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Why Is Crypto Up: BTC USD Decoupling From Gold Amid Heated Israel-Iran War

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The question on every trader's lips this Monday is 'Why is crypto up?', with data suggesting an institutional rotation from gold to BTC USD

The Bitcoin price shattered the $74,000 ceiling on Monday, posting its highest daily close since early February 2026, while gold prices retreated. While BTC USD has since dropped to $73,700, traders have been left asking ‘Why is crypto up?’

This move signals a decisive shift in asset correlations as institutional capital rotates from precious metals back into digital assets following weeks of consolidation.

Bitcoin surged to an intraday high of $74,150, marking a +7.5% single-day rally that has effectively erased the losses sustained in late February.

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Trading volume on the day exploded to $70.8Bn, a liquidity spike that validates the breakout above the consolidated $68,000–$72,000 range.

The question on every trader's lips this Monday is 'Why is crypto up?', with data suggesting an institutional rotation from gold to BTC USD
SOURCE: TradingView

Why is Crypto Up? Is Bitcoin Replacing Gold as the Crisis Hedge?

The most compelling narrative driving this rally is the Crypto Decoupling from traditional precious metals. Historically, Bitcoin and gold have moved in tandem during periods of geopolitical uncertainty. However, recent data suggest a structural break in this relationship.

Institutional flows tell the story clearly. While gold ETFs saw net outflows of approximately -$400M last week, US-based Spot Bitcoin ETFs absorbed +$750M in net new capital over the same five-day period, per CoinGlass data.

This divergence suggests that sophisticated allocators are increasingly viewing Bitcoin as a high-beta risk-off asset rather than merely a speculative tech play. The Gold vs Bitcoin debate has shifted from theoretical store-of-value arguments to visible liquidity preferences in the ETF market.

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Analysts at JPMorgan have previously noted this rotation, highlighting that younger demographics and tech-forward hedge funds prefer Bitcoin’s portability and verifiability over the logistical drag of gold.

DISCOVER: The 16 Best Meme Coins to Buy in March 2025

Institutional ETF Flows Signal Renewed Accumulation

The question on every trader's lips this Monday is 'Why is crypto up?', with data suggesting an institutional rotation from gold to BTC USD
SOURCE: CoinGlass

The engine behind this move is unmistakably institutional. Institutional ETF Flows have turned aggressively positive after a month of stagnation, with five consecutive green days.

BlackRock’s IBIT and Fidelity’s FBTC led the charge, accounting for nearly 70% of the recent inflows, which stand at a combined +$750M.

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On-chain data corroborates this buying behavior. Large Bitcoin holders have started accumulating again as the asset stabilized above $71,000, creating a floor regarding ‘whale’ support layers.

According to Santiment data, wallets holding between 1,000 and 10,000 BTC added significantly to their stacks in the 48 hours preceding the breakout, suggesting insider confidence or smart money positioning ahead of the move.

This accumulation is happening despite lingering geopolitical fears. In fact, analyzing Bitcoin’s resilience during geopolitical tensions reveals that the market is pricing in long-term monetary debasement over short-term conflict risk.

Bitcoin Price Prediction: Bull vs Bear Scenarios

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After asking themselves, ‘Why is crypto up?’, traders are now adjusting targets as market analysis shifts from recovery to expansion. Bulls aim to turn the $73,000 level from resistance to support.

Bull Scenario: If Bitcoin closes the day above $73,500, it could target the $76,000-$78,000 supply zone. A strong hold here could invalidate the lower-high structure from early 2026, bringing the psychological $80,000 level into play.

Bear Scenario: Falling below $71,500 could indicate a liquidity grab or “bull trap,” leading to a quick drop to the $68,200 demand zone. Low-volume dips are potential buying opportunities, while high-volume rejections may signal the end of the current uptrend.

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Upcoming Federal Reserve meeting minutes on March 17-18 could act as a catalyst. If hints at continued rate pauses emerge, the risk-on environment may push targets toward $78,000. The key question is whether retail enthusiasm will match institutional buying; until then, volatility is likely.

EXPLORE: Best Crypto Presales to Buy in 2026

The post Why Is Crypto Up: BTC USD Decoupling From Gold Amid Heated Israel-Iran War appeared first on Cryptonews.

