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XRP price sits at key support, Permissioned DEX vote

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XRP price

XRP price remains in a bear market this week despite some important network news and progress on its permissioned decentralized exchange vote.

Summary

  • XRP price has crashed by 57% from its highest level in 2025.
  • The vote for the Permissioned DEX is moving on smoothly and is likely to pass.
  • Technical analysis suggests that it is hovering at a crucial support level.

The Ripple (XRP) token dropped to a key support level at $1.5463, down 56% from its 2025 high. This retreat has coincided with the broad crypto market crash that has hit Bitcoin and most altcoins.

XRP price has dropped despite some major ecosystem news. For example, the developers announced that Ripple Labs had received an EU-wide electronic money license. This license will make it easy for the company to ink deals with financial services companies in the bloc.

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Ripple Labs has received more licenses in the past few months, including a U.S. banking charter and licenses in the UK and Singapore.

Meanwhile, the network activated the XLS-80 vote, which focused on permissioned domains. Most importantly, the Permissioned DEX vote is nearing its threshold.

The two amendments are important because they will enable institutions and other developers to build high-quality, regulatory-compliant decentralized exchanges. These DEX networks are different from other networks because they will include features such as Know Your Customer and Anti-Money Laundering policies.

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The team believes that permissioned DEX will have more use cases in corporations. Some of these use cases are in stablecoin and fiat currency swaps, contractor and payroll payouts, cross-border business-to-business payments, and corporate treasuries.

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The XRP Ledger network is also doing well in the tokenization industry. Data show that the value of the represented asset in the real-world asset tokenization industry rose by 265% over the last 30 days to over $1.45 billion.

XRP price prediction: Technical analysis 

XRP price
XRP price chart | Source: crypto.news

The weekly chart shows that the XRP price has crashed over the past few months and is now hovering at a crucial support level that coincides with the Major S&R Pivot Point of the Murrey Math Lines tool. It has failed to move below this price several times since April last year.

The token has moved below the 50-week Exponential Moving Average and the Supertrend indicator. At the same time, the Relative Strength Index has continued falling and is now hovering near the oversold level.

Therefore, a move below this support will signal further downside, potentially to the key level at $1, about 35% below the current level. The alternative scenario is where it rebounds, potentially to the strong, pivot and reverse level of the Murrey Math Lines tool at $2.34.

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SEC’s crypto interpretation heads to White House for policy scrutiny

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Crypto Breaking News

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission is advancing its framework to reinterpret how federal securities laws apply to crypto assets, moving two proposed rules to the White House for review. The centerpiece is an interpretive notice that could narrow the jurisdiction of federal securities laws over many digital assets, signaling a potential regulatory shift while the White House weighs the plan.

Regulatory records show the SEC submitted the two proposals to the Office of Management and Budget for review on a recent Friday, with one item explicitly detailing which digital assets the agency might deem securities under federal law. As of Monday, the record listed the package as “pending review” by the White House, a status that could influence both enforcement and regulatory posture depending on the administration’s assessment.

Key takeaways

  • The SEC forwarded two proposed rules to the White House Office of Management and Budget, including an interpretive notice on what digital assets could be securities.
  • Chair Jay (Paul) Atkins signaled last week that the agency would not treat four asset classes as securities: digital commodities, digital tools, digital collectibles (NFTs), and stablecoins, while offering a cohesive token taxonomy for these types.
  • The interpretive framework aims to clarify when a “non-security crypto asset” might qualify as an investment contract, providing regulatory guidance ahead of any potential congressional action.
  • The move follows a memorandum of understanding with the CFTC, underscoring growing cross-agency coordination as lawmakers consider a broader market-structure bill for digital assets.

SEC interpretive move and what it could mean for crypto regulation

The SEC’s latest step appears to aim at providing a more coherent framework for determining when a crypto asset falls under securities laws. In a notice released last week, Chair Atkins indicated that digital commodities, digital tools, digital collectibles—including non-fungible tokens—and stablecoins would not be treated as securities under the agency’s purview. The interpretive notice is described as establishing a “coherent token taxonomy” for these asset classes and addressing how a non-security crypto asset may or may not be considered an investment contract under the Howey test.

If finalized, the interpretive rule could serve as a bridge to crypto regulation while Congress debates a more comprehensive market-structure bill to bring clear, unified rules to the sector. The AML-style approach would aim to reduce regulatory ambiguity and potentially recalibrate how exchanges, custodians, and developers operate in the interim. The policy aligns with the agency’s recent collaboration with the CFTC, highlighted by a Memorandum of Understanding signed earlier this month to clarify jurisdictional boundaries and regulatory expectations in the crypto markets.

Regulators and market participants have long sought a stable, forward-looking framework that reduces uncertainty around whether a given token is a security. The SEC’s proposed taxonomy is meant to outline how different digital asset types should be treated, and crucially, when assets may still be subject to investment contract analysis even if they fall outside the securities umbrella. The White House review stage is a critical gate: a positive outcome could accelerate regulatory alignment, while a protracted or revised review could push the timetable for broader legislative action.

