Connect with us

Crypto World

Why March Could End Bitcoin’s Five-Month Losing Streak

Published

on

Bitcoin Price vs. ISM PMI Index. Source: Joe Consorti

Bitcoin stands at a sensitive stage after a prolonged decline. However, several macroeconomic and on-chain signals suggest a strong reversal is possible. Many analysts even expect a medium-term recovery that could last several months.

Below are three main reasons why many analysts believe in this recovery scenario.

Correlation Between Bitcoin and the ISM Manufacturing PMI

First, the US ISM Manufacturing PMI recorded its second consecutive month of expansion. According to the latest report from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM), the February 2026 PMI reached 52.4%. Although the figure declined slightly from 52.6% in the previous month, it still exceeded market expectations of 51.8%.

This marks the second consecutive reading above 50. It ends a three-year contraction in the US manufacturing sector. The rise in this index suggests an environment in which investors expand their risk appetite. That condition creates room for capital to flow into Bitcoin.

Advertisement

Analyst Joe Consorti highlighted the correlation between this index and Bitcoin’s price in previous cycles. He suggested that the current setup signals a potential trend reversal.

“Historically, this has lined up with the early start of BTC bull markets (excluding 2022),” Joe Consorti commented.

Bitcoin Price vs. ISM PMI Index. Source: Joe Consorti
Bitcoin Price vs. ISM PMI Index. Source: Joe Consorti

Bitcoin’s Inter-Exchange Flow Pulse (IFP) Signals a Shift in Sentiment

Second, analyst CW believes a “golden cross” is about to appear on Bitcoin’s Inter-Exchange Flow Pulse (IFP) indicator.

CryptoQuant, an on-chain data and analytics platform, explains that IFP measures Bitcoin flows between spot and derivatives exchanges.

This flow data reflects market sentiment. When a large amount of Bitcoin moves to derivatives exchanges, the indicator signals a bullish phase. Traders transfer coins to open long positions in the derivatives market.

In contrast, when Bitcoin flows from derivatives exchanges to spot exchanges, the indicator signals the start of a bearish phase. This situation often occurs when traders close long positions, and large investors reduce their risk exposure.

Advertisement
Bitcoin’s Inter-Exchange Flow Pulse. Source: CryptoQuant
Bitcoin’s Inter-Exchange Flow Pulse. Source: CryptoQuant

In the past, this signal preceded strong recoveries from 2023 to 2025. Currently, after 1 year of correction, the golden cross is approaching. If the crossover receives confirmation, it would suggest the beginning of a new bullish cycle for Bitcoin.

“The golden cross is imminent in the BTC Inter-exchange Flow Pulse (IFP). After a year of correction, the price is ready to rise again. Everyone, buckle your seat belts,” analyst CW stated.

Five Consecutive Monthly Red Candles Signal Selling Exhaustion

Third, five consecutive monthly red candles are extremely rare. Bitcoin closed February 2026 with its fifth straight red monthly candle. This marks only the second time in history that such a streak has occurred.

The first instance took place during 2018–2019, when Bitcoin recorded six consecutive red candles. After that period, Bitcoin printed five successive green candles. The price surged more than 300%, rising from around $3,400 to $14,000.

Although the historical sample remains small, a longer red streak suggests that selling pressure is nearing exhaustion. A strong reversal can occur once buying demand returns.

“5 or 6 monthly RED candles doesn’t matter now, because the bulk of the drawdown is behind us and all the upside is still in front of us,” analyst Satoshi Flipper stated.

Bitcoin's Monthly Price Performance. Source: Coinglass
Bitcoin’s Monthly Price Performance. Source: Coinglass

These signals have historically confirmed a multi-month upward trend. A recent report by BeInCrypto also reinforces the scenario that Bitcoin has entered a bottoming phase. However, analysts still see room for a deeper decline.

Analysts at BeInCrypto predict that March will likely depend on whether the $62,300 support level holds or the $79,000 resistance level breaks first.

Advertisement

Source link

Continue Reading
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Crypto World

Justin Sun’s TRON stock is dying

Published

on

Justin Sun’s TRON stock is dying

Justin Sun, the creator and face of TRON, went public with a company called TRON Inc. last year. Since then, its price has tumbled from a high of $12.80 to a recent close of $1.36 — a fall of nearly 90% in eight months.

But what exactly does TRON Inc. do and why is it fairing so poorly?

A toy company with a TRON treasury

TRON Inc. “specialize[s] in creating imaginative, high-quality toys and products that celebrate the world’s most beloved characters.”

These beloved characters include The Smurfs, Zoonicorns, and ICEE. However, TRON doesn’t control the intellectual property for these brands; instead it produces related merchandise, including, but not limited to, plushies, backpacks, and dinnerware.

Advertisement

Read more: ‘Biggest NFT trading platform on TRON,’ AINFT, has $6 in volume

For some reason, it also purchased the rights to the film The Kid, starring Ethan Hawke, Chris Pratt, and Vincent D’Onofrio (RottenTomatoes: 43%, IMDb: 5.9/10).

Importantly, however, that’s not everything. There’s also TRX.