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Fed headlines central bank rate decisions, Gemini earnings: Crypto Week Ahead

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Fed headlines central bank rate decisions, Gemini earnings: Crypto Week Ahead

The week could prove pivotal for markets, including bitcoin , with the U.S. Federal Reserve among seven major central banks set to announce interest-rate decisions while war-driven oil price gains threaten to reignite inflation in the global economy.

Most of the central banks are expected to keep interest rates steady, but hawkish comments from policymakers, driven by inflation concerns, could trigger downside volatility across risk assets.

While reflationary environments have historically supported bitcoin, rising inflation expectations are pushing bond yields higher and tightening financial conditions, André Dragosch, European head of research at Bitwise, told CoinDesk. Those conditions generally make riskier investments less attractive.

Still, geopolitical tensions are currently dominating the market backdrop, according to Dragosch. Historically, such shocks tend to fade quickly, and bitcoin has often delivered above-average returns after periods of elevated geopolitical risk.

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“Investors should generally fade these kinds of events and view them as short-term buying opportunities,” Dragosch said.

Bitcoin is trading at what Dragosch called the “biggest macro discount” on record, with sentiment near FTX-collapse lows. “We are probably closer to the bottom than the top,” he said.

What to Watch

(All times ET)

  • Crypto
    • March 17: Lava Network (LAVA) to expand with 17 new chain integrations and nine new blockchain ecosystems.
    • March 19: Walrus (WAL) final deadline for Tusky users to migrate their data.
    • March 23: Backpack token generation event occurs, with 250 million tokens (25% of total supply) to be distributed.
  • Macro
    • March 16, 8:30 a.m.: Canada consumer price index (CPI) YoY for February (Prev. 2.3%)
    • March 17, 4:30 a.m.: Reserve Bank of Australia interest rate decision est. 4.1% (Prev. 3.85%)
    • March 17, 10:00 a.m.: U.S. Pending Home Sales MoM for February (Prev. -0.8%)
    • March 18, 6 a.m.: Eurozone consumer price index (CPI) for February. MoM est. 0.7% (Prev. -0.6%); YoY est. 1.9% (Prev. 1.7%)
    • March 18, 8:30 a.m.: U.S. PPI for February. YoY est. 3.7% (Prev. 3.6%); Core PPI YoY est. 3.2% (Prev. 3.6%)
    • March 18, 9:45 a.m.: Bank of Canada interest rate decision Est. 2.25% (Prev. 2.25%)
    • March 18, 10:00 a.m.: U.S. Factory Orders MoM for January (Prev. -0.7%)
    • March 18, 2:00 p.m.: Fed interest rate decision Est. 3.50%-3.75% (Prev. 3.50%-3.75%); FOMC economic projections
    • March 18, 2:30 p.m.: Fed Chair press conference
    • March 18, 5:30 p.m.: Central Bank of Brazil Selic rate decision Est. 14.50% (Prev. 15%)
    • March 18, 11 p.m.: Bank of Japan interest rate decision Est. 0.75% (Prev. 0.75%)
    • March 19, 4:30 a.m.: Swiss National Bank interest rate decision Est. 0% (Prev. 0%)
    • March 19, 8 a.m.: Bank of England interest rate decision Est. 3.75% (Prev. 3.75%).
    • March 19, 8:30 a.m.: U.S. Initial Jobless Claims for week ending March 14 Est. 215K (Prev. 213K)
    • March 19, 8:30 a.m.: U.S. Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index for March (Prev. 16.3)
    • March 19, 9:15 a.m.: ECB interest rate decision for main refinancing rate Est. 2.15% Prev. 2.15%
    • March 19, 4:30 p.m.: Fed Balance Sheet for week ending March 18 (Prev. $6.65T)
    • March 20, 8:30 a.m.: Canada PPI YoY (Prev. 5.4%); MoM (Prev. 2.7%)

Earnings (Estimates based on FactSet data)

  • March 16: Bakkt Holdings (BKKT), post-market, -$0.47
  • March 16: Bitcoin Depot (BTM), pre-market, -$0.47
  • March 16: Cango (CANG), post-market, -$0.34
  • March 17: CEA Industries (BNC), post-market, $0.69
  • March 18: Bitfarms (BITF), pre-market, -$0.03
  • March 19: Gemini Space Station (GEMI), post-market, -$0.91
  • March 20: BitFuFu (FUFU), pre-market, $0.01

