoint. Trading systems and custody systems typically require different controls, reporting, and security tooling, and the announcement indicates Leumi will be leveraging Galaxy’s established infrastructure rather than building a complete stack internally. For investors and users watching the space, this approach is often associated with faster deployment timelines and more consistent institutional-grade operational standards.
However, until closer to launch, key details remain unclear—such as whether the service will operate with specific regional restrictions, what user limits or compliance requirements will apply, and how the platform will handle order routing and settlement. Those elements could influence both customer demand and operational risk management when the service goes live.
Why the timing and partnership structure matter
The stated target—early 2027—places the Leumi rollout well into the future, giving the banks time to complete integration, compliance procedures, and security hardening. From an editorial perspective, the duration is also a reminder that bank-led crypto products are often slower-moving than crypto-native services, particularly when custody, reporting, and regulatory frameworks must be aligned.
Galaxy Digital’s role as the technology and liquidity partner also highlights how large crypto firms are increasingly positioning themselves as infrastructure providers to traditional finance. Rather than building standalone consumer exchanges, these collaborations aim to turn crypto market access into a feature inside existing banking channels.
That shift could be important for adoption. Bank apps typically come with established customer onboarding, payment rails, and support workflows. If Leumi’s offering proves smooth and reliable, it could reduce friction for mainstream users who want exposure to major cryptocurrencies but prefer the familiar interface of a regulated bank.
Galaxy’s recent performance underscores a volatile backdrop
The announcement arrives after Galaxy reported a challenging period for its broader business. According to Cointelegraph’s earlier coverage linked in the original report, Galaxy posted an $85 million net loss in Q2, which it attributed largely to declining digital asset prices. Despite the net loss, Galaxy’s digital assets segment generated $66 million in adjusted gross profit, reported as up 34% quarter-over-quarter.
This matters because it frames the partnership against a backdrop where the crypto market’s direction can swing profitability. Even so, the fact that Galaxy continued to report positive adjusted gross profit in the digital assets business suggests that trading and infrastructure services may remain comparatively resilient during down cycles—especially if counterparties and institutional users continue to operate.
For readers tracking Galaxy’s broader strategy, the Leumi deal reinforces an angle that the company has been pursuing for some time: using institutional infrastructure and market services to gain access to distribution partners. Galaxy Digital, founded and led by Mike Novogratz, began trading on the Nasdaq under the ticker GLXY in May 2025. Yahoo Finance data showed the stock at $21.38 on Friday morning, up about 2% on the day but down roughly 25% over the past year.
What to watch next
With an early-2027 launch horizon, the most important developments for customers and the market will be regulatory approvals, product design details inside Leumi Trade, and how Galaxy’s trading and custody components are integrated for a bank-grade user experience. Until then, investors should watch for additional partner announcements and any operational disclosures that clarify how Leumi plans to scale crypto access while managing custody, compliance, and liquidity requirements.
Crypto World
P2P.org lets Arkis clients trade against staked assets
P2P.org has integrated its staking infrastructure with Arkis, allowing institutional clients to use staked Solana and Avalanche assets as collateral while continuing to earn protocol rewards.
Summary
- Arkis clients can use staked Solana and Avalanche positions as collateral for trades.
- Margin is calculated against the aggregate risk of each client’s Arkis account.
- Validator downtime and slashing risk will affect how Arkis values the collateral.
- The integration is live through the Carry Trades section of Arkis Alpha.
P2P.org staking enters Arkis collateral system
P2P.org said in an Aug. 13 announcement that Arkis clients can now stake supported assets through its validator infrastructure and post the resulting positions as collateral without unstaking them first.
At launch, the integration supports Solana and Avalanche. P2P.org and Arkis did not say when other proof-of-stake networks might be added.
Once deposited, the staked asset and any trades backed by it sit within a single Arkis account. The prime broker calculates margin from the aggregate risk of the account instead of assessing each position separately at the trading venue where it is held.
Clients can therefore borrow against a supported staked position in the same way that they borrow against other collateral accepted by Arkis. According to the announcement, the asset continues generating protocol rewards while it supports the client’s trading positions.