The company calls the TRX token “an attractive digital asset which can create long-term value for… shareholders.”

It claims, “Our TRX token strategy generally involves from time to time… (i) issuing debt or equity securities or engaging in other capital raising transactions with the objective of using the proceeds to purchase TRK tokens, and (ii) acquiring TRX tokens with our liquid assets that exceed working capital requirements.”

Advertisement

What TRON Inc. is engaging in is akin to the Strategy Bitcoin Treasury concept, but with fewer guardrails, a very small product line outside of the TRX token treasury, and a just as significant dependence on unrealized gains.

A family company failing miserably

While TRON Inc. is now basically a penny stock, barely sitting above the $1/share price, Sun has built up a strange board of directors.

This board includes his father Weike Sun, who’s being paid in private investment in public equity (PIPE) offerings and warrants, and a 27-year-old blockchain investor and Chinese national named Zi Yang, who also works for Tronscan (the barely functional explorer that’s supposed to allow TRX users to view wallet addresses and transactions on the blockchain).

The executive leadership and board of directors have collectively been able to accumulate millions of shares of TRON Inc. through these PIPE offerings and warrants (Weike Sun isn’t listed as an insider).

Advertisement

Left to right: TRON Inc. CEO Douglas McKinnon, TRON founder Justin Sun, and Sun’s father Weike Sun on July 24, 2025.

No real path to profitability

Outside issuing debt to fund more TRX purchases, TRON Inc.’s 10-Q from September points to a company that’s completely unprofitable, with no path toward a way of making money.

Its merchandising business, when coupled with operating expenses and the cost of sales, is a net loser for the company, and without the unrealized gains from TRX tokens and the unrealized gains from staking TRX tokens, it bled over $5 million last year.

Without the unrealized gains from TRX and staking TRX, TRON Inc. bled over $5 million last year.

Read more: CHART: Strategy and TRON Inc. down bad compared to bitcoin this year

How TRON Inc. is able to profit from the unrealized gains of its crypto treasury is unclear. However, what’s more understandable is that it’s essentially become a vehicle for Justin Sun to purchase hundreds of millions of TRX tokens to prop up the price of his personal cryptocurrency.

Since Sun rang the opening bell on Nasdaq, TRON Inc. is down ~90%, but TRX is down only 9%, in stark contrast to bitcoin which is down more than 43% over the same period.

Advertisement

Got a tip? Send us an email securely via Protos Leaks. For more informed news and investigations, follow us on XBluesky, and Google News, or subscribe to our YouTube channel.

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Crypto World

Visa and Stripe’s Bridge Expand Global Stablecoin Card Program

Published

on

Visa and Stripe's Bridge Expand Global Stablecoin Card Program

Global payment giant Visa is expanding its stablecoin card partnership with Stripe-owned Bridge, expanding the rollout of stablecoin-linked Visa cards worldwide and testing onchain settlement.

Visa and Bridge are expanding their joint card program to 18 countries, with plans to reach more than 100 across Europe, Asia-Pacific, Africa and the Middle East by the end of the year, according to a Tuesday announcement.

The expansion follows the program’s initial launch in April 2025, which first supported markets in Latin America, including Argentina, Colombia, Ecuador, Mexico, Peru and Chile.

In addition to the expansion, the companies are testing stablecoin settlement through Visa’s pilot program, enabling issuers and acquirers to settle transactions using stablecoins rather than fiat.

Advertisement

The move highlights the ongoing stablecoin race in the payments industry, with Mastercard recently enabling stablecoin card spending in the US via the self-custodial crypto wallet MetaMask.

Onchain support enabled through Bridge’s partnership with Lead Bank

When the card program launched in 2025, transactions were processed by Bridge, deducting funds from the customer’s stablecoin balance and converting them into fiat, allowing merchants to receive payment in local currency like any other card transaction.

Under the new collaboration, enabled by independent commercial bank Lead Bank, settlement is now set to occur directly in stablecoins.

Bridge received conditional approval from a US regulator to become a national trust bank in mid-February. Source: Bridge

“Now, through Bridge’s partnership with Lead Bank, these card transactions can be settled onchain with Visa,” the announcement noted.

“Visa is committed to meeting businesses where they operate, and increasingly, that’s onchain,” Visa’s head of crypto, Cuy Sheffield said. “Expanding our work with Bridge gives us one more way to bring the speed, transparency and programmability of stablecoins directly into the settlement process,” he added.

Advertisement

Related: Stripe considers acquiring some or all of PayPal: Report

Additionally, Visa is evaluating potential support for Bridge-issued assets, or stablecoins created and managed using Bridge’s infrastructure platform. Unlike major stablecoins such as Tether’s USDt (USDT) or Circle’s USDC (USDC), Bridge-issued stablecoins are created programmatically by businesses rather than a third-party issuer.

“This expansion of our work with Visa will enable businesses launching their own custom stablecoins to use them seamlessly within their card programs,” Bridge co-founder and CEO Zach Abrams said.

Magazine: Clarity Act risks repeat of Europe’s mistakes, crypto lawyer warns

Advertisement