Token Events

  • Governance votes & calls
    • March 17: Mantle (MNT) to host State of Mind Ep. 07, discussing CeDeFi milestones and DeFi strategies.
    • March 18: Jupiter (JUP) to hold its weekly Planetary Call community session with team updates.
    • March 18: head of marketing & PR to discuss ecosystem updates.
    • Decentraland DAO is voting on whether to allow registered users to customize the color of their avatar name tag and to add a more accessible volume slider to the UI sidebar. Voting ends March 16 and 17.
    • Convex Finance is voting on Curve and Frax gauge weight allocations for the week of March 12, directing vlCVX voting power across hundreds of liquidity pools. It’s also voting on FXN gauge weight allocations for the same period. Voting ends March 17.
    • Aavegotchi DAO is voting to finalize its 2026–2027 multisig signers election, preserving the 5-of-9 threshold and setting quarterly signer compensation. Voting ends March 17.
    • Aavegotchi DAO is running Ballot 3 to elect seven of the remaining 10 nominees as multi-sig signers, completing the nine-signer roster for the DAO Foundation wallet. Voting ends March 17.
    • Aura Finance is voting on Balancer gauge weight allocations for the week of March 12, directing vlAURA voting power across Balancer pools on Ethereum, Arbitrum, Optimism, Gnosis, Base and Avalanche. Voting ends March 17.
    • ShapeShift DAO is voting on establishing and funding a new International UX workstream for six months to maintain professional multilingual translations of the ShapeShift app and website. Voting ends March 17.
    • WalletConnect Network is voting on allocating 50 million WCT tokens as a dedicated rewards budget for WalletConnect Pay in 2026. Voting ends March 18.
    • ENS is voting on a one-time transfer of 900,000 USDC from the ENS Endowment to wallet.ensdao.eth to cover a shortfall in stream payments owed to ENS Labs. Voting ends March 18.
    • Cratos DAO is voting on extending the current mobile app reward standard deadline by one month to April 30, 2026. Voting ends March 19.
    • Lightchain AI DAO is voting on a temporary 90-day team authority proposal, which grants the core team temporary operational authority for 90 days to make day-to-day and strategic decisions. Voting ends March 22.
  • Unlocks
    • March 16: Arbitrum (ARB) to unlock 1.78% of its circulating supply worth $9.65 million.
    • March 20: LayerZero (ZRO) to unlock 5.64% of its circulating supply worth $52.45 million.
  • Token Launches

Conferences

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Robert Kiyosaki Invests Millions in Bitcoin and Gold Ahead of Predicted 2026 Crash

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR

  • On March 15, Robert Kiyosaki issued warnings about an intensifying financial “giant crash”
  • The author highlighted panic in private credit markets and distress among leading banks
  • Kiyosaki deployed millions to acquire oil assets, precious metals, Bitcoin, and Ethereum
  • He contrasted his investment strategy with Warren Buffett’s cash-heavy approach
  • The financial educator forecasts higher valuations for gold, silver, and Bitcoin post-crash

The bestselling author of Rich Dad Poor Dad, Robert Kiyosaki, issued fresh concerns on March 15 about an escalating financial crisis. His warnings focused on turbulence in private credit markets and mounting pressure on established banking institutions.

“Crash accelerates,” he wrote on X. “Private credit funds are panicked as investors withdraw their money. Major big-name banks and brand-name financial institutions are in trouble.”

Kiyosaki also referenced economist Jim Rickards, noting that he has officially proclaimed the United States has entered a “New Depression.”

In response to these conditions, Kiyosaki revealed he deployed millions of dollars in capital last week. His purchases included additional oil wells, precious metals, and cryptocurrency holdings.

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“Last week I took millions in cash and purchased more oil wells, more gold, silver, and bitcoin,” he wrote.

The financial educator confirmed he’s also accumulating Ethereum as part of his diversified acquisition strategy.

Kiyosaki referenced Warren Buffett’s well-known cash accumulation strategy, recognizing it as a tactical approach to maintain liquidity and acquire undervalued assets when markets decline.

Kiyosaki vs. Buffett: Two Different Crash Strategies

Buffett’s company, Berkshire Hathaway, has been building its cash position for some time. Kiyosaki acknowledged the logic, saying “Cash is not trash in a crash.”

However, Kiyosaki emphasized that his investment philosophy differs fundamentally. Rather than stockpiling currency, he’s converting it into tangible assets.

“I doubt Warren Buffett would do what I do,” he wrote.

