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Will crypto markets crash if US strikes Iran within hours?

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Will crypto markets crash if US strikes Iran within hours? - 1

Crypto markets are flashing deep stress signals as geopolitical tensions surrounding a potential U.S. strike on Iran intensify and liquidity continues to drain from the system.

Summary

  • The Crypto Fear & Greed Index has plunged to 5, signaling extreme panic as geopolitical tensions around a potential U.S. strike on Iran intensify.
  • Bitcoin has dropped below key technical levels, while the broader crypto market has erased over $2.22 trillion — down more than 50% from its peak, marking one of the largest drawdowns in history.
  • Despite the selloff, shrinking USDT supply down over $3 billion in 60 days suggests liquidity contraction that has historically appeared near late-stage market bottoms.

Iran strike fears spill into crypto markets

The Crypto Fear & Greed Index has plunged to 5 — “Extreme Fear”, one of the lowest readings in years, showing panic-level sentiment. Historically, such extreme readings have only appeared during major market dislocations, including the 2020 COVID crash and the 2022 bear market lows.

The collapse in sentiment mirrors Bitcoin’s sharp drop below key technical levels, reinforcing the view that traders are positioning defensively amid geopolitical uncertainty.

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Will crypto markets crash if US strikes Iran within hours? - 1

At the same time, prediction market Polymarket shows rising bets on possible U.S. military action in early March, with probabilities climbing steadily day by day, reflecting growing geopolitical uncertainty priced into markets.

Will crypto markets crash if US strikes Iran within hours? - 2
Traders bet on when U.S. will strike Iran | Source: Polymarket

Meanwhile, price action mirrors the anxiety. Bitcoin has fallen sharply from recent highs and is trading well below its 50-day moving average, while the broader crypto market has shed more than $2.22 trillion, down over 50% from its peak.

Will crypto markets crash if US strikes Iran within hours? - 3
Bitcoin price performance | Source: Crypto. News

In a widely shared post, Coin Bureau warned that “CRYPTO MAY BE HEADING TOWARD ITS LARGEST CRASH EVER,” noting that the current drawdown is now the second-biggest dollar loss in history, just $60 billion shy of the all-time record.

Yet liquidity data suggests a more nuanced picture. Another Coin Bureau analysis highlighted that USDT supply has fallen by more than $3 billion in 60 days, a contraction last seen during the FTX collapse.

Historically, shrinking stablecoin supply signals capital leaving the market but similar conditions in 2022 marked Bitcoin’s cycle bottom.

Ultimately, while a potential U.S. strike on Iran could trigger another wave of short-term volatility, the data suggests markets may already be pricing in extreme risk. With sentiment at capitulation levels, over $2.22 trillion erased, and stablecoin liquidity contracting to levels previously seen near cycle lows, the conditions resemble late-stage selloffs more than the early phases of a collapse.

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How Mass Adoption Looks in 2026

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How Mass Adoption Looks in 2026

It is February 2026. Two years ago, the industry was obsessed with the mantra of onboarding the next billion users. It was a rallying cry that echoed through every conference hall from Dubai to Tokyo. Today, as the dust finally settles on the implementation of the United States’ GENIUS Act and the European Union’s fully operational Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) framework, the fundamental question has shifted. We are no longer asking if mass adoption will happen, or even when. Instead, we are asking why it doesn’t look like the cyberpunk revolution we once imagined.

To understand this paradox, where crypto is ubiquitous in systemic finance yet still feels like a foreign concept to the layperson, BeInCrypto spoke to a panel of industry leaders who are building the bridges: Fernando Lillo Aranda (Zoomex), Vivien Lin (BingX), Griffin Ardern (BloFin), Dorian Vincileoni (Kraken), Federico Variola (Phemex), and Michael Ivanov (Arcanum Foundation).

Their collective verdict? The technology is ready. The regulations are (mostly) written. The final hurdle is no longer the code, it is the culture.

