Crypto World
World’s Highest IQ Holder Predicts an ‘Insane’ June for Bitcoin and XRP
YoungHoon Kim, the South Korean influencer claiming the world’s highest IQ at 276, says Bitcoin (BTC) and XRP will turn “insane” in June, with only seven days left on his deadline.
He has built a large audience around bold short-term crypto calls. However, his record shows that most of those forecasts have missed by wide margins on timing or magnitude.
The IQ Claim Behind the Hype
Kim posted on May 26 that “crypto will be insane starting in June” and that his focus is on Bitcoin and XRP. He also claimed a +487% trading return this year.
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In a separate post, he framed the call as “final,” writing that BTC will “start the fire” and XRP will “shock the world” within seven days.
By his count, June 2 is the day to watch, when the man with the highest IQ predicts an insane Bitcoin and XRP price rallies.
Kim says the Official World Record and the World Memory Championships recognize his score.
However, the United Sigma Intelligence Association, which Kim founded, publicly stated that it did not conduct psychometric evaluations or certify the figure.
“USIA does not conduct psychometric evaluations nor certify IQ scores… We are not a testing or certification body,” read an excerpt in the USIA note.
Independent experts, including members of the Triple Nine Society, have called the 276 number statistically implausible under standard testing norms.
A Record of Missed Crypto Calls
Kim’s prior forecasts have repeatedly failed on timing and magnitude. In late 2025, he predicted Bitcoin would reach $220,000 within 45 days.
BTC instead traded near $80,000 to $90,000 during that window, in line with BeInCrypto coverage of his earlier Bitcoin call.
He also projected BTC at $100,000 within 48 hours during January and at $300,000 by early 2026. Neither materialized.
His XRP all-time high call for late 2025 also missed, as detailed in earlier reporting on his bullish XRP thesis.
Bitcoin currently trades near $77,084 and XRP near $1.35, with both assets lower on the day.
That leaves Kim’s “fire” call sharply detached from spot prices heading into June.
Risk Hidden Inside the +487% Return
Kim’s headline +487% number points to a MyFXBook-verified forex account, not a crypto wallet. Public data tied to that account shows a maximum drawdown above 70% and a Sharpe ratio near 0.21.
That combination suggests aggressive leverage rather than steady performance.
Past returns on a forex track also offer limited signal for short-term Bitcoin or XRP moves, where macro flows, liquidity, and regulation dominate price action.
A previous BeInCrypto review of one BTC trade move by Kim documented how quickly his entries have unraveled when the market turned.
Therefore, it is impossible to ignore the familiar pattern of vague urgent calls that drive engagement rather than trades.
Veteran chartist Peter Brandt has offered a sharply opposing Bitcoin outlook, warning of further downside through the summer.
BeInCrypto’s Bitcoin 2026 price outlook also flags structural bearish risks heading into the second half of the year.
June, barely a week out, could deliver Kim’s promised move or become just another missed deadline.
Traders weighing his post should treat the urgency as marketing rather than analysis.
The post World’s Highest IQ Holder Predicts an ‘Insane’ June for Bitcoin and XRP appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
Stable Unveils StableEarn as USDT Yield Product on Morpho
TLDR
- Stable has launched StableEarn to help USDT holders access yield through real-world asset products.
- The product uses Theo’s RWA suite tied to assets such as U.S. Treasurys and gold.
- StableEarn is built on Morpho, with risk management parameters curated by Gauntlet.
- The vaults route USDT deposits into Theo’s yield products instead of relying on crypto token incentives.
- Stable said the product expands yield options for users on its USDT-focused Layer 1 blockchain.
Stable has introduced StableEarn, a new yield product that lets USDT holders access returns tied to real-world assets through Theo’s onchain products.
According to Stable’s Tuesday statement, StableEarn gives Tether’s USDT users a way to earn yield from products connected to assets such as U.S. Treasurys and gold. The company said the product uses Theo’s real-world asset suite, which includes products such as thUSD, thBILL, and thGOLD.
Theo CIO Iggy Ioppe said StableEarn brings “USDT-native” and “institutional-grade” yield to onchain dollar users, with returns generated by real-world markets. Theo works with partners including Standard Chartered’s Libeara and Wellington Management on its RWA products, according to the announcement.
Stable, a Layer 1 blockchain built around USDT, said the product is designed for holders of Tether’s stablecoin, the largest stablecoin by supply. The project is backed by Bitfinex and previously raised $28 million in a funding round co-led by Bitfinex and Hack VC, with Franklin Templeton among the investors.
