Crypto World
XRP price holds above $1 as ETF demand outpaces Bitcoin, ETH for 5 weeks
XRP exchange-traded products continued to attract investor capital for a fifth consecutive week, even as Bitcoin and Ethereum funds recorded net outflows.
Summary
- XRP ETF products recorded positive inflows while Bitcoin and Ethereum funds posted outflows recently.
- Analysts see a short-term XRP rebound signal, though whale activity remains weak overall.
- XRP trades near $1.15 as investors monitor ETF demand and key support levels.
The latest fund flow data showed XRP-linked products brought in about $10.68 million during the week ended June 12. The inflows came as broader crypto markets remained under pressure from risk-off sentiment and continued uncertainty around global macroeconomic conditions.
XRP fund inflows remain positive
According to the latest ETF flow figures, XRP products added more than $10 million during the past week. The result extended a streak that has seen XRP outperform larger digital assets in terms of weekly net fund flows.

The inflow follows several weeks of positive demand. XRP products recorded approximately $60.5 million in inflows during the week of May 15, followed by $22.04 million during the week of May 22 and $15.2 million during the week of May 29. The week ending June 5 added another $2.62 million.
The cumulative total net inflow has now reached roughly $1.44 billion. At the same time, total net assets stand near $978.86 million, while weekly trading activity exceeded $61 million.
Bitcoin and Ethereum funds face outflows
The positive XRP performance came while competing crypto investment products experienced withdrawals.
Bitcoin products posted approximately $319 million in weekly outflows. Ethereum investment products also ended the week in negative territory with about $15 million in net withdrawals. Solana funds recorded roughly $4 million in outflows.
As previously reported by crypto.news, Bitcoin ETFs have faced persistent selling pressure in recent weeks as investors reduced exposure to risk assets. Recent coverage also noted that geopolitical uncertainty and weaker market sentiment have weighed on digital asset funds.
The contrast between XRP inflows and Bitcoin outflows has renewed attention on institutional demand for Ripple’s token despite broader market weakness.
XRP technical signals show mixed picture
XRP traded at about $1.15 on June 14, according to crypto.news price data. The token gained roughly 1.65% during the past week but remained down more than 22% over the previous month.
In a June 11 X thread, crypto analyst Ali Martinez said the TD Sequential indicator had printed a buy signal for XRP on the three-day timeframe.He said the setup has historically signaled a short-term rebound lasting between one and four candlesticks.
“A new buy signal has emerged on XRP,” Martinez wrote. However, he added that the signal may only support a temporary recovery rather than a broader trend reversal.
The analyst noted that whale activity on the XRP network has fallen sharply. According to data cited by Martinez, transactions worth more than $1 million declined by 57.3% over recent weeks.
Analysts focus on whale activity and long-term cycles
Martinez also said active whales have distributed roughly 60 million XRP during the past week. The selling activity suggests large holders have not yet started accumulating aggressively despite recent price weakness.
He identified the $0.90 area as a potential long-term accumulation zone. According to Martinez, the level aligns with a multi-year rising trendline that has acted as support for several years.
Another analyst, ChartNerd, focused on XRP’s historical market cycles. He noted that previous cycle highs have often been separated by three to five years. “Data does not lie,” he wrote while cautioning investors against relying on unrealistic price targets.
XRP recently received another boost to its institutional adoption narrative after the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission approved a rule change allowing a new actively managed crypto ETF to include XRP alongside Bitcoin and Ethereum.
For now, XRP sits between improving institutional demand and cautious on-chain signals. ETF inflows continue to support the asset’s adoption story, while whale activity and broader market conditions remain important indicators for the next phase of price action.
Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.
Crypto World
Humanity Protocol Token Soars 210% to Lead Crypto Market Gainers
Humanity Protocol’s H token surged by more than 200%, topping every other cryptocurrency by daily gains, as buyers returned days after the June 8 exploit.
The token ranked as the market’s biggest gainer, recovering some of the value it had lost after attackers seized control of private keys.
H Token Rebounds From Exploit Lows
The H token changed hands near $0.627 on Sunday. That represented a daily gain of about 210%.