For investors lacking a clear strategy, Kiyosaki provided straightforward guidance. He suggested that remaining on the sidelines might be the wisest choice during market turbulence for those without a defined plan.

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The author also highlighted Middle East geopolitical instability as an influencing factor. He noted that persistent attacks on oil tankers navigating the Strait of Hormuz are elevating crude prices, which directly benefits his Texas-based oil well investments.

Why Kiyosaki Keeps Buying Bitcoin

Kiyosaki has maintained a vocal stance on Bitcoin acquisitions for multiple years. He consistently categorizes it alongside precious metals as a “real asset” due to its mathematically limited supply of 21 million coins.

He has repeatedly stated his conviction that Bitcoin represents a superior investment compared to gold. Market corrections, according to him, present optimal opportunities to expand holdings.

His Bitcoin-related statements have attracted scrutiny for apparent contradictions. One post claimed he never purchased Bitcoin above $6,000, while subsequent posts documented purchases at significantly elevated price levels.

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Regardless of the debates, he continues to publicly endorse Bitcoin and Ethereum as fundamental components of his investment approach.

Kiyosaki maintains his belief that valuations for gold, silver, and Bitcoin will surge following a substantial market crash. While acknowledging his predictions could prove incorrect, he expresses strong confidence in his current positions.

The financial author initially forecast his “giant crash” scenario in his 2013 publication Rich Dad’s Prophecy. His warnings have intensified in frequency as 2026 approaches.

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Australian Senate Committee Backs Digital Assets Framework Bill

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Australian Senate Committee Backs Digital Assets Framework Bill

Australia’s Senate Economics Legislation Committee has backed a bill that would require crypto exchanges and tokenization platforms to comply with the country’s existing financial services regime, recommending that the Corporations Amendment (Digital Assets Framework) Bill 2025 be passed. 

The move on March 16 brings Australia a step closer to a bespoke licensing framework for “digital asset platforms” (DAPs) and “tokenised custody platforms” (TCPs), aimed at closing gaps in oversight of platforms that hold customer assets following the collapses of high‑profile digital asset businesses, such as FTX.

The bill, first introduced by Assistant Treasurer and Financial Services Minister Daniel Mulino in November 2025, would treat DAPs and TCPs as financial products under the Corporations Act and Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) Act, pushing most centralized exchanges and tokenized custody businesses that hold client assets into the Australian Financial Services Licence regime.

Related: Ripple targets April for Australian financial license via acquisition

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Licensed platforms must meet ASIC-set custody and settlement standards, comply with tailored disclosure rules for retail clients, and operate under platform‑specific conduct and governance requirements, while small providers with annual transaction thresholds under 10 million Australian dollars ($7 million) and some public blockchain infrastructure are exempt.

Australia’s Senate Economics Legislation Committee report. Source: Parliament of Australia

Industry groups warnings around terminology

Industry groups cited in the report, such as law firm Piper Alderman, warned that the broad “digital token” and “factual control” tests could inadvertently include wallet software and infrastructure providers in non-unilateral-control setups, including common multi‑party computation (MPC) configurations.

US blockchain firm Ripple Labs backed “control” as the “appropriate nexus” for the regulatory perimeter, but argued that the bill needed to better accommodate modern security architectures such as MPC wallets.

It warned that, on a strict reading of the “factual control” test, technology‑only providers holding a single key shard could be misclassified as regulated custodians, and urged lawmakers to clarify that an entity does not exercise factual control unless it can unilaterally transfer an asset without the client’s cooperation.

Related: Australia warns of AI, ‘finfluencers’ as Gen Z crypto ownership reaches 23%

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The committee acknowledged these concerns, but sided with Treasury’s plan to refine the perimeter through future regulations rather than rewriting the core definitions.

Coinbase hails progress but warns on debanking risk

In an email statement to Cointelegraph, Coinbase Australia director and APAC managing director John O’Loghlen welcomed the recommendation as “an important step for Australia’s standing in the global digital economy.” He argued that the country had the capital and talent to lead in digital assets, but still needed clear rules to unlock that potential.

O’Loghlen also warned that “the anti-competitive practice of debanking is rampant despite the government endorsing measures to address it back in 2022,” and urged Canberra to prioritize implementing the Council of Financial Regulators’ recommendations.

With the committee’s backing in hand, the bill now moves to the Senate for debate and a final vote at a later date.

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