StableEarn Routes USDT Into RWA Products
Stable said StableEarn is built on Morpho, a decentralized lending protocol, with risk parameters curated by Gauntlet. Under the vault structure described by the companies, users deposit USDT into automated smart-contract pools that move funds into Theo’s yield-generating products.
The companies said the vaults do not depend on token emissions or crypto incentive programs often used in some DeFi yield products. Instead, StableEarn links deposits to products tied to real-world markets through Theo’s platform.
Stable CEO Brian Mehler said USDT holders have long faced challenges when trying to put their stablecoin holdings to work at competitive yields. In his statement, Mehler said StableEarn combines institutional-grade yield with a blockchain built specifically around USDT.
Vaults in DeFi are automated pools that use smart contracts to deploy user deposits into selected strategies. In StableEarn’s case, the companies said USDT deposits are routed into Theo-developed products rather than being used for reward-token-based yield programs.
Stable Expands Its USDT-Focused Ecosystem
Stable’s launch of StableEarn comes after the project rolled out its mainnet last year. The network presents itself as a USDT-dedicated Layer 1 blockchain, with Bitfinex among its key backers.
Tether’s USDT remains the largest stablecoin in the market, giving Stable a large target user base for products built around dollar-denominated blockchain activity. Stable said StableEarn adds another use case for USDT holders who want yield options connected to real-world asset products.
At the same time, the product places Theo’s RWA offerings at the center of Stable’s yield strategy. According to the companies, Theo’s products are tied to assets such as Treasurys and gold and involve partners including Libeara and Wellington Management.
The launch also puts Morpho and Gauntlet into the product’s operating structure. Stable said Morpho provides the vault framework, while Gauntlet curates risk management parameters for the product.
Crypto World
Piper Sandler says Strait of Hormuz to remain closed for months and oil to hit new highs
Piper Sandler isn’t buying the talk that an Iran deal is nearing, telling clients that the Strait of Hormuz will largely stay closed and oil will hit new highs.
“We think the Strait of Hormuz remains largely closed for months yet, meaning shortages become more urgent and oil hits new highs this Summer,” according to a recent note from the investment bank’s energy and macro teams.
West Texas Intermediate Futures are down since Friday but bounced back some on Tuesday with mixed messaging on a possible Iran deal over the long weekend. The U.S. military said it conducted “self-defense strikes” in southern Iran, which included targeting Iranian missile launch sites and vessels placing mines around the Strait of Hormuz. The news came after President Donald Trump said Saturday that an agreement with Iran has been “largely negotiated“, with details to be announced shortly. Meanwhile, Iran’s foreign ministry has said navigation through the vital shipping channel “will have costs.”
Piper Sandler said it has very little confidence that the commercial traffic through the Strait would return to even 50% of its pre-crisis levels, either next week or next month.
The U.S. has been “unwilling to press the fight” because the scale of Iran’s retaliation could have broader implications for its neighbors and may further disrupt global supply chains, the note said.
The bank also argued that Iran’s leaders are unwilling to settle for any compromise because they believe they have leverage, reinforcing concerns that the Strait closure could extend for months.
WTI crude, YTD
Various economies in the Middle East, Asia and Europe rely heavily on shipment through the Strait, which is particularly important for oil and LNG exports from the Middle East to Asia. The narrow passage that once carried about one-fifth of the world’s seaborne oil has seen historic dips, with tracking data showing vessel traffic falling sharply to near zero since the war escalated.
WTI crude futures neared $120 a barrel during the onset of the conflict, but were last trading around $94 a barrel. If Piper Sandler’s call for a new high comes true, it would send quite a jolt to the global economy and undermine the stock market comeback that has come as oil traded off that war-time high.
Crypto World
Whales Go 10x Long on Hyperliquid as Wall Street Jumps on HYPE ETF
Bitwise’s spot Hyperliquid ETF (BHYP) pulled in $40 million in assets within eight trading days of its NYSE debut, fueled by an 18-fold jump in client inflows and steady on-chain accumulation by the issuer.
On May 26, a Hyperliquid (HYPE) whale opened a 10x leveraged long worth $9.1 million, signaling that high-conviction traders are chasing the rally alongside institutional flows from Bitwise’s new product.
Hyperliquid ETF Inflows Climb 18-Fold
Bitwise CEO Hunter Horsley said roughly $12 million of BHYP ETF traded in the first 90 minutes of Tuesday’s session, lifting fund assets to about $40 million just over a week after launch.
After its first five sessions, Bitwise reported $30.5 million in AUM, $26.9 million in net inflows, and $9.2 million in average daily volume.