The move extended a recovery rally that began after the token collapsed by over 80% on the day of the attack. Its market value now sits near $1.1 billion, ranking 64th overall.
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The rally also landed as the broader crypto market edged higher. Total market value rose about 1% over 24 hours, helped by easing tension between the US and Iran. H’s triple-digit gain far outpaced that move.
Quantstamp Ties Humanity Protocol Attack to North Korean Hackers
Meanwhile, Humanity Protocol published findings from security firm Quantstamp on June 12. The report described tooling and methods characteristic of North Korean, or DPRK, hackers.
Investigators traced the breach to a phishing email that impersonated South Korean exchange Bithumb. A director opened a malicious attachment.
The file then installed remote-access malware on his device. The attacker copied private keys and ran a coordinated cross-chain operation.
“The tooling and tradecraft point to DPRK involvement. The Hancom-signed loader, the use of Stas’m RDP Wrapper, binaries disguised as Microsoft Defender’s Network Inspection Service, and a hidden GuestUser profile are all patterns Quantstamp describes as characteristic of North Korean intrusions,” the post read.
On-chain investigator ZachXBT also confirmed that the “sketchy MM/OTC” activity and the key compromise were actually unrelated.
The rebound signals renewed appetite for H despite the breach. Risks remain, however. The attacker still controls the BNB Smart Chain deployment and can mint fresh tokens.
Whether the rally holds may depend on how quickly Humanity Protocol contains that threat through its recovery plan.
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The post Humanity Protocol Token Soars 210% to Lead Crypto Market Gainers appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
Tether USDT Briefly Overtakes Ethereum in Market Cap: A $187B Wake-Up Call
For a few hours, earlier this week, Tether USDT stablecoin held a higher market cap than Ethereum, the first time that has happened in eight years. Data across multiple trackers placed both assets in the $183–188B range during the crossover window, with one snapshot showing USDT at $187B against ETH at $186B, a spread of under $1B.

The flip lasted hours, and ETH reclaimed second place once the price stabilized. The mechanism that produced the crossover, steady USDT supply expansion meeting sustained ETH price weakness, did not disappear when the ranking reversed.
Discover: The Best Crypto to Diversify Your Portfolio
Crypto Market Structure: Tether USDT Flippening
This was not a supply shock on Ethereum’s side. What compressed ETH’s market cap was price, and what expanded USDT’s was issuance. Tether own Q4 2025 attestation showed USDT at a record $187.3B, having added $12.4B in a single quarter even as the crypto market was catching a falling knife.
By early 2026, USDT’s market cap had climbed from $144.2B to $184B in twelve months, 28% growth, while ETH’s dollar valuation moved in the opposite direction.

In the three weeks leading into the crossover, more than $7B exited the stablecoin sector while $400B was wiped from the total crypto market cap. Ethereum’s DeFi TVL slid to around $36B. Traders were not abandoning stablecoins; they were parking liquidity while shedding volatile assets.
USDT’s share of the total stablecoin sector sits at 59%, with USDT and USDC together accounting for 82%, which means Tether is not a peripheral player in this dynamic.
Discover: The Best Token Presales
Mike McGlone’s Warning: It Doesn’t Stop at Ethereum
Bloomberg Intelligence senior commodity strategist Mike McGlone has been tracking this trajectory longer than most. In October 2020, McGlone wrote that USDT, then at $16B against ETH’s $43B, was “on pace to match the market capitalization of Ethereum in a bit less than a year,” describing it as part of an “inexorable trend” toward stablecoins gaining mainstream footholds.
McGlone’s updated thesis goes further. He expects “the flippening to continue,” with Tether’s market cap topping Ethereum in 2026 and “eventually Bitcoin.” The extreme scenario he outlines: if Bitcoin falls toward $10,000, USDT, which would need to grow 7x from current levels, could eventually challenge BTC for the top spot.
We are not endorsing the $10,000 BTC scenario here. But dismissing it entirely because it sounds extreme is how people missed the USDT-flips-ETH call in the first place.
Discover: The Best Crypto to Diversify Your Portfolio
ETH and USDT Now: The Gap, the Recovery, and What Comes Next
As of today, Ethereum has reclaimed the second position in market cap rankings, but the margin is not comfortable. ETH would need to sustain meaningful price recovery, or Tether USDT issuance would need to plateau for the second place to feel secure again.