The service is available through Carry Trades in Arkis Alpha. After a client selects a staked asset, the platform displays the strategies that accept it as collateral and provides the stated economics before capital is committed.
P2P.org supplies the non-custodial staking and validator infrastructure, while Arkis handles credit, collateral, and portfolio risk.
“Collateral is only as good as the operator standing behind it,” said Artemiy Parshakov, vice president of strategic solutions at P2P.org.
Parshakov added that staking can no longer be treated as a passive balance-sheet position once an institution borrows against it. According to the executive, P2P.org’s validator operations must meet the standards applied under Arkis’s credit and risk framework.
Arkis prices validator risk into margin
Adding staked assets to a margin account introduces risks that do not apply to cash or unstaked tokens. Proof-of-stake networks can penalize validators for conduct such as signing conflicting blocks or failing to meet certain network requirements.
Known as slashing, the penalty can reduce the number of tokens attached to a validator. Extended downtime can also reduce expected rewards, changing the value of a position used to support an open trade.
Arkis said its risk framework considers the quality of the staking operator when determining how the collateral should be treated. Slashing history and validator downtime are therefore assessed as margin inputs rather than excluded from the calculation.
“A growing share of institutional books sits in assets that earn yield, and credit providers have been slow to treat those positions as part of the portfolio they margin,” said Oleksandr Proskurin, chief product officer and co-founder of Arkis.
Proskurin said the integration places staked assets alongside the client’s other positions for margin purposes. Arkis chose P2P.org because the prime broker wanted to assess the operator behind the staked asset as part of its underwriting process, he added.
According to Arkis, the Spark-backed company has deployed more than $250 million in institutional credit since 2022 without recording bad debt. The figure is company-provided and was not independently verified in the announcement.
P2P.org reported that its validators operate across more than 40 proof-of-stake networks and secure over $10 billion in staked assets. The company also claimed that it has not recorded a slashing incident since its establishment in 2018 and serves more than 190 institutional clients.
Staked collateral keeps capital in use
Without such an arrangement, a fund may need to unstake an asset before using it as collateral elsewhere. Unstaking can involve a waiting period determined by the blockchain, during which the holder may lose access to trading opportunities or stop receiving some rewards.
The P2P.org integration allows the staked position to remain active while Arkis uses it to support other trades. Any rewards remain determined by the underlying protocol and can vary based on network conditions, the amount staked, validator performance, and protocol rules.
Using an earning asset as collateral does not remove liquidation or slashing risk. A decline in the token’s market price, a change in margin requirements, or a validator penalty could reduce the collateral supporting an open position.
The Arkis arrangement differs from restaking, in which an already-staked asset is used to secure additional blockchain services. As an August staking explainer detailed, restaking can expose an asset to several sets of slashing conditions when it secures multiple protocols.
Under the announced Arkis structure, the supported staked position serves as financial collateral within a prime brokerage account. The companies did not state that Solana or Avalanche assets would be restaked to secure another network.
P2P.org has used similar integrations to place its staking services inside existing institutional systems. In June, crypto.news reported that Taurus had integrated P2P.org validators with Taurus-PROTECT, allowing financial institutions to stake while retaining custody and control of their assets.
An earlier collaboration added P2P.org to Northstake’s ETH validator marketplace in January 2025. The companies said the marketplace was designed to provide regulated institutions with access to Ethereum validator infrastructure.
U.S. guidance covers some staking arrangements
For U.S. institutions, a May 2025 staff statement from the Securities and Exchange Commission’s Division of Corporation Finance addressed certain forms of protocol staking carried out directly or through a third-party operator.
The SEC staff statement said the protocol staking activities described in its analysis did not involve the offer and sale of securities. Its position covered some non-custodial arrangements in which token owners retain ownership and control of their assets and private keys while assigning validation rights to a node operator.
The division said its view depended on the specific facts and circumstances. Services that include additional business arrangements or depart from the activities described in the statement may require a separate legal assessment.
P2P.org describes its staking infrastructure as non-custodial, but neither company announced specific access for U.S. institutions or said that the Arkis integration had been assessed under U.S. securities law. The release also did not disclose whether geographic restrictions apply to Arkis Alpha.