The UX Revolution: From Seed Phrases to Smart Accounts

For over a decade, the primary barrier to entry was the fear factor. Crypto was notoriously unforgiving. The industry’s greatest strength, sovereignty, was also its greatest weakness. Lose your 24-word seed phrase, and you lose your life savings. Send a transaction to the wrong hex code, and your funds vanish into the ether. In 2026, we have to ask, has the single mistake era finally ended?

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Dorian Vincileoni, Head of Regional Growth at Kraken, offers a refreshingly honest assessment that cuts through the marketing hype. While technology has leaped forward, the core ethos of crypto, total individual responsibility, remains a psychological stumbling block that code alone cannot solve.

Vincileoni admits:

“Can we honestly say a non-technical person is safe? Not entirely, and pretending otherwise would be dishonest. The user experience has improved dramatically, but self-custody still carries responsibility, and responsibility is not intuitive for everyone.”

However, Vincileoni notes that the industry has undergone a massive paradigm shift. We have moved away from the binary choice of Centralized Exchange or Dangerous Self-Custody. Instead, we have entered the age of Smart Accounts.

“Better interfaces, account abstraction, and smarter safeguards are reducing the cost of human error,” Vincileoni explains.

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“The real shift is not eliminating risk entirely, but giving users choices. Some will prefer full sovereignty, others will accept guardrails. Mass adoption will come from respecting both.”

This technological evolution is best exemplified by the rise of ERC-4337 and similar standards across various chains. Michael Ivanov, CEO of Arcanum Foundation, emphasizes that the entry journey is still being paved, and it requires specialized tools to protect the user from themselves.

“Nowadays we still have a long way to go for simplification of the entry journey,” Ivanov observes.

“From our side, we are working on the easy way to make it happen. We have developed several Telegram Web Apps (TWA) with efficient risk management layers designed specifically to help users avoid losing their funds, even if they make several mistakes.”

Ivanov’s point is crucial. In 2026, the killer UX isn’t a prettier wallet, it’s a safety net. The industry is finally acknowledging that the average person wants the benefits of blockchain, speed, transparency, and global reach, without needing a degree in computer science to keep their money safe.

The Killer App of 2026: Convergence, Not Casinos

If 2021 was defined by the explosive (and often irrational) NFT boom, and 2024 was the year of the Bitcoin ETF, then 2026 is defined by something far more functional, Convergence. The search for a crypto-native application that would change the world has largely been abandoned in favor of making existing financial systems work ten times better.

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Fernando Lillo Aranda, Marketing Director at Zoomex, argues that the industry spent too much time looking for a killer app that lived entirely inside the Web3 bubble. The real breakthrough happened when Web3 started leaking into the real world.

“To reach that inflection point, we first need to understand why mass adoption hasn’t happened yet,” Lillo Aranda states.

“One of the key missing pieces has been clear real-world utility beyond speculation. The real ‘killer app’ of 2026 is the convergence between Web3 financial infrastructure and everyday financial use cases.”

Lillo Aranda points out that centralized exchanges (CEXs) are no longer just trading platforms; they are becoming the primary financial interface for the digital generation.

Aranda adds:

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“Centralized exchanges face a major challenge here, their traditional Web2 competitors — banks — have spent years adapting and developing crypto-like services. Meanwhile, forward-thinking CEXs have been working in parallel on bringing Web3 closer to daily life.”

What does this look like in practice? It’s not about decentralized social media or on-chain governance for the masses.

Lillo Aranda explains:

“Products such as crypto-linked cards, seamless access to traditional markets like equities, instant profit withdrawals for everyday spending, and high-yield savings alternatives that outperform Web2 offerings are what will truly onboard the next wave of users.”

“When Web3 stops feeling like a separate ecosystem and instead becomes a better financial layer for everyday life, adoption will follow naturally—not because of speculation, but because it simply works better.”

Michael Ivanov sees the killer app as a multi-pronged spear, with different tools for different demographics. For the younger, digital-native generation, the entry point isn’t banking, it’s entertainment.