Arkham reported on May 26 that Bitwise ETF clients bought a combined $35.9 million of HYPE during the prior week, an 18-fold jump from the first week of flows.
Lookonchain flagged an additional 162,367 HYPE buy worth roughly $10.11 million within a two-hour window, taking Bitwise’s reported holdings to 723,361 HYPE as of May 21.
The pace mirrors broader institutional HYPE demand tied to ecosystem buybacks.
Whale Bets on Continued HYPE Momentum
On the same day, Lookonchain identified wallet 0x3ed4 opening a 10x long on 142,754 HYPE worth roughly $9.1 million notional.
The position carries a liquidation price of $41.93, well below HYPE’s recent trading range.
The token printed an intraday high of $64.44 on Tuesday before settling near $61.82, up 26% over the past seven days.
The same wallet had opened a $8.24 million leveraged long on Zcash (ZEC) the prior day, fitting a broader pattern of whale-driven HYPE rallies across volatile altcoins.
Spot HYPE ETF Race Heats Up
Meanwhile, competition for HYPE exposure is intensifying. 21Shares listed its spot Hyperliquid ETF (THYP) on Nasdaq days before Bitwise’s NYSE listing, while Grayscale has filed for HYPE ETF, and VanEck has confirmed HYPE ETF plans for the US and Europe.
BHYP differentiates with native staking via Bitwise Onchain Solutions, published fund wallet addresses, and a structure that uses 10% of annual management fees to buy HYPE for the issuer’s balance sheet, held for a minimum of 12 months.
Early flows holding through the typical post-launch cooldown depend on how quickly competing issuers convert filings into live products.
The post Whales Go 10x Long on Hyperliquid as Wall Street Jumps on HYPE ETF appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
5 Ways Crypto Markets Are Pricing SpaceX Before Wall Street Can
Five separate crypto venues are already pricing the SpaceX IPO ahead of its scheduled June 12 Nasdaq debut. Their numbers do not agree. The gap between them is wider than anything traditional brokerage screens will show on listing day.
The rocket company filed its S-1 prospectus with the Securities and Exchange Commission on May 20, 2026. The filing targets a $1.75 trillion valuation, a $75 billion raise, and a Nasdaq listing under the ticker SPCX.
Hyperliquid Set the Synthetic Price
Trade.xyz launched the SPCX-USDC synthetic perpetual on Hyperliquid through the HIP-3 framework on May 18, 2026.
The contract opened at a $150 reference price, calibrated to a $1.78 trillion valuation. It spiked to $216 within hours before settling at $202.89.
The day-one print hit $33 million in volume. On May 19 alone, the contract did another $7.1 million. SPCX-USDC confers no ownership of SpaceX shares.
Traders take long or short positions against an oracle-anchored reference, and funding rates pull the perp toward the oracle when positioning skews.
HYPE, the native Hyperliquid token, has closely tracked the perp. The token traded at $61.17 as of this writing, up by over 70% year-to-date.
Analyst conviction tied to Hyperliquid’s $200 billion valuation case has anchored the rally.
Centralized Exchanges Followed Quickly
Hyperliquid was first, not alone. Bitget launched a SpaceX pre-IPO perpetual with 5x leverage on May 22, 2026. OKX listed a USDT-settled SpaceX pre-market contract on May 7, two weeks before the S-1 hit. BingX rolled out its VNTL SpaceX-tracking token on April 10.
Binance pushed past $280 million in cumulative SPCX volume by late May. The exchange launched its OpenAI pre-IPO perpetual on May 26.
That cadence treats these synthetics as a recurring product category rather than a one-off event.
Four centralized venues with KYC requirements and a decentralized order book converged on the same product within five weeks.
That convergence puts the regulatory question on a clock measured in months, not years.
Polymarket Prices the SpaceX IPO Distribution
Polymarket and Kalshi capture the full probability distribution rather than a single number. As of May 26, Polymarket’s leading bucket for SpaceX’s closing market cap sits at $2.0 trillion to $2.5 trillion.
The implied probability is 39%, with the $1.5 trillion to $2.0 trillion bucket printing 26%.
Kalshi traders price a 92% chance of OpenAI filing for a 2026 IPO and 69% for Anthropic. The modal Polymarket outcome implies a 14% to 43% pop over the S-1 target on day one.
That spread is wider than the comparable Reddit or Klaviyo day-one ranges by a factor of two.
Polymarket’s stock-like behavior has been driven by exactly this kind of pre-event distribution trading.