In May 2025, the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency confirmed that national banks and federal savings associations may outsource permissible crypto activities to third parties when they maintain appropriate third-party risk controls. The OCC guidance addressed custody and transaction execution but did not approve P2P.org, Arkis, or the use of staked assets as trading collateral.
P2P.org separately announced an Aug. 11 partnership with BoulderTech to distribute staking and decentralized finance services in Argentina, Brazil, and Mexico. BoulderTech will connect the validator operator with regional exchanges, custodians, banks, asset managers, and funds, while both companies assess whether to deploy validator infrastructure at IRSA-backed facilities in Argentina.
Crypto World
Why Has the Yen Weakened After Intervention?
In this video, Gary Thomson explores why the Japanese yen has weakened again after briefly recovering following US-Japan currency intervention, with USD/JPY back above 159.
👉 Key topics covered:
✔️ Why the Yen Recovery Faded — The wide US-Japan rate gap continues to weigh on the yen and support carry trades.
✔️ Geopolitics and Oil — Middle East tensions and higher oil prices are adding pressure on Japan while supporting the dollar.
✔️ Investment Flows — Strong US investment, particularly in AI, continues to attract capital away from Japan.
✔️BoJ Rate Hike Expectations — Markets are increasingly pricing in a potential September rate hike, but could one move be enough to reverse the yen’s trend?
✔️Potential Intervention — With USD/JPY above 159, traders are watching for further action from the BoJ and Japanese authorities.
Interest-rate differentials, capital flows, geopolitical risks and intervention continue to drive the USD/JPY pair.
💬 Don’t forget to like, comment, and subscribe for more market insights every week.
Watch it now and stay updated with FXOpen.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Crypto World
Dario Amodei Claude AI Predicts the Next Chapter for XRP in 2026
Whales are absorbing more than 10 million tokens a day while exchange supply drains to a seven-year low. Claude AI predicts that squeeze matters, and the XRP price prediction lands at $1.30 to $1.40 by year-end 2026, with $1.35 as the realistic base case.
The regulatory piece is the largest variable. The Senate shelved the CLARITY Act on July 27, pushing that trigger to September.
Passage would classify XRP as a digital commodity under CFTC oversight. Claude notes allocators cite regulatory clarity as their single biggest blocker.

The supply side is already tightening without it. Exchange balances have fallen to 1.6 billion tokens, the lowest in seven years.
Speculative positioning is returning too. Binance futures open interest just hit a 30-day high despite flat spot action.
Claude calls the whole setup fragile rather than confident. That framing runs through the entire thesis.
The bear case has a hard number behind it. Weekly ETF inflows collapsed 93% to $1.01 million in the week of August 8.
The $0.99 to $1.00 shelf is the line that matters. A break below it puts $0.86 in play.
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XRP Price Prediction: Whales Are Loading While Washington Stalls Until September, Is Claude AI Predicts Happening?
The chart explains why the word fragile keeps appearing. XRP peaked above $3.55 last July and has declined for thirteen straight months.
October brought a violent single-candle drop toward $1.60. February broke the $1.80 region and carried price near $1.15.
Spring produced a range between $1.30 and $1.50. That looked like a floor until June broke it decisively.
Summer has been a steady grind lower with no bounce of consequence. Price now sits at the lowest point anywhere on this chart.
The close reads $1.00425, down 0.42% and $0.00426 on the session. The daily range covered $1.00281 to $1.01308.
Support sits at $1.00, then $0.99 as the shelf Claude flags, with $0.86 beneath it. Resistance appears at $1.10, then $1.20 and $1.40.
RSI reads 35.81 with its signal line above at 39.59. The oscillator trails by nearly 4 points, which keeps sellers firmly in control.
That reading sits just above oversold territory. Momentum is weak and still pointed lower.
Claude’s bull target sits 40% above a market making new lows. September is when Washington either supplies the catalyst or confirms the fragility.
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That matters when the asset is sitting on fragile support and the next major catalyst has a date attached to it. Kalshi turns those binary questions into tradable markets, giving users another way to act on the same thesis before it shows up in price.
