Institutional engagement with digital assets is no longer a uniform story. In recent years, major financial institutions have taken markedly different approaches to blockchain-based markets. Some have focused on tokenization, putting traditional instruments into programmable form. Banks, meanwhile, have explored tokenized deposit models and internal settlement rails as well as issuing their own digital assets like stablecoins.

Amid the growing wave of institutional capital entering digital assets, the more revealing question is not who participates, but how participation is governed inside the institution. Regulatory requirements, operational standards, and internal conviction often determine whether a strategy moves forward or stalls.

Speaking exclusively with BeInCrypto at Liquidity Summit 2026 in Hong Kong, Samar Sen, Head of International Markets at Talos, shared how those internal dynamics play out when institutions evaluate digital asset opportunities.

Adoption Requires More Than Rules

According to Sen, regulatory clarity remains the most decisive factor in institutional participation. He noted that progress across jurisdictions has helped reduce uncertainty, but clear rules remain essential for large-scale adoption.

“We’ve seen a lot of advancements in regulation all over the world,” Sen acknowledged.

While once the dominant concern, infrastructure has matured significantly. Institutional-grade custody, execution platforms, and portfolio management systems now operate across major markets, addressing many of the operational gaps that previously slowed adoption.

Yet even where regulatory frameworks have advanced and infrastructure is in place, in many institutions, the remaining hurdle is internal.

“There may be management that is still evaluating the underlying tech or still need some time to understand the potential of the tech to revolutionize finance,” he said.

That hesitation often reflects unfamiliarity rather than outright resistance, he added. For institutions built on decades of precedent, conviction takes time. As a result, digital asset initiatives can stall even when the external conditions appear favorable.

The Compliance Checklist Behind Institutional Trust

When asked what signals actually build trust for institutions evaluating crypto counterparties, Sen pushed back on the idea that visibility alone carries weight. While he acknowledged that industry gatherings and brand presence may help with awareness, institutional trust is earned differently.

“Typically, what builds trust will be, first of all, licensed or regulated entities within their jurisdictions,” Sen said.

He also added that institutions look for demonstrable internal controls, such as SOC 2 Type II certifications, audit trails, and operational safeguards. Track record also matters, particularly if leadership has experience in traditional finance and has built a reputation for delivering under regulatory scrutiny.

Peer adoption plays a role as well. Institutions often look outward, assessing who else is using the same infrastructure, and how widely it has been adopted across the industry. 

“If you’re a big bank, and you go to talk to a vendor to provide you with technology, if that vendor is providing that technology to some of your peers and competitors, that’s another way that can establish some kind of trust,” he explained.

Not All Institutions Move at the Same Speed

Although regulatory clarity and operational safeguards form the foundation, institutions are not entering digital assets uniformly. Sen described three distinct profiles emerging in the market.

Some organizations act as early movers. These firms understand the structural shift underway in capital markets and are willing to commit resources ahead of full certainty. They tend to invest in building internal digital asset teams and engage proactively with new infrastructure providers.

Others take a more measured approach. These fast followers prefer to wait for clearer regulatory direction or proof of concept before scaling exposure. Their risk appetite is lower, and they often rely on external validation before committing capital.

Then there are institutions that remain behind the curve. In some cases, leadership has yet to develop conviction around the underlying technology. In others, digital asset initiatives exist but lack internal coordination, resulting in fragmented or misaligned strategies.

Sen noted that institutions should not be expected to move in lockstep. He added that different risk tolerances and internal mandates shape the pace of adoption.

“And that’s okay because with digital assets and the underlying technology, there are many entry points to participate in  the asset class, to get comfortable with the new providers and ecosystem participants. We are here to help navigate that,” he stated.

By Omkar Godbole (All times ET unless indicated otherwise)

Bitcoin’s BTC$68,240.77 price bounce sparked optimism on social media, with X users declaring the bottom is in and a new rally is underway. Options market activity, however, reveals savvy traders remain skeptical, hedging against the risk of a potential slide below $60,000.

“While the bounce triggered some call buying in the $85,000 to $90,000 strikes, downside skew remains more elevated than upside, suggesting caution,” Sidrah Fariq, head of retail at Deribit, told CoinDesk in a Telegram chat.