Neither is guaranteed. Structural improvements in Ethereum’s tech stack, including ZK-proof scaling developments, offer a longer-term bullish counterpoint, but those catalysts operate on a different timeframe than the near-term price weakness that enabled the June flip.
USDT’s supply trajectory shows no sign of reversal. Tether added $12.4B in a single quarter during a down market. In a neutral or risk-on environment, that pace could accelerate. At $1 peg, market cap and circulating supply are essentially the same number, so every new USDT minted is a direct market cap increment, without the price volatility that governs ETH’s ranking.
Discover: The Best Token Presales
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Crypto World
Bitcoin Mining Difficulty Drops 10% as Pressure on Miners Grows
Two of the most important metrics for the overall state of the Bitcoin network have declined recently, including the mining difficulty, which experienced a substantial reduction during the weekend.
This comes amid reports that miners, the backbone of the world’s largest blockchain, continue to be under severe pressure due to the broader market state.
Mining Difficulty Down 10%
Upon creating Bitcoin’s blockchain, the anonymous dev behind it, Satoshi Nakamoto, incorporated a key measure that adjusts every roughly two weeks (2,016 blocks) to make it harder or easier for miners to do their job of maintaining a consistent block creation of approximately 10 minutes. In simpler terms, if there are too many miners, the mechanism increases the difficulty to prevent too-fast block creation, and vice versa.
The latest adjustment took place earlier today. Data from on-chain monitoring sources shows that the difficulty dropped by just over 10%, meaning that there are fewer miners operating on the Bitcoin blockchain. This was the second-largest negative adjustment for the year after the 11.16% drop in early February.
The mining difficulty declined from almost 138T to under 125T. Current data, though still far from the actual adjustment, suggest the next one will be even worse, with projections indicating a 16% drop.
Meanwhile, the Bitcoin hash rate has continued to decline, according to data from Coinwarz. The total combined computational power used by the blockchain to process transactions and mine new blocks, which is measured in hashes per second, is down to under 790 EH/s. Recall that the record was at over 1.2 ZH/s from a year ago.

Miners Under Pressure
The declining mining difficulty and hash rate mean that a certain portion of BTC miners have shut off their machines. A recent report indicated that they have felt the pressure from the overall market weakness and reduced revenue.
Analyst Axel Adler Jr. described their current state as a “stress zone,” as evidenced by the Puell Multiple 30-day moving average, which fell 11% in less than two weeks. The raw Puell Multiple is even lower, while the Miner Capitulation metric, tracking the percentage change in BTC’s price since the most recent difficulty bottom, has declined by 21% lately.
The post Bitcoin Mining Difficulty Drops 10% as Pressure on Miners Grows appeared first on CryptoPotato.
Crypto World
Ripple targets $1B revenue run rate without counting XRP holdings
Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse has put a clear number on the company’s 2026 business goal.
Summary
- Ripple’s revenue target separates operating income from XRP holdings, aiming to calm balance sheet concerns.
- Hidden Road, RLUSD, and treasury tools give Ripple more routes to serve banks and firms.
- XRP ETF inflows remain positive, but token demand still differs from Ripple’s business revenue path.
According to posts shared by CoinMarketCap and crypto-focused accounts on X, Ripple expects to end 2026 with a $1 billion revenue run rate. The figure does not include XRP held on Ripple’s balance sheet.
That detail matters because Ripple has long faced public debate over the link between its business and XRP. Garlinghouse’s target frames the company as a fintech infrastructure provider that aims to earn money from products, clients, and services, not from token holdings or sales.
Hidden Road, RLUSD and AI payments drive business push
Ripple has expanded beyond cross-border payments during the past year. The company agreed to buy prime broker Hidden Road for $1.25 billion in 2025, a deal that added credit, clearing, and prime brokerage services for large clients. Ripple said Hidden Road clears about $3 trillion a year across markets.
The deal also supports Ripple USD, known as RLUSD. Ripple has promoted the stablecoin for enterprise settlement and collateral use. Recently, crypto.news reported that Ripple is also adding RLUSD to new payment tools, including services tied to AI agents and machine payments on the XRP Ledger.