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The post Dario Amodei Claude AI Predicts the Next Chapter for XRP in 2026 appeared first on Cryptonews.
Crypto World
StablecoinX holds 20% of ENA supply as shares jump 12%
StablecoinX shares have climbed more than 12% after the Nasdaq-listed company disclosed a 3-billion-token ENA treasury and reported its first quarterly results since going public.
Summary
- StablecoinX held approximately 3 billion ENA tokens, equal to about 20% of the total supply.
- The ENA treasury was valued at $218.4 million, or about $9.09 per Class A share.
- StablecoinX recorded a $34.2 million quarterly net loss, largely caused by a non-cash impairment charge.
- Infrastructure services produced $62,372 in revenue during the final two weeks of June.
StablecoinX values its ENA treasury at $218.4 million
StablecoinX said in its Aug. 14 quarterly results release that its ENA treasury totaled approximately 3 billion tokens at the end of the second quarter, giving the company control of roughly 20% of ENA’s 15 billion-token supply.
Using ENA’s June 30 closing price of $0.07204, StablecoinX valued the position at $218.4 million. The treasury was worth approximately $9.09 for each of the 24,029,375 Class A shares outstanding on that date, according to the company.
Around 284.95 million ENA tokens came from the Ethena Foundation as part of StablecoinX’s business combination. Cash and in-kind investments made by private investment in public equity participants accounted for another 2.75 billion tokens.
StablecoinX reported total assets of $232.6 million at quarter-end, including $18.9 million in cash and cash equivalents. Its balance sheet carried $212.9 million in digital intangible assets, consisting mainly of ENA recorded at cost after impairment.
Shares rose more than 12% during early U.S. trading on Friday following the results. The stock reaction came less than two months after StablecoinX completed its merger with special-purpose acquisition company TLGY Acquisition Corp.
As crypto.news reported in June, the business combination closed on June 25, with StablecoinX’s Class A shares and public warrants starting Nasdaq trading one day later under the symbols USDE and USDEW.
A non-cash ENA charge drove the quarterly loss
For the three months ended June 30, StablecoinX recorded a net loss of $34.2 million, equal to $15.27 per share. Most of the loss came from a $36.2 million impairment charge tied to its digital intangible assets rather than spending by its operating business.
After excluding the impairment and changes in the value of digital asset-related instruments and warrant liabilities, the company calculated an adjusted non-GAAP net loss of $188,204. StablecoinX had used $81,680 in cash for operating activities during the first six months of 2026.
Revenue remained limited because the company’s infrastructure operation only began producing income near the end of the reporting period. StablecoinX generated $62,372 from infrastructure services during the final two weeks of June, with no revenue reported from its other planned business lines.
Chief Executive Edward Chen described the quarter as StablecoinX’s first reporting period as a public company and said the completed merger had opened a stock-market route into yield-bearing digital dollar products.
“Our first quarter end as a public company reflects the successful close of our business combination.”
The company’s ENA position leaves its asset value and reported results closely tied to the market price of Ethena’s governance token. StablecoinX also identified ENA volatility, changing regulatory conditions, and difficulties launching its planned products as risks that could affect its financial performance.
For U.S. investors, StablecoinX provides exposure through Nasdaq-listed shares rather than requiring the direct purchase or custody of ENA. Its public status also requires the company to disclose financial results and material developments through filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Infrastructure services have processed $3 billion
Beyond the token treasury, StablecoinX operates a decentralized verifier node that checks and delivers cross-chain messages for Ethena products. The company said the node had verified more than 10,000 messages and surpassed $3 billion in cumulative cross-chain volume as of Aug. 12.
Every message verified by the node had been delivered successfully, according to StablecoinX. Fees from the infrastructure service are based on processed volume rather than the number of individual transactions.
During July, the company began rolling out a second business line through its StablecoinX Harness middleware platform. The initial phase launched on July 2, and StablecoinX signed its first Harness client eight days later.
Harness is designed as a single application programming interface through which companies can access payment routing, cross-chain bridging, liquidity, treasury management, and institutional reporting tools. StablecoinX also opened applications for a design partner program covering payments and agents, blockchain networks and protocols, and institutional users.