The demand for call options, or bullish bets, indicates that bitcoin’s Wednesday bounce to $70,000 has some traders chasing upside. However, skew, which measures prices for calls relative to puts, remains negative across all time frames. It shows that traders remain worried about price drops and are still seeking puts for downside protection.

Underlying that theme, on Deribit, the $60,000 put remains the most popular position, with notional open interest (OI) of $1.48 billion. In contrast, the most popular call option, the $90,000 strike, has OI of $1.12 billion. Clearly, the overall positioning remains bearish.

That said, there could be some consolidation, as dealer positioning — net exposure of those who make markets by providing liquidity — has flipped positive between $60,000 and $70,000. This means dealers could buy low and sell high to maintain a net-neutral exposure, capping swings as they do so.

“Dealer positioning has shifted to neutral to slightly positive gamma, suggesting compressed volatility and range-bound price action,” Fariq said.

Other analysts are looking at the $74,000-$75,000 range as the level to beat for confirming a renewed uptrend.

Bitcoin was recently trading near $68,500, up 4.6% on the day, while the broader market posted bigger gains, as evidenced by the CoinDesk 20 (CD20) index’s 5.8% advance. Ether (ETH) has risen over 8%, and XRP (XRP) and solana (SOL) both rose more than 6%.

In traditional markets, futures tied to the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 were little changed despite the AI giant Nvidia (NVDA) posting a blowout fourth-quarter earnings report. Gold and the Dollar Index ticked higher as investors awaited details on the U.S.-Iran talks scheduled for later in the day. Stay alert!

Read more: For analysis of today’s activity in altcoins and derivatives, see Crypto Markets Today

What to Watch

For a more comprehensive list of events this week, see CoinDesk’s “Crypto Week Ahead“.

• Crypto
• Macro
  • Feb. 26, 8:30 a.m.: U.S. initial jobless claims for week ending Feb. 21 (Prev. 206K)
  • Feb. 26, 10:00 a.m.: U.S. Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman to testify before the U.S. Senate Committee on Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs.
• Earnings (Estimates based on FactSet data)
  • Feb. 26: American Bitcoin (ABTC), pre-market, $0.01
  • Feb. 26: MARA Holdings (MARA), post-market, -$0.11
  • Feb 26: TeraWulf (WULF), post-market, -$0.15
  • Feb. 26: Figure Technologies (FIGR), post-market,$0.20
  • Feb. 26: Sui Group (SUIG), post-market, $0.01
  • Feb. 26: Block (XYZ), post-market, $0.49

Token Events

For a more comprehensive list of events this week, see CoinDesk’s “Crypto Week Ahead“.

• Governance votes & calls
  • Feb. 26: Lido DAO to host a tokenholder update call.
  • Feb. 26: Maple Finance to host an investor call.
  • Unlock DAO is voting to delegate 2,000,000 UP from the treasury to seven active community members to reliably secure quorum on future proposals. Voting ends Feb. 26.
• Unlocks
• Token Launches

Conferences

For a more comprehensive list of events this week, see CoinDesk’s “Crypto Week Ahead“.

Market Movements

• BTC is down 0.52% from 4 p.m. ET Wednesday at $68,590.57 (24hrs: +4.67%)
• ETH is down 1.16% at $2,075.97 (24hrs: +8.36%)
• CoinDesk 20 is down 1.27% at 2,011.66 (24hrs: +5.83%)
• Ether CESR Composite Staking Rate is up 2 bps at 2.85%
• BTC funding rate is at 0.0005% (0.5595% annualized) on Binance

• DXY is unchanged at 97.75
• Gold futures are down 0.41% at $5,204.60
• Silver futures are down 3.98% at $87.99
• Nikkei 225 closed up 0.29% at 58,753.39
• Hang Seng closed down 1.44% at 26,381.02
• FTSE is up 0.17% at 10,824.61
• Euro Stoxx 50 is up 0.25% at 6,188.91
• DJIA closed on Wednesday up 0.63% at 49,482.15
• S&P 500 closed up 0.81% at 6,946.13
• Nasdaq Composite closed up 1.26% at 23,152.08
• S&P/TSX Composite closed up 0.46% at 34,127.33
• S&P 40 Latin America closed up 0.68% at 3,826.41
• U.S. 10-Year Treasury rate is up 0.4 bps at 4.052%
• E-mini S&P 500 futures are unchanged at 6,958.75
• E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures are unchanged at 25,380.75
• E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average Index futures are down 0.13% at 49,471.00