Tokenized SPCX Arrives After the Bell
The fourth lane opens at the listing bell. Ondo Finance, Backed Finance, Dinari, and PreStocks have signaled they will list tokenized SPCX representations once shares start trading.
Ondo’s Global Listing model brings public equity tokens on-chain on the same day they list on the underlying exchange.
SPCX tokenized exposure could appear on Solana, Base, and Ethereum within hours of the June 12 New York open.
The same rails that handle gold and commodity tokens will carry SPCX. The tokens would offer 24/7 trading, fractional exposure, and composability with DeFi lending protocols.
The risk asymmetry is real. Earlier, OpenAI and Anthropic pre-IPO tokens on smaller venues fell more than 40%.
Both companies stated that unauthorized share transfers carry no economic value.
SpaceX’s 18,712 Bitcoin treasury
The most underdiscussed crypto angle sits inside the S-1 itself. SpaceX disclosed 18,712 BTC as of March 31, 2026. The position carries $661 million in historical cost and $1.29 billion in fair value, per the filing.
The company originally acquired 25,724 BTC in 2021 and has held a large position through the cycle.
SpaceX’s holdings rank among the top 10 corporate Bitcoin holders globally. The space firm holds more than Tesla’s 11,509 BTC and trails Strategy’s record holdings of 843,738 BTC.
Buying SPCX on June 12 means acquiring a $1.29 billion Bitcoin allocation embedded inside a $1.75 trillion equity.
For brokerage accounts that cannot hold spot BTC directly, the listing offers correlated exposure. The compliance team already understands the wrapper.
What the Spread is Telling Traders
Each crypto market pricing SPCX sits on the same unresolved question. Are these products unregistered securities, swaps, or something else entirely? US regulators have not answered publicly as of May 26, 2026.
State regulators in Texas and New York may be watching. No enforcement action is pending, and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has not asserted jurisdiction over the SPCX synthetic stack.
If a regulator letter or enforcement filing lands before June 12, the entire synthetic complex reprices in days.
If nothing lands, the post-IPO tokenized wave goes live with structural ambiguity intact.
The Polymarket-Hyperliquid spread is what crypto retail thinks the bookrunners are missing.
The post 5 Ways Crypto Markets Are Pricing SpaceX Before Wall Street Can appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
Solana “Fixes” Ferrari’s New Luce as RACE Stock Falls 6%
Solana’s official X account posted a redesigned image of Ferrari’s new Luce EV in the blockchain’s signature purple-to-teal gradient, captioning it “Fixed it.” The post landed hours after Ferrari unveiled the Luce in Rome as RACE stock fell more than 6% on the day.
The fix was aesthetic rather than mechanical. Solana rebranded the car in its own colors, a playful flex that positioned the protocol as a cultural presence alongside one of the world’s most recognizable car brands.
Ferrari’s $640,000 Electric Debut Falls Flat With Investors
Ferrari unveiled the Luce, Italian for light, in Rome on May 25. The four-door, five-seat car is the Maranello brand’s first all-electric production model. It was developed with LoveFrom, the design collective led by former Apple chief design officer Jony Ive and designer Marc Newson.
The Luce runs four electric motors producing more than 1,000 horsepower. Top speed exceeds 310 kph, with a claimed range of more than 500 kilometres on a 122kWh, 800-volt battery. Ferrari filed more than 60 patents connected to the vehicle.
CEO Benedetto Vigna called the Luce “the result of five years of work.” Priced at €550,000 (roughly $640,000), deliveries are expected in the fourth quarter of 2026.
Investors Unmoved by Ferrari’s Electric Pivot
Shares in Ferrari NV fell more than 6% in Milan trading on the day of the reveal. Analysts flagged the vehicle’s unconventional design and its strategy of targeting buyers new to the brand as risks to the company’s premium valuation. Ferrari has been courting younger audiences on multiple fronts, including Ferrari’s European crypto payments rollout, though the Luce’s market reception suggests the repositioning carries near-term costs. Research has shown luxury brands risk youth market share without deeper digital-native strategies.
Solana’s Brand Flex
The Solana account on X shared an edited image of the Luce in Solana’s signature purple-to-teal gradient alongside the caption “Fixed it.”
Solana (SOL) is a blockchain network that competes primarily on transaction speed, and the post played directly on that reputation by implying the protocol had already outpaced Ferrari’s Q1 network activity in the one metric the Italian automaker has always owned. The post fits a broader pattern of blockchain projects adopting consumer brand playbooks to build cultural relevance beyond their core user base.