Company materials point to custody, treasury management, and liquidity services as core offerings. These products target banks and firms that need faster settlement, account control, and access to digital assets through regulated processes, rather than retail trading.
XRP demand stays separate from company revenue
Crypto.news data showed XRP trading near $1.15 on June 14, while XRP-linked ETF products recorded inflows for a fifth straight week. As reported earlier today, XRP products added about $10.68 million in the week ended June 12, even as Bitcoin and Ethereum funds saw outflows during the same period.
Those figures show that investor demand for XRP can move on a different track from Ripple’s operating business. Garlinghouse’s “not including XRP” point places the revenue target outside daily price action. It also gives banks, payment firms, and corporate treasurers a clearer way to judge Ripple’s core business.
Regulation remains part of Ripple’s 2026 plan
Ripple’s growth plan also sits next to a busy U.S. policy calendar. As previously reported, the CLARITY Act cleared the Senate Banking Committee by a 15-9 vote on May 14, 2026. The bill still needs more work before a full Senate vote, including a merger with text from the Agriculture Committee.
Garlinghouse has backed clearer rules for digital assets, saying banks need more legal certainty before they move deeper into crypto services. For Ripple, a rulebook could support payments, custody, liquidity, treasury tools, stablecoins, and token settlement in the United States.
Ripple has also moved into automated payments. As rypto.news reported on June 13, the company released the XRPL AI Starter Kit, which lets AI agents use XRP and RLUSD for payments through the x402 protocol with limited human involvement. The tool allows software agents to create wallets, check balances, track transactions, and send payments.
Crypto World
Google Gemini AI Predicts Jaw-Dropping XRP Price For Next 90 Days
Google Gemini AI just put XRP back under the spotlight, predicting it is tightly wound for a major breakout toward $1.60 to $1.80 over the next 90 days.
With XRP sitting at $1.13 right now, that is a 42% to 59% move, and the whole setup is built on a coil that snaps the moment Washington pulls the trigger.
The bull case leans hard on a catalyst with a date attached. Heavy whale accumulation is soaking up supply while the market waits on the impending Senate floor vote on the CLARITY Act.

If that landmark bill passes and officially reclassifies XRP as a digital commodity under the CFTC, the legal overhang that has capped this token for years finally lifts.
Stack that on top of rising institutional inflows from recently disclosed Morgan Stanley ETF holdings, and you get the fuel for a powerful short squeeze.
That is the engine Gemini sees driving price toward the $1.60 to $1.80 target by late Q3.
The bear case is more of a near-term technical trap than a collapse. The token is presently flirting with a head and shoulders neckline, the kind of pattern that threatens a temporary drop if it breaks.
Lose the key support at $1.09, and the door opens toward $0.94 to $0.96. The triggers would be broader macro pressure or an unexpected legislative delay, knocking the CLARITY timeline off course.
So the whole thing hinges on that neckline holding while the Senate does its part.
XRP Price Prediction: A Coiled Spring Waiting On A Senate Gavel
XRP Price is on the 4-hour chart, and the price sits at $1.13 after a long bleed down from the $1.55 swing high back in mid-May.
The structure is a clear downtrend on this timeframe, a run of lower highs and lower lows that bottomed near $1.05 before this current bounce attempt.
Pattern-wise, this is the head and shoulders, the prediction flagged, with the neckline sitting right around $1.09 support.
Lose that line, and it confirms the bearish break. Key support sits at $1.09, with the next floor near $1.05 and deeper demand around $0.95. Resistance stacks at $1.20, then $1.35, and the heavier zone at $1.45.
RSI is reading 49.52 with its signal line at 45.22. So momentum is sitting right at the midline and curling up above its average.
That gap of about 4.3 points with RSI over the signal is an early sign buyers are starting to wrestle back control after the flush.
A clean push above 50 and into the 60s would confirm momentum is flipping bullish. Tie it together and the chart is coiled exactly like the thesis says, balanced on the neckline and waiting for a trigger.
Hold $1.09 and reclaim $1.20, and the path toward that $1.60 to $1.80 target starts to open up, but lose the neckline and $0.95 comes into play first.