Bitcoin Stats

• BTC Dominance: 58.55% (+0.12%)
• Ether-bitcoin ratio: 0.03023 (-0.12%)
• Hashrate (seven-day moving average): 1,058 EH/s
• Hashprice (spot): $29.79
• Total fees: 2.91 BTC / $194,801
• CME Futures Open Interest: 112,135 BTC
• BTC priced in gold: 13.2 oz.
• BTC vs gold market cap: 4.57%

Technical Analysis

• The chart shows bitcoin’s weekly price swings in candlestick format since mid-2024.
• While prices have bounced strongly this week, they remain well below the $73,000-$74,000 zone that is a former support-turned-resistance.
• The broader outlook, therefore, remains bearish. Prices need to overcome that resistance to confirm a trend reversal higher.

Crypto Equities

• Coinbase Global (COIN): closed on Wednesday at $183.94 (+13.52%), +0.95% at $185.69 in pre-market
• Circle Internet (CRCL): closed at $83.14 (+35.47%), +0.71% at $83.73
• Galaxy Digital (GLXY): closed at $22.83 (+5.99%), +1.40% at $23.15
• Bullish (BLSH): closed at $32.89 (+6.92%), -1.03% at $32.55
• MARA Holdings (MARA): closed at $8.57 (+6.46%), unchanged in pre-market
• Riot Platforms (RIOT): closed at $17.08 (+3.52%), -0.12% at $17.06
• Core Scientific (CORZ): closed at $18.08 (+1.18%), -0.22% at $18.04
• CleanSpark (CLSK): closed at $10.45 (+0.97%), +0.29% at $10.48
• CoinShares Valkyrie Bitcoin Miners ETF (WGMI): closed at $42.34 (-0.87%)
• Exodus Movement (EXOD): closed at $10.63 (+8.91%)

Crypto Treasury Companies

• Strategy (MSTR): closed at $135.65 (+8.86%), -0.18% at $135.41
• Strive (ASST): closed at $8.54 (+19.19%), -1.41% at $8.42
• SharpLink Gaming (SBET): closed at $7.44 (+13.59%), +0.27% at $7.46
• Upexi (UPXI): closed at $0.83 (+35.86%), +4.53% at $0.86
• Lite Strategy (LITS): closed at $1.18 (+6.31%)

ETF Flows

Spot BTC ETFs

• Daily net flows: $506.6 million
• Cumulative net flows: $54.56 billion
• Total BTC holdings ~1.26 million

Spot ETH ETFs

• Daily net flows: $157.2 million
• Cumulative net flows: $11.67 billion
• Total ETH holdings ~5.64 million

Source: Farside Investors

While You Were Sleeping

Vitalik Buterin has exceeded his previously stated plan to sell 16,384 ETH, with total disposals now reaching 18,684 ETH.

Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin has surpassed his publicly stated target of selling 16,384 ETH, with on-chain data showing total disposals have now reached over 18,000 ETH, valued at more than $38 million.

The sales, which have accelerated over the past 24 hours, come with ETH struggling against a multi-month downtrend that has seen it lose nearly 60% of its value since last summer’s all-time high above $4,900.

Sales Accelerate Past Planned Target

Blockchain analytics firm Lookonchain reported early Thursday that wallets linked to Buterin have now exceeded the 16,384 ETH threshold he announced in late January.

The blockchain developer initially disclosed his plan on January 31, 2026, stating he had withdrawn 16,384 ETH to fund open-source software and hardware development, privacy tools, and security-critical infrastructure projects.

He characterized the move as part of a period of “mild austerity” for the Ethereum Foundation, with him personally assuming funding responsibilities for certain initiatives to ensure the Foundation’s long-term sustainability.

The selling began in early February and has unfolded in distinct phases. On February 5, Lookonchain reported Buterin had sold 2,961 ETH worth $6.6 million over three days at an average price of $2,228 per coin.

By February 6, total sales had grown to 6,183 ETH, valued at $13.2 million, with the pace accelerating later in the month. On February 22, on-chain data showed Buterin had withdrawn another 3,500 ETH from Aave, and by February 23, Lookonchain flagged additional sales of 1,869 ETH worth $3.67 million.