The stunt adds to Solana’s public narrative at a time when Solana whale selling pressure and institutional repositioning remain points of focus for analysts. Solana’s May price outlook reflects both the project’s expanding profile and the broader volatility facing crypto markets.
Ferrari confirmed it will continue selling six-, eight-, and twelve-cylinder models alongside the Luce, leaving the long-term investor case for its electric pivot still to prove out.
The post Solana “Fixes” Ferrari’s New Luce as RACE Stock Falls 6% appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
Grvt Launches 3 Tokenized Yield Funds Backed by Institutional RWAs
Decentralized derivatives platform Grvt is partnering with tokenization specialist Plume to launch three tokenized real-world asset (RWA) yield products. The move integrates fixed-income and structured-credit exposure directly into Grvt’s platform, enabling users to access on-chain yield strategies from self-custodial wallets without moving assets to separate venues.
The products will track tokenized institutional-grade assets, including exposure to the iShares AAA CLO Active ETF, which totals roughly $2.2 billion in assets. The three investment vehicles — Base Yield Fund, Balanced Fund and Opportunistic Fund — will be available inside Grvt’s trading environment, letting users tap into yield strategies from the same wallet they already use for perpetual futures trading.
Plume, which focuses on tokenized real-world assets, provides the on-chain yield infrastructure that underpins these products. Grvt’s announcement notes that the arrangement merges tokenized fixed-income exposure with Plume’s network, expanding the utility of perpetual futures by layering yield opportunities onto the same self-custodial balance.
Perpetual futures contracts, or perps, are a staple for traders seeking to speculate on price movements without owning the underlying asset. Unlike traditional futures, perps carry no expiration, allowing positions to be maintained indefinitely. Grvt’s daily trading activity sits within a wider DeFi ecosystem that processed about $15.2 billion in perpetual DEX volume over the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinGecko, with Grvt handling around $1.23 billion of that turnover.
In February, Grvt also integrated the Aave lending protocol to let traders earn yield on margin collateral while their perpetual positions remain open, illustrating the platform’s ongoing push to combine on-chain liquidity with yield opportunities.
Key takeaways
- Grvt and Plume will launch three tokenized RWA yield products — Base Yield Fund, Balanced Fund, and Opportunistic Fund — integrated directly into Grvt’s platform.
- The products provide exposure to tokenized institutional-grade assets, including about $2.2 billion in iShares AAA CLO Active ETF assets.
- Access to the yield strategies is designed to occur within self-custodial wallets used for trading, eliminating the need to transfer assets across separate custody or brokerage setups.
- Overall market activity for perpetual futures remains substantial, with 24-hour DEX volume near $15.2 billion and Grvt contributing roughly $1.23 billion of that total.
RWAs on-chain: scale, momentum and what changes for users
The Grvt–Plume collaboration sits amid a broader surge in tokenized real-world assets, a sector that data provider RWA.xyz puts at more than $34 billion in on-chain value. That figure marks a substantial increase from about $5.8 billion at the start of 2025, underscoring rising institutional interest in on-chain renditions of traditional financial products.
The trend is visible across the crypto ecosystem as exchanges, trading venues, and tokenization firms push to bring asset classes like fixed income, private credit and securitized assets onto blockchains. For readers following the rails that enable these products, the momentum is as much about infrastructure as about novelty — from tokenized funds to on-chain settlement and collateral models that could broaden access to traditional assets for crypto traders and institutions alike.
In context, the market momentum is mirrored by notable cross-sector moves. In March, EtherFi allocated $25 million to Plume’s Nest protocol to provide users with exposure to tokenized yield strategies tied to institutional assets and government securities. Around the same time, BTC Markets signaled plans to approach Australia’s securities regulator for a markets license to offer tokenized RWAs, including equities and bonds. Earlier in February, Binance expanded its tokenized assets by adding tokenized equities and ETFs from Ondo Finance to its Binance Alpha platform. Separately, Securitize announced a collaboration with Hamilton Lane, OKX Ventures and stablecoin infrastructure provider STBL to launch a stablecoin backed by tokenized private credit assets.
Industry observers also point to research from Boston Consulting Group, which in a May report highlighted tokenized funds, collateral and fixed-income products among the digital-asset offerings most likely to gain broader institutional adoption over the coming decade. The shift signals digital assets moving beyond purely speculative trading toward infrastructure that supports payments, settlement and capital markets operations.
What to watch next: integration, adoption and regulatory signals
The Grvt–Plume integration adds a concrete use case for on-chain yield in a space where tokenized RWAs are increasingly seen as a differentiator for platforms seeking richer, income-generating offerings. For investors and traders, the key questions are how quickly these products scale, what risk controls accompany tokenized fixed income on-chain, and how on-chain yield will interact with broader regulatory expectations as tokenized RWAs grow in prominence.