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Here is What Gemini AI Predicts For LiquidChain Near Future, Could be Very Bullish
Sitting at resistance waiting for a breakout is not positioning. It is standing in line.
Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP have been pressing against the same ceilings for weeks. The catalyst that unlocks the next leg is perpetually one data print away.
The institutional inflows are perpetually next quarter. Every large-cap trader waiting for a breakout is waiting on a decision that belongs to someone else’s balance sheet.
Early-stage infrastructure plays by completely different rules, Copilot AI predicts. Capital that would vanish as statistical noise at Bitcoin’s scale moves a small undiscovered project by multiples.
The asymmetric return lives in one place only: the gap between what something is genuinely worth and what the market currently thinks it is worth. That gap exists because the project has not been found yet. The moment it gets found, the gap is gone.
Cross-chain fragmentation has been extracting value from DeFi participants since the first bridge went live and nobody has eliminated it. Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana were engineered as independent systems with no shared architecture and no intent to interoperate.
Every transaction that crosses those boundaries pays the price of that design in fees, slippage, and execution failures. Bridges were supposed to be the solution. They became the mechanism through which the problem collects its fee.
LiquidChain eliminates the fee entirely. Three networks inside a single execution layer. One deployment reaches all of them. No cross-chain tax on any interaction anywhere.
Copilot AI flagged it as worth watching. The presale is at $0.01454 with just over $835,000 raised.
Execution is unproven. Adoption is unknown. Established assets offer a predictable ride toward a ceiling that is already fully visible. LiquidChain is an entry point that disappears once the market finds it.
Explore the LiquidChain Presale
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Crypto World
Bitcoin Price Bull Setup ‘Finally Happening’ as Iran Deal Keeps BTC Above $64,000
Bitcoin (BTC) circled $64,000 into Sunday’s weekly close as a US-Iran peace deal appeared imminent.
Key points:
- Bitcoin stays higher as US president Donald Trump pledges an Iran peace deal on Sunday.
- The Strait of Hormuz, a key global oil route, will be “open to all,” he says.
- Bitcoin analysis says no bearish chart patterns are active as open interest hints at a lasting price rebound.
Iran peace deal keeps Bitcoin rebound afloat
Data from TradingView showed price action settling after local highs of $64,750 on Bitstamp.

BTC/USD one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView
These had accompanied an announcement by US president Donald Trump that a peace deal would be signed on Sunday.
“The Deal is scheduled to get signed tomorrow, and immediately after it is signed, the Hormuz Strait is OPEN TO ALL,” he wrote in a post on Truth Social.

Source: Truth Social
Among traders, there was fresh hope that sell pressure on Bitcoin was easing as a result. Trader SuperBro noted that the 200-week simple moving average (SMA) was holding as support.
“In a word, constructive,” they summarized about low-time frame BTC price action in a post on X.
SuperBro dismissed concerns about a bearish breakdown pattern being in play, instead focusing on a point of control (nPOC) level on exchange order books above current spot price.
“$65K-$67K is a big test, at the last swing low and volume POC. If we can rip through this zone then the bear case takes a massive hit,” they concluded.

BTC/USD one-day chart. Source: SuperBro/X
Cointelegraph previously reported on misgivings about the 200-week SMA, which history had shown to be “unreliable” as a bear-market safety net.
Key BTC price setup “finally happening”
Continuing, trading account Cryptic Trades eyed a key combination of rising open interest and falling funding rates on exchanges.
Related: Bitcoin miner ‘capitulation’ comes as trader sees later 2026 bear-market bottom
“It’s finally happening,” it told X followers about what could support more sustainable BTC price strength.
Cryptic Trades suggested that current conditions showed a lack of belief on the part of bulls, removing the risk of new longs getting trapped before a new downturn.
“In other words, these aren’t longs aggressively chasing the move. These are bears doubling down, increasing their short positions, and betting that the downtrend isn’t over,” it explained.
“This is exactly the kind of setup that generally marks durable bottoms. The market starts moving higher, sentiment remains overwhelmingly bearish, and the most keep leaning the bearish. This is how aggressive short squeezes are born.”