“At first glance, there is no single killer app near, but for a specific audience, it could be new Web3-integrated MMO games,” Ivanov suggests.

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“We still believe that each audience needs their own way into Web3. For some, it’s crypto banking; for others, it’s an immersive economy where they actually own their digital progress.”

The Stablecoin Economy: Are We Done With Fiat?

The most successful product in the history of crypto isn’t Bitcoin, it’s the stablecoin. In 2025, stablecoin transaction volume surpassed that of major credit card networks in several key corridors. This has led many to wonder: are we approaching the “End of Fiat” for daily spending?

Vivien Lin, Chief Product Officer at BingX, sees a world where the lines are blurring, but warns against expecting a sudden overnight revolution. The transition is stealthy.

“We are moving in that direction, but it will be gradual rather than absolute,” Lin observes.

“Stablecoins are increasingly being used for payments because they are fast, low-cost, and global, especially for cross-border commerce and online services. For many merchants, accepting stablecoins already makes more sense than dealing with traditional payment rails.”

However, Lin injects a dose of realism into the hyper-bitcoinization narrative.

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“Fiat will not disappear from daily spending anytime soon. Over time, as infrastructure and regulation mature, the distinction between the two will matter less to the end user.”

In other words, in 2026, the user might be paying with a digital dollar, and they won’t necessarily care if it’s a CBDC, a bank-issued stablecoin, or a decentralized one like LUSD, as long as the transaction clears.

Griffin Ardern from BloFin offers a more cautious, macro-economic perspective. He argues that the perceived stability of a nation’s sovereign credit is the ultimate decider of stablecoin adoption.

“This is unlikely to happen in the short term,” Ardern says of a complete shift away from fiat.

“While many merchants are starting to accept stablecoins, they are currently treated more like ‘money market funds’ than fiat alternatives. Although the collateral risk of stablecoins is among the lowest in the crypto market, it is still significant compared to traditional tier-one assets.”

Ardern notes that the fiat-free dream is largely a product of geography.

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“In countries with relatively poor sovereign credit, users are willing to take on this collateral risk because the alternative is worse. But in countries with good sovereign credit, users are usually only willing to convert a limited amount of cash into stablecoins for specific use cases.”

He also points out the merchant-side friction:

“Merchants will also accept stablecoins only in limited quantities to avoid introducing extra operating risks to their balance sheets.”

Despite these hurdles, for the power users and digital nomads, the transition is already complete. Michael Ivanov serves as a living example of this reality. “The future is here,” he says.

“I use crypto-linked cards almost everywhere in the world with no need to pay with fiat. However, we still need to push through government and regulatory issues in many countries to make this the standard, not the exception.”

The Final Boss: Perception and the Trust Deficit

If the technology is robust, the products are useful, and the regulations provide a framework, why aren’t we seeing 100% adoption? The answer, according to our experts, lies in the Final Boss of the industry – public perception.

Federico Variola, CEO of Phemex, believes that we have reached a point where building more tech won’t solve the problem. The industry is no longer limited by its rails, but by its reputation.

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“Mass adoption is closer than many think,” Variola asserts.

“Most younger users have already interacted with crypto in some form, and access has become much easier through centralized exchanges and intuitive wallets. The remaining challenge is perception.”

Variola argues that the scars of the 2022-2023 era still haunt the collective consciousness.

“The barriers are no longer technological or regulatory; the rails are already in place. What’s needed now is a more constructive public narrative so skeptical users feel comfortable engaging. Adoption is less about building new tools and more about the market being in the right psychological conditions.”

This sentiment is echoed by Mike Williams (Toobit), who emphasizes that the industry must move from selling dreams to providing education. Trust, in 2026, is built through transparency and understanding, not through celebrity endorsements or price-action hype.

