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Why This Weekend Could Break Bitcoin or Send It to $80,000

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Bitcoin Price Performance

Iran’s parliament speaker publicly demanded a Lebanon ceasefire and the release of frozen Iranian assets before weekend peace talks in Islamabad can begin.

The statement from Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf arrived just hours before VP JD Vance departed for Pakistan-brokered negotiations, injecting fresh uncertainty into a fragile diplomatic window.

Bitcoin’s Ceasefire Rally Faces a Test

Bitcoin (BTC) surged 5% to $72,700 on April 7 after President Trump announced a two-week ceasefire with Iran via Truth Social.

The move triggered roughly $595 million in crypto futures liquidations, with short sellers absorbing the bulk of the losses.

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As of this writing, BTC traded just shy of $73,000, riding the wave of ceasefire news and easing inflation fears that had weighed on risk assets for weeks.

However, a Bybit and Block Scholes derivatives report released April 10 found that sentiment remains cautious. Options markets show narrowing downside premiums without a decisive bullish flip.

Bitcoin Price Performance
Bitcoin Price Performance. Source: TradingView

Preconditions Put Talks at Risk

Ghalibaf, Speaker of the Parliament of Iran, stated that two “mutually agreed” conditions from the ceasefire framework remain unfulfilled.

Iran considers the Lebanon ceasefire and the release of assets non-negotiable before sitting down with the US delegation.

Trump simultaneously told the New York Post that US warships are being reloaded in case talks fail.

The White House told Fox News separately that the president remains “optimistic a deal can be reached.”

A CNN report also indicated Trump had a tense phone call with Israeli PM Benjamin Netanyahu shortly before Israel announced steps toward direct Lebanon ceasefire talks. Sources suggest Trump pressured Netanyahu to de-escalate, partly to satisfy Iran’s preconditions.

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What This Means for BTC

BTC now sits at the top of the $65,000 to $73,000 range that has contained trading since the conflict began in late February.

A successful outcome from Islamabad could push BTC toward $75,000 to $80,000 as geopolitical risk premiums unwind further.

However, a collapse of talks risks renewed Hormuz disruptions and a possible retest of $68,000 support.

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The next 48 hours of diplomacy will likely determine whether this week’s relief rally holds or reverses.

“I think it’s gonna be positive. We’ll see. As POTUS said: if Iranians are willing to negotiate in good faith, we’re certainly willing to extend the open hand! If they try to PLAY us, they’ll find the negotiating team isn’t very receptive. We’re gonna try to have a positive negotiation. The president has given us some pretty clear guidelines,” US Vice President JD Vance stated.

The post Why This Weekend Could Break Bitcoin or Send It to $80,000 appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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US Treasury calls bank CEOs over cyber risks tied to Anthropic’s Claude Mythos model

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OpenAI buys tech talk show TBPN as it builds out communication strategy

The US Treasury secretary, Scott Bessent, has reportedly met with major American bank leaders this week as officials assessed potential cyber threats that Anthropic’s latest artificial intelligence system poses.

Summary

  • Scott Bessent convened major U.S. bank CEOs to assess cybersecurity risks linked to Anthropic’s Claude Mythos AI model following a code leak.
  • The model reportedly uncovered thousands of long-standing software vulnerabilities, raising concerns over misuse by hackers and threats to financial stability.
  • Anthropic’s revenue surpassed $30 billion annualized, driven by enterprise demand, major compute deals with Google and Broadcom, and the growth of its Claude Code platform.

According to reports, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent brought together senior executives at the department’s Washington headquarters, with Jerome Powell also said to be present. The meeting followed the unveiling of Anthropic’s Claude Mythos model, which the company has described as posing “unprecedented” cybersecurity risks.

Concerns surrounding the model intensified after its code was leaked earlier this month. In a subsequent blog post, Anthropic said advanced AI systems had surpassed “all but the most skilled humans at finding and exploiting software vulnerabilities,” warning that the consequences for economies, public safety, and national security “could be severe.”

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The gathering took place while bank executives were already in Washington for an industry event, with invitations largely extended to leaders of systemically important institutions. Regulators consider these banks critical to financial stability, meaning disruptions to their operations could have far-reaching consequences.