BTC liquidation heatmap. Source: CoinGlass
Data from CoinGlass showed that the local highs coincided with a large band of potential short liquidations.
Crypto World
Bitcoin mining difficulty just had its 11th-biggest drop ever
Bitcoin mining difficulty fell 10.09% after lower prices pushed weaker miners offline and slowed block production.
Summary
- Bitcoin’s 10.09% difficulty drop gave active miners more output after weaker operators paused machines offline.
- Galaxy Research tied the adjustment to June’s Bitcoin price slide and a longer mining epoch.
- Crypto.news reports show miners are redirecting power toward AI and high-performance computing revenue streams globally.
Bitcoin difficulty records sharp June drop
Bitcoin completed one of its largest downward mining difficulty changes at block 953,568. Galaxy Research data cited by WuBlockchain showed the difficulty fell from 138.96T to 124.93T. The move ranked as Bitcoin’s 11th-largest downward adjustment and the second-largest drop recorded so far this year.
Mining difficulty controls how hard miners must work to add new Bitcoin blocks. It changes every 2,016 blocks to keep the network close to a 10-minute block time. When miners leave the network and blocks arrive too slowly, the system lowers difficulty so active miners can find blocks more easily.

Miner margins tightened after Bitcoin price weakness
The adjustment followed a weak start to June for Bitcoin. Galaxy Research said Bitcoin’s price fell about 15% during the month, which cut miner revenue and forced some operators to switch off less efficient machines.
“Bitcoin completed its 11th-largest downward difficulty adjustment,” WuBlockchain reported, citing Galaxy Research.
The longer mining cycle showed the scale of the slowdown. The previous epoch lasted 15.6 days instead of the usual target of about 14 days. That delay showed that less hashrate was competing for rewards before the network reset difficulty lower.
During that stretch, the network produced blocks slower than planned, which is the condition that triggers a downward retarget under Bitcoin’s rules for miners.
Active miners may see better output
TheEnergyMag had earlier expected difficulty to fall by about 9.55%. The final adjustment came in deeper, at 10.09%. That drop may allow miners still running machines to produce more Bitcoin with the same active hashrate. It may also lift hashprice, or miner revenue per unit of computing power, back above $30 per PH/s.
The relief may not help every operator equally. Miners with newer machines and lower power costs are better placed to gain from lower difficulty. Older rigs remain exposed if Bitcoin prices fall again or energy costs stay high. The adjustment gives miners breathing room, but it does not remove pressure from tight margins.
AI data centers compete for mining power
The hashrate decline also comes as more mining firms move power capacity toward high-performance computing and AI data centers. Crypto.news has reported several examples of this shift. Core Scientific plans to turn its Pecos, Texas Bitcoin mining site into a large AI data center campus, including the repurposing of 300 megawatts of mining power.
TeraWulf also showed how the business mix is changing. The company reported $21 million in HPC hosting revenue in the first quarter of 2026, above its Bitcoin mining revenue for the same period. HIVE Digital has also announced a 320 MW AI infrastructure project near Toronto that is designed to host more than 100,000 GPUs.
Crypto World
Bitcoin Nears Potential Bottom, But Demand Conditions Remain Unfavorable: CryptoQuant
Historical on-chain data suggest that bitcoin (BTC) may be nearing a bottom in this bear market, but demand conditions signal the asset still has a long way to go.
According to this week’s CryptoQuant report, the unfavorable spot and speculative futures demand conditions leave the BTC bottom unconfirmed. Either BTC significantly recovers in the coming weeks or the asset plunges to lower price levels.
Is BTC Near a Bottom?
Following the decline to a fresh bear market low of $59,000 last week, BTC now hovers roughly 9% above its realized price of $53,600. Analysts say this valuation level has historically been associated with bear market bottoms across past cycles. The realized price also represents the aggregate on-chain cost basis of all market participants, marking one of the most crucial valuation anchors in Bitcoin’s on-chain framework.
Past bear seasons always ended at prices near or marginally below the realized price. The only time BTC briefly pierced the realized price before a structural rebound was in November 2022 during the defunct crypto exchange FTX saga. So, from a valuation perspective, BTC may be close to a structural floor where accumulation phases began.