As ecosystems mature and more venues bring tokenized assets to market, readers should monitor user uptake of these new yield products, the resilience of on-chain yield infrastructure in volatile markets, and any regulatory clarifications that could shape the deployment of tokenized fixed-income strategies across decentralized platforms.
Source data and market figures referenced in this article include CoinGecko for perpetual futures volume and Grvt’s own disclosures, while on-chain asset totals are tracked by RWA.xyz. For context on related ecosystem activity, industry updates point to EtherFi, BTC Markets and Binance’s tokenized equities initiatives, as well as ongoing collaborations like Securitize’s. The broader market outlook from institutions such as Boston Consulting Group frames tokenized RWAs as a meaningful frontier for institutional adoption in the coming years.
Crypto World
NYT Investigation Exposes CFTC Officials Suspended Over Prediction Markets Scrutiny

A New York Times investigation has uncovered that officials at the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) who questioned the agency's approach to prediction markets were subsequently suspended and removed from their positions. The finding sheds light on internal dynamics at the U.S. regulator… Read the full story at The Defiant
Crypto World
XRPL AMM Proposal Could Improve Liquidity for Tokenized Asset Trades
TLDR
- XRP Ledger developers have proposed a draft AMM Swappable Curves amendment to expand the network’s DeFi tools.
- The proposal would add constant product, concentrated liquidity, and StableSwap curve options to XRPL AMM pools.
- The draft would let liquidity providers choose how new pools price trades when the pool is created.
- Existing XRPL AMM pools would remain unchanged and would not need forced migration.
- The upgrade could help stablecoin pairs and tokenized assets trade with better capital efficiency.
XRP Ledger has moved closer to a DeFi upgrade that could give liquidity providers more control over how AMM pools price trades.
The XRPL Standards repository published the draft amendment under the title “AMM Swappable Curves,” with the proposal describing a plan to add constant product, concentrated liquidity, and StableSwap curve options to the ledger’s automated market maker.
The draft was authored by XRPL core developers Denis Angell and Roman Thpt. The report said the proposal remains at the draft stage and would need a separate amendment vote before it could activate on the XRP Ledger.
XRPL AMM Proposal Targets Liquidity Design
According to the XRPL Standards discussion, the current XLS-30 AMM uses one constant product model with liquidity spread across the full price range. The proposal says this setup can waste deposited capital when assets usually trade close together, including stablecoins and other correlated pairs.
Under the draft, pool creators would be able to select a curve type when they create a pool. The XRPL Standards proposal says the chosen curve would remain locked for the pool’s lifetime, while older pools would stay on the existing constant product model without forced migration.
As per the reports, the draft also reserves a fourth curve type called Smart AMM for a later specification. The report said Smart AMM would cover a fully programmable curve model, while the current draft focuses on the three fixed curve designs.
The XRPL documentation describes AMMs as liquidity pools that hold two assets and allow users to swap between them through a formula-based exchange rate. The same documentation says liquidity providers receive LP tokens after depositing assets into an AMM pool.
Stablecoin And RWA Trading Could Benefit
In the proposal’s own explanation, concentrated liquidity would let liquidity providers place funds inside a narrower price range, rather than across every possible price. The XRPL Standards discussion says this design can create more usable depth for each dollar deposited when most trading happens around a specific price zone.
StableSwap, according to the draft, is designed for assets that usually trade near the same value. The proposal lists stablecoins and similar representations of the same asset as examples of markets where this curve type can be useful.
The timing places the AMM draft beside XRPL’s growing tokenization activity. An earlier report stated that more than $3 billion in tokenized real-world assets are now on the XRP Ledger, including a recent Ripple and JPMorgan-linked tokenized Treasury pilot.
In a separate May 7 report, Ripple, JPMorgan’s Kinexys, Mastercard, and Ondo Finance processed a tokenized U.S. Treasury redemption on XRPL in under five seconds. The report said the pilot involved Ondo’s OUSG tokenized Treasury fund.
XRPL’s AMM has been live since 2024. The XRP Ledger documentation said the AMM amendment was scheduled for mainnet activation on March 22, 2024, adding automated market maker functionality directly to the protocol.