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However, the most intense activity occurred between February 25 and 26. According to analyst Ted Pillows, Buterin sold another $2.83 million worth of ETH in the past few hours alone, bringing his total for February to $38.2 million. The sales included an additional 2,300 ETH dumped after Ethereum posted a 10% daily gain, its first such move in over four months.

Transaction data shared by Lookonchain shows multiple swaps routed through CoW Protocol, a decentralized exchange aggregator that splits large orders into smaller swaps to minimize market impact. These batches ranged from 7 to 70 WETH and were executed in quick succession, pushing the total past the planned 16,384 ETH to 18,684 ETH.

Despite the disposals, Arkham Intelligence data indicates Buterin remains one of the largest individual holders, with more than 240,000 ETH still in wallets associated with him.

Ethereum Price Action

The price of Ethereum has shown significant volatility during the period of Buterin’s sales. The asset is currently trading around $2,050, up 8.6% in the last 24 hours and 3.6% over the past week, according to CoinGecko. However, the token is still down nearly 30% over the past month and almost 18% across one year.

Analyst Ali Martinez noted that Ethereum’s broader decline coincided with significant ETF outflows, with data showing that over the last five weeks, institutional products have offloaded about 563,600 ETH, worth about $1.13 billion.

If selling pressure continues, Martinez identified several critical downside levels to watch, with $1,800 as an immediate pivot, followed by $1,584, $1,238, and a deeper capitulation zone near $1,089.

• Stellar price rose to near $0.17 on Thursday, February 26.
• XLM bounced higher as cryptocurrencies recorded gains across the board.
• Bulls could target $0.40 if sentiment holds, but bears remain largely in control.

Stellar (XLM) price rose to near $0.17 early Thursday as a broad market bounce lifted cryptocurrencies.

The altcoin’s price mirrored the movement of major alts and Bitcoin, jumping from lows of $0.15 as sentiment drove buy-side pressure.

Bitcoin’s surge to near $70k came ahead of Nvidia earnings.

BTC is holding above $68k, and this could mean a short-term retest of highs above the psychological level.

However, bulls are at risk of giving up all the intraday gains if bearish sentiment continues to dictate momentum, with analysts pointing to the latest uptick as a potential relief bounce that may yet fade quickly.

XLM price today

XLM price hovers at $0.1647 as of writing, up nearly 8% in the past 24 hours.

The gains put Stellar up about 3% in the past week, and extended the altcoin’s recovery from oversold levels near $0.15.

According to data from CoinMarketCap, the price jump has come amid a spike in daily trading volume.

The spot volume stood at $155 million, up 50% as XLM tested intraday highs around $0.169.

Stellar price technical analysis

Despite notable gains, XLM remains pinned below the 50-day and 100-day SMAs.

The moving averages are clustered near $0.18-$0.21, signalling continued downside pressure.

A descending resistance trendline also caps upside, and bulls need a clean break to sustain the advantage.

In terms of technical indicators, the daily RSI has inched up from oversold territory but stays neutral.

Meanwhile, the MACD shows bullish divergence, but a shrinking histogram suggests limited breakout potential without a notable volume surge.

For bulls, near-term recovery hinges on holding $0.16 support.

A push above $0.17 and a retest of highs above the key moving averages will buoy buyers.

Key targets lie in the $0.25-$0.41 area.

Helping Stellar’s bullish outlook is its traction in the payments and tokenization markets.

The blockchain network ranks among the top chains for distributed and represented real-world assets, alongside XRP Ledger and others.

Gains for XRP have often coincided with an uptick for XLM.

On the downside, bears may rely on a bearish tilt supported by negative trends in the derivatives market.

XLM’s futures open interest remains low compared to metrics seen during last year’s peak. Funding rates also reinforce this outlook.

As such, downside risks loom large, and a breakdown below $0.15 could be bad news for XLM bulls.

Gate, one of the world-leading players in crypto space, announced that Gate Technology Ltd, its Malta-based entity, has officially obtained a Payment Institution license under the EU’s Second Payment Services Directive (PSD2) from the Malta Financial Services Authority (MFSA).

This milestone places Gate among one of the crypto-native companies in Europe to secure this level of regulatory approval, reinforcing its long-term strategy to bridge legacy finance and Web3 infrastructure across the continent.