A third business line, Distribution Services, is planned for 2027, subject to market and regulatory conditions. StablecoinX said the service would give investors indirect access to USDe and could generate distribution and management fees from deployed capital.
Ethena has expanded institutional access to USDe
StablecoinX’s original treasury plan began with a $360 million PIPE financing announced in July 2025. A further $530 million round disclosed in September brought committed PIPE funding to approximately $890 million, with YZi Labs, Brevan Howard, Susquehanna Crypto, and IMC Trading among the participants.
The financing agreements called for part of the proceeds to purchase locked ENA at a discount from an Ethena Foundation subsidiary. StablecoinX also entered a long-term collaboration agreement that allows it to acquire additional tokens directly from Ethena under agreed terms.
While the treasury gives StablecoinX a large position in Ethena’s governance system, its operating plan depends on demand for USDe and other products connected to the protocol. USDe uses crypto assets, hedged derivative positions, and other backing arrangements to maintain its target value, while holders of its staked form, sUSDe, can receive rewards.
By July 31, USDe supply had settled at approximately $3.9 billion, according to StablecoinX. The protocol’s backing ratio stood near 101.7%, while the annual percentage yield on sUSDe increased from 3.8% to 4.1% during July. Ethena has generated more than $800 million in cumulative protocol fees and distributed over $750 million in ecosystem rewards since its launch.
Institutional distribution has continued despite the decline from USDe’s previous supply peak. In June, BlackRock integrated USDe into Aladdin, allowing financial institutions using its investment management platform to access the synthetic dollar through existing portfolio and risk systems.
Coinbase also introduced an Ethena-powered lending vault in June. The product lets users lend USDC through Morpho markets while Ethena-related assets form part of the vault’s collateral structure.
Ethena has since added FalconX to an institutional lending program that already included agreements with Anchorage Digital, Maple Institutional, and Coinbase Asset Management. Ethena’s June governance report placed institutional lending at approximately $310 million, or 6.9% of USDe’s backing portfolio.
Crypto World
Polymarket CLARITY Act Odds Crashed From 82% to Under 20%, Does September 15 Save the Bill?
Polymarket CLARITY Act odds being signed into law this year fell below 20% early this week. The decline followed months of uncertainty over whether the Senate can advance the crypto market-structure legislation.
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Polymarket CLARITY Act Odds: The Recess That Reset The Clock
The Senate adjourned for its August recess without a vote on the bill. Before lawmakers left town, Senate Majority Leader Thune scheduled a vote for September 15, American Banker reported.
American Banker described September 30 as the last clear deadline before Congress turns more fully toward campaigns and partisanship.
The scheduled September vote keeps the bill in play, but negotiations over its remaining provisions have yet to produce a final outcome.
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What Moved The Odds
Polymarket traders gave the bill a 20% chance of passing by year-end, down from a high of 82% on February 19.
The odds had declined since early May as the Senate calendar narrowed and lawmakers faced questions about assembling bipartisan support.

Senate negotiations have remained focused on unresolved ethics provisions. CoinDesk described the absence of bipartisan ethics language as one of the bill’s largest obstacles, while American Banker noted that a merged text combining the Banking and Agriculture Committee versions had recently been released.
What the Bill is Designed to Address
If enacted, the Clarity Act would establish a federal framework for digital-asset markets and draw a clearer line between assets regulated by the Securities and Exchange Commission and those overseen by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission.
Supporters of the measure argue that clearer statutory rules would reduce regulatory uncertainty and bring crypto activity onshore. They have also argued that legislation would provide durable rules rather than leaving the industry to operate under agency guidance.
The September 15 vote is the next scheduled milestone for the legislation. American Banker argued that September 30 is the last clear deadline before campaign considerations make further movement more difficult.
For now, the sub-20% Polymarket reading reflects skepticism about whether the Senate can resolve the outstanding issues and move the bill forward this year. The bill’s House passage, Senate committee approval and scheduled September vote show that the legislation remains active, but its unresolved ethics provisions continue to weigh on its prospects.