Crypto World
Spain Blocks Polymarket and Kalshi Over Gambling-Law Rules
Spain’s gambling regulator has taken a precautionary step, blocking Spanish users from accessing Kalshi and Polymarket as authorities review whether the prediction-market platforms comply with national gambling laws. The move comes after Spain’s Directorate General for the Regulation of Gambling (DGOJ) announced that the country’s Ministry of Social Rights, Consumption, and Agenda 2030 had opened disciplinary proceedings against the two firms, which allegedly operated without the required licensing.
According to a DGOJ notice issued on Tuesday, Polymarket and Kalshi are blocked from Spanish territories until the proceedings are resolved, a process expected to take three to four months. The agency stressed that, in Spain—and many other European jurisdictions—prediction markets are treated as games of chance when bets are placed on uncertain future outcomes, and therefore require a specific administrative license to operate domestically. This reflects broader regulatory caution around platforms that enable real-money bets on political, economic, or social events.
Key takeaways
- Spain has temporarily barred Spanish users from Kalshi and Polymarket as regulators pursue licensing-violation proceedings, with a projected resolution window of three to four months.
- In Spain, prediction markets are treated as games of chance, requiring a license to operate within the country’s borders.
- The move aligns with a broader, global pattern of regulatory scrutiny and access restrictions on prediction-market platforms, including precedents in Indonesia and several other jurisdictions.
- In the United States, regulatory attention has intensified: a New York Times report describes internal pushback within the CFTC, while lawmakers in Congress have opened an insider-trading probe into Kalshi and Polymarket.
Global patchwork of regulation tightens around prediction markets
The Spanish decision sits within a wider trend of authorities calibrating how prediction markets should fit within existing gambling or financial-device frameworks. Across Asia, Europe, and beyond, regulators have repeatedly warned that platforms enabling bets on future events may fall under gambling or financial-regulatory regimes, depending on the jurisdiction. The Indonesian authorities, for instance, moved to block Polymarket after the platform listed bets tied to the fate of President Prabowo Subianto. Other countries—including Australia, France, Poland, Singapore, Ukraine, and Switzerland—have also restricted access to Polymarket, with corporate and state-level actions shaping the ability of users to place bets on political and current events.
The regulatory environment is equally consequential for Kalshi and Polymarket, which have grown to become two of the largest prediction-market players by trading volume. Industry trackers put their combined weekly volume in the billions, underscoring the potential scale of user engagement and risk for operators under shifting regulatory mandates. The companies have publicly indicated openness to engaging with authorities, though spokespeople have declined to comment on the Spanish case beyond reiterating their commitment to regulatory dialogue.
US regulatory stance and the question of authority
The policy contours in the United States add another layer of complexity. A New York Times report detailed internal tensions at the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), noting that certain officials who questioned the legitimacy or scope of prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket were reportedly reassigned. The CFTC maintains that it holds exclusive authority over such platforms and has pursued lawsuits against state authorities that have challenged that position, a stance that has drawn renewed attention amid ongoing debates about how to regulate rapidly evolving digital markets.
Beyond federal authorities, the political oversight apparatus in Washington has begun scrutinizing insider trading risks connected to prediction markets. Lawmakers on the House of Representatives’ Oversight and Government Reform Committee announced a probe into Kalshi and Polymarket over allegations of suspicious trades ahead of geopolitical or military events. Committee Chair James Comer cited reports suggesting that certain traders may have profited from information not yet made public, intensifying scrutiny of how these platforms handle information flows and potential conflicts of interest.
The dynamic underscores a tension at the center of the prediction-market debate: the potential for useful forecasting and risk-sharing tools to coexist with a regulatory framework that guards against gambling excesses, market manipulation, or unlicensed operations. As regulators in the U.S. and abroad weigh their options, market participants are watching closely for guidance on licensing pathways, consumer protections, and the permissible scope of event-based betting in regulated jurisdictions.
On the market side, observers note that Polymarket and Kalshi together account for a substantial share of weekly prediction-market activity. DeFi Rate’s aggregation of volume places their combined weekly trading activity in a meaningful, real-time context for traders and developers who build on or rely on indicators derived from these platforms. The ongoing regulatory actions may influence where liquidity migrates, how users evaluate risk, and what kinds of event-based contracts survive in regulated environments.
A Kalshi spokesperson told Cointelegraph that the platform remains focused on constructive engagement with regulators in every jurisdiction, while a Kalshi representative declined to comment further. The DGOJ’s action in Spain demonstrates that, even in a space with strong user demand and notable liquidity, compliance and licensing are likely to remain gating factors for access in multiple markets.
