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WTI Oil Prices Volatile Ahead of Potential Talks

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WTI Oil Prices Volatile Ahead of Potential Talks

As the XTI/USD chart shows, the price of a barrel rose above $65 yesterday, reacting to the risk of talks between Iran and the United States on the nuclear deal breaking down. These negotiations could begin on Friday.

According to Axios, Arab world leaders have urged Donald Trump not to follow through on his threats to withdraw from the talks and shift towards military action after demands put forward by Iran. This news prompted a pullback in prices below $64.

The news backdrop is further complicated by conflicting reports regarding India’s refusal to purchase Russian oil, alongside other global factors. All of this is contributing to heightened volatility in the oil market, a trend also confirmed by the ATR indicator.

Technical Analysis of XTI/USD

On 14 January, we:

→ analysed swings in WTI crude prices to identify a breakout from a descending channel (shown in red) and outline an upward trajectory (shown in blue);
→ noted that the breakout level (around $58.35) was acting as support;
→ suggested that the market was vulnerable to a corrective move.

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Indeed, on the same day (as indicated by the blue arrow), the price formed a bearish impulse towards this support, where the market found some balance.

However, geopolitical developments since the second half of January have supported higher prices, providing grounds to draw a broad ascending channel (shown in purple). In this context:

→ its lower boundary is acting as support, with the long lower wick on the 3 February candle confirming aggressive buying interest;
→ the $65 level appears to be a key resistance. Broad price swings formed there on 29–30 January — a sign of “smart money” activity — after which prices declined. Yesterday, the market again reversed sharply from this level.

It is therefore reasonable to assume that this resistance will pose a significant hurdle for bulls if they attempt to keep prices within the ascending purple channel. At the same time, the further direction of WTI oil price movements will most likely be determined by developments surrounding Friday’s Iran–US nuclear talks in Oman.

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This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

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Crypto World

CoreWeave’s $8.5B Deal Signals Shift From Crypto Mining to AI Finance

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CoreWeave’s $8.5B Deal Signals Shift From Crypto Mining to AI Finance

CoreWeave’s recent $8.5 billion AI-backed loan highlights a major transition in how Wall Street finances digital infrastructure, marking a shift from “MinerFi” to “ComputeFi,” according to TheEnergyMag.

In its latest Miner Weekly newsletter, TheEnergyMag examined CoreWeave’s multibillion-dollar raise from a group of banks and investors, backed by Mark Zuckerberg’s Meta Platforms. As Bloomberg reported, the financing underscores how companies are finding new ways to fund data center construction and expand GPU capacity.

Although CoreWeave has pivoted away from the digital asset sector toward AI-focused data center compute, the move offers a broader lesson on the shortcomings of Bitcoin (BTC) mining finance.

Historically, lenders funded Bitcoin mining operations using application-specific integrated circuits, or ASICs, as collateral. However, these models proved fragile due to crypto price volatility and rapid hardware depreciation. When markets declined, both revenues and collateral values fell sharply.

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CoreWeave’s financing structure is “what MinerFi tried — and failed — to become,” TheEnergyMag said.

Unlike prior models, CoreWeave’s deal ties financing to active AI infrastructure with contracted customers and predictable cash flows. GPUs must be deployed, operational and revenue-generating before capital is extended, which reduces lender risk.

CoreWeave (CRWV) stock. Source: Yahoo Finance

Related: Bitcoin mining’s 2026 reckoning: AI pivots, margin pressure and a fight to survive

Bernstein: CoreWeave pivot strengthens position in neocloud market

CoreWeave’s early pivot away from crypto mining has helped position it as a leading “neocloud” provider, a term used to describe companies offering GPU-based cloud infrastructure for artificial intelligence workloads, according to a recent analyst note by Bernstein.

The report compared CoreWeave with peers IREN and Nebius, highlighting differences in scale, infrastructure and financing strategies.

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CoreWeave’s head start has translated into a significantly larger backlog of roughly $67 billion, compared with about $9.7 billion for IREN and $47 billion for Nebius.

While all three companies are expanding into AI infrastructure, IREN still generates most of its revenue from Bitcoin mining as it continues its transition.

A comparison of CoreWeave, IREN and Nebius across capital structure, commercial model and infrastructure. Source: Bernstein

The Bernstein analysts gave CoreWeave top marks for its “commercial model,” thanks to the “depth in the software stack, a mix of contracted and on-demand revenue, strong backlog and an increasingly diversified customer base.”

However, they said IREN has an advantage in infrastructure, citing its sizable real estate footprint rather than its reliance on leased data center capacity.

Related: Crypto Biz: Mining weakness tests Bitcoin’s market cycle

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