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The post Polymarket CLARITY Act Odds Crashed From 82% to Under 20%, Does September 15 Save the Bill? appeared first on Cryptonews.
Crypto World
Bank Leumi to Offer BTC, ETH and SOL Trading with Galaxy
Israel’s Bank Leumi has partnered with Galaxy Digital to let customers trade Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH), and Solana (SOL) through the bank’s investment platform, with the service expected to launch in early 2027.
The companies said Friday that customers of Leumi and Pepper, its mobile banking arm, will be able to buy, hold and sell the three cryptocurrencies through a dedicated section of the Leumi Trade app. Leumi and Galaxy said the rollout would make Leumi the first Israeli bank to offer digital asset trading services to customers.
Leumi will use GalaxyOne Institutional for trading and related services, while Galaxy’s custody infrastructure platform, formerly known as GK8, will support the bank’s digital asset infrastructure.
According to Leumi, the bank serves millions of customers across its retail and business operations.
The partnership comes after Galaxy reported an $85 million net loss in the second quarter, which it attributed largely to declining digital asset prices. Despite the loss, its digital assets business generated $66 million in adjusted gross profit, up 34% from the previous quarter.
Galaxy Digital, founded and led by Mike Novogratz, began trading on the Nasdaq under the ticker GLXY in May 2025. Its shares were trading at $21.38 on Friday morning, up about 2% on the day but down roughly 25% over the past year, according to Yahoo Finance data.
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Crypto World
XRP Price Falls Below $1 Again Despite Record Network Adoption
XRP price slipped below $1 again in the past 24 hours, despite record adoption metrics across the XRP Ledger (XRPL). The altcoin is currently testing a level it defended for years.
The breakdown complicates a thesis built almost entirely on institutional demand and network growth.
What the Price Action Actually Shows
A psychological support level is a round number that traders defend collectively, often regardless of underlying fundamentals. XRP has held above $1 for 635 consecutive days.
The streak ended on August 11. The token printed $0.9915, its first move below the level since November 2024. Each return to that zone carries weight. Repeated tests suggest sellers keep probing for weakness beneath a floor that once looked solid.
The symbolism cut deeper than the arithmetic. At the recent low, XRP briefly traded below RLUSD, Ripple’s own dollar stablecoin. Technical levels now define the range.
Analysts identify $0.70 to $0.90 as the next support, with a broader zone extending toward $0.86 if selling accelerates.
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Reclaiming ground requires specific progress. Buyers would need to push above $1.03 to meaningfully improve the short-term structure.
Fund flows offer little encouragement. Spot product net inflows totaled $3.27 million so far in August, down roughly 88% from the $27.29 million recorded in July, according to SoSoValue data.
The Case Analysts Keep Defending
Some analysts point elsewhere entirely. The monthly relative strength index reached its most extreme reading in twelve years, deeper than the pandemic crash or the 2018 bear market.
Institutional adoption anchors their case. Aviva Investors, which manages $351 billion, launched a tokenized fund on the XRP Ledger with approval from the Central Bank of Ireland.
Ecosystem metrics reinforce that argument. Real-World Assets value on the XRPL sits near $4.06 billion, after adding roughly $2.5 billion over six months.
“…The bears say the ledger can succeed without the token capturing value. The bulls say the settlement layer of the bridge currency function create structural demand that grows with adoption. Both arguments have merit. The honest answer is that the token network relationship is genuinely unresolved and at historic RSI lows with institutional adoption accelerating the riskreward for being wrong on the bearish side is significant…,” Lark Davis said.
On-chain data shows accumulation, too. Santiment recorded 32 new wallets holding at least 1 million XRP over three months, though single entities can control multiple addresses.
One structural detail complicates the thesis considerably. Ripple’s ten major institutional deals during 2026 all settled in RLUSD rather than XRP. That fact anchors the bearish case. The XRPL can grow commercially while the token captures little of that activity, since institutions need infrastructure rather than the asset.
Analyst targets diverge accordingly. Standard Chartered maintains $2.80 while analyst Ali Martinez flags downside risk toward $0.62. History provides an uncomfortable reference.
XRP lost 95%of its value in the two years following its 2018 peak, and it currently trades roughly 72.5% below its July 2025 record, according to BeInCrypto data.
