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Will Huge $8.3B Bitcoin Options Expiry Trigger Another Dump?

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Will Huge $8.3B Bitcoin Options Expiry Trigger Another Dump?


The end of another week is here again, and it’s also the end of the month, which means a bumper batch of Bitcoin and Ether options contracts are expiring.

Around 91,000 Bitcoin options contracts will expire on Friday, Jan. 30, with a notional value of roughly $8.3 billion. This event is much larger than the rest this month because it is the last one for January.

Crypto markets have lost around $215 billion since the start of the week, as the Federal Reserve kept US interest rates steady at 3.5% to 3.75%, still much higher than its 2% target. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East also reignited, sparking further fears.

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Bitcoin Options Expiry

This week’s big batch of Bitcoin options contracts has a put/call ratio of 0.54, meaning that there are more expiring calls (longs) than puts (shorts). Max pain is around $90,000, according to Coinglass, which is above current spot prices, so many will be out of the money on expiry.

Open interest (OI), or the value or number of Bitcoin options contracts yet to expire, remains highest at $100,000, which has $1.9 billion at this strike price on Deribit. There remains around over $1 billion in OI at $75,000, $80,000 and $85,000 as bearish bets mount.

Total BTC options OI across all exchanges has been climbing since the beginning of the year and is at $58 billion.

“Expiry could amplify moves around key levels, especially around the pain zones,” said Deribit, and that appears to be happening as spot markets tank.

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In addition to today’s batch of Bitcoin options, around 440,000 Ethereum contracts are also expiring, with a notional value of $1.3 billion, max pain at $3,100, and a put/call ratio of 0.74. Total ETH options OI across all exchanges is around $35 billion.

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This brings the total notional value of crypto options expiries to around $9.6 billion.

Spot Market Outlook

Crypto markets melted down during the Friday morning trading session in Asia, with total capitalization dropping below $3 trillion for the first time since mid-December. More concerning is that it has fallen to its lowest level since April, suggesting that a bear market is fully underway.

Bitcoin plunged through support, crashing 8% on the day in a fall to $81,300 at the time of writing, its lowest level since April. Ether prices tanked 9%, falling to around the $2,700 level, and the altcoins were a double-digit bloodbath.

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Crypto World

Bitwise to Acquire Chorus One as Crypto Staking Demand Accelerates

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Bitwise to Acquire Chorus One as Crypto Staking Demand Accelerates

Bitwise Asset Management is reportedly acquiring institutional staking provider Chorus One, extending its push into cryptocurrency yield services.

The acquisition adds a major staking operation to the crypto asset manager’s platform as demand for onchain yield products increases among both retail and institutional investors.

Chorus One provides staking services for decentralized networks and currently has $2.2 billion in assets staked, according to its website.

The financial terms of the deal were not disclosed, Bloomberg reported on Wednesday, citing statements from both companies.

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Cointelegraph reached out to Bitwise and Chorus One for comment, but had not received a response by publication.

Related: 21Shares launches first Jito staked Solana ETP in Europe

Ethereum staking demand surges as validator queue swells

Ethereum validator queue data shows a surge in demand to stake Ether (ETH). The entry queue has swelled to more than 4 million ETH, translating into a wait time of over 70 days.

Almost 37 million ETH, or just over 30% of total supply, is now staked, with close to 1 million active validators securing the network. This suggests that more holders are choosing to lock up ETH despite long delays.

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Ethereum validator queue. Source: ValidatorQueue

The rising interest in staking has pushed other major asset managers to integrate yield into regulated crypto products. Morgan Stanley filed to launch a spot Ether exchange-traded fund (ETF) that would stake part of its holdings to generate passive returns. Grayscale is also preparing to distribute staking rewards from its Ethereum Trust ETF, the first payout tied to onchain staking by a US-listed spot crypto exchange-traded product.

Related: Crypto VC activity hits $4.6B in Q3, second-best quarter since FTX collapse

Crypto M&A hits record

Bitwise’s deal also follows a surge in the crypto industry’s mergers and acquisitions in 2025, reaching $8.6 billion across a record 133 transactions by November, surpassing the combined total of the previous four years.