Gate Technology Ltd. CEO, Mr. Giovanni Cunti, commented on the achievement: “We are proud to have secured this Payment Institution license. It positions Gate to build a secure, scalable bridge between traditional finance and Web3, delivering compliant payment solutions to clients across Europe.

This accomplishment is the result of our team’s dedication and marks a critical step in aligning with MiCA’s regulatory framework.” He further emphasized the broader significance of the license, noting that it establishes a strong foundation for future financial services and ensures regulatory certainty for both institutional and retail clients in the dynamic European market.

This announcement builds on Gate’s earlier regulatory achievements in Malta, where Gate previously obtained a full MiCA license to provide exchange and custody services. These milestones are part of Gate’s comprehensive global compliance strategy, which spans multiple jurisdictions, including but not limited to Malta, Cyprus, the Bahamas, Japan, Australia, and Dubai.

Malta, in particular, has emerged as a strategic hub for European operations, offering a transparent and forward-looking regulatory environment that aligns with Gate’s vision for secure, scalable, and innovative digital asset services.

By securing the PSD2 license, Gate is now expanding its payment services across the European Union through passporting rights. The license not only affirms Gate’s commitment to compliance and regulatory excellence, but also enhances its ability to integrate traditional finance mechanisms with Web3 applications, creating a seamless, secure, and efficient ecosystem for users. As Europe’s crypto landscape continues to evolve, Gate is well-positioned to play a leading role in driving innovation, transparency, and trust in digital financial infrastructure.

About Gate

Founded in 2013, Gate is a pioneer in the cryptocurrency industry, with its flagship platform, Gate.com, serving over 49 million users globally and ranking among the top 3 crypto exchanges worldwide by market share.

For more information, please visit: Website | X | Telegram | LinkedIn| Instagram | YouTube

Disclaimer: This content does not constitute an offer, solicitation, or recommendation. You should always seek independent professional advice before making investment decisions. Gate may restrict or prohibit all or part of its services for users from restricted regions. For more information, please read the applicable User Agreement.

Solana price rallied for the second consecutive day, clocking over 17% as the broader crypto maker recovered. It has now confirmed a bullish breakout from a symmetrical triangle pattern, which could lead to more upside over the coming sessions.

According to data from crypto.news, Solana (SOL) price rebounded 17.5% from its weekly low of $76.56 to an intraday high of nearly $90 on Thursday.

On the 4-hour chart, Solana price has broken out from the upper side of a symmetrical triangle pattern that had been forming since early February. A symmetrical triangle pattern is a structure formed when an asset price forms successive lower highs and higher lows as the asset undergoes a period of consolidation.

When an asset price breaks out from the upper side of such a pattern, it typically tends to continue its upward momentum over the sessions that follow.

In Solana’s case, while the token previously broke the lower trendline of the pattern due to a broader market drop, it was quickly reclaimed as bulls managed to push the token back above the upper trendline of the pattern that had been acting as dynamic resistance.

Based on the bullish breakout, Solana price eyes a rally past the $100 psychological resistance level toward $108, a target calculated by adding the height of the greatest swings within the symmetrical triangle to the point at which SOL price broke out of the pattern.

The bullish forecast is supported by other technical indicators, including the MACD and Supertrend. The MACD lines have pointed upwards with growing green histograms, while the Supertrend has flipped green.

Catalysts supporting Solana recovery

Solana price jumped amid a broader market rebound triggered by Bitcoin’s bounce back to near $70K levels and bullish market sentiment that followed after a stellar Q4 earnings report by AI chip-making titan Nvidia.

As Solana price surged, it led to liquidations of bearish bets on the leveraged markets. Data from CoinGlass shows nearly $27.5 million worth of short positions were liquidated from the SOL futures market in the past 24 hours, significantly outweighing long liquidations. 

SOL futures open interest has also surged nearly 5% to $5.3 billion over the past day while the weighted funding rate has turned positive.

Meanwhile, a sudden spike in institutional demand for spot Solana ETFs has also played a part in supporting the Solana surge today. Data from SoSoValue shows the spot Solana ETFs recorded a combined inflow of $30.86 million on Wednesday, nearly an eight-fold jump from the prior day and also marking the highest single-day inflows recorded since mid-December last year.