While on-chain data suggests an optimistic outlook, demand conditions suggest otherwise. It is a no-brainer that BTC needs strong, sustained demand to handle a structural rebound. With both speculative and apparent spot demand in contraction, the bullish reversal may take time to develop.
Total demand from both speculative futures and apparent spot fell to -652,000 last week, marking the largest contraction since January 2022. Even long-term spot demand, which is the apparent demand growth seen in a year, has turned negative and fallen to its most severe level since February 2024.
Demand Conditions Unfavorable for Bullish Reversal
The spot ETF market, on the other hand, is contracting at the fastest pace since the launch in January 2024. The 30-day ETF demand growth is currently at an unprecedented negative reading, according to analysts. This shows that U.S. institutional demand has stalled and even reversed to net selling, contributing to supply expansion.
In addition, realized losses from Bitcoin holders have not reached capitulation levels. The absence of a capitulation spike indicates that sellers are not yet exhausted.
“Until total demand stabilizes, ETF flows recover, and realized losses reach capitulation-level peaks, the current price level should be interpreted as a valuation floor candidate, not a confirmed cycle bottom,” CryptoQuant concluded.
The post Bitcoin Nears Potential Bottom, But Demand Conditions Remain Unfavorable: CryptoQuant appeared first on CryptoPotato.
Crypto World
Michael Saylor says this Bitcoin metric shows Strategy’s real risk
Michael Saylor, founder and chairman of Strategy, said Bitcoin treasury firms need more than one measure to track their exposure to Bitcoin.
Summary
- Saylor says CEBE BPS shows Bitcoin exposure after debt and preferred stock claims are counted.
- BPS tracks common equity growth, while BTC Yield measures execution across Strategy’s Bitcoin accumulation plan.
- Shorter liabilities raise CEBE’s role, while lower-cost long-term claims can support Bitcoin upside per share.
In a set of posts on X on June 14, he drew a line between Bitcoin Per Share, or BPS, and Common Equity Bitcoin Exposure BPS, also called CEBE BPS.
“BPS measures Bitcoin per common share before senior claims. CEBE BPS measures Bitcoin per common share after senior claims,” Saylor wrote.
He added that CEBE is the conservative risk metric, while BPS tracks common equity growth. He also said BTC Yield measures BPS execution. The explanation aimed to separate growth math from balance sheet risk.
Debt changes how investors read Bitcoin exposure
The comments focused on how debt, preferred stock, and other senior claims can change the value left for common shareholders. In Saylor’s framing, BPS shows the amount of Bitcoin linked to each common share before those claims. CEBE BPS shows the amount after those claims.
Saylor said liability duration matters. “The shorter the liability duration, the more CEBE matters. The longer the duration, the more BPS matters,” he wrote. He said CEBE BPS would carry more weight if claims came due today. BPS would better show equity upside if Bitcoin grows faster than dividend costs.
Amplification can help or hurt shareholders
Saylor also introduced amplification as the gap between BPS and CEBE BPS. He said that without debt or preferred stock, BPS and CEBE BPS would be the same, and a Bitcoin treasury company would track Bitcoin in a way closer to an ETF.
He said higher liabilities can make the two metrics diverge. That structure can raise returns if Bitcoin grows faster than the cost of capital. It can also increase risk if the company uses short-term or expensive claims. “Not all liabilities are equal, ” Saylor wrote. The claim places funding terms at the center of any Bitcoin treasury model.
Strategy’s recent moves add market context
The remarks came after a volatile period for Strategy and its Bitcoin treasury model. As crypto.news reported, Strategy sold 32 BTC between May 26 and May 31 at an average price of $77,135, raising about $2.5 million. The sale marked its first reported Bitcoin sale since December 2022.
Moreover, the sale drew attention because Strategy has long presented Bitcoin as its main treasury reserve asset. The amount represented a small share of its holdings, but the event increased market focus on preferred stock dividends, cash needs, and the balance between Bitcoin growth and funding costs.
Funding costs remain central to the debate
Strategy later raised about $181 million through MSTR share sales and bought 1,550 BTC for about $101.3 million, as previously reported. The company’s Bitcoin holdings rose to 845,256 BTC, while its cash reserves increased to about $1 billion.