Michael Ivanov summarizes the multi-faceted nature of the hurdle:

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“It is a complex web of reasons. Surely including regulation issues, a lingering lack of trust, and the fact that many Web3 apps still have a complicated usability profile for someone used to the simplicity of Instagram or Amazon.”

Conclusion: The Era of Invisible Crypto

As we navigate the landscape of 2026, the insights from Zoomex, BingX, BloFin, Kraken, Phemex, and Arcanum paint a picture of an industry that has finally matured beyond its rebellious, speculative adolescence. We have stopped trying to destroy the banks and have instead started the arduous task of upgrading the world’s financial operating system.

The Killer App of this era isn’t a single platform, it is the Seamless Experience. It is the crypto-linked debit card that pays out yield in real-time (Zoomex). It is an MMO game where your legendary sword is a liquid asset (Arcanum). It is the cross-border payment that settles in seconds for a fraction of a cent without the user ever seeing a blockchain explorer (BingX).

Mass adoption doesn’t look like a revolution led by people waving private keys in the streets. It looks like a quiet, efficient migration to better tools. It looks like convenience. As Federico Variola correctly notes, the tools are ready. The world just needs to decide it’s ready to trust them.

The transition to a Web3-powered world is happening one invisible transaction at a time. By the time we reach the end of 2026, the question won’t be when will crypto be used in everyday life? The answer will simply be: Look around, it already is.

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Special thanks to Fernando Lillo Aranda, Vivien Lin, Griffin Ardern, Dorian Vincileoni, Federico Variola, and Michael Ivanov for their contributions to this report.

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Shiba Inu (SHIB) Community Faces New Threat

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Shiba Inu (SHIB) Community Faces New Threat


Check out how SHIB users can protect themselves.

Shiba Inu’s price may have declined substantially over the past several months, but its community remains among the biggest ones in the crypto space.

That said, it is no wonder that scammers often target the so-called SHIB Army using various and sophisticated attacks.

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The Latest Danger

Just hours ago, Shibarium Trustwatch (an X account dedicated to warning Shiba Inu users about potential threats) sounded the alarm about multiple fraud attempts involving the SOU NFT.

The team asserted that the non-fungible token in question will never be airdropped to users’ wallets, and that eligible claimants can do so only through Shiba Inu’s official website.

“Do not click on shared, shortened, or copied links. Scammers often create fake websites that look identical to the real one in order to steal funds. Always type the official address directly into your browser and verify you are on the correct domain before connecting your wallet. Never share your private keys or seed phrase with anyone under any circumstances,” the alert reads.

One person commenting on the post was LUCIE , the pseudonymous marketing strategist of Shibarium. They urged the SHIB Army to remain vigilant, warning that fake ads impersonating Uniswap have already led to substantial user losses. They added that crypto scams and exploits have siphoned off roughly $370 million in January alone.

What Is SOU NFT?

The security of Shiba Inu’s layer-2 scaling solution, Shibarium, was breached in September last year, with some reports suggesting the attacker used a flash loan to purchase 4.6 million BONE tokens.

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The incident severely disrupted the protocol’s activity, with daily transactions collapsing from millions to only a few hundred. Some analysts have repeatedly argued over the past months that Shiba Inu’s price resurgence may heavily depend on Shibarium’s revival.

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After the attack, Shiba Inu’s team created SOU (“Shib Owes You”) NFTs to compensate users for their losses. Each non-fungible token represents a verified claim recorded on Ethereum that shows the amount owed and the amount already repaid.

“You can hold the NFT and wait for repayment, or transfer it if you choose. Think of it like a digital IOU that lives forever on the blockchain instead of a promise in a spreadsheet,” the team recently explained.

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A Karaoke Company Just Crashed the Stock Market & It Reveals Wall Street’s AI Problem

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Crypto Breaking News

On February 12th, a company formerly known as The Singing Machine, yes, the one that sold karaoke equipment, wiped billions off the global logistics sector with a single press release.

