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What’s the Most Likely Scenario for BTC After Reclaiming $70K

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What's the Most Likely Scenario for BTC After Reclaiming $70K

Bitcoin has bounced hard after the liquidation washout in February and is trying to rebuild a short-term uptrend. The asset is now pushing into a heavy resistance band where the last breakdown started, so this move looks more like a recovery leg inside a broader corrective structure than a clean trend reversal.

The key question is whether buyers can turn this squeeze into sustained demand or if it stalls where trapped holders are waiting to sell.

Bitcoin Price Analysis: The Daily Chart

On the daily timeframe, BTC has rallied from the major demand area around $60,000 toward the $72,000 to $75,000 resistance zone. It lines up with the lower part of the previous distribution range and sits just below the declining 100-day moving average, which still caps the medium term trend to the downside.

The price has also climbed back to the upper band of the falling channel that has guided the downtrend since late last year, so this area is where analysts usually ask if the move is just a relief rally or the start of a larger base. A daily close above this resistance cluster and a clean breakout of the channel would be the first real signal that sellers are losing control, and that a new bullish market is in the making.

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BTC/USDT 4-Hour Chart

On the 4-hour chart, the drop from early February has turned into a broad consolidation inside a symmetrical triangle that was broken upward in the past few days. The price squeezed out of the contracting range and ran straight into the upper green zone, where it is now moving sideways under roughly $73,000 to $75,000.

The 4-hour RSI is in the strong region and has reached the overbought zone after a sharp vertical leg, which often leads to either a pause or a short-term pullback before any further push higher.

Yet, as long as Bitcoin holds above the broken triangle and the bullish imbalances formed around $70,000, the path of least resistance stays toward a retest of the upper resistance, but a failure back inside the old range would warn that the breakout was mainly a squeeze, and that more downside is probable.

Sentiment Analysis

Bitcoin funding rates across futures exchanges flipped deeply negative during the recent consolidation after the crash, and have stayed mostly below or around zero even while the price bounced. This indicates that many traders are paying to hold short positions into the lows and are now being forced to cover as the market moves against them, which fits the idea of a squeeze-driven rebound rather than a pure fresh spot demand.

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The fact that funding is only slowly creeping back toward neutral shows that there is still caution and even residual bearish positioning in the derivatives market.

If this rally continues while funding remains modest, it suggests the move is being supported by real buying and unwinding of crowded shorts, but if funding spikes positive quickly near resistance levels, it would signal that late longs are chasing and that the risk of another shakeout is rising.

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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.

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Crypto World

Coinbase Not Supporting New Crypto Bill Compromise: Report

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Coinbase, Senate, Legislation, Bills

Crypto exchange Coinbase is reportedly against the latest compromise over stablecoin yields that the Senate is looking to include in its crypto market structure bill.

Coinbase representatives told Senate lawmakers in a meeting Monday that they had concerns over the language around stablecoin yields in the new compromise version of the bill, Punchbowl News reported Wednesday, citing four people briefed on the exchange.

A proposal that circulated earlier this week would have reportedly prevented third parties, such as exchanges, from paying stablecoin yields, a measure aimed at addressing banks’ concerns over the risk of deposit flight.

Coinbase is one of the largest crypto lobbyists in the US, and its withdrawal of support for the bill in January came just before the Senate Banking Committee indefinitely postponed a markup to advance the legislation.

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Republican Senator Thom Tillis and Democratic Senator Angela Alsobrooks are leading the latest effort to advance the bill, and talks are reportedly ongoing. Coinbase did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

Coinbase, Senate, Legislation, Bills
Senator Alsobrooks, pictured at a banking event in early March, said the compromise bill may leave both crypto and the banks unhappy. Source: American Bankers Association

Yield fight plagues Senate bill

The fight between the crypto and banking lobbies over the Senate’s bill, which aims to outline how regulators should approach crypto, has largely revolved around stablecoin yields.

The White House has hosted at least three meetings for the groups to agree on a compromise, which has yet to materialize.

Banking groups argue that stablecoin yield payments by exchanges are a loophole in the GENIUS Act, which banned stablecoin issuers from paying yield to holders, and present a risk of deposit flight from the banking system.

Stablecoin yields are a major business for crypto exchanges, and the crypto lobby has argued that the risks are overstated and has accused the banks of anticompetitive behavior.

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Related: CLARITY Act 2026 odds ‘extremely low’ if not passed before April: Exec

Republicans are pushing to pass the bill ahead of the midterms, where the makeup of Congress could change and derail momentum around the legislation. The House passed its version of the bill, called the CLARITY Act, in July.

Patrick Witt, the executive director of the President’s Council of Advisors for Digital Assets, posted to X on Wednesday that there was “plenty of uninformed FUD [fear, uncertainty and doubt] circulating on social media this week.”

“It’s all going to work out. Bullish,” he added.

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Republican Senator Cynthia Lummis also posted to X on Wednesday that “we can’t wait until 2030 for another chance” to pass the crypto bill. 

“Bipartisan compromise is necessary for the Clarity Act to pass,” she added. “We’re working around the clock to ensure stablecoin rewards are protected and to prevent deposit flight from community banks.”

Magazine: How crypto laws changed in 2025 — and how they’ll change in 2026