Those figures make Saylor’s new explanation timely. His comments point investors toward a broader reading of Bitcoin treasury firms, where total Bitcoin holdings, Bitcoin per share, senior claims, liability duration, and capital costs all shape common shareholder exposure.
Meanwhile, his main message was that CEBE BPS tracks risk, while BPS tracks growth. For common shareholders, the difference rests on whether Bitcoin appreciation can cover liability costs over the full financing cycle across calm and stressed markets.
Crypto World
New BSP rules put crypto tokens under deeper scrutiny in Philippines
The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) has introduced stricter requirements for virtual asset service providers (VASPs), requiring them to apply deeper screening, monitoring, and delisting procedures for cryptocurrencies offered to customers.
Summary
- BSP requires crypto exchanges to conduct deeper reviews before listing tokens and stablecoins locally.
- New rules mandate continuous monitoring and clear delisting triggers for higher-risk virtual assets.
- Privacy-focused cryptocurrencies remain prohibited as regulators strengthen consumer protection and compliance safeguards.
The move comes as regulators continue to strengthen oversight of the country’s digital asset market.
The new guidance requires VASPs to establish a “robust due diligence and accreditation process” before listing virtual assets on their platforms, according to a memorandum issued by BSP Deputy Governor Lyn Javier.
BSP sets broader standards for token listings
Under the memorandum, VASPs must evaluate virtual assets across six areas: issuer background, market maturity, use cases, transparency and security, redemption and liquidity, and legal compliance. The BSP said exchanges should gather sufficient information to assess the quality and risks of assets before making them available to customers.
The central bank said exchanges may review corporate documents, ownership structures, audited financial statements, beneficial ownership information, and fitness checks involving company directors and officers. The review process may also include examining possible conflicts of interest involving issuers, regulators, government officials, or related entities.
For market maturity, VASPs may assess factors such as market capitalization, trading volume, years in operation, exchange support, and the number of on-chain holders. Regulators said these indicators can help determine whether an asset has established market activity and sufficient liquidity.
Stablecoins and reserve backing receive closer attention
The BSP placed additional focus on asset-backed and fiat-backed virtual assets. Exchanges may be required to examine how tokens are issued, redeemed, minted, and burned, as well as the mechanisms used to maintain price stability.
The memorandum also directs VASPs to review reserve composition and verify whether backing assets can support redemption requests. According to the BSP, liquidity, reserve quality, and withdrawal rights are important factors in maintaining market confidence and supporting orderly trading conditions.
The regulator further said project whitepapers should be readily accessible to users. These documents should include information on tokenomics, supported blockchains, project goals, purchasing methods, and risks related to money laundering, cybersecurity, governance, liquidity, and consumer protection.
Continuous monitoring and delisting requirements
Beyond initial listings, the BSP now requires VASPs to continuously monitor listed assets and establish thresholds that could trigger suspension or delisting. Exchanges must track whether assets continue to meet the standards used during the approval process.
Tokens may be suspended or removed because of adverse market developments, cybersecurity incidents, legal violations, misleading disclosures, consumer protection concerns, market abuse, or unusual price movements. The BSP said exchanges should act immediately when serious risks emerge.
The central bank also reaffirmed that anonymity-enhancing cryptocurrencies, commonly known as privacy coins, remain prohibited from being listed or supported by licensed VASPs.
New rules arrive amid broader crypto regulation efforts
The latest measures arrive as Philippine regulators continue refining the framework governing digital asset businesses. The BSP’s action follows ongoing efforts by the country’s regulators to ensure crypto service providers operate under clearer standards and stronger compliance requirements.
The development also comes shortly after Binance sought a regulated path back into the Philippines through a partnership with BlockShoals Technologies under the Philippine Securities and Exchange Commission’s StratBox sandbox program. As previously reported by crypto.news, Binance said the arrangement would allow it to test services within a supervised regulatory environment.
However, recent reports indicated that neither Binance nor BlockShoals currently holds a BSP-issued VASP license, with the central bank stating that participation in the SEC sandbox does not replace licensing requirements for virtual asset services.
Binance has been pursuing a regulated return to the Philippine market through the SEC’s sandbox framework after facing licensing-related restrictions in the country.
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