The regulatory mosaic matters for investors and builders in the space. For traders, it emphasizes the importance of understanding jurisdictional licensing, the potential for abrupt access changes, and the regulatory risk tied to event-driven contracts. For platform operators and developers, it highlights the need to align product design with local legal frameworks, implement robust compliance controls, and anticipate shifts in cross-border accessibility as policymakers refine their approaches to prediction markets and related financial instruments.
Looking ahead, several questions shape the near-term outlook: Will Spain’s licensing proceedings clarify the acceptable scope for domestic prediction markets, and how quickly regulatory processes will translate into concrete licensing decisions? How will the broader international patchwork evolve as more jurisdictions publish guidance or impose restrictions? And in the United States, will the reported internal debates within the CFTC give way to a more unified regulatory stance or further friction between federal authorities and state-level actions?
As the world of prediction markets continues to unfold against a shifting regulatory backdrop, observers should monitor licensing decisions in Spain, the outcomes of Indonesia’s and other countries’ actions, and the responses from U.S. lawmakers and the CFTC. These developments will likely shape how institutions, traders, and developers approach event-based markets in the months ahead.
Crypto World
UK Adds HTX to Russia Sanctions List Over A7, Garantex Ties
TLDR
- The UK government sanctioned HTX over alleged financial services linked to Russia.
- Authorities said HTX had connections to A7 Limited Liability Company and Garantex Europe OU.
- The sanctions include an asset freeze, trust services restrictions, and banking limits.
- UK internet providers and app stores must restrict access to HTX-related services.
- HTX was already facing FCA legal action over alleged illegal crypto promotions.
UK authorities have sanctioned HTX, formerly Huobi Global, after accusing the crypto exchange of supporting Russia through financial services linked to sanctioned networks.
According to the UK government’s sanctions notice published on May 26, Huobi Global S.A., also identified as HTX, was added under the Russia Sanctions EU Exit Regulations 2019. The notice said authorities had “reasonable grounds to suspect” the Panama-registered exchange had provided financial services or economic resources connected to A7 Limited Liability Company and Garantex Europe OU.
UK Foreign Secretary Yvette Cooper said the government would act against crypto networks and shadow finance systems used to bypass sanctions on Russia. “If the Kremlin thinks it can evade our sanctions by hiding behind crypto networks and shadow financial systems, it is gravely mistaken,” Cooper said in the statement.
The designation places HTX inside the UK’s expanding Russia sanctions regime, which has targeted companies accused of helping Moscow access financial channels after its 2022 invasion of Ukraine. The UK filing said the action formed part of efforts against entities “exploited by Russia to circumvent UK sanctions.”
UK Targets HTX With Asset Freeze and Service Restrictions
According to the UK sanctions filing, the measures against HTX include an asset freeze, director disqualification sanctions, trust services restrictions, and correspondent banking prohibitions. The notice also blocks UK financial institutions from maintaining correspondent banking links with the designated entity or processing payments connected to it.
The UK government also imposed internet services sanctions. Under those measures, UK-based internet providers, social media platforms, and app stores must take reasonable steps to restrict access by UK users to HTX-related services and applications.
Authorities named A7 Limited Liability Company and Garantex Europe OU in the statement of reasons tied to HTX. Garantex has previously faced international sanctions scrutiny over alleged illicit finance activity and links to Russia-based financial networks.
At the time of writing, HTX had not issued a public response to the UK designation.
The European Commission also announced crypto-related sanctions in April against stablecoin and digital asset operators linked to Russia and Belarus. Those measures included action connected to A7A5, a stablecoin tied to Russian-linked financial activity.
FCA Case Adds to HTX’s UK Regulatory Pressure
The latest sanctions add to HTX’s existing problems with UK authorities. In 2025, the Financial Conduct Authority opened legal proceedings against the exchange over alleged illegal crypto promotions aimed at UK consumers.
According to the FCA, HTX promoted crypto services across TikTok, X, Facebook, Instagram, and YouTube without following UK marketing rules. The watchdog said the activity breached restrictions designed to control how crypto products are advertised to local users.
The UK government’s May 26 action shows that HTX now faces both regulatory and sanctions pressure in the country. While the FCA case focused on consumer promotions, the sanctions notice tied the exchange to financial services allegedly connected to Russia’s sanctioned economic networks.
In Russia, lawmakers advanced digital asset bills in April that would tighten control over crypto activity inside the country. The proposals included possible criminal penalties for unlicensed digital asset services and registration requirements with the Russian central bank.
Russian lawmakers also passed first-reading measures that would limit retail investor access to certain crypto products and reinforce the country’s ban on digital asset payments. Those developments came as Western governments continued to pressure crypto platforms accused of helping sanctioned entities move funds.
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