The disconnect defines everything now. Adoption data shows where infrastructure gets built, not whether holders eventually see that value reflected in price.
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The post XRP Price Falls Below $1 Again Despite Record Network Adoption appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
China Injected $52 Billion and Bitcoin Fell, Three More Days Are Scheduled
China’s central bank injected a net 348 billion yuan, about $51.7 billion, into its banking system on Friday. Bitcoin (BTC) fell 1.7% anyway.
It was the first mid-month use of overnight reverse repos by the People’s Bank of China (PBOC), according to Bloomberg. Three more injection days are already booked, each capped near $88 billion.
Beijing Already Booked Three More Injection Days
Start with what the tool actually does. An overnight reverse repo is a one-day loan from the central bank to commercial banks. The banks repay it the next morning.
Two days before Friday, the PBOC published its schedule. It would lend on August 14, then again from August 17 through August 19, local media reported.
Each day carries a ceiling of 600 billion yuan, close to $88 billion. Friday used only 58% of that room.
Add up all four days and the ceiling reaches 2.4 trillion yuan. That is a liquidity corridor, not a one-off gesture.
The corridor exists because Beijing has stopped cutting rates. The PBOC has held its one-year benchmark lending rate at a record low 3% since May 2025. Plumbing has replaced rate cuts.
China’s Bond Market Broke Ranks With Everyone Else
Domestic bonds moved first. China’s 10-year government bond yield slipped to 1.68%, its lowest since July 2025. A government bond auction the same day drew the weakest 10-year yields in over a year.
Now compare that with the United States. The 10-year Treasury yield sat near 4.63%. The gap between the two is roughly 295 basis points.
Japan’s 10-year yield closed at 2.87% on Thursday, still near multi-year highs. Bitcoin trades against that global cost of money, not China’s.
Rising Western borrowing costs have squeezed risk assets all year. The highest 30-year Treasury yield since 2007 arrived in July. Bitcoin has traded heavily since.
Currency stress added to the strain. Traders watched yen intervention fade again this month, and global funding stayed tight.
Whether Any of This Cash Reaches Bitcoin
There is now a precedent worth checking. The PBOC launched this tool on June 29 with 300 billion yuan, about $44 billion. Bitcoin fell then too. BTC dropped 2.26% to $58,504 by the following morning, according to Fortune data.
Two injections, two declines. The sample is small, but it is the only direct evidence available.
The longer view reads differently. Bitcoin has gained roughly 7% since that June operation. Slow drift, not injection-day pops.
Analysts describe Friday as tuning rather than easing. Mid-month tax bills drain cash from banks, and the PBOC refilled the hole.
“The stance toward liquidity management appears unchanged, in that the PBOC aims to smooth liquidity but not overflood the market,” said Frances Cheung, head of foreign exchange and rates strategy at Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp., in published remarks.
Capital controls are the harder barrier. Chinese banks cannot send reserves to offshore crypto markets. Domestic trading stays banned.
Any effect on Bitcoin therefore arrives indirectly, through mood and currency markets. Crypto has leaned on that hope before. Last November, central banks flooded markets on both sides of the Pacific, and bulls read it as a starting gun.
Still, calmer funding costs matter to leveraged traders.
“The better-anchored market repo rates, with likely lessened volatility of overnight funding costs ahead, could lift conviction in carry trades in the near term,” Jeffrey Zhang, strategist at Credit Agricole CIB, in the same report.
Carry trades borrow cheap money in one currency to buy assets elsewhere, including Bitcoin near $62,800. Steadier overnight rates in China trim one cost in that chain.
Monday brings July activity data and the next injection window. China grew 4.3% in the second quarter, its weakest pace since late 2022. July consumer prices also missed forecasts.
Friday delivered the cash and Bitcoin still dropped. If Chinese liquidity can move global risk appetite, Aug. 17 through Aug. 19 should prove it.
The post China Injected $52 Billion and Bitcoin Fell, Three More Days Are Scheduled appeared first on BeInCrypto.
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American Bankers Association CEO tells CNBC "There's a lot of good in the Clarity Act" 
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