Attendees reportedly included David Solomon of Goldman Sachs, Brian Moynihan of Bank of America, Jane Fraser of Citigroup, Ted Pick of Morgan Stanley, and Charlie Scharf of Wells Fargo. Jamie Dimon of JPMorgan Chase was invited but did not attend.

In his annual shareholder letter released this week, Dimon cautioned that cybersecurity “remains one of our biggest risks,” adding that artificial intelligence “will almost surely make this risk worse.”

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Anthropic said its yet-to-be-released Mythos model has already identified thousands of vulnerabilities across software and widely used applications. As a result, access to the system has been limited to a small group of companies, including Amazon, Apple, and Microsoft.

The move marks the first time the company has restricted a product rollout. Select infrastructure and technology groups, such as Cisco and Broadcom, have also been granted access, along with the Linux Foundation.

The developments come as fears grow that malicious actors could use advanced AI tools to uncover passwords or break encryption systems designed to protect sensitive data.

Anthropic said some of the flaws identified by Mythos date back as far as 27 years and had not been detected by developers or security monitors before the AI system surfaced them.

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The Treasury meeting also follows a recent decision by the US government to classify Anthropic as a potential supply chain risk, a designation the company is currently challenging in court.

Despite the ongoing regulatory scrutiny and a supply chain risk designation from the U.S. Department of Defense, Anthropic has reported unprecedented financial momentum.

In a recent blog post released on April 6, the company said its annualized revenue run rate exceeded $30 billion as of early April 2026, more than tripling from roughly $9 billion at the end of 2025. 

Part of that growth has been driven by new compute partnerships with Google and Broadcom, highlighting rising demand for large-scale AI infrastructure. This agreement secures multiple gigawatts of next-generation TPU capacity to power frontier Claude models through 2027 and beyond. 

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Its agentic coding platform, Claude Code, has emerged as a key contributor, generating more than $2.5 billion in run-rate revenue as of February.

Weekly active users on the platform have also doubled since the start of the year, pointing to rapid adoption of AI-driven development tools as the company shifts its focus toward high-value enterprise agents.

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CFTC Announces Initial Crypto Task Force Members

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CFTC Announces Initial Crypto Task Force Members

The US Commodity Futures Trading Commission has unveiled the first members of its new innovation task force as the agency continues its push to provide greater clarity for the crypto market.

The Innovation Task Force was initially launched by CFTC Chairman Mike Selig on March 24, who appointed Michael Passalacqua as the leader of the group. Passalacqua is currently the senior advisor to Selig at the CFTC.

In an announcement Friday, the CFTC said that Passalacqua will be joined by a list of five initial members including Hank Balaban, a former Latham & Watkins crypto lawyer; Sam Canavos, an ex-Patomak crypto and prediction markets advisor; Mark Fajfar, a CFTC legal veteran; Eugene Gonzalez IV, an ex-Sidley blockchain lawyer; and Dina Moussa, a CFTC Market Participants Division special counsel.

“The Innovation Task Force brings together a leading team that exhibits deep expertise and an enthusiastic commitment to deliver clear rules of the road for American innovators,” Selig said.

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The move is part of a broader push from both the CFTC and Securities and Exchange Commission to provide regulatory clarity for the digital asset sector under the direction of the Donald Trump administration.

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Source: Michael Passalacqua

CFTC pushing for clarity as major bill stalls

On Friday, Selig also announced the CFTC’s “innovation tracker,” which highlights all the work done under Selig to help “advance regulatory clarity, market integrity, and responsible technological progress.”

The website lists three key innovation areas the agency is focused on, including crypto and blockchain, artificial intelligence and autonomous systems, and contracts and prediction markets.

Related: Prediction market users await Artemis II mission splashdown

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The CFTC in particular could be set to be the main overseer of the industry, with the SEC proposing in mid-March that the agency doesn’t see most crypto assets falling under its jurisdiction as securities.

However, the certainty of both agencies’ roles is still largely dependent on whether the Clarity Act passes through the upper levels of government and becomes enshrined as law — something SEC Chair Paul Atkins called for via X on Thursday.

The SEC and CFTC are “ready to implement the CLARITY Act,” he said, adding: “It’s time for Congress to future-proof against rogue regulators and advance comprehensive market structure legislation to President Trump’s desk.”

Magazine: Should users be allowed to bet on war and death in prediction markets?

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