The company, now rebranded as Algorithm Holdings, has a $6 million market cap and reported a net loss of nearly $3 million last quarter. Yet within hours of claiming its “AI logistics platform” could scale freight volumes by 300-400%, CH Robinson, one of the largest freight brokerages on the planet—plunged 24%. The entire Russell 3000 trucking index had its worst day since Liberation Day.

This wasn’t a one-off. It was the fifth time in ten days.

The Pattern Is the Story

In just ten days, the same sequence played out across eight different sectors: software, private credit, insurance, wealth management, real estate, logistics, drug distribution, and commercial office space. Different industries. Different companies. Different announcements. Identical market reaction: dump first, analyze later.

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A Jefferies trader named it the “SaaS Apocalypse.” The name stuck. But what we’re actually watching isn’t a market efficiently pricing disruption. It’s something more dangerous.

Wall Street has developed an autoimmune disorder. The immune system — risk repricing — is attacking healthy tissue because it can no longer distinguish between what’s real and what’s noise.

The Real Damage Isn’t on the Stock Ticker

When CH Robinson drops 24% in a day, that’s not just a number. That’s a board meeting next week, a hiring freeze next month, and a Q2 roadmap getting torn apart to make room for a performative AI strategy, whether or not a coherent one actually exists.

Stock drops don’t just reflect reality. They create it.

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Companies whose stocks crater on AI fears start behaving as if AI is an existential threat today even when the actual technology is years away from touching their core business. Innovation budgets get redirected from real product development to headline-friendly AI partnerships. Headcount gets cut. Not because AI replaced anyone, but because the market priced in the expectation that it would.

The stock market may recover in a week. The organizational damage will take years.

Three Categories the Market Is Treating as One

Here’s where the panic becomes a genuine mispricing:

Category 1: Real disruption, happening now. SaaS companies built on per-seat pricing models are legitimately at risk. AI coding tools like Cursor are growing faster than almost any software product in history. Palantir posted 70% revenue growth. The assumption that all software bottlenecks on humans are already breaking down. These companies need to adapt fast.

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Category 2: Real disruption, but not this quarter. Wealth management, insurance brokerage, financial advisory. An AI tax planning tool doesn’t replace a wealth advisor whose core value is trust, behavioral coaching, and relationship management. These sectors will change, but on a 3-5 year horizon, not by earnings season.

Category 3: The market has completely lost the plot. A former karaoke company’s press release does not invalidate CH Robinson’s relationships with 100,000 shippers, its proprietary freight data, or its ability to manage the physical and regulatory complexity of cross-border logistics. CBRE’s property transaction expertise doesn’t evaporate because Claude can draft a lease summary.

The market is pricing all three categories identically. That’s the error and that’s where the opportunity lives.

The Career Asymmetry Nobody Is Talking About

If you work in any of these sectors, the scare trade is creating a very sharp split.

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The people most at risk right now aren’t those whose jobs AI can actually replace. They’re the ones in cost centers at companies whose stock just dropped, anyone whose contribution is synthesis, summarization, or aggregating other people’s work. You’re now competing with a tool that does that faster and cheaper, and the CEO just became very aware of it.

But here’s the asymmetry: every company panicking about AI is about to spend heavily on AI capabilities. That spending creates roles, budgets, and career paths that didn’t exist three months ago.

The most valuable person in every org chart being redrawn right now is the domain translator, someone who can walk into a room of panicking executives and say: Here’s what Claude can actually do with our contract review workflow. It handles 70% of initial analysis accurately. Here’s where it fails, here’s where we need a human check, and here’s how we cut review time by 40% and outside counsel spend by $200K. This is the implementation plan.

That person doesn’t exist at most companies right now. The technical people know the models but not the business. The business people know the workflows but haven’t used the tools. The consultants know neither — just the frameworks.

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The gap between “I’ve heard AI can do this” and “I’ve tested it and here’s exactly what it does for our business” is a canyon. The scare trade just made crossing that canyon the most valuable thing anyone in any organization can do.