This renewed demand for SOL amid both derivatives and institutional traders could help it on its way towards the $108 target.

Bitcoin BTC$68,054.53 has dropped like clockwork every morning after the New York market open since late 2025, and crypto fans on X are accusing Jane Street for causing it.

A theory on X has gotten retail participants pointing to the firm for single-handedly driving the asset from $125,000 to $62,000 in recent months.

However, market data and inner workings of an exchange-traded fund (ETF) authorized participant like Jane Street suggest otherwise, observers have noted.

CoinDesk reached out to Jane Street for comment on BTC allegations and did not receive a reply as of European morning hours.

The allegations

The claim, spread across dozens of viral posts, goes something like this: Jane Street, one of the world’s largest trading firms, was systematically selling bitcoin at 10 a.m. ET every day to push prices lower and then snap up ETFs cheaply.

“BTC has been consistently dumping ~2-3% within minutes of the U.S. cash open (10 a.m. ET) almost every trading day since early November. Many traders point to Jane Street’s massive $2.5B+ position in BlackRock’s IBIT as the likely driver: engineered liquidity sweeps to accumulate spot ETFs at a discount,” Whale Factor, a widely-followed X account said in December.

The recent 13/F filings revealed that Jane Street held roughly $790 million in IBIT shares as of the fourth quarter of 2025.

Jan Happel and Yann Allemann, the co-founders of blockchain analytics firm Glassnode, have also documented these patterns through their shared X account Negentropic and said Wednesday: “Jane street Lawsuit gets made public, and miraculously the 10am $btc slam disappears.”

The allegations have exploded this week, after the firm was sued by TerraForm Labs’ bankruptcy operator for insider trading that hastened Terra’s demise in 2022. If that’s not enough, the 10 a.m. volatility has vanished in the wake of the lawsuit. Bitcoin surged by over 6% to nearly $70,000 on Wednesday.

In June last year, India’s SEBI banned Jane Street from local markets and froze $566 million in alleged illegal gains, citing a “morning pump, afternoon dump” scheme manipulating the Bank Nifty index on 18 derivatives expiry days from January 2023 to March 2025. The accusations, therefore, suggest Jane Street’s reputation precedes it.

Market data and logic suggest otherwise

The conspiracy that Jane Street has been secretly driving prices lower to snap up IBIT cheap could be challenged, however, using data tracked by crypto economist Alex Kruger, which doesn’t confirm the 10 a.m. dump.

The IBIT ETF has posted cumulative gains of around 0.9% in the 10:00-10:30 ET window; meanwhile, returns in the first 15 minutes have been -1%, according to Kruger. That’s noisy data, not evidence of systematic dumping, Kruger said on X.

More importantly, both windows closely mirror Nasdaq performance, Kruger added, which means the so-called “10 a.m. dump” was a part of broad risk-asset repricing, not Jane Street foul play.

Jane Street, it should be pointed out, isn’t a rogue operator with unfettered power over bitcoin, but a single player — an authorized participant (AP) — in a regulated ecosystem designed to ensure smooth trading of the ETFs.

“No single firm sits at a terminal pressing “dump Bitcoin.” But the structure itself—the ETF architecture, the AP exemptions, the shift to in-kind creation—creates a grey window where price discovery can be muted without anyone breaking rules,” Yale ReiSoleil, chief technology officer of Untrading, an Ethereum-based financial infrastructure firm, said on X.

Spot ETFs are funds that track bitcoin’s spot price while holding actual coins in custody. Their shares trade on the stock exchange and their prices tend to drift away from the underlying asset’s net asset value (NAV) depending on the demand and supply.

APs like Jane Street, JPMorgan and Citadel Securities are tasked with creating new ETF shares with demand spikes and redeem when demand falls to ensure the ETF price remains tethered to the NAV.

In the case of bitcoin ETFs, APs are allowed “in-kind” creation and redemption, where they can swap a basket of actual BTC directly with the issuing company, rather than just cash. These dynamics, which are legal and not manipulation, could have led to 10 a.m. volatility.

Short first, buy later

On a typical day, when BTC rises during the Asian and European hours, demand for ETFs spikes in early U.S. hours. This temporarily pushes the ETF price above its NAV. The APs then respond by increasing the supply of shares — sometimes by shorting shares they don’t have — to meet buyer demand and keep trading smooth.