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Broader policy momentum: White House talks, stablecoins, and the CLARITY Act

Beyond the White House review, the crypto policy landscape continues to evolve at the congressional level. Politico reported on Friday that White House officials and lawmakers had reached an agreement in principle on some aspects of the crypto regime, including stablecoin yield considerations that could shape the market-structure bill’s trajectory in the Senate Banking Committee. However, the committee indefinitely postponed its markup of the bill in January after Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong expressed public concerns about the legislation as written, underscoring the political sensitivity surrounding crypto regulation.

As of Monday, there had been no public announcement of a new date for the markup. Senate leadership outlined a workflow prioritizing other legislation, such as the SAVE America Act, before returning to bipartisan crypto debate. Senate Republicans and allies have signaled continued interest in a structured approach to digital assets, but the path remains contingent on both legislative negotiation and regulatory clarity from agencies like the SEC and the CFTC.

The ongoing discussions touch on the CLARITY Act, a proposed framework intended to clarify crypto markets and stablecoins under a market-structure agenda. The interagency dynamics—between the SEC’s jurisdictional interpretations, the CFTC’s role in cash and derivative markets, and congressional arbitration—will shape how quickly a final, enforceable regime can take effect, and what form it will take for issuers, exchanges, and users alike.

Investors and builders should watch two interlinked developments: the White House’s decision on the SEC’s interpretive rules and the progress (or stall) of the market-structure bill in Congress. While a regulatory pathway for many digital assets could reduce policy risk, it could also introduce new compliance obligations, particularly for entities operating in the cross-border or custody-heavy segments of the market. The tension between advancing a broad framework and accommodating industry concerns is likely to persist as lawmakers seek to balance investor protection with innovation.

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As the regulatory clock ticks, participants should monitor the White House’s review timeline, the final content of the interpretive notice, and any updates to the market-structure bill’s language—especially provisions around stablecoins and collateral use. The next few weeks could reveal whether the administration’s review will accelerate clarity or reveal remaining ambiguities that require legislative refinement.

What remains uncertain is how quickly the White House completes its review and whether Congress will greenlight a comprehensive framework on digital assets in the near term. For market participants, the key question is whether the unfolding process will reduce regulatory surprise or introduce new interpretive wrinkles that alter how tokens are categorized and traded.

Readers should keep an eye on updates from RegInfo.gov and official agency notices, as well as any new statements from Senators and regulatory staff about the CLARITY Act and related crypto amendments. The evolving stance from the White House and Congress will continue to shape the baseline for crypto regulatory risk, guiding how exchanges structure listings, how issuers approach token design, and how traders price risk in a landscape that remains in flux.

Investors and industry watchers should stay tuned to forthcoming White House feedback on the SEC’s proposals, the pace of the Senate Banking Committee’s work, and further clarity on how the CFTC and SEC will coordinate enforcement and policy in the months ahead.

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Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Senators to Introduce Bill to Ban Sports Betting on Prediction Markets

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Senators to Introduce Bill to Ban Sports Betting on Prediction Markets

US Senators Adam Schiff and John Curtis are expected to introduce a bipartisan bill on Monday that would bar sports betting and “casino-style” contracts from prediction markets regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), according to a Monday Wall Street Journal report.

“Too many young people in Utah are getting exposed to addictive sports betting and casino-style gaming contracts that belong under state control, not under federal regulators,” Senator Curtis, one of the bill’s co-sponsors, told the WSJ.

If introduced as reported, the measure would add to a widening Washington push against certain prediction market contracts. The report adds to the growing regulatory scrutiny over prediction markets, following renewed insider trading concerns sparked by the US-Israeli war with Iran.

On March 10, Schiff introduced the DEATH BETS Act, a bill seeking to prohibit CFTC-regulated prediction markets from listing contracts tied to war, terrorism, assassination and individual death.

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Related: Prediction markets boom on Iran bets as Congress eyes ban

Sports markets drive trading volume

Sports betting is a leading source of trading activity on prediction market platforms. Sports-related contracts accounted for 47.7% of Polymarket’s weekly notional volume and 78.8% for Kalshi last week, according to Dune data.

Sports betting generated $1.2 billion in weekly notional trading volume for Polymarket and $2.6 billion for Kalshi.

Polymarket, Kalshi, weekly notional volume by category. Source: Dune

State and federal lines blur

The regulatory pressure has also intensified outside Congress. On March 12, the CFTC  issued a staff advisory classifying event contracts on prediction markets as a “financial asset class.”

The commodities regulator also submitted an Advanced Notice of Proposed Rulemaking, asking for public feedback on how the Commodity Exchange Act (CEA) would apply to prediction markets. Polymarket and Kalshi are regulated by the CFTC as Designated Contract Markets (DCM).

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Related: Kalshi, Polymarket face trading halt in Nevada after court rulings

While CFTC Chair Michael Selig claimed the CFTC had “exclusive jurisdiction” over prediction markets, an Ohio judge tested that claim in a March 9 ruling, saying that Kalshi had failed to show the CEA “would necessarily preempt Ohio’s sports gambling laws,” or that these sports betting contracts would fall under the “exclusive jurisdiction” of the CFTC.

On Friday, a Nevada judge temporarily blocked Kalshi from offering sports, election and entertainment event contracts in the state for 14 days, finding regulators were reasonably likely to succeed in arguing the markets violated Nevada gambling law.

Cointelegraph approached the senators for comment and a copy of the draft bill.

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