The Bottom Line

AI disruption is real. But it’s not evenly distributed, and the market’s current method of pricing it—sector-wide panic triggered by press releases from $6 million companies—is creating a mispricing so severe it’s simultaneously a historic investment opportunity and a historic reallocation of organizational attention.

The companies that will lose are the ones that mistake market panic for strategic signal. The ones that gut their product teams, sign a splashy AI partnership, and pray the stock recovers.

The companies that win will use the panic as cover to invest in genuine AI capability in the domain expertise that makes AI actually useful, and in the people who understand both the tech and the business well enough to know where real leverage lies.

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Somehow, a karaoke company helped kick all of this off.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Bitcoin Teases ‘First Steps’ To Rebound as $65,000 Holds

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Bitcoin Teases 'First Steps' To Rebound as $65,000 Holds

Bitcoin (BTC) battled US sellers at Monday’s Wall Street open amid mixed feelings over the short-term BTC price outlook.

Key points:

  • Bitcoin price targets include a $60,000 drop as well as a recovery amid uncertain moves.

  • Bitcoin attempts to absorb repeat rounds of selling into the TradFi trading week.

  • US tariffs remain the key macro catalyst on the radar.

Bitcoin outlook splits with BTC in “tricky place”

Data from TradingView showed rangebound market moves focusing on $66,000, with BTC/USD down around 2.5% on the day.

BTC/USD one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

US weakness compounded an already bearish start to Monday, with sell-side pressure clearly in evidence at the weekly open.

“$BTC flushed 4.5K in one move,” crypto analyst IT Tech, a contributor onchain analytics platform CryptoQuant, wrote in his latest market commentary on X.

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IT Tech described current price moves as indicating “confusion,” warning that the day’s $62,250 lows could come in for a retest.

“The long cluster at 64.2K got partially swept. If 65K fails, we retest it. Support: 65K → 64.2K / Resistance: 66.5K → 68.7K,” he summarized. 

Binance BTC/USDT 15-minute chart with order-book liquidity. Source: IT Tech/X

Trader Jelle eyed a potential sweep of the $60,000 mark should bulls fail to build a foundation in the current narrow range.

Others were more hopeful. Commentator Exitpump flagged an ongoing tentative recovery in the Coinbase Premium as an early sign that conditions might improve.

“We had aggressive spot buying, but it stopped for now, funding is negative and Coinbase premium is almost back. Tricky place, but I am bullish here,” Exitpump told X followers.

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Binance Bitcoin futures market data. Source: Exitpump/X

Crypto trader, analyst and entrepreneur Michaël van de Poppe had similar feelings on the day.

“Pretty good wick on the markets for $BTC,” he wrote about the local lows. 

“That would be a signal that this won’t continue to fall, however, it still needs to hold above $65K and get continuation in the coming days to clearly signal this. First steps are great.”

BTC/USDT 12-hour chart. Source: Michaël van de Poppe/X

Tariffs provide “immediate catalyst” for crypto

US stocks continued a nervous start to the week on futures, thanks to the threat of fresh US trade tariffs.

Related: Hodlers have ‘given up’ at $65K: Five things to know in Bitcoin this week

The 15% blanket levies were announced by President Donald Trump over the weekend after the Supreme Court struck down some previous measures.

Responding, trading company QCP Capital described the tariff debacle as an “immediate catalyst” for Bitcoin.

“This escalation has added another layer of policy uncertainty at a time when macro risk appetite is already thinning,” it wrote in its latest “Asia Color” market update.

QCP also attempted to find a reason for optimism, noting the lack of a broad market flush around the headlines.

“After several aggressive flushes this year, both the scale of volatility spikes and the intensity of liquidation cascades have somewhat moderated,” it continued. 

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“Even on the latest tariff headline from Trump, spot didn’t immediately gap lower on the news as it typically has in prior episodes, instead softening into the Asia open. That shift in reaction function is notable.”