Normally, shorting requires borrowing shares first, which costs money (like loan interest), but regulators have exempted APs from that rule.

Later, when they create new shares, they don’t rush to buy spot BTC right away and often source it privately through an over-the-counter shop. They then short futures or buy put options to hedge the long exposure from creating new shares.

These things combined can inject temporary downside pressure in the market.

“APs can short IBIT without borrowing costs, thanks to a Reg SHO carve-out. They can hedge that short with futures instead of spot. That means the natural arb that should close the gap between ETF price and NAV never happens, because the AP never buys spot,” ReiSoleil explained.

“Meanwhile, in-kind creation lets them source bitcoin privately, OTC, at their own pace. The spot market never sees the buy pressure. The beginning looks like market-making. The end looks like market-making. The middle is where the integrity of price discovery goes to die,” he added.

Kruger agreed that Jane Street conspiracy theories are typical of the doom-laden sentiment that often emerges after prolonged bitcoin downtrends.

He firmly disagreed with the allegation that the “short first and buy later” mechanics employed by APs temporarily suppress the price.

“Whether the spot is bought by the AP or the basis trader, the net demand on BTC spot is identical,” he said, arguing that the notion that hedging with futures first (and delaying immediate spot buys) somehow compromises the integrity of price discovery is simply incorrect.

Jane Street has not commented publicly, and no onchain data or exchange records have surfaced tying the firm to a coordinated campaign to push bitcoin lower.

Bitcoin (BTC) tapped $70,000 during Wednesday’s New York session as bulls targeted sell liquidity.

Key takeaways:

• BTC price support must hold above a key trendline at $68,000 for the rebound to continue.

• $80,000 is a key level to watch as the next big liquidation cluster above.

• Spot Bitcoin ETF inflows attracted half a billion dollars in inflows on Wednesday.

Bitcoin must close week above $68,000

Data from TradingView showed the BTC/USD pair at $68,480 on Bitstamp. This is just above the 200-week exponential moving average (EMA), which is currently at $68,338.

Related: Bitcoin tops $69.5K after stocks rebound, strong earnings data boost risk appetite

Analyst Rekt Capital spotted Bitcoin facing resistance from this trendline, saying that the latest recovery could turn into a “post-breakdown retest of the EMA into new resistance” based on historical price action.

“The moment of truth is coming for Bitcoin,” Rekt Capital said, adding:

“Bitcoin will need a Weekly Close back above the EMA and flip it into new support to go against the grain of history.”

Zooming in, fellow analyst Jelle said that the price needs to turn the 50 EMA (at $68,000) on the four-hour chart into support to confirm the recovery.

As Cointelegraph reported, the BTC/USD pair may rally to $74,508, where sellers are likely to step in, if the 20-day EMA, currently at $69,220, is broken by the bulls.

Will liquidations drive BTC price to $80,000?

Several traders are anticipating a possible liquidity grab where a cluster of ask-orders are placed above $72,000.

The latest data from monitoring resource CoinGlass showed BTC price tapping the liquidity around $70,000, with the bulk of interest still clustered above the spot price.

About $2 billion in ask orders are sitting between $72,450 and $75,000.

If the $75,000 level is broken, it could spark a liquidation squeeze, forcing short sellers to close positions and driving prices toward $80,000, the next major liquidity cluster.

“Bitcoin’s liquidity hunt has only just started,” analyst AlphaBTC said in his latest post on X, adding:

“Unless there is a catalyst to drop, I am expecting these higher levels to get run in the next few weeks.”

Spot Bitcoin ETF inflows support BTC’s upside

Institutional demand is showing signs of a comeback, with US-based spot Bitcoin ETFs recording inflows for two consecutive days, according to data from Farside Investors.

Investors poured a total of $765 million into these investment products on Tuesday and Wednesday, with $507 million flowing into the funds Wednesday, the largest since Feb. 2.

“ETF inflows and short liquidations doing the heavy lifting,” X user Raster said in a recent post, adding:

 “This isn’t retail FOMO, it’s institutional accumulation with a technical breakout.”

This growing demand-side pressure could push BTC prices higher, particularly if combined with growing